Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-13-21

The only thing that could slow us down yesterday was the rain! We ran up a blistering hot 9-3 overall record for the day and binked our game total 3-teamer for a hefty $600 profit, on what was a very profitable afternoon. We did see 3 games canceled, 2 for weather and 1 for political reasons, which knocked some of our action off of the books, but it was still a really nice day betting on Major League Baseball. Winners yesterday included a big money line underdog win by backing the Miami Marlins, as well as outright winners on the Angels, A’s, and Brewers and run line wins on the Padres and Yankees. We will look to stay red-hot today with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay. Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs (-137) at Pittsburgh Pirates

Yesterday we took the low hanging fruit and backed the San Diego Padres on the run line against the Pittsburgh Pirates. There is just a significant talent gap between these two teams right now, and the Pirates are going to really struggle to stay competitive in this series. It wasn’t a sexy pick, but it was basically free money, so we decided to take advantage of it. And to be completely honest, the Pirates played about as well as you could ever expect them to, as the game was tied up a 1 run apiece through 5 innings. But even with the Pirates having a great game, at least by their standards, they still ended up losing the game by 4-runs, and we stacked some free cash.

Today, in game 2 of this series, we will make the same play for all of the same reasons. Blake Snell gets the start for San Diego, and the kid has been light’s out with the Padres, posting a 1.86 ERA in 2 starts with 16 Ks in just 9.2 innings pitched. The Pirates will answer with Chad Kuhl, and while Kuhl is a decent starter, he is struggling right now as he has pitched just 7 combined innings in his 2 starts and has gotten hammered for 7 total runs. The Padres have won 7 of their 8 games by multiple runs this year, including 7 straight, making them a reliable run line play candidate on a day-to-day basis, and until they cool down, I’ll keep backing them, especially in spots like this one against the worst team in the National League. Wash, rinse, and repeat, I am taking San Diego.

Cincinnati Reds (-104) at San Francisco Giants

Luis Castillo has ace-level stuff, and while he has been a bit overshadowed recently in Cincy with guys like Sonny Gray and Trevor Bauer posting eye-popping numbers for the Reds in the last couple of years, he remains a very good arm. Castillo has posted a sub-three and a half-run ERA in 3 of his 4 seasons in the bigs, and while he wasn’t good in his first start of the season, he looked great in his last outing, blanking the Pittsburgh Pirates over 7 innings while scattering just 4 hits. The Reds have cooled off a little bit at the plate in their last couple of games, but they still lead the majors in runs scored by a fairly wide margin, so if Castillo can hold up his end of the bargain, the lineup should be able to back him up with some run support.

The Giants will try and match Castillo with veteran hurler Kevin Gausman. Gausman has been sharp this year, with a 1.32 ERA in 2 starts. But unlike the Reds, the Giants haven’t been doing a lot of scoring as they have scored 4 runs or fewer in 8 straight games and they are ranked 26th in baseball in runs scored. This feels like another low-scoring game, as the teams combined for just 3 runs last night, and I can’t pass up getting a guy as good as Castillo, with a lineup hitting the ball as hard as the Reds are right now, getting dog money. The Reds snapped the Giants 4 game winning streak with the win in the series opener, and I think they made it back-to-back wins tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies (-124) at New York Mets Game 2

The Mets and Phillies saw their game canceled yesterday, and the teams will make it up today with a scheduled doubleheader. MLB decided to keep the 7 inning doubleheaders for this season, so this game will only be scheduled to go 7 innings, not the full 9, and when you look at how deep Aaron Nola has been able to get into games in his career, he just might go the distance today for the Phillies. Nola made his last start against these very same Mets and pitched well before being pulled from the game early with a high pitch count. Nola worked just 4 innings, but he was solid in those innings, allowing just 1 run.

New York is hoping that Marcus Stroman can pitch as well tonight in game 2, as he did in his last start against Philly, where he worked 6 innings, scattering just 3 hits and allowing only a single run. Both of these starters are really good, but you have to think the Mets are frustrated right now. New York has seen several games canceled this season, and they have played just 5 games, the lowest total in the majors. That is just half the games that most teams have played, and it is going to be hard for the Mets to get into a groove if they aren’t playing. I expect that frustration to show through in this twin bill today, as I will be taking the Phillies in both games. Expect Nola to go at least 6 innings and for him to have a lot of success against this Mets lineup that is slugging just .333 on the year.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs -137
  • Cincinnati Reds -104
  • Philadelphia Phillies -124

$100 Bet Wins $513

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays Under 8 Runs (-110)

Yesterday we took the under in the Rays and the Rangers game, and the final score ended up being 1-0. That is about as typical of a Rays came as you can see, as Tampa prides itself on defense and pitching, and they just can’t seem to find a way to swing a consistent bat. The Rangers started out the year scoring some runs, but that production has gone away as Texas has gotten shut out in 3 of their last 4 games. Both starters in this game, Kyle Gibson and Ryan Yarbrough, are much better than their current stats might lead you to believe, and I see this being another low-scoring game between a couple of teams that just can’t hit.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs (-110)

