Regress or Impress + Weird Players, Offseason Q&A

Summary:

Deciding on Kirk Cousins’ Future in Minnesota 02:30

• The hosts discuss the rumors of Kirk Cousins potentially leaving Minnesota, questioning if it’s wise for the Vikings to overpay for an aging quarterback coming off an injury.
• There’s a consideration that investing too much in Cousins now could hinder the team’s long-term success, especially in comparison to the promising future of wide receiver Justin Jefferson.

Money will make him happy, right? Because he’s gonna get a bunch of that.

Evaluating the Risk of Restarting the Quarterback Position 03:45

• Mike and Jason weigh the gamble of bringing back Cousins for the Vikings, contemplating the potential consequences of committing to him long-term.
• Comparisons are drawn to other teams like the Seahawks and Broncos, highlighting the unpredictability and importance of quarterback decisions in the NFL.

It’s a tough game. Obviously, you don’t win without a quarterback. But whether Atlanta’s got that money they want to send out for Cousins, they believe in the rehab.

Ultimate Draft Kit and Dynasty Pass Features 06:48

• An advertisement for the Ultimate Draft Kit and the Dynasty Pass is shared, emphasizing the valuable resources available for fantasy football enthusiasts.
• Features like premium articles, rookie rankings adjustments, and mock drafts are highlighted, encouraging pre-orders for an enhanced fantasy football experience.

If you get the UDK Plus, you get instant access to the Dynasty Pass, which includes now premium articles this entire offseason. They are meaty, they are substantive.

Analysis of Dak Prescott‘s Fantasy Performance in 2023 08:07

• Dak Prescott is likely to regress in the upcoming season based on historical patterns and the high performance level seen in the previous year, making a top-five finish less probable.
• The analysis considers various factors like his touchdown percentage and statistical trends from previous seasons.

“If I’ve got to pick between regress or impress, I have to pick regress.”

Predictions for Dak Prescott in 2024 Season 10:03

• While regression is expected for Prescott, there’s also optimism that he could still impress and potentially secure a top-five quarterback finish in the upcoming season.
• Factors such as his talent, team dynamics, and the lack of solid running back options contribute to the discussion.

“I think he sneaks in… I think he ends up quarterback four or five next year.”

Evaluating Dak Prescott‘s Fantasy Draft Ranking 13:46

• The discussion shifts to whether Dak Prescott will be drafted as a top-five fantasy quarterback, with the general consensus leaning towards him not being among the top picks.
• Factors such as competition from other quarterbacks and potential draft values for different players are considered.

“Follow-up question: Will he be drafted as a top five fantasy quarterback? I don’t think so.”

Dalton Schultz Signs with Washington Commanders 16:26

• Dalton Schultz‘s one-year deal with the Washington Commanders is great news for Dynasty Zack Her owners, as it secures a valuable tight end for their team.
• Schultz’s signing has the potential to make a significant impact for Washington given his capabilities.
• “Zack Her owners rejoice; they dumped Logan Thomas to go get Zerts.”

“We did it. They dumped Logan Thomas to go get zerts. It makes so much sense.”

Contract Situation of Russell Wilson 18:05

• The Denver Broncos are allowing Russell Wilson to seek his next contract early, a move that benefits both parties.
• Wilson is owed a substantial sum by the Broncos, providing an intriguing dynamic for potential contract negotiations.
• There is speculation on how teams may strategize the financial aspect of Wilson’s contract movement.

“Now, which contractually speaking, do it—the maximum quantity of contract diarrhea that you could possibly.”

Release of Will Dissly by the Seattle Seahawks 20:29

• The Seattle Seahawks releasing Will Dissly frees up $7 million in cap space.
• Dissly’s contribution to the team and his departure are noted with affection and respect.
• The move signals a shift in the Seahawks’ roster composition and their allocation of resources.

“Big Montana Seahawks saves $7 million against the cap for that move—good amount.”

Puka’s Rookie Season Comparison 24:19

• There’s no direct correlation between a player’s rookie season performance and their long-term success. Past rookie seasons don’t guarantee future greatness.
• Analyzing players like Puka through the lens of historical comparisons (e.g., Anquan Boldin) can provide insights into potential career trajectories.
• Considering the potential ups and downs, quarterback changes, and consistency issues is crucial when evaluating rookie players like Puka.

Success in the rookie season doesn’t mean guaranteed dominance in the long run.

Evaluating Risk vs. Reward in Rookie Drafts 25:54

• Comparing rookie prospects like Puka to established players like Justin Jefferson highlights the trade-off between potential and proven performance.
• Deciding whether to trade a promising rookie like Puka for a more established player involves weighing future projections against past success.
• While projections and potential can excite, past successes like Jefferson’s consistency offer a higher level of predictability in Dynasty leagues.

“You’re trading an extra 300 yards and three or four touchdowns for the chance.”

The Uncertainty of Rookie Players’ Long-Term Success 28:40

• The track record of past achievements in the NFL remains the strongest indicator of future success, making established players a safer bet.
• Utilizing historical data and analyzing trends in player performance over time can help in making informed decisions during rookie drafts.
• The unpredictability of how rookies like Puka will develop in comparison to players like Justin Jefferson adds complexity to Dynasty league strategies.

“The best predictor of future success is past success in the NFL.”

