Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 8-28-21

August 29, 2021
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I feel like a broken record right now, as the last several days have played out in nearly identical fashion. We make a full slate of high value MLB parlay of the day picks, hit everything early in the day and get ready for a scoop, and then take devastating late-game bad beats to cost us jumbo payouts. My regular readers know that I am not a guy that spends too much time complaining about the past, as I would much rather focus on the future and making money, than crying over lost value. But this week has certainly tested my patience, as it has been a rough run!

First, let’s start with what went well yesterday. We found winners on the Cardinals (-145), Reds (-145), Royals/Mariners over 8 (-110), Rays run line (-145), and Yankees (-150). Now for the ugly stuff. Our all money line parlay was in great shape, as all we needed was for the Toronto Blue Jays to take care of business on the road against the out of contention Detroit Tigers to cash in out ticket for a juicy $454 payout. The Jays looked good early, as they took a 1-0 lead in the 3rd inning, and this game was all tied up at 1 run apiece heading into the 8th inning. Our late-inning run bad came back to bite us yet again though, as the Tigers took the game on one of the more unlikely plays you will ever see, a Victor Reyes inside the park home run.

Our all underdog parlay featured a pair of rough beats as the Giants (+110) led 3-0 early and still led 4-2 in the bottom of the 7th inning before giving the game away late, and the Cleveland Indians (+155) nearly came in as huge dogs as they led 2-0 early and were up 3-1 in the 8th inning before they too fell apart. It is hard to call the Astros failure to cover the run line too bad of a beat, as they did trail 4-0 at one point, but anytime that you lay the run line and your team wins by just a single run, it stings. Short-term variance likes this happens all of the time in baseball, and as a general rule, it will always even itself out. But when you are mired in a slump like this, you have to remain focused on finding value and being on the right side of all of your plays. The last thing you want to do is get desperate and start chasing losses. We will stay on the grind today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies (-195)

The Phillies are in must-win mode right now, and after seeing them blow a 2-run lead in the 9th inning yesterday, only to come back and take the game in extra innings anyway, I like them again today at home against the DBacks. The Phillies almost had the worst possible outcome last night, as they blew their lead and looked like they were headed towards a loss, and the Braves came back on the Giants to steal that game. Philly avoided that tragedy, but just barely, and they know that they have to be better tonight as they can ill afford to allow the Braves to extend their lead in the NL East Division. Philly will turn to the recently acquired Kyle Gibson to start tonight, and for the most part, he has pitched well for the Phillies.

Gibson has made 5 starts for Philadelphia and has pitched into the 6th inning or later, and has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 4 of those 5 outings. In his last start, he had one of his best performances of the season, as he worked 8 innings of 1-run ball against the San Diego Padres and picked up a win for his efforts. Arizona will attempt to answer Gibson with youngster Humberto Mejia. Mejia was part of the deal that sent Starling Marte to the Oakland Athletics, and he has made just 1 start this season, coming last week, when he pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The DBacks lost that game, and I see them losing this game too. The Philly bullpen is doing their best to spoil this once-promising season, and we are going to need Kyle Gibson to get deep into this game to ensure that the Philly ‘pen doesn’t give another game away late. That is just what I see happening, as you can pencil Gibson in for 6 or 7 stellar innings of work and the Phillies for a win at home.

St. Louis Cardinals (-190) at Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates and Cardinals have played each quite a bit recently, as they have matched up 8 times in the last 3 weeks, with the Cardinals getting the better of it with a 5-3 record. This will be the 3rd time in the span that Adam Wainwright has pitched against the Buccos, and Cardinal’s fans are hoping that he can recreate his performance from those outings, tonight, on the road. Wainwright has been stupid good in the 2nd half of the season, and he has absolutely dominated the Pirates this month. In those 2 starts, Wainwright worked a combined 17 innings without allowing even a single run, on only 4 hits, and no walks. On the year, he has faced the Pirates 3 times and is a perfect 3-0 with an utterly absurd 0.38 ERA. Wainwright has Pittsburgh’s number, to say the least.

