Super Bowl 59 Props: A Look at the Offensive Side of the Ball

The good news for anyone examining the Super Bowl 59 player prop board is that both the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs have told you all season how their game plans will go.

Saquon Barkley is the obvious top man inside the Eagles offense, and after him, it’s A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and that’s really it.

Travis Kelce is Patrick Mahomes’ No. 1 postseason target. Xavier Worthy has been the go-to wide receiver for all of his rookie campaign.

Can role players get involved at some point during Super Bowl 59? Sure.

But there’s a much more difficult case to be made in favor of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Jahan Dotson, Noah Gray, and the rest of the tertiary offensive characters.

With that in mind, the PA sports betting approach for Sunday’s game in New Orleans should center around the top players and their respective props.

The biggest trend in play for this specific matchup, and I’m sure you’ve seen it on social media already, is DeVonta Smith’s numbers against Steve Spagnuolo’s Kansas City defense.

Smith produced 99 and 122 receiving yards in his two regular-season meetings with Kansas City. He had 100 receiving yards on seven catches in Super Bowl 57. Smith’s primary props sit at over/under 4.5 receptions and 51.5 receiving yards at BetMGM. A receptions or receiving yards ladder at bet365 might be worth looking into given his past successes.

Smith is +130 to have 60+ receiving yards, +200 for 70, +310 for 80, +450 for 90 and +650 for 100.

Two years ago, Brown had six catches for 96 yards and Goedert produced 60 yards on six catches, but the big difference in those games is Barkley’s presence.

There may not be enough offensive snaps for Brown, Smith, and Goedert to all duplicate their Super Bowl 57 numbers if Saquon earns at least 20 touches in the ground game.

I went into deep detail on Barkley’s Super Bowl props last week. His rushing-yard prop currently sits at 111.5.

The other Eagles rushing angle is with Jalen Hurts, whose rush-yard prop sits at 38.5. Hurts had at least 34 rushing yards in six of his eight postseason appearances. He had exactly 39 yards or more in four of those contests.

I’d argue that Hurts’ rushing-yard prop has the better value than Barkley’s monumental number, and to go a step further, I’d pair Hurts to have 40+ rushing yards with Kelce to have 60+ receiving yards.

Kelce had a lackluster AFC Championship Game, but it’s still worth noting his postseason trend of 70+ receiving yards in 14 of the last 15 playoff games.

Kelce’s receiving-yard prop sits at over/under 61.5. He easily cleared that number in each of his last three Super Bowl appearances.

Worthy produced 11 catches for 130 yards in his first two career postseason games. His props sit at over/under 5.5 receptions and 52.5 receiving yards.

After that, it’s a literal crapshoot trying to decide which players will catch passes from Mahomes. There could be a few pass plays drawn up for Hollywood Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster and others, but no members of the supporting cast have any real trends in their favor.

Even Kansas City’s rushing attack has a question mark since Kareem Hunt has been more effective than Isiah Pacheco.

If you just apply all of those thoughts to how the matchup sets up for the Birds, you have to like their chances, especially if they control the game on the ground through Barkley and Hurts.

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