Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-21-21

April 22, 2021
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Yesterday was a great day packed full of Major League Baseball action. The Dodgers beat the Mariners in a matchup between the teams with the best record in their respective leagues. The Oakland Athletics continued their torrid tear as they swept a doubleheader yesterday against the Minnesota Twins, running their season-high winning streak to 10 games. In other action, the Yankees beat the Braves, the White Sox took care of business against the Indians, and the Red Sox stayed hot with a win over the Toronto Blue Jays. As great as a day as it was yesterday, there was one thing that stood out above the rest, the pitching we saw from Milwaukee Brewers starter Corbin Burnes.

Burnes set an all-time MLB record for the most Ks to start a season without walking a batter. Burnes has been almost unbelievably good this season, with a whopping 40 Ks in 24.1 innings pitched, without walking a single guy, and an ERA of just 0.37. Teams aren’t even able to get runners on base, let alone score against Burnes, as he has allowed just 8 baserunners on the year. As good as Jacob deGrom has been for the New York Mets, we might have a new guy taking claim to the title of the best pitcher in baseball. We were able to back Burnes yesterday as an underdog, and I can’t imagine those opportunities are going to continue, as this kid has just been too good not to want to back every time he pitches. We will get right back at it today, in search of value, on everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Houston Astros (-143) at Colorado Rockies

I will be the 1st to admit that yesterday’s game between the Rockies and the Astros didn’t go like I thought it would. I expected the Astros to snap out of their nasty funk, as they welcomed back several of their best hitters after they missed all week due to a COVID-19 outbreak in the Houston locker room. Well, that didn’t happen, as Jose Altuve stayed on the injured list, and Yordan Alverez didn’t play, as Houston decided not to start their DH on defense to allow him to hit. The guys that did play, Martin Maldonado and Alex Bregman, were a combined 0-5 with 2 walks.

Maybe it is me being stubborn, but I still feel like my read that the Astros are going to bust out of this slump in this series, in the most hitter-friendly park in the game, is on point. It didn’t happen yesterday, but I expect it to happen today. Alverez will likely be relegated to pinch hitting again tonight, but I just don’t think the Rockies’ weak pitching staff is going to keep the Astros down in back-to-back games. I’ll lay a little wood and back what I see as the far superior team, at a very reasonable price.

Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics (-110)

How can you not love what the Oakland Athletics are doing right now? The A’s dumped all kinds of talent in the offseason as guys like Liam Hendricks, Khris Davis, and Marcus Semien all left the team, and Oakland didn’t do a lot to replace all of that talent. After the A’s started out their season by losing their first 6 games of the season, they have now won 11 of 12 and are quickly emerging as a threat in the American League West. It has been a remarkable turnaround, and I have been backing the A’s on a regular basis, and they are getting me paid! The A’s pitching staff started out the year by getting hammered, but they have figured things out in a major way recently, as they have held opposing teams to just 2 total runs in their last 5 games! That includes 4 shutouts, as the Athletics have been shutting teams completely down.

The Twins ran into the buzzsaw that is the A’s right now, yesterday, failing to score a single run in the doubleheader, and their slump now sits at 8 losses in their last 9 games. Somehow, this Twins team that set the all-time single-season team home run record back in 2019, is tied for last place in the AL in home runs right now, despite having many of the same guys in their lineup. It is hard to understand how the A’s can be so good, and the Twins can be so bad, but it is what it is, and I am going to ride the hot hand in this one and back the A’s. Frankie Montas had a rough first outing, but in his last two starts, he has worked 12 innings and has allowed just one total run, and he picked up wins in both starts. Expect another stellar outing out of Montas tonight, as the Twins couldn’t hit water if they fell out of a boat right now.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals (-167)

I have Carlos Martinez on my blind bet auto-fade list right now. The former All-Star pitcher for the Cardinals looks lost on the mound and going back to last season, this guy just can’t seem to find a way not to get embarrassed when he pitches. Martinez is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA in 3 starts, and the Cardinals have a run differential of -22 in those games. I like this fade of Martinez no matter who the other starting pitcher is, but in this case, it just happens to be future first-ballot Hall of Famer Mad Max Scherzer on the other side of the mound. Scherzer is up to his old tricks, and he has a 2.37 ERA on the year, and in his last 2 outings, he has given up just 1 run, on 5 hits, in 13 combined innings of work. This is a laughable mismatch on the mound, and I am taking the Nationals as I feel they are significantly underpriced.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Houston Astros -143
  • Oakland Athletics -110
  • Washington Nationals -167

$100 Bet Wins $419

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Over 7 Runs (-110)