Pittsburgh will try and play spoiler tonight at home, with veteran Steven Brault getting the nod. Brault missed nearly the entire season before returning to the field earlier this month. He has made 4 starts, and while he has actually pitched fairly well, the Pirates are 0-4 in those 4 games. 2 of those 4 starts came against these Cardinals, and despite working a combined 9 innings and allowing only 3 earned runs, he has a 0-2 record to show for it. Adam Wainwright is trying to single handedly lead his team to the postseason, and he has done a borderline unbelievably good job of getting deep into games at age-39. Wainwright has worked at least 6 innings in all but 1 of his starts in the last 2 months, and he has worked 7 innings or more in a game a whopping 13 times this year. The Cardinals do a lot of winning when Wainwright pitches with an 11-3 record in his last 14 starts, and he is going to carry his team to a much-needed win tonight on the road in what should be a lower scoring and tightly contested affair.

Cincinnati Reds (-110) at Miami Marlins

I have been riding the Cincinnati Reds a lot in the last several weeks, as they are playing quality baseball and are consistently being undervalued in the betting markets. Most people would tell you that teams like the Braves, Phillies, Cardinals, and Padres are the sleeper teams to watch out for in the NL playoffs, but none of those teams have a better record than the Reds do right now, yet here they are, at even money against the last place Miami Marlins. I took the Reds last night and cashed a ticket, and I will take them again tonight with rookie sensation Vladimir Gutierrez getting the start. Gutierrez came out of nowhere this year, and he has been a driving force to this Red’s late-season push for the postseason. Vlad has really hit his stride recently, with a 4-1 record and 1.67 ERA this month. In his last start, he pitched against these Marlins and shut them down to the tune of 7 innings of 1-run ball. Going back to July 1st, the Reds are 7-2 when Guiterrez pitches.

Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara hasn’t had nearly as much success as Vladimir Gutierrez, as no matter how he pitches, the Marlins always seem to lose. When he pitches poorly, Miami losses. When he pitches well, Miami loses. The Marlins are just 10-16 when Alcantara starts, which is some nasty luck when you see that his ERA is a more than respectable 3.35 on the year. The Reds are the best team in the game that nobody is talking about right now, and they are going to find a way to win this game. Alcantara will probably be decent, but it won’t matter, as the Reds are winning today in South Beach.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Philadelphia Phillies -195
  • St. Louis Cardinals -190
  • Cincinnati Reds -110

$100 Bet Pays $441

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

This is an underrated starting pitching matchup tonight in Atlanta, as both Logan Webb and Huascar Ynoa have been pitching their brains out recently. Logan Webb has seen his ERA drop every month, as he is seemly getting better as the season wears on. Webb doesn’t get as much attention as he deserves as some of the other guys in this Giants rotation, like Anthony DeSclafani and Keven Gausman, have been stealing the spotlight, but this kid is having a monster season for the G-Men. Webb has a 2.84 ERA on the year, and he might not even be the best starter pitching tonight in Hotlanta, as Braves starter Huascar Ynoa has been fantastic as well, with a 2.89 ERA this season. Both of these teams know how to score runs, but with so much star power on the mound, this line feels a bit too high. These teams are both fighting for their respective division titles, and there should be a playoff atmosphere in the air tonight, in a game that matters a lot to both teams. Playoff type games always seem to be lower scoring as teams are going to make you earn each and every run, and I see this game being a 3-2 type of contest that stays well under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

We already touched on this game above, and you know how I feel about Adam Wainwright right now. He has been phenomenal against the Pirates this season, and I see no reason not to expect that run to continue tonight. The Cardinals are barely hanging around at the fringe of the playoff conversation in the National League, and Wainwright has been too good, for too long, for him not to deliver today when his team needs him the most. Assuming Wainwright does what I think he is going to do, this game won’t even sweat the over. And it’s not like Steven Brault has pitcher poorly against the Red Birds recently either, so he is likely to be at least decent as well. The Pirates and Cardinals have played games this month with final scores of 4-1, 4-0, 4-0, 3-0, and last night’s game ended at 4-3. This game feels a lot like those games, and I am taking the under.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 Runs (-110)

What the Tampa Bay Rays have been able to do against the Baltimore Orioles this season might be the single most lopsided season series in modern Major League Baseball history. We are going to dive into that more here in a little bit, but just know that the Rays, who are 2nd in the majors in runs scored per game, have been scoring at will against Baltimore this season. This will be the 9th time this month that the teams have played, and the Rays are averaging nearly 9 runs per game! You know the Rays are going to do more than their fair share to send this game sailing to the over, and with Michael Wacha and his embarrassing 7.21 road ERA on the year starting for Tampa Bay, this could end up being a game that goes WAY over. We might be able to cash this ticket in before the 3rd inning is over, as runs are going to be easy to come by today at Camden Yards!

