The TRUTH: Top WRs in 2024 Part II (Fantasy Football)

Before we dive into the truth about WR10 through WR20, an interesting tidbit from this past season that Andy mentioned on the show surprised me: 2024 saw the most total receiving TDs in NFL history from the WR spot. There were 11 WRs who had nine or more receiving TDs (we see you, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine), a significant jump from six WRs last year.

I think it’s important to mention those numbers because it reminds us how things can change so vastly from year to year, and even in a season where RBs rose to the top, and highly-drafted WRs didn’t necessarily come through (we’ll get to a couple of those players below), there is still so much fantasy production that can be mined from the WR position.

Connect with the show:

• Subscribe on YouTube
• Follow on Twitter
• Follow on Instagram
• Join our Discord
• Join the Foot!

To hear the TRUTH about the Top-10 WRs, check out the February 4th episode of the podcast.

Before we dive into our WRs 10-20, let’s review how the TRUTH algorithm translates to fantasy performances. Our numbers today will only correlate with Weeks 1-17, with Week 18 disregarded:

• Great Games = > 20 points
• Good Games = 12.5 – 20 points
• Bust Games = 7.5 points <
• Missed Games do not count against consistency score

11. Mike Evans | Buccaneers

Age: 31.4 |  ADP: 3.06 / WR15

Consistency Rank: 12

1st Half: 17 / 2nd Half: 6

Nothing new to see here, just another 1,000-yard receiving year for Mike Evans. No matter the QB, the head coach, or the offensive coordinator, Evans is locked in for 1,000 yards. What’s more, he has better than a  50-50 chance at hitting double-digit TDs, like he’s done six out of 11 seasons. Even missing three games due to injury this year couldn’t stop him from hitting his mark.

But what does the future hold for Evans? Jason pointed out that there are really two ways it can go for Evans next year. He could be reaching the end of his career, where the greats like Andre Johnson, Julio Jones, and A.J. Green stopped being fantasy-relevant seemingly out of nowhere, or he will once again be undervalued and be a major fantasy contributor.

Before the start of the draft season, a couple of mysteries need to be solved, mainly who will be opposite him on the field. Chris Godwin was featured more as the WR1 before he got injured in Week 7. Will he return? Will the Buccaneers draft another WR? Can Jalen McMillan step into the WR2 role and take some pressure off Evans?

12. Jerry Jeudy | Browns

Age: 25.8 |  ADP: 13.05 / WR58

Consistency Rank: 26

1st Half: 71 / 2nd Half: 10

It’s not fair to say that Jerry Jeudy came out of nowhere, per se, but the former first-round pick had been all but buried in fantasy football circles. Drafted as the WR58, it was unlikely he would remain on fantasy rosters through the first nine weeks of the season. He had no good games in that span and four bust games.

But things can change quickly in fantasy football, and when Amari Cooper got traded in Week 7 and Deshaun Watson got hurt in Week 8, it was Jeudy’s time to shine. Enter everyone’s favorite fantasy quarterback Jameis Winston, and Jeudy and the rest of Cleveland’s offense went on a meteoric rise.

Will this be the standard moving forward for Jeudy? It’s hard to imagine him repeating this performance with the likelihood of an incoming rookie QB and a lack of consistency. But depending on his ADP, Jeudy could once again be a late-round flier who pays dividends.

13. Ladd McConkey | Chargers

Age: 23.2 |  ADP: 8.04 / WR40

Consistency Rank: 24

1st Half: 39 / 2nd Half: 17

During the first half of the season, it felt like fantasy managers needed Ladd McConkey to score for him to be relevant, and that largely panned out according to the numbers. The dynamic rookie had five bust games during the first 10 games and had a consistency rank of 39 simply because he couldn’t find the end zone in those games.

But the Chargers’ offense changed in the second half of the year as Justin Herbert was given more of the reins. This led to more looks for McConkey, who, all of a sudden, became a target hog. He saw 72 targets over the last seven games of the season, compared to 54 targets through the first nine games. So even in matchups when he didn’t score, like Week 11 against Cincinnati and Week 13 against Atlanta, he had borderline great games due to volume alone.

The way McConkey’s season ended has got the fantasy community drooling over him already, with his early best ball ADP all the way up at WR10 on Underdog Fantasy. He’s an excellent WR, but this feels like too far of a reach coming off his rookie campaign, especially with the Chargers rumored to be eyeing another pass-catching option in the draft or free agency.

14.  A.J. Brown | Eagles

Age: 27.5 |  ADP: 1.09 / WR6

Consistency Rank: 9

1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 21

We’ve reached the first highly-drafted wideout who didn’t meet his return on investment, but it wasn’t as bad as the WR14 finish would make you think. According to our TRUTH model, A.J. Brown finished as the 9th-ranked consistent WR and only had three bust games all season. So how did the sixth WR drafted off the board end up as the WR14? The answer: Saquon Barkley.

The Eagles’ offense started to shift toward a Barkley-led attack toward the latter half of the year, making the passing game more irrelevant for both Brown and DeVonta Smith. It hurt Brown’s numbers, as he had all three of his bust games from Week 9 on and just two great games during that span. Couple that with him missing three games to start the season, and it felt like an overall down year for Brown, especially as a first-round selection.

In reality, it was a solid season for Brown, but more of a high-end WR2 year than the bonafide WR1 numbers we are used to seeing. He should remain in the WR1 conversation next year because he is too talented and is part of a great offense.

