Manchester City has dominated the English Premier League the last four years, and the early EPL winner odds for 2024-25 suggested they are the team to beat once again. However, City has struggled, and Liverpool look on their way to running away with the title!
The best soccer betting sites expect Liverpool to win, with Arsenal, City, and Nottingham Forest on their heels.
Check out my analysis of the best teams and EPL champion predictions!
2024/25 English Premier League Winner Odds
Here’s a look at the 2024/25 EPL champion betting odds, courtesy of BetUS:
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Liverpool | -400 |
Arsenal | +450 |
Manchester City | +2500 |
Nottingham Forest | +2500 |
Chelsea | +6600 |
Newcastle | +10000 |
Bournemouth | +50000 |
The EPL title odds are a two-horse race, and quickly turning into a one-horse victory parade! Liverpool (-450) has an implied win probability of 80% to win the Premier League for the first time since 2020. Arsenal (+450) are trying to keep pace with Liverpool, but they have an 18.2% implied chance of winning at soccer betting sites.
Then, there is a massive drop-off to Manchester City (+2500) and Nottingham Forest (+2500), two teams that probably haven’t been equal in EPL title odds, this late in the season, for a long time! City’s run of four straight titles is most likely over, but Forest is the story of the season after battling to avoid relegation last season. Both teams have an implied probability of 3.8% to overcome the odds to win the title.
Chelsea (+6600) is next, followed by Newcastle (+10000) and Bournemouth (+50000), but these teams would need a monumental collapse by multiple teams in front of them to have a chance.
You can find these EPL title odds at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Soccer > England Premier League Outrights > To Win English Premier League 2024-25.
2024-25 English Premier League Winner Favorites
Liverpool (-450)
Liverpool has a six-point lead over Arsenal as of January 21, but they also have a game in hand, playing 21 to 22 games for the Gunners. In a 38-game season, that six-point lead seems like a massive mountain to climb. The Reds looked like they were going to drop points against Brentford, but two late goals from Darwin Núñez pushed Liverpool over the hump away from home.
90+3 ⚡️
Every angle of Darwin’s second 😍@LucozadeSport | #Ad pic.twitter.com/xY8KVyhAmJ
— Liverpool FC (@LFC) January 20, 2025
They are dealing with Mo Salah next team odds and rumors, but the Egyptian winger has been the best player in the league this season. Salah leads the EPL in both goals (18) and assists (13), which has Liverpool fans praying he stays at Anfield.
But Liverpool is much more than Salah. Liverpool paces the English Premier League in goals with 50, and have allowed the fewest goals with 30. Virgil van Dijk has been fantastic at the back despite his own contract issues, while Ryan Gravenberch is a revelation after being turned to a defensive midfielder by Arne Slot. Fellow midfielder Alexis Mac Allister has been briliiant as well, and Liverpool has been a sum of their parts, while having an in-form Salah.
It looks like the only thing that can stop Liverpool is injury, and they still have to navigate the Champions League, FA Cup, and Carabao Cup, so a quadruple is firmly on the table! If the Reds can avoid the injury bug, they’ll be celebrating a 20th First Division/Premier League title at Anfield in May!
Arsenal (+400)
The Gunners are still hanging around in the EPL title odds, despite dealing with a slew of injuries. Martin Odegaard missed two months with an ankle sprain, and when he returned, Bukayo Saka went on the trainer’s table with a torn hamstring. They’re the two most important players to Arsenal’s attack, which also recently lost Gabriel Jesus for the season to a torn ACL.
The points are shared at Emirates Stadium.
Thank you for your support, Gooners. pic.twitter.com/ViKVDVl70b
— Arsenal (@Arsenal) January 18, 2025
Arsenal didn’t do their title charge any favors as they didn’t make a 2-0 lead count, finishing with a 2-2 draw at home against Aston Villa. There has been much discussion about why Arsenal are so good at corners and set pieces. But that seems to be their best way to score goals, which is a problem. The January transfer window is almost closed, and there doesn’t seem to be a striker coming to the Emirates.
Arsenal’s defense is fantastic, and they’ve allowed just one more goal than Liverpool. But the lack of a legitimate striker might be their most difficult obstacle between the Gunners and a rise up the EPL title odds.
2024-25 English Premier League Winner Sleepers
We have just two teams that could be considered a sleeper in these EPL title odds!
Manchester City (+2500)
It has been a tough time for the four-time defending champs. First, they lost Rodri for the season with a torn ACL in November, right after the midfielder won the Ballon d’Or. Midfielder Kevin De Bruyne missed time to start the campaign, while goalkeeper Ederson and defender Ruben Dias have been out. That’s the spine of a team that has dominated the Premier League over the last few years.
🚨🔵 Plan confirmed for Omar Marmoush: all set for medical in Manchester and contract signing in the next 24h.
He’s 100% joining Manchester City. pic.twitter.com/6CFW9OHGAB
— Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano) January 20, 2025
City isn’t resting on their laurels, bringing in winger Omar Marmoush, and defenders Abdukodir Khusanov and Vitor Reis in the transfer window. Khusanov might be the more important transfer as the former Lens defender can play in the middle or as a fullback. He can also play right away.
De Bruyne, who is rumored to be heading to Major League Soccer, is healthy and playing well, which has Phil Foden back in form. We’ve also seen City go on a four-month run where they rarely lost, like last season. Erling Haaland is still up front after signing a massive new contract, and he’ll be key to their chances.
I do think there’s too much for Manchester City to do, trailing Liverpool by 12 points, and the Reds have a game in hand. However, I think they’re a chance City will track down Arsenal and make things interesting by the end of the season!
Nottingham Forest (+2500)
Forest finds themselves at third in the table, tied on points with Arsenal at 44, but the Gunners are +11 on goal difference. Manager Nuno Espírito Santo has Forest playing a swift, counterattacking style, and the squad defends well as they’ve allowed the third-fewest goals in the league!
Three points at home. pic.twitter.com/BDXkDKNbMF
— Nottingham Forest (@NFFC) January 19, 2025
Striker Chris Wood has scored 14 goals, which is one off his Premier League high. Morgan Gibbs-White, Anthony Elanga, and Callum Hudson-Odoi can break out with speed. The defense, led by Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo, and Ola Aina, has been fantastic. Keeper Matz Sels has brought stability between the sticks.
Forest’s biggest concern is that they’re just one or two injuries from everything crashing down. They don’t have much depth, so an injury to any of their starting 11 will be a problem. But Forest are already playing with house money at online sportsbooks after finishing 16th and 17th over the last two Premier League seasons. They were also deducted four points for violating the Premier League’s financial rules. But Forest has shaken that off.
While the title is probably too far away, Forest are well in the hunt for a top-four Champions League spot!
English Premier League 2024/25 Champions Predictions and Betting Pick
It’s too early to hand the title to Liverpool yet, but it’s going to be tough to catch them in these EPL title odds. They have many games to play and are still in four competitions, so anything can happen. They still have away games at Manchester City and Chelsea, but they’ll have Arsenal at home in May in what could be a title decider.
However, if Liverpool stays healthy, they should win their 20th league title! At -400, the betting value is starting to decline, so I’ll recommend taking them now before all the value is gone at offshore sportsbooks!
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