Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-22-21

Yesterday we took a rare day off. But the day off wasn’t because our bankroll ran low or because we didn’t have the time to put in our homework to make high-value bets. The day off was an unscheduled break, as after taking a look at what was a very light MLB schedule, with only 8 games on the board, I didn’t see enough value to write anything up. I did make one small play on the Mets straight up, with Jacob deGrom pitching, as the guy has been far too nasty not to want a little bit of action on, but outside of that bet, I was just a fan yesterday.

And that is OK. Many times, sports bettors feel the need for action every day. And with how the schedule works out for Major League Baseball, most days, you can find enough value on the board to stay in action. But that wasn’t the case yesterday, as the lines were sharp, and value was hard to find. The last thing that you want to do is turn into an action junkie where you are betting every day just to get your fix. Sports handicapping is all about discipline. If the value isn’t there, your bets shouldn’t be either. Luckily for us, there is a nice full schedule on tap for today, and unlike yesterday, I see value up and down the board! As always, we will be right here with you today, in the trenches, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-115)

The Tampa Bay Rays took the day off yesterday as well, and they certainly needed it, as they are coming off of a sweep at the hands of the Seattle Mariners that saw them get walked off on 3 times in 4 games. The final of which came in truly dramatic fashion, as Mariner’s infielder Shed Long crushed a line drive walk-off Grand Slam to end the game and hand the Rays their 6th consecutive loss. The losing streak was enough to force Tampa Bay’s hand, and after the series, they made the long-awaited decision to call up the #1 prospect in all of baseball, phenom Wander Franco. Franco is expected to play in this series against Boston, and Rays fans have to be excited as Franco could be the missing piece to a World Series run for Tampa Bay. We recently saw with Mariner’s super- prospect Jarred Kelenic, that sometimes even the best blue-chippers struggle out of the gates, but this is a big deal for Tampa Bay, and Franco just feels different, as the kid has a smooth swing reminiscent of Ken Griffey JR. from a generation ago. High praise, I know.

I like Franco’s, and the rest of these Rays hitters, for that matter, chances to score a bunch of runs tonight at home against Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez. E-Rod has been a disaster this season for Boston, as after a nice start that saw him go 5-0 with a 3.86 ERA, the wheels have come off for the veteran starter and his ERA since May 1st in approaching 8 runs. In his last 5 road starts, he has gotten hammered for 22 runs in just 23 innings pitched. Andrew Kittredge will open the game for Tampa Bay, and you can expect him to go an inning or two to get through the heart of this hard-hitting Boston lineup. Kittredge has worked almost exclusively out of the bullpen this season for Tamp Bay, but he has been fantastic, with a 1.35 ERA in 25 appearances. He has been basically unhittable at home, with a 0.68 ERA in 10 appearances. By the 3rd inning, I see Kittredge out of the game after not allowing a run, and E-Rod will have given up at least a run or 2, to give Tampa Bay an early lead that I just don’t see them blowing. Give me the Rays as small home favorites and buckle up baseball fans, the Wander Franco era starts today!

Oakland Athletics (-129) at Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers are much better at home than they are on the road, but that’s not to say they are a good home team by any means, they are just not awful like they are in other team’s ballparks. Texas will have their hands full today against an Oakland Athletics team that has been elite on the road all season long, and entering play today, the A’s are tied with the Houston Astros for the most wins in the American League. Oakland starter Cole Irvin got a chance to be a regular starter this season for the 1st time ever in his short MLB career, and while he has had some ups and downs, overall, he has been pretty good. In the month of June, he has made 3 starts and has posted a solid 3.06 ERA, and the A’s have won all 3 games. I expect Irvin to pitch well tonight against this Rangers team that is 13th in the AL in runs scored.

