The Hockey Diaries: Lake Tahoe Day Two

2020-2021 NHL Season Record

Bets Wins Loss Avg. Price Accuracy Profit
463 163 300 +152 34.21% -98.63
CLV BC% BC(W) BC(L) DBC(W) DBC(L)
0.7% 61.96% 22.83% 39.13% 12.39% 25.65%

(Gonna keep a pinned link to the February 3rd entry as a reminder for those still trekking along with me.)

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Today’s ROFL: -3.50

Overtimes: LLLWL LLWLL LLLWL WWLLL LWLWL LLWLL WLLLL LLWLL

Phew. No overtime losses. No overtime frames at all in fact. I like that better. Give me a blowout to one side or another. Half unit loss on the day isn’t good, but any signs that results may align with pricing would be a nice change.

…wait I said all this yesterday. Which you can read here. Guess I just came into today feeling the exact same relief to only 60 minute matches. ROFL is staying right where it is though.

Maybe the new tracker should be taken from The Office:

So I would convert this to our ‘days without overtime’ …we are currently at 2?

Anyway, Saturday was the first truly good day for me with NHL this season and that was despite dropping the first six tickets on two of the three early games. We have another visit to Lake Tahoe today. This time it is an Eastern Conference meeting between Philly and Boston. After seeing the way the ice was in the first period yesterday I likely would have skipped the value to today’s over. However it was significantly improved when they resumed play 10 hours later. Who would have thought that the California sun might have made the conditions choppy!

I was a bit surprised to see the Jets still not favored against the Canucks, even slightly and on the road. Vancouver did play a much improved game in their last outing despite the loss. Improved from a few weeks ago when they were beaten up pretty bad.

Lines moved against me on fully half of yesterday’s card. Just another day adding to a lack of confidence in the NHL market this season. At this point I have been much more focused on raising the win percentage, though will continue to tabulate the value, whether real or imaginary. You may have noticed I am merely rounding the CLV to the nearest tenth of a percent for the last week or so.

Mackenzie Blackwood #29 of the New Jersey Devils celebrates Photo by Maddie Meyer / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP

February 21st Bets:

New Jersey Devils vs. Washington Capitals
NJD ML (+145) at BetOnline
NJD -1.5 (+350)
Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators
OTT ML (+185)
OTT -1.5 (+400)
OTT u6.5 (-120)
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Boston Bruins
BOS 1P o1.5 (-110)
BOS o5.5 (+115)
Winnipeg Jets vs. Vancouver Canucks
WPG ML (+100)
WPG -1.5 (+250)
VAN u6.5 (-120)

*The picks reflect the line at the moment the writer made the play on BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our NHL odds.

PLEASE READ:

Always risking 1u, never ‘to win’ 1u. If I expose two, that still remains risking 2u, not betting 2.5 to win 1 simply because the price is shorter than what I have. A standard stake here is 1u = 1% of your bankroll. This will keep you in the game instead of busting out every other day because you decided to be stupid and put your entire bankroll down on 8 wagers. If you have worse prices don’t bet more to compensate. Please do not attach my plays in parlays, you are costing yourself extra money trying to cut corners.

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