I know, I know, the Chicago Cubs are the worst hitting team in the Major Leagues right now, so a play on the over in a game where the Cubs are going to get half of the at-bats might seem a bit risky, but hear me out here. A game total of 7 runs is generally reserved for an elite starting pitching matchup. When you have Jacob deGrom starting against Clayton Kershaw, a 7 run total makes sense. But in this game, with David Peterson matching up with Zach Davies, it seems mighty low. Neither of these teams are hitting very well at the moment, but Davies’ ERA is 10.32 and Peterson’s is 6.30, and really, only one of them has to be bad to push this game over in a hurry. I might not respect myself in the morning for this one, but I am taking the over.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals Over 7.5 Runs (-110)

We just talked about how a run total of 7 runs only comes about when we have superstars on the mound, and while 7.5 is slightly higher, you can make a similar statement, as we don’t see 7.5’s floating around with bad pitchers getting the start very often. Max Scherzer is accustomed to seeing low game totals when he pitches, but Carlos Martinez sure isn’t! In his 3 appearances this season, the game totals have averaged nearly 13 runs! Even if Scherzer throws a complete game shutout, this game still might go over a low total like 7.5!

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels Over 9 Runs (-110)

Another day, another over bet on the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels have a high-octane offense capable of scoring a bunch of runs, and they are currently hitting a sizzling hot .266 as a team, the 2nd best team batting average in the majors. Their pitching staff is just the opposite, as only the Detroit Tigers have a worse team ERA in the American League right now than LA does. Jose Quintana gets the nod today for LA, and his ERA is a sky-high 16.20 on the year. In Quintana’s starts this year, the game total has averaged almost 15 runs per game! Expect another slobber knocker tonight in LA as the Angels are sure to hammer Ranger’s starter Mike Foltynewicz, and we all know Jose Quintana is going to give up some runs as well. This game goes over, and it just might go WAY over.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Over 7 Runs -110
  • St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals Over 7.5 Runs -110
  • Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Texas Rangers (+155) at Los Angeles Angels

We just talked about this game and how I expect there to be all kinds of fireworks in the City of Angels tonight, and I am shocked to see LA as such prohibitive favorites. When you have a game where runs are going to be so easy to come by, either team can win. You hate to be on the other side of the Angels in a slugfest, as they can swing the bat with the best of them, but at the end of the day, I get a chance to fade a guy with an ERA of 16.20 and get a huge chunk of dog money while I do it? Yeah, OK, I’ll bite. Give me the Rangers in a wild one, as big dogs.

Milwaukee Brewers (+175) at San Diego Padres

I took the Milwaukee Brewers as underdogs yesterday and cashed a ticket when Corbin Burnes and the Brewer’s bullpen combined to shut out the Padres, taking the game 6-0. The Brewers starting pitching has been excellent, as they lead the Major Leagues in starter ERA at a blink, and you will miss it 1.90. It is hard not to like the Brewers in any game right now, with their staff pitching so well. Adrian Houser hasn’t been as good as some of the other guys in this Brewers rotation, but he has been solid, with a 3.14 ERA in 3 starts.

The Padres will welcome Dinelson Lamet back to the bump today for his 1st start of the season, and Padres fans are hoping that he looks more like the guy we saw in 2020 than the guy he was before breaking out last year for San Diego. Lamet was great last year in the COVID-19 shortened season, posting career highs in just about every stat imaginable and finishing in 3rd place for the NL Cy Young Award. The question on everyone’s mind, though, is, can that performance be trusted? Lamet had a career ERA of over 4 runs before last year’s exploits, and while he has always had great swing and miss stuff in his career, he was never close to as good as he was last year in only 12 starts. Lamet is filthy, but I am going to fade him as a big favorite in this game, as I just can’t trust a guy that hasn’t pitched in such a long time, who just might not be nearly as good as advertised.

Tampa Bay Rays (-103) at Kansas City Royals

Heading into this series, I made the somewhat bold statement that I expected the Rays to sweep the Royals. While the Royals were sitting in 1st place at the time, I felt that their hot start was a bit fraudulent and expected the Rays to ride their momentum from a 3-game sweep of the New York Yankees to another 3-game sweep of the Royals. We are now 2 games into this series, and it’s looking like I might have nailed that premonition, as the Rays have dominated this series to the tune of a +10-run differential with wins in both games.