T Higgins vs. Jaylen Waddle Bounceback 31:06

• T Higgins and Jaylen Waddle both disappointed last year relative to their draft positions but are poised for a bounceback.
• Despite trade rumors, T Higgins seems like the better value pick due to his lower ADP than Jaylen Waddle.
• Higgins’ injuries impacted his performance last season but offer potential value this year.

“I think they’ll both bounce back over where their current ADPs are right now. Jaylen Waddle is wide receiver 22 and T Higgins is the wide receiver 28. I would put a dollar on both of them beating those spots.”

Higgins’ Past Season Struggles 32:06

• T Higgins had a challenging season last year, impacted by injuries and missed games.
• Concerns arose due to Higgins playing injured, affecting his performance and fantasy output.
• His past struggles offer potential value this season as he aims to rebound from a disappointing year.

“T Higgins was really, really bad. I mean, obviously, it’s seen by his ADP being even lower than Jaylen Waddle‘s, and he hurt fantasy managers because he was hurt in a couple of games.”

Assessing Drake London for Fantasy 36:49

• Drake London, seen as a potential fantasy asset, faces uncertainty due to a potential low-quality quarterback situation.
• London’s ADP reflects concerns about the quarterback situation, presenting a buy-low opportunity if he manages to overcome this issue.
• Considerations of the quarterback factor impact London’s value and potential for fantasy success.

“Right now, it’s like the fear is baked in that he’s going to have a bad quarterback, so people won’t know. Wide Receiver 26 seems like where it comes from London, so people won’t know.”

Breakout Candidate Analysis 38:28

• Drake London could be an obvious breakout candidate if paired with the right quarterback, potentially ranking as high as wide receiver 26.
• London has shown strong performance in terms of yards per route run, making him an intriguing prospect with a new offensive coordinator likely to utilize multiple wide receivers.
• “Over the last two seasons London has posted 2.47 yards per route run in three wide receiver sets.”

“London has posted 2.47 yards per route run in three wide receiver sets…”

Unique Fantasy Football League Trophy Presentation Idea 39:33

• A creative suggestion for trophy presentation involves mimicking a wedding scenario, with the defending champion at the altar alongside the new champion.
• The proposal includes involving the last place and second to last place teams in the ceremony, adding humor and engagement to the league tradition.
• “I was hesitant at first, but by the end of that paragraph, I was sold. It’s very funny and entertaining.”

“It’s very funny and entertaining.”

Player Career Resurgence Predictions for 2024 Season 41:05

• Players like Kyle Pitts and Stefon Diggs are mentioned as potential candidates for a career resurgence in the upcoming season.
• Mark Andrews is highlighted as a player whose resurgence relies primarily on staying healthy, showcasing the impact of durability on fantasy performance.
• “For Mark Andrews, his resurgence hinges on his ability to stay healthy – a crucial factor in his fantasy value.”

“For Mark Andrews, his resurgence hinges on his ability to stay healthy…”

Fantasy League Winners’ Titles Count 43:46

• The hosts discuss their League of Record titles, revealing a tie between them where Mike and the host each have three titles.
• Collectively, they have secured a remarkable tally of eight wins over 16 years, showcasing their fantasy football prowess and consistency.
• “Mike and I have three, Jason’s two, so we have eight in 16 years. That’s pretty good.”

“We have eight in 16 years. That’s pretty good.”

David Montgomery‘s Role Outlook 45:34

• David Montgomery‘s role this season might see a slight decline from last year, resembling his performance in the second half of the previous season, where he was consistent but not a major breakout player.
• Despite potential upsides, Montgomery’s performance was sporadic in certain games, showing inconsistency in touchdown production.
• Montgomery’s expected output includes a substantial number of carries for yards and touchdowns, making him a valuable fantasy pick even if undervalued.

“I still think he’s very good… Depending on what inside the top 10 is… he was fifth, finished at 13th, 15th, 17th, and 21st. That sounds like Brian Robinson to me.”

Team Naming Strategies and Anecdote 48:55

• Fantasy team names can be part of building a legacy and identity within a league, showcasing dedication to a self-branded image.
• An amusing anecdote highlights the impact of team names on fantasy football dynamics, emphasizing the connection between player choices and team identity.
• The story of trading players to match a team name adds a comedic twist to the importance of cohesion in one’s fantasy team branding.

“I like locking it down if you’re in a full redraft… I love having the Dead Ringers or the Ventura Bravehearts as my teams.”

Rebranding Teams and Fantasy League Dynamics 51:01

• The decision to rebrand a fantasy team is a personal choice that reflects individual creativity and adaptability within the league’s social ecosystem.
• Team naming practices can impact league dynamics, fostering familiarity or confusion based on how frequently team names are altered.
• Anecdotes and banter around changing team names in fantasy leagues add a fun and engaging element to the fantasy football experience.

“You can rebrand… that’s when we hit you with it… keep your name, it’s fun.”

John Stamos and Weird Players 52:54

• John Stamos wearing a hat is compared to looking like Bob Saget, showing humor in the discussion.
• The idea of John Stamos and the power of his hair is emphasized, linking to his well-known appearance.
• Mention of Josh Palmer being a peculiar player who performs unexpectedly adds to the humor.

“Take that hat off and shine…not today. You’ve got a hat on. Feels like that’s a Pixar movie waiting to happen.”