15. Davante Adams | Jets

Age: 32.1 |  ADP: 2.09 / WR11

Consistency Rank: 20

1st Half: 46 / 2nd Half: 13

Davante Adams started the season on the Raiders but played just three games for his old team before sitting out the next three weeks as he awaited a trade. So, for the first six weeks of the season, he really hurt fantasy managers who invested a second-round pick on him.

After getting traded to the Jets and reuniting with Aaron Rodgers, he suffered through three bust games in four weeks, and it wasn’t until after the bye week that Adams started to put up consistently respectable fantasy numbers. But fantasy managers who rostered him from Week 13 on had to be pleased, with 122.1 total fantasy points in six games (20.4 fantasy points per game).

Adams is under contract for the next two seasons and is the highest cap hit among all WRs in 2025. Chances are he will be on the move again next year in a new situation with a new QB. As he showed to close the year, he is still one of the most talented wideouts in the game, but he also comes with a handful of concerns.

16. Jordan Addison | Vikings

Age: 23.o |  ADP: 7.12 / WR39

Consistency Rank: 22

1st Half: 46 / 2nd Half: 15

Jordan Addison‘s season can be defined by monster performances during the back half of the season, including a 29.2 outing in Week 12 and a 38.3 showing in Week 14. Those games boosted his overall numbers to finish as the WR16, but he was still pretty consistent during the second half of the year (15th overall in consistency in the second half).

It’s challenging to predict Addison’s future numbers because of his TD dominance, scoring 19 total in two seasons. He’s averaged a TD every seven receptions, which is an unreal pace.

The QB play also is a question: will Sam Darnold return, or will J.J. McCarthy take over? Addison has an extremely high upside but feels like a risky bet with this season’s WR16 finish pushing his stock up. He is capable of having week-winning games, but he might not have the safest floor.

17. Tee Higgins | Bengals

Age: 26.0 |  ADP: 5.09 / WR28

Consistency Rank: 5

1st Half: 14 / 2nd Half: 2

The Tee Higgins rollercoaster expanded its lift hill this year, making the drop at the start of the season larger than ever before. He missed the first two weeks of the season as injury news broke out just after fantasy drafts took place, and he returned with two bust games in a row. For the first month of the season, that drop felt like it would last a lifetime.

However, just like a rollercoaster, what goes down must come back up, and thrill seekers got to ride Higgins’ back up, through the corkscrew and on the loopty loops to the tune of two top 10 WR finishes in Weeks 5 and 7. Alas, the ride had to take one last dip, with Higgins missing the next three weeks due to injury again.

He returned in Week 11 with 28.3 fantasy points to his name, and the rest of the season made fantasy managers happy with 125 total fantasy points in the final seven games (17.9 points per game). He had a couple of bust games in there, but also a couple of week-winning outings.

Higgins has shown he has what it takes to put up great fantasy numbers, but injuries have hampered him throughout his career. Next season will be telling if he remains in Cincy as the WR2 to Ja’Marr Chase or becomes a WR1 on a new team like the Chargers or Patriots, two of the teams rumored to be interested in him.

18. Jameson Williams | Lions

Age: 23.8 |  ADP: 10.03 / WR48

Consistency Rank: 15

1st Half: 15 / 2nd Half: 19

Known as a WR with big-play ability, Jameson Williams was more consistent this year than you would have thought, finishing as the WR15 in consistency ranking. But the lows were low, with five bust games, including two games where he failed to register a single fantasy point. He also only had 58 receptions, meaning a lot of his numbers came on those big plays he is known for; he just happened to hit on a lot of them this year.

A player with Williams’ home run hitting ability, plus his utilization in the end-around and run game, will always provide more of a ceiling than your typical WR. But it comes with the lows, too. Williams has the advantage of playing in a high-powered, creative offense, giving him more opportunities to utilize his talents. But with Ben Johnson moving on, Williams will feel the loss of his OC more than teammates Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. Williams thrives on designed plays and deep shots down the field, and the OC change brings with it risk.

19. Courtland Sutton | Broncos

Age: 29.2 |  ADP: 10.06 / WR49

Consistency Rank: 16

1st Half: 32 / 2nd Half: 7

Courtland Sutton suffered in the first half of the season with a rookie QB in Bo Nix, putting up five bust games in the first 10 weeks, including a goose in Week 7. QB play has always plagued Sutton, who is a talented WR who just hasn’t had consistency at the QB position. Nix got better as the season went along, and that equated to more consistency and better outputs by Sutton.

From Week 8 on, Sutton had just one bust game and four games as a top-10 WR on the week, giving him a consistency ranking of 7 at the position. He scored six TDs in that span compared to two TDs in the first seven weeks.

With Nix continuing to get better and Sutton locked in as the Broncos’ number one target next year, he feels like a player who could be undervalued yet again, being drafted outside the top 40 and finishing as a WR2.

20. Tyreek Hill | Dolphins

Age: 30.8 | ADP: 1.02 /WR1

Consistency Rank: 29

1st Half: 54 / 2nd Half: 21

Drafted as the WR1, Tyreek Hill arguably might have been the biggest disappointment in fantasy this year. He didn’t miss any games due to injury, and while Tua Tagovailoa missed some time, Hill completely fell off during that stretch. He was unplayable when Tagovailoa was out, yet fantasy managers were forced to start him due to his draft capital.

When Tagovailoa returned in Week 8, things got a little better for Hill, but he was still far from his usual dominant self. He had just one great game after Tua’s return (26.1 points in Week 14) and three bust games to go along with his five bust games when Tua was out. He didn’t reach 1,000 yards for the first time since 2019 and had a career-low six total TDs.

Hill’s ADP next season will be interesting to see, as his name value will likely keep him in the first couple of rounds, but fantasy managers who experienced his play in 2024 will likely vow to stay away.