Speaking of teams that can’t hit, what is going on with the Chicago Cubs right now? Chicago hasn’t been bad at the plate, they have been embarrassing, as they are hitting just .167 on the year, nearly 30 points lower than the next closest team. The Cubs managed just 4 hits in game one yesterday against Milwaukee, and 2 of their 3 runs came in garbage time as they were getting blown out the entire game. The Brewers have been somewhat better scoring runs, but they are by no means elite, and with both of these teams sending their Opening Days starters to the mound, I expect very few runs to hit the scoreboard. This game feels like a 3-2 Milwaukee win if you ask me, that stays well under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs (-110)

Matthew Boyd knows how to strike out a lot of guys. In his last full season, coming in 2019, Boyd struck out 238 hitters, one of the highest totals in the American League. The problem for Boyd, is that he can’t keep the ball in the park, as he also allowed an absolutely absurd 39 homers in that 2019 campaign. Boyd has avoided the long ball this year in 2 starts, but I see that changing tonight against an Astros team that leads the Major Leagues in home runs. Houston will start Jake Odorizzi, who is making his first start of the year and his debut with the Astros, after pitching with Minnesota for the last 2 seasons. Odorizzi is also known for giving up lots of long balls, and this game is likely to sail way over as balls will be hitting the stands with regularity.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays Under 8 Runs -110
  • Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs -110
  • Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Oakland Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks (-103)

The Oakland Athletics are showing some signs of life after an awful start to their season. The A’s lost their first 6 games of the year, but they have won 4 of their last 5 games since. They will send their young star prospect Jesus Luzardo to the bump today, looking to stay hot. Luzardo hasn’t pitched overly well this year, but he has electric stuff, and at age 23, he still has a lot of room to grow, and eventually, I see this guy being a future All-Star for Oakland. And while Luzardo is a star in the making, he matches up with an established stud in Arizona’s Zac Gallen. Gallen is entering his 5th year as a Major League starter, and at just age 25, he is a budding superstar with a career ERA of just 2.78 and a K/9 ratio of double digits. The DBacks aren’t a very good team right now, but neither are the A’s, and I am absolutely shocked that I can get Arizona as home dogs with Zac Gallen on the mound.

Seattle Mariners (+120) at Baltimore Orioles

It will be interesting to see if yesterday’s rain delay cools down the Seattle Mariners, as they were riding a lot of momentum into this series before getting rained out yesterday. The M’s are showing a lot of heart, with several late-inning come from behind victories, including their last game, when they came back from a 6-0 deficit to shock the Minnesota Twins. Seattle has won 3 of 4, and they have won 2 of their first 3 series, and people are starting to take notice out west, as this team could be a contender in the wide open AL West Division. Seattle will start Justus Sheffield in game one and hope that he looks more like he did late last season when he posted a 2.16 ERA in September, than he did in his first start of the year, where he got roughed up by the Chicago White Sox.

The Baltimore Orioles are certainly not the Chicago White Sox, and I see Sheffield having a much better outing today than he did against the South Siders a week ago. Baltimore has lost 5 of their last 6, and they are quickly looking like the last place team we all thought they would be heading into this season, after a hot start. John Means has been great for Baltimore this year on the mound, but he dodged a lot of bullets in his last start as he allowed 7 hits and walked 2 batters while somehow managing to only allow 1 earned run. If he keeps playing with fire, he is going to get burned, and I think that is what happens today against this suddenly streaking Mariner’s squad. I’ll back Seattle in game one in an upset special.

Philadelphia Phillies (+120) at New York Mets Game 1

We already broke down the action in game 2 of this doubleheader today between the Phillies and the Mets, and we will give you a play for the opening game as well, so you can have action on everything! The late game has a blockbuster starting pitching matchup with Aaron Nola and Marcus Stroman squaring off, but game 1 doesn’t have nearly the star power on the mound, as we get a meh matchup between Chase Anderson and Taijuan Walker. Both of these guys are solid middle of the rotation starters, and I will lean on the overall strength of the Phillies to guide my play. This is a coin flip game at best, and you always want to be on the side getting juice, rather than laying it, in a spot like this one. I’ll take the Phillies to sweep the Mets on the road in this double dip.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Arizona Diamondbacks -103
  • Seattle Mariners +120
  • Philadelphia Phillies +120

$100 Bet Wins $854

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-141)

The last time that Brandon Woodruff pitched against the Chicago Cubs, he completely dismantled them, allowing just 1 hit over 7 shutout innings. I don’t want to discount just how impressive of an outing that was from Woodruff, but I’m not so sure how much of that was him being elite, and how much was the Cubs being a joke at the plate right now.

