Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo preview: Betting tips and odds

Canelo Alvarez returns to the ring this weekend when he defends his Super Middleweight title against Super Welterweight champion Jermell Charlo.

The two will meet at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the challenger jumping two weight classes in order to take on his legendary Mexican opponent. The clash between the two undisputed champions on Sunday, 1st October, is highly anticipated, with our guide taking a close look at the Alvarez vs Charlo betting odds.

We will also discuss the form of the two fighters, before providing our top betting tips.

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Odds

While Alvarez is the firm favourite to retain his Super Middleweight title, it is still worthwhile looking at the odds ahead of the fight. Below, we have outlined the odds for all three potential outcomes, with prices coming from leading UK boxing bookies: 

• Canelo Alvarez to win at 1/4 with bet365
• Jermell Charlo to win at 3/1 with BetUK
• Draw at 16/1 with William Hill

Canelo Alvarez latest matches and form

Following his shock defeat at the hands of Dmitry Bivol in May 2022, Alvarez has recovered with wins over Gennady Golovkin and John Ryder. Both wins came by way of unanimous decision, meaning that the Mexican’s professional record sits at 59-2-2. The 33-year-old was comfortably beaten by Floyd Mayweather Jr in 2013, while his draws came against Jorge Juarez and Golovkin.

Jermell Charlo latest matches and form

Also aged 33, American Charlo’s record ahead of his bout with Alvarez is 35-1-1. His last fight came against Argentinian Brian Castano, which he won by way of knockout in round 10. This was the second fight between the two, following their split decision result the year prior. Charlo’s only professional defeat to date came back in 2018, when he was beaten by compatriot Tony Harrison by unanimous decision. However, Charlo did win the rematch against Harrison in 12 months later, knocking his opponent out in round 11. 

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo betting tips and odds

Ahead of their fight in Las Vegas this weekend, we will now deliver our top betting tips. Our tips surround non-outright fight winner markets, while odds come from top bookies in the UK:

Alvarez to win by decision – 5/6 (bet365)

Canelo Alvarez’s last three fights have been decided by decision. This run includes two wins and one defeat. While fans of the Mexican will be hoping for an early stoppage, Charlo will certainly be no pushover, even at this new weight category. Having retained his four titles against John Ryder last time out, Alvarez is certainly the favourite to win this weekend. However, his inferior reach could cause problems against the talented Charlo.

Bet on Alvarez to win by decision at 5/6 with bet365

Total rounds over 10.5 – 1/3 (Spreadex)

Many are expecting the fight to go the distance. This is partly due to the fighting styles of both boxers. Meanwhile, Alvarez’s last four fights have gone 11+ rounds. Meanwhile, many of Charlo’s recent visits to the ring have into the latter rounds, including his draw against Bryan Castano in 2021.

Bet on the fight to go over 10.5 rounds at 1/3 with Spreadex

Charlo to win – 3/1 (BetUK)

Some have questioned Alvarez’s status as one of the best fighters of all time over recent times. With his last three fights, the Mexican has shown signs that he may be on the decline. His defensive abilities are seemingly not what they were, which could play into the hands of Charlo, who is known for his jab in particular. If the American can ensure that Alvarez doesn’t control the ring, there could be a surprise on the cards.

Bet on Charlo to win at 3/1 with BetUK

How to bet on Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo 

The following is a step-by-step guide that explains exactly how to place a bet on the upcoming fight between Canelo Alvarez and Jermell Charlo:

1. Enter the website of your chosen bookmaker. 
2. Register an account by providing the necessary personal details.
3. Log in to your account and deposit money using your preferred payment method. 
4. Select “Boxing” from the list of available sports.
5. Locate the “Alvarez vs Charlo” option and browse markets.
6. Add selections to your bet slip as you wish. 
7. Enter your stake into the relevant box.
8. Confirm your bet.

Who is the favourite to win, Canelo Alvarez or Jermell Charlo?

As you will have already read, it is Canelo Alvarez who is the favourite to retain his WBA, WBC, IBF and WBO super-middleweight titles. While the Mexican was originally due to take on Charlo’s twin brother, Jermall, Alvarez believes that Jermell is the stronger of the two. Despite this, the fact that his opponent has had to put on 14 lbs in weight should play into Alvarez’s hands. Despite having not been at his best of late, Alvarez should still have enough to come out on top in Las Vegas. 

What’s the weight category of the Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo fight?

The clash between Alvarez and Charlo is a Super Middleweight contest. Charlo is best-known as a Light Middleweight, meaning that he has jumped two weight divisions in order to secure this bout. Alvarez has fought at a host of weights in the past, including Middleweight, Welterweight and Light Heavyweight. 

Who has more professional matches, Canelo Alvarez or Jermell Charlo?

Despite Alvarez and Charlo being the same age, 33, it is Alvarez who has had significantly more professional fights. The Mexican has had a total of 63 fights to date, compared to just 37 from Charlo. Meanwhile, Charlo has not fought since May last year, which could be another issue for the challenger. 

Who has more wins in their professional career, Canelo Alvarez or Jermell Charlo?

Alvarez’s record sits at 59-2-2. This is compared to Charlo’s 35-1-1 record. Such statistics go some way to demonstrating the difference in profile between the two fighters. However, by no means does this mean that an Alvarez win is certain.

Who has more KOs in their career, Canelo Alvarez or Jermell Charlo? 

39 of Alvarez’s 59 wins during his professional career have come by way of knockout. His last knockout win was in 2021, when he stopped Caleb Plant in the 11th round. Jermell Charlo has won 19 times by KO. In fact, his last four wins have come through this method. 

What’s on the line if Jermell Charlo wins?

Canelo Alvarez is putting his undisputed Super Middleweight title on the line when he enters the ring with Charlo. A win for Charlo would also further put into question Alvarez’s status as the best pound for pound fighter in the world. 

Are there any undercard fights that you should pay attention to?

Of course, the Alvarez vs Charlo fight is just one of many that will take place at the T-Mobile Arena on Sunday morning. There are several bouts to look forward to on the undercard. Arguably the most interesting fight will see the undefeated Frank Sanchez take on Scott Alexander. This heavyweight clash is almost certain to deliver fireworks. 

Elsewhere, Ukraine’s Oleksandr Gvozdyk goes head to head with Brazil’s Isaac Rodrigues in a light heavyweight bout. Finally, former US Olympoian Terrell Gauscha is the favourite to beat compatriot KeAndrae Leatherwood in their eight-round middleweight fight. 

Commercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. T&Cs apply. Begambleaware.org

Remember to gamble responsibly

A responsible gambler is someone who:

• Establishes time and monetary limits before playing
• Only gambles with money they can afford to lose
• Never chase their losses
• Doesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry or depressed
• Gamcare – www.gamcare.org.uk
• Gamble Aware – www.begambleaware.org

For help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 or go to www.gamstop.co.uk to be excluded from all UK-regulated gambling websites.