Never heard the name Taylor Hearn before? Don’t feel too bad, just about nobody outside of Texas has heard of him either, as he has worked just 53 innings across his 3-year stint with the Rangers. Texas will give Hearn the chance to start just his 2nd ever Big League game, and they are hoping that it goes better than his 1st. Hearn made 1 start for the Rangers back in 2019, and it was so bad that they haven’t been tempted with starting him ever since, well, until now, that is. In that lone start, Hearn managed to record just a single out and got blasted for 5 runs, on 3 hits, and 4 walks. And it’s not like Hearn is killing it in the bullpen, as he has a 6.52 ERA this month, and the Rangers have lost in 9 of the last 11 games that he has pitched. This isn’t just a bad number, it is an awful one. The A’s just might be the best team in the AL right now, and the fact that I can get them as small favorites, against Taylor Hearn and his lifetime 108.00 ERA as a starter, is a joke. The A’s take this one going away.

Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners (-152)

Are the Seattle Mariners a playoff team? A couple of weeks ago, I would have laughed at that question, but the M’s are steaming hot right now, winners of 7 of their last 8 games, and they showed a lot of swagger by sweeping the defending AL champion Rays in their last series. Seattle got a rare home day off yesterday, and if you are a regular reader of my parlay of the day betting picks, you will know that I love that spot, as they are going to be fully energized tonight after a much-deserved break. The Mariners have a great shot at staying hot tonight at home, as they host the Rockies, who are the worst road team in the majors.

Colorado’s road struggles have gotten overshadowed recently by the Arizona Diamondbacks, as Arizona set a new all-time record for road futility last week, when they lost their 23rd straight road game, but believe it or not, the Rockies have been even worse away from home, with a 5-27 record. It is hard to think that the Rockies are going to get things turned around today with Kyle Freeland on the mound, as he has been putrid this season for Colorado, with an ERA of nearly double-digits. And despite having almost zero name recognition, Mariner’s starter Chris Flexen is having a breakout season for Seattle. Flexen is 6-3 with a 4.22 ERA and is coming off his best start of the year, where he blanked the Minnesota Twins in 8 innings of work. He has been particularly great at home, where he has a stellar 2.16 ERA in 7 starts at T-Mobile Park. Seattle is 5-2 when Flexen pitches in Seattle, and I see the M’s staying hot and picking up win number 6 tonight at home. If the Mariners do find themselves in the postseason this year, this homestand, where they are currently 6-1, could very well end up being the turning point for the playoff starved franchise.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Tampa Bay Rays -115
  • Oakland Athletics -129
  • Seattle Mariners -152

$100 Bet Pays $551

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Angels Under 9 Runs (-110)

I love taking the over in Angels games, but after taking the over in Halos games 8 straight days and cashing tickets every day, I pumped the breaks a bit on them in their last game, and the game ended up going under. As consistently as LA has gone over the total this season, they still go under once in a while, and that one felt like a low scoring game, and was, and this one does too. More to come on this game below, as I do have an opinion on the side as well, but when you look at how great Anthony DeSclafani and Andrew Heaney have been pitching in the last month, a total of 9 runs seems awfully high. I am jumping on the under.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Under 7.5 Runs (-110)

The Braves and Mets played a doubleheader yesterday, and both of those games combined wouldn’t have gone over this low total, as runs were very hard to come by in Atlanta. The teams combined for just 7 total runs yesterday in 14 innings of play, and I expect another very low scoring and tightly contested game today. Brave’s starter Charlie Morton came out of the gates slow this season but has been much better lately, and Mets starter Marcus Stroman would be getting his name thrown around in the NL Cy Young Award conversation if it weren’t for teammate Jacob deGrom turning into Bob Gibson this year. I don’t make a habit of taking the under with such a low total, but this feels like a 3-2 game, so I will stay on the under.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8 Runs (-110)

We already talked about how bad Eduardo Rodriguez has been this season, and with the bullpen expected to work much of this game for Tampa Bay, you have to expect the Red Sox to plate at least a couple of runs as well. The Rays have a long history of being weak at the plate, as they identify as a pitching and defense first franchise, but they have done a really great job of dispelling that notion this year, as they are 4th in the AL and 6th in the majors, in runs scored. Boston is even better, as they are 2nd in the league and 3rd in the majors when it comes to scoring runs. 8 runs is a low total when you consider how great both of these teams have been at hitting the baseball this season, and I am taking the over tonight in game 1.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Angels Under 9 Runs -110
  • Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Under 7.5 Runs -110
  • Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers (-103)