I see more of the same in the series finale tonight, and I am shocked that the Rays are underdogs. The Rays are the defending AL champs, and they are a far superior team than the Royals. You can certainly argue that the Royals have the better side of the starting pitching matchup, as Jakob Junis has been great for KC and Michael Wacha has been shaky for Tampa Bay, but sometimes the books and the public overreact too much to the starting pitching matchup and ignore the fact that baseball is a team game. The Rays are the better team, and I won’t ignore that as I make my play on Tampa Bay to stay hot and finish off this sweep.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Texas Rangers +155
  • Milwaukee Brewers +175
  • Tampa Bay Rays -103

$100 Bet Wins $1,282

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Atlanta Braves (+110) at New York Yankees

The New York Yankees needed Corey Kluber to step up this season and fill the shoes of the departed James Paxton and Masahiro Tanaka. New York hasn’t had a great starting rotation in several years, and it has really limited their success in the postseason. Kluber is a former multi-time Cy Young Award winner, but injuries have derailed his career, and at age 35, the Yankees were gambling that Kluber could find the fountain of youth in the Big Apple. Well, that hasn’t happened, at least not yet, as Kluber has allowed 10 runs in 10.1 innings and has constantly been in jams, as he has allowed 16 hits and 7 walks. If he doesn’t turn things around ASAP, it could be the end of the road for the once-dominant ace.

The Braves will go with the exact opposite of Kluber, in youngster Ian Anderson. Anderson hasn’t been as sharp this year as he was last year when he made his MLB debut for the Braves and posted a 1.95 ERA in 7 starts. That being said, this kid has electric stuff, and I expect him to be very good tonight in the Bronx, against this Yankees team that is inexplicitly the worst hitting team in the American League right now. Anderson grew up in New York, and this is going to be a homecoming for him, and at this point in these guy’s careers, he is the better side of this matchup with Corey Kluber, who has run out of gas after a long career.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds (-170) Game 2

I am going to file this game under free money. The Reds and DBacks saw their game postponed in the 8th inning last night in what was a very entertaining back and forth affair. But tonight, I see the Reds coasting to an easy win. Arizona has been bad all season long, and while I am not so sure that the Reds are as good as they have looked this year, they are hitting the ball hard and winning a lot of games. Tyler Mahle has been really good for the Reds, with a 2.57 ERA, and Merrill Kelly can’t stop getting lit up for Arizona, as he has allowed a whopping 16 runs in his 3 starts this year. The DBacks are 2-4 in their last 6, and while the Reds have cooled down just a bit since a hot start, they are still sitting in 1st place in the loaded NL Central Division. Better team, better starting pitcher, and an easy money win for the Reds on a low hanging fruit type of play.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers (-120) Game 2

Mitch Keller has been awful for the Pittsburgh Pirates this year. He has managed to work just 11.1 innings in 3 starts, and he has gotten roughed up for 11 runs, all earned, on 16 hits and 8 walks. Keller pitched well in limited action last year, but his career ERA is 6.22, and I think the Tigers get after him today in the back end of this double dip. The Tigers are fading some recently, but they are still 6th in the American League in home runs, and they have power up and down their lineup. The Tigers got shellacked by the Oakland A’s in their last series, and I think they take it out on the Pirates in this series. Detroit is coming off of a brutal 10-game road trip with stops in Cleveland, Houston, and Oakland without a day off, and after getting an unexpected, but much needed, day off yesterday at home due to the weather, I see them getting back on track and abusing the Pirates.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-127)

When I made my play on the Boston Red Sox yesterday, I said that I hated to fade Blue Jays starter Hyun Jin Ryu, but that I had no choice, as the Blue Jays just aren’t winning games right now and the Red Sox can’t lose. That bet came in with little sweat, and I will use the same reasoning tonight and back Boston yet again. I can’t resist getting to back the Red Sox, who now have the best record in the American League and have won 12 of their last 15 games. Toronto will start Trent Thornton, who hasn’t started a game all year, as he has been working exclusively in relief and has made just 3 total starts since 2019. That move smells of desperation, and I think Boston hammers him and coasts to another victory against the slumping Blue Jays.

New York Mets (-122) at Chicago Cubs

Our final play of the day comes to us from Wrigley Field in Chicago as the Cubs host the Mets. We already talked about how this game should be higher scoring than expected, and I like the Mets to jump all over Zach Davies. In his last couple of outings, Davies has gotten embarrassed, getting blown up for 11 runs in just 5.2 innings. Davies had a lot of success as a 1-year rental for the San Diego Padres last year, but he is mostly an innings eater, with a career ERA of almost 4 runs. David Peterson is a blue-chip prospect for New York, who isn’t as good as he is going to be at some point, but he was awfully impressive in his last start, throwing 6 stellar innings against the Philadelphia Phillies while giving up just a single run and striking out a career-high 10. The Cubs won game 1 last night, but it felt a bit fluky as they had lost 8 of 11 entering play yesterday, whereas the Mets had won 5 of their last 6. The variance swings back the other way in game 2 as the Mets even up the series at 1 game apiece with a win.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Atlanta Braves +110
  • Cincinnati Reds -170
  • Detroit Tigers -120
  • Boston Red Sox -127
  • New York Mets -122

$100 Bet Wins $1,889

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-21-21/

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