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Under 8.5 Runs -110
  • St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates Under 8.5 Runs -110
  • Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians (+120)

I am a little salty about yesterday’s losing play on the Cleveland Indians, as the Tribe should have won that game. Cleveland was cruising through the first 7 innings of play, as they led 3-1, and the Red Sox had only managed just a single base hit. Cleveland racked up 10 baserunners, but they weren’t able to pull away, and when Jonathan Arauz smashed an unlikely 3-run bomb, just his 3rd career MLB homer, by the way, we lost the bet. Cleveland will look to tie the series up today with budding superstar Cal Quantrill taking the mound. Quantrill has emerged as a legit ace for the Indians this season, with a 3.04 ERA, and this month, he has been even better, with a 2-0 record and 1.45 ERA in 5 starts. He has worked at least 5 innings and allowed 1 earned run or less in 6 of his last 8 starts, and it is hard to be much better than that.

The playoffs aren’t going to happen for Cleveland, but they would love to play spoiler against this Red Sox team that is battling for the 2nd wild card in the AL. This game means a lot for Boston, and they will turn to Nathan Eovaldi to get the job done tonight in Cleveland. It’s almost like there are 2 different versions of Nathan Eovaldi this year. The guy he is at Fenway Park and the guy he is everywhere else. At home, he is 6-3 with a 3.00 ERA. On the road, his ERA is a full 2 runs higher at 5.02, and he has a losing record at 4-5. Boston hasn’t won a road game where Eovaldi has pitched since early June, a stretch of 6 consecutive losing road starts. I will make my play on the Indians as home dogs tonight.

New York Yankees (+100) at Oakland Athletics

Will the Yankees ever lose again? Ever since loading their roster up with talent at the trade deadline, the Yankees have been nearly unbeatable. New York is 20-4 since the trade deadline, including an active 13-game winning streak. That run is even more impressive when you consider that they have played almost exclusively against in contention teams like the White Sox, Red Sox, Athletics, Braves, and Mariners. The Yankees are in Oakland today, looking for the series win against the A’s, in game 3 of a 4-game series. I am sure that this has happened before, but I can’t remember the last time that a team that is on this long of a winning streak was an underdog. New York is just too hot to ever want to be on the other side right now, and tonight’s starting pitcher, Nestor Cortes, has been outstanding for the Bronx Bombers. Cortes was thrown into the Yankees rotation as an afterthought, and in 7 starts, he has been great, with an ERA below 3 runs. Cortes is starting to really get stretched out, as he has increased his innings pitched in each of his last 4 starts and eclipsed the 100-pitch mark for the 1st time this year in his last outing.

No disrespect to Frankie Montas, but I just don’t trust him today against his potent Yankees lineup. Montas has been mostly solid for Oakland this season, but he has rarely been elite, allowing at least 3 runs in a start, 12 times already this season. That mediocre performance has led the A’s to just a 12-13 record when he starts. I am not sure that is the type of guy that is going to be able to jump in front of this Yankees freight train and slow them down. Until the Yankees learn how to lose again, I will be backing them with regularity, as they are smashing their way to what could be another run to the World Series. Give me the Yankees as they make it 14 straight wins, with another win in the Bay Area.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Angles (+105)

The San Diego Padres are the single most disappointing team in the Major Leagues right now if you ask me. The Padres have been all-in on a run to the World Series for the past couple of seasons, adding high-priced free agents as well as swinging blockbuster trades. Where has the spending spree left the Padres? In 3rd place and on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the National League. San Diego had lost 12 of 14 before picking up a road win at LA last night, and I see the Friars headed right back to Loserville today on the road. I fully understand why the books have made the Padre’s favorites in this game, as they do have substantially more talent on their roster than the Angels do, but they are losing far too consistently right now to want to back them as favorites on another team’s field. Ryan Weathers starts for the Padres, and that is a bad thing for San Diego fans, as the Pads have lost each of his last 7 starts, and after a nice start to the season, they have lost 11 of his last 13 appearances overall. Yikes.

