The NFL season is down to the final four teams battling this weekend for a spot in the Super Bowl. In the NFC, divisional rivals face off in Philadelphia, while the Buffalo Bills head to Kansas City looking to dethrone the two-time defending champions.
Washington Commanders versus Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders enter the NFC Championship game with a 12-5 regular season record and wins over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions in the playoffs. The Eagles won the NFC East with a 14-3 regular season record and home wins over the Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams in the playoffs. The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites with odds of 1.375 to 3.350 with an over/under of 47.5. Both teams are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator and the Eagles are +19 to +14 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The teams have been trending in games “under” the line with a 76 percent chance the game goes “under” this weekend. The teams split the games this season, both winning at home and the score prediction is 28-14 in favor of the Eagles with 60 percent confidence. There is an 88 percent chance that the game is decided by one score. The biggest edge in this game is the Eagles’ top-ranked running attack versus the Commanders 30th ranked run defense. Divisional games are generally tight and this is likely to be the case again. The Eagles will prevail if they don’t turn the ball over. I like Washington to cover but the Eagles to advance to the Super Bowl in a game “under” the line.
Buffalo Bills versus Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs steamrolled through the season, going 15-2. They proceeded to oust the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, 23-14. The Bills went 13-4 during the season then defeated the Denver Broncos and edged the Baltimore Ravens to advance to the AFC Championship. The Chiefs are a 2.5-point favorite with odds of 1.800 to 2.050 with an over/under of 48.5. Both teams are “burning hot” and the Bills have a +31 to +24 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the “over/under” line with playing the under a five-star pick with an 82 percent chance. The score predictor has the Bills winning by a single point with 74 percent confidence. Buffalo defeated Kansas City by a touchdown at home earlier in the season. Both teams are consistently performing regarding their favorite/underdog status. The ZCode public consensus has the Bills +2.5. I like the Bills to break through with a cover and a win, reaching the Super Bowl for the first time in over three decades but pass on the over/under bet.
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