Let’s take a quick peek at some of the stat lines starters have posted against the Cubbies so far this year. JT Brubaker pitched 5.1 innings and gave up 1 earned run. Mitch Keller pitched 5 innings and allowed just 1 earned run. Freddy Peralta worked 5 innings and gave up no runs on only 1 hit. And the list goes on and on. And it’s not like that was Maddux, Glavine, and Smoltz the Cubs have been forced to hit against! Until the Cubs figure it out at the dish, they are on the auto-fade list against any level of quality opposition.

Cleveland Indians (-107) at Chicago White Sox

Shane Bieber had one of the greatest seasons we have ever seen on the mound last year. It was a travesty that we didn’t get to see what he could do for a full 162-game season because I am sure he was going to find a way to break some all-time records had he gotten to pitch all year. Bieber won the Cy Young Award unanimously and nearly took home MVP honors as well when he finished his season 8-1 with a blink, and you will miss it, 1.69 ERA, with 122 Ks in just 77.1 innings pitched. While he hasn’t been quite as dominant in terms of ERA this year in 2 starts, his K numbers are even higher than last years, as he has a whopping 24 strikeouts in just 12.1 innings worked.

The Indian’s weak lineup scares me just a little bit, but I am going to back Shane Bieber as an underdog any time that I get the opportunity. This guy is just too good and gets too many guys out on his own, not to love him as a dog, no matter who he is facing. Bieber vs. a prime Sandy Koufax as a dog? I’m taking Bieber. Bieber vs. Randy Johnson or Roger Clemmons as a dog? You guessed it, I’m on Bieber. I am clearly being a bit dramatic here, but this guy is that good. The White Sox are a really good team, and Lucas Giolito is an animal on the mound, but Bieber as a dog is just too sweet to pass up on. Give me the Tribe in a tight one.

Washington Nationals (+102) at St. Louis Cardinals

In this pick, we will take yet another elite starter as an underdog, as we back the Washington Nationals against the St. Louis Cardinals. If you have been reading my daily picks regularly over the course of the last several seasons, you would know that I really like St. Louis Cardinal’s starter Jack Flaherty. The kid is one of the best young pitchers in the National League, but he has a long way to go to get on the level of Stephen Strasburg, who is closing in on a surefire Hall of Fame career with Washington. Strasburg missed last year with an injury, but he looks healthy now, as he blew right through the powerful Atlanta Braves lineup in his 1st start of the year, holding the Braves to 1 hit in 6 innings with 8 Ks. Similar to Shane Bieber, I just can’t imagine not wanting to back Stephen Strasburg getting dog money in any spot, so I will hope the Nats can beat the Cards for the 2nd night in a row and back Washington.

Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals Over 8.5 Runs (-110)

I took the over last night in game 1 of this series between the Angels and the Royals and mentioned that Los Angeles could end up going over the total all by themselves. That indeed ended up being the case, as the Halos hammered the Royals for double-digit runs. The Angels are tied for the most runs scored in the American League right now, and they play a Royal’s team with the 24th worst ERA in the majors. Oh, and did I mention that LA can’t pitch either? Yeah, they are even worse than KC in team ERA, allowing more than 5 runs per game. I have taken a lot of overs in Angel’s game this year, and I will be taking lots more the rest of the way out. Maybe LA scores a lot and pushes it over, or maybe their putrid pitching staff gives up a lot of runs and pushing the game over the total. Either way, runs are hitting the board, and we are getting paid.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (-108)

The Toronto Blue Jays nearly handed Yankee’s ace Gerrit Cole the loss yesterday as they led New York through each of the first 4 innings of play after scoring an early run. But eventually, Robbie Ray gave up some runs, and the New York bullpen slammed the door shut, and Toronto lost the game. The Blue Jays are looking to rebound tonight in this game, with their ace on the mound in Hyun Jin Ryu. Ryu was great last year in his debut with Toronto, posting a 2.69 ERA and finishing 3rd in the AL Cy Young Award voting. He has been great again so far this year as well, as he has a 2.92 ERA in 2 starts. Ryu is clearly the much better side of the starting pitching matchup, alongside Yankee’s starter Jameson Tailon, and I think he is going to carry his team to victory tonight at home.

Tailon couldn’t make it out of the 5th inning against the Baltimore Orioles in his lone start of the season, and he showed a lot of rust after not pitching at all in 2020 and only making 7 total starts since 2018. Injuries have derailed what was once a very promising career for the former number 2 overall draft pick, and he gets a 2nd chance at success here in New York, but I can’t imagine he is going to hang with Hyun Jin Ryu pitch for pitch today, as he is just outmatched. I think we all expect New York to be one of the hardest-hitting teams in the AL this year, but right now, that just isn’t the case, as they are 15th in the majors in runs scored and 16th in homers. I’ll take Toronto at home at even money.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Milwaukee Brewers -141
  • Cleveland Indians -107
  • Washington Nationals +102
  • Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals Over 8.5 Runs -110
  • Toronto Blue Jays -108

$100 Bet Wins $2,356

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-13-21/

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