Beyond the Boxscore: Regression Candidates with Jared Smola | 2023 Fantasy Football Advice

Beyond the Boxscore: Regression Candidates with Jared Smola | 2023 Fantasy Football Advice

*Timecodes Below

We learn about regression and which players stand to benefit or lose in 2023 as we bring in Jared Smola of Draft Sharks for today’s show! We talk about teams that could regress (2:10) like the Cowboys and Dolphins and possibly the Broncos (12:00). Remember, regression isn’t always a bad thing! The Broncos can’t possibly be as bad as they were last season, could they? And what kind of regression are the Browns in for this season (19:45)? … After our team discussion, it’s time to get into regression for individual players with a focus on touchdown regression (27:20). Jacob Gibbs tells us how aDOT and TD rate correlate and which players should see an improvement in their TD rate this season. We also look at a few players including George Kittle (34:45) who are likely to score fewer TDs in 2023 … A look at deep catch regression and why it matters (41:30) and running back TD regression (51:40) with an eye on Dameon Pierce and Rhamondre Stevenson … Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com

0:00 Intro

1:20 What’s on tap

2:10 Concerns with the Cowboys

7:55 Dolphins breakdown

12:00 Broncos crazy stat

19:45 Browns to breakout?

27:20 Who will score more TDs?

34:45 George Kittle, Christian Kirk, Kyle Pitts, Diontae Johnson

50:20 Justin Fields, D.J. Moore

51:40 Running Back TD Rate

58:30 Dameon Pierce

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