I’m not sure that Angels starter Jose Suarez is any good either, but home dogs are always going to be my favorite plays when handicapping Big League baseball. The Angels have underachieved this year, but at home, they are actually somewhat respectable, with a 33-31 record. And while it is easy to point to this late-season collapse as the straw that broke the camel’s back for the Padres, but the fact of the matter is that they have been awful on the road all season long, with a 28-32 record. This play is much more a fade of the Padres and Ryan Weathers, than it is a show of confidence in the Angels, and I see the Padres getting right back to their losing ways tonight in the City of Angels.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Cleveland Indians +120
  • New York Yankees +100
  • Los Angeles Angles +105

$100 Bet Pays $902

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners (-145)

Talk about DeJa’Vu. The poor Seattle Mariners are stuck in a nightmare this week at home, against the Kansas City Royals. The M’s opened up this series thinking that they had a real shot at catching the Red Sox for the 2nd wild card in the AL, but after blowing big leads in each of the first 2 games of this series to the lowly Royals, the playoffs are quickly getting out of reach for Seattle. Sal Perez has been the villain, as he smashed a grand slam in both games, both times to give the Royals a come from behind lead. It is hard to see those games as anything more than some really unfortunately timed bad luck for Seattle, and I see them rebounding tonight at home in game 3 with Tyler Anderson taking the mound. Anderson was a trade deadline rental for the Mariners, and he has pitched well since coming to Seattle from Pittsburgh, with a 2.49 ERA in 4 starts this month. Seattle’s bullpen has been one of their biggest strengths this season, and despite watching them give away games the last couple of nights, I won’t dwell on that small sample size of data as I make my play on the Mariners in a must-win game.

San Francisco Giants (-110) at Atlanta Braves

Will the San Francisco Giants be able to hold off the surging Los Angeles Dodgers for the NL West Division title? Only time will tell if the Giants can win the division, but at this point in the season, with the G-Men holding onto the best record in the Major Leagues for months, even the most skeptical fans have to acknowledge that this team is the real deal. We already touched on how great of a starting pitching matchup this is, and when I see that the Giants have a 15-4 record when Logan Webb pitches, I just can’t resist making my play on San Francisco. You are just a hater if you don’t think this team is a top-3 team in baseball, and being able to back them at even money shows far too much value to pass up on. We are going to sweat this one out, but I like San Francisco.

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs (-115) at Baltimore Orioles

Yesterday I talked about how the Tampa Bay Rays dominance over the Baltimore Orioles might be the most lopsided season series in the history of baseball. Tampa Bay is 16-1 against Baltimore this season, and of those 16 wins, 14 of them have come by multiple runs. That is a level of consistent savagery that I don’t think I have ever seen. We took the Rays on the run line yesterday, and even though Tampa Bay actually played pretty bad, they still won the game by 3 runs and covered the run line. Is that the best-case scenario for Baltimore today? To play decent and “only” lose by 3 runs? The Rays have played the O’s 8 times in the last couple of weeks, and the closest game they have played was a 3-run decision. That tells me that yet another play on the Rays on the run line is free money today in Baltimore. If Baltimore plays their best, they lose by 3-4 runs. If they play their worst, they could lose by double digits. Give me the Rays on the run line.

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs (-145)

We have an all Windy City matchup today, as the White Sox host the Cubs. How much better are the White Sox than the Cubs right now? Well, yesterday, the Cubs took a 6-0 1st inning lead, and they still managed to get blown out! After running Dallas Keuchel from the game after just a single inning of work, the Cubs blinked, and by the 3rd inning, they were losing, and by the 5th inning, they were down 7 runs. The Cubbies saved a little face late, scoring 7 runs in the final 3 innings of play, but even then, the White Sox’s win was never really in doubt. The Cubs were able to hammer Dallas Keuchel, but they aren’t going to have anything for Lance Lynn, who is about to take home the Cy Young Award in the American League. Lynn has allowed just 1 earned run or less in 8 of his last 10 starts, with 1 of those starts where he didn’t pitch well, coming at the Field of Dreams game in Iowa, on what was basically a high school sized field. Don’t be shocked if the Cubs don’t score a run off of him today, and after watching the White Sox plate 17 runs yesterday, I expect more fireworks today at Guaranteed Rate Field. This one is going to get ugly. Give me the White Sox on the run line.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Seattle Mariners -145
  • San Francisco Giants -110
  • Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs -115
  • Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs -145

$100 Bet Pays $1,019

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-8-28-21/

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