The Detroit Tigers have certainly not finished what is likely to be a multi-year rebuild, but they are starting to get some of the pieces in place that will be here on the other side. One of those guys is tonight’s starter, Tarik Skubal. Skubal is only 24 years old, so he is young enough to still be around once the Tigers are back in contention, and after a slow start to the year, he has pitched well in the last couple of months. In the last 2 months, Skubal has worked at least 5 innings and allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his 7 starts. The Tigers don’t win very often this season, but they have managed to go 4-2 in Skubal’s last 6 outings.

This play is both a backing of Skubal and a fade of Cardinal’s starter Johan Oviedo. Oviedo hasn’t pitched great anywhere, but on the road, he is especially bad, with a 7.59 ERA. He had the best outing of his short career his last time out, tossing 7 shutout innings against the Miami Marlins, but prior to that strong performance, St. Louis had lost 6 of his previous 7 appearances. Home dogs are always going to be my favorite plays in baseball, and with Johan Oviedo being so inconsistent, I am shocked to see him laying wood in another team’s ballpark. Give me Detroit in Motown.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (-104)

Marcus Stroman has been stupid good at Citi Field this season. In 6 starts in the Big Apple, Stroman has a 2.02 ERA. In his last 4 home starts combined, he has worked a total of 25.2 innings and has allowed only 4 earned runs. Run support has been an issue for Stroman, and it will likely be an issue again tonight, as Charlie Morton has been pitching well recently, but a play on Stroman at home shows a lot of value. Oh, and did I mention that the Mets have the best home-field winning percentage in all of baseball, at a smoking hot 21-8 in NYC? If that isn’t enough t convince you a play on the Mets is the move here, I’ll add one last tidbit. The Braves have a losing record on the road, and their 14 wins away from home are one of the lowest totals in the league. The Mets sneak in a win tonight at home.

San Francisco Giants (+112) at Los Angeles Angels

This line is in the running for the worst line of the year. I bet against the Angels a lot, as they are consistently overvalued, but even when you take into consideration the LA bias, this is still an indefensibly bad line. Anthony DeSclafani is having a career year for the Giants, and he has done his best work on the road, with a 2.12 ERA. In his last 4 road starts, he has been light’s out, working a combined 25.2 innings and giving up only 3 earned runs. The last time that we saw DeSclafani on the road, he threw a complete game shutout against the Washington Nationals.

Yeah, Andrew Heaney seems to be getting his act together as his results are starting to improve, but he still has an ERA north of 5 runs at Angel’s Stadium this year. The books refuse to accept it, but the Giants have the best record in MLB, and this far into the season, that tells me that the Giants are the best team in baseball. You are telling me that I can back the best team in baseball, as road underdogs, with a starter than never losses, against a 4th place Angels team that doesn’t even have a winning record on the year? Yeah, that just doesn’t add up. Give me the Giants, somehow as road dogs, tonight in the City of Angels.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Detroit Tigers -103
  • New York Mets -104
  • San Francisco Giants +112

$100 Bet Pays $820

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-127) at Baltimore Orioles

For whatever reason, you aren’t hearing a lot about the Houston Astros right now, which is a bit surprising considering that they now have the best record in the American League, and they are blistering hot. The Astros have played a brutal schedule in the last month, and the steep competition hasn’t slowed them down at all. Houston embarrassed the Chicago White Sox in their last series, sweeping them with a run differential of +19, and in game 1 of this series yesterday, they continued their tear, blowing Baltimore out 10-2. The bats are swinging for Houston, as they have scored 6 runs or more 13 times this month, and on the year, they have scored 47 more runs than any other American League team. The Astros have the best run differential in baseball at a smoking-hot +122, and in this game, against an Orioles team that has the worst run differential in the AL, Baltimore is hoping to just not get blown out. They can hope all they want, but it’s not going to help. The Astros are going to hammer Baltimore and easily cover the run line tonight in game 2.

Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins (-122)

Sandy Alcantara has pitched really well in Miami this season. He has a 2.38 ERA at home, and opposing batters are hitting a scant .184 against him. He has held teams to just 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his 7 home starts, and if he does that again today, the Marlins are going to win this game. That is exactly what I see happening tonight, as Blue Jay’s starter Ross Stripling just can’t be trusted. Stripling hasn’t been awful, but he has a road ERA of over 5 runs, and as fun and exciting as these Blue Jays are this season, they are just 35-35, and they are buried in 4th place in the AL East Division. Everyone, myself included, wants the Blue Jays to be an elite team, as they have a great collection of young talent, but they aren’t there yet, and they draw a tough hand today in South Beach, against Marlin’s team that does most of their winning at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-117) at San Diego Padres

Blake Snell has been an abomination this season for the San Diego Padres. The Pads brought Snell in to help lead this team past the Dodgers in the NL West Division, but that just hasn’t worked out the way that Friar’s fans had hoped it would, as San Diego is in 3rd place, and Snell has been dreadfully bad. Snell has been far better at home than on the road, but I am sure that San Diego didn’t see the former Cy Young Award winner posting a 2-3 record and 5.72 ERA. Who will LA start to match up with the disappointing Blake Snell? Oh, just the best pitcher of his generation, future first-ballot Hall of Famer, Clayton Kershaw. Kersh hasn’t been super consistent on the road this year, but in his lone start in San Diego this season, he dominated the Padres, shutting them out over the course of 6 innings, allowing just 2 hits, while striking out 8. The Padres won game 1 last night, and I see LA tying the series up tonight in game 2. The Boys in Blue had won 10 of their previous 12 games before losing last night, and they play a Padres squad that, despite their active 5-game winning streak, are still just 9-11 this month.

Milwaukee Brewers (-148) at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks did it! They finally won a game! The DBacks had to win a game eventually, and after losing 17 straight games, Arizona finally booked a winner last night over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win stopped the DBacks from setting a record for the most losses ever in MLB history, as they were well on their way to catching the all-time losing streak record of 26 games in a row. They still have the longest-ever road losing streak active, at 23 games, as last night’s win came at home, but I am not sure that this win really changes my opinion about Arizona all that much. The DBacks still stink, and I think they start a new losing streak tonight against Freddy Peralta. Peralta is having a huge season for Milwaukee, and his 6-2 record and 2.28 ERA have him looking like an All-Star. I don’t see Arizona having anything for the strikeout artist, and I won’t let last night’s victory distract me from the fact that this is the worst team in baseball.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs -1.5 Runs (-103)

Our final play of the day comes to us from Chicago as the Cubs host the Cleveland Indians in an interleague matchup. The Cubs are tied with the Colorado Rockies for the most home wins in the National League this season, and Kyle Hendricks is looking like the ace we all thought he was coming into the season after a rough month of April. Since May 1st, Hendricks has made 9 starts, posting a stellar sub-3-run ERA, and the Cubs have won 8 of his 9 outings. There are lots of reasons to like Hendricks and the Cubs at Wrigley, but this run line bet is more of a function of Indians starter Eli Morgan than anything else. Morgan was a standout at Gonzaga in college, but he has seen his ERA rise every time he has been moved up in the Cleveland farm system, and I am not sure why he is even on this Indian’s roster right now.

Morgan was 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA at triple-A Columbus, not exactly stats that demand a call-up if you ask me. But Cleveland went ahead and called him up anyway, and the results have been bad, really bad. Morgan has made 2 starts in the show, and he has lasted just 6.1 innings, getting smashed for a whopping 9 earned runs. The Cubs can hit the baseball, and they are going to feast on this youngster today. I very rarely lay that run and a half on a home team, but with the Cubs playing great at home, with their ace on the mound no less, against an untested rookie like Eli Morgan, that run line doesn’t scare me one bit.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -127
  • Miami Marlins -122
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -117
  • Milwaukee Brewers -148
  • Chicago Cubs -1.5 Runs -103

$100 Bet Pays $1,993

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-6-22-21/

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