2022-23 NHL PredictionsUpdated after every game.
| TEAM▲▼ | DIVISION▲▼ | ELO RATING▲▼ | 1-WEEK CHANGE▲▼ | PROJ. POINTS▲▼ | PROJ. GOAL DIFF.▲▼ | MAKE PLAYOFFS▲▼ | MAKE CUP FINAL▲▼ | WIN STANLEY CUP▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche0 pts | Central | 1593 | — | 110 | +58 | 94% | 30% | 19% |
| Lightning0 pts | Atlantic | 1571 | — | 105 | +44 | 88% | 18% | 10% |
| Hurricanes0 pts | Metropolitan | 1555 | — | 102 | +33 | 81% | 13% | 7% |
| Panthers0 pts | Atlantic | 1555 | — | 102 | +32 | 81% | 13% | 7% |
| Maple Leafs0 pts | Atlantic | 1554 | — | 102 | +33 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| Rangers0 pts | Metropolitan | 1551 | — | 101 | +30 | 79% | 12% | 6% |
| Blues0 pts | Central | 1549 | — | 101 | +29 | 78% | 11% | 6% |
| Oilers0 pts | Pacific | 1541 | — | 99 | +25 | 76% | 11% | 5% |
| Bruins0 pts | Atlantic | 1547 | — | 100 | +27 | 77% | 10% | 5% |
| Flames0 pts | Pacific | 1538 | — | 99 | +23 | 75% | 10% | 5% |
| Wild0 pts | Central | 1544 | — | 100 | +26 | 76% | 10% | 5% |
| Penguins0 pts | Metropolitan | 1535 | — | 98 | +20 | 70% | 8% | 4% |
| Golden Knights0 pts | Pacific | 1528 | — | 97 | +16 | 68% | 8% | 3% |
| Capitals0 pts | Metropolitan | 1526 | — | 96 | +15 | 65% | 6% | 3% |
| Canucks0 pts | Pacific | 1509 | — | 93 | +4 | 56% | 4% | 2% |
| Islanders0 pts | Metropolitan | 1510 | — | 93 | +3 | 52% | 4% | 2% |
| Stars0 pts | Central | 1510 | — | 93 | +3 | 53% | 4% | 2% |
| Predators0 pts | Central | 1506 | — | 92 | +1 | 50% | 3% | 1% |
| Kings0 pts | Pacific | 1501 | — | 91 | -2 | 49% | 3% | 1% |
| Jets0 pts | Central | 1503 | — | 91 | -2 | 47% | 3% | 1% |
| Blue Jackets0 pts | Metropolitan | 1474 | — | 85 | -20 | 28% | 1% | <1% |
| Senators0 pts | Atlantic | 1472 | — | 85 | -21 | 27% | <1% | <1% |
| Sabres0 pts | Atlantic | 1465 | — | 83 | -27 | 22% | <1% | <1% |
| Kraken0 pts | Pacific | 1453 | — | 81 | -34 | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| Ducks0 pts | Pacific | 1451 | — | 80 | -35 | 17% | <1% | <1% |
| Sharks0 pts | Pacific | 1450 | — | 80 | -36 | 17% | <1% | <1% |
| Blackhawks0 pts | Central | 1447 | — | 80 | -37 | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| Red Wings0 pts | Atlantic | 1445 | — | 79 | -38 | 13% | <1% | <1% |
| Canadiens0 pts | Atlantic | 1439 | — | 78 | -43 | 11% | <1% | <1% |
| Devils0 pts | Metropolitan | 1445 | — | 79 | -40 | 13% | <1% | <1% |
| Coyotes0 pts | Central | 1440 | — | 78 | -43 | 11% | <1% | <1% |
| Flyers0 pts | Metropolitan | 1437 | — | 78 | -44 | 11% | <1% | <1% |
Forecast from TodayMORE NHL COVERAGEThe Colorado Avalanche Reached Hockey’s Summit — And Took Down A Dynasty In The ProcessBy Neil PaineThe Lightning Struck Back In The Stanley Cup Final — But The Avalanche Still Have The EdgeBy Neil PaineHOW THIS WORKS These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Read more »
Design and development by Ryan Best and Elena Mejía. Edited by Maya Sweedler, Julia Wolfe and Sara Ziegler. Statistical model by Ryan Bestand Neil Paine. Additional contributions by Jay Boice.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nhl-predictions/
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