2025 NFL Draft: SuperFlex Rookie Mock Draft (Fantasy Football)

ASU Sun Devils defensive lineman Anthonie Cooper (96) tries to block the pass of Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) at Mountain America Stadium on Oct 7, 2023.

On a recent Fantasy Footballers Dynasty Podcast, I mentioned a new dynasty rookie draft I participated in assembling the FootClan for a SuperFlex Rookie Mock Draft.

Before you simply look at the picks and move on with your life, I highly recommend an article I refer to often on the podcast entitled Do We Overvalue QBs in Rookie Drafts? if you want a deeper dive on SuperFlex drafting and Dynasty SuperFlex Ranks. I’ll share some Superflex strategy thoughts and walk through each of the first four rounds sharing discrepancies from the Ballers Rookie Rankings.

Editors Note: Check out Andy, Mike, and Jason’s exclusive rookie rankings and updated Rookie Mock Drafts found only in the Dynasty Pass, part of the UDK+ for 2025.

SuperFlex Thoughts

It is a constant question I’ve heard over the years: “why don’t you do more SuperFlex content?

I get it.

Some claim SuperFlex is the ONLY way or others that it is the best form of fantasy. I play in lots of of different formats. Philosophically, I find that the degree of difficulty and strategic parts of fantasy comes down to the competitiveness of your league and league mates, not the specific scoring settings. (Consider that DFS and BestBall are still lagging behind as non-SuperFlex formats but obviously offer as competitive of an environment as it gets.)

The real questions people want to know: “when should I take QBs? How should I value them rightly?” 

As stated by many in the fantasy industry, the main change in a SuperFlex versus as 1QB league is the supply & demand. 75% of the NFL QBs will be starting in a 12-person SuperFlex league. You’ll hear everyone and their mama discuss how SuperFlex leagues create positional scarcity for the QB position. Effective rosters in Superflex dynasty leagues not only recognize the value of QBs but also the opportunity cost of not having one. This makes trading for QBs even harder. With the scarcity mentality, everyone is in the business of hoarding and playing it safe.

But, it does not change everything. I’d argue 90 % of the game we play remains the same (across most formats) and the discussions on our podcasts can be tailored to whatever specific scoring you have. You still are playing fantasy football and valuing players based on what players are perceived to be.

Dynasty is a market and this is a key point: it is an inefficient market. You can win with so many different combinations and strategies just like with every other position. It’s worth repeating how much QB turnover there was year-to-year in the NFL. I wanted to get a better feel of the league and see if people were overvaluing low-end QB2s and QB3s in SuperFlex leagues. Since 2018, a third of the league’s Week 1 starters were NOT that team’s starter a year later. For more on the subject, I wrote a massive article last week entitled 55 Free Agency Implications for Dynasty Managers.

SuperFlex Rookie Draft

For each round, I will highlight some thoughts on the QBs, values I consider based on our dynasty rookie rankings, my favorite selections, and the boldest move of each round.

Round 1

1.01- Ashton Jeanty, RB
1.02- Tetairoa McMillan, WR
1.03- Omarion Hampton, RB
1.04- Luther Burden III, WR
1.05- Cam Ward, QB
1.06- Treveyon Henderson, RB
1.07- Emeka Egbuka, WR
1.08- Kaleb Johnson, RB
1.09- Quinshon Judkins, RB
1.10- Tyler Warren, TE
1.11- Tre Harris, WR
1.12- Jaxson Dart, QB

QB Thoughts

Traditionally, we have a debate about whether taking a QB at 1.01 is the move or not. This year, I’ve seen relatively few pundits champion taking Cam Ward near the top of the draft board. We have Ward at 1.02 in our current iteration of our dynasty rookie rankings but it’s not shocking to see him fall to 1.05. You can make a roster-dependent call preferring to take McMillan or if a few of these RBs (Hampton, Henderson, others) find plush landing spots. Shedeur Sanders not showing in the 1st round is not normal especially as Jaxson Dart was taken one spot ahead of him. I have no issues of someone calling their shot that Dart is the better fantasy asset given his scramble rate and if he finds himself in a better landing spot.

Biggest Discrepancies from Ballers SuperFlex Ranks

Favorite Selections

  • Quinshon Judkins He has the production profile and combine times to climb in the actual NFL Draft. If he is taken in the top-50 and finds himself a plush landing spot, I doubt he is here at 1.09 a month from now but currently the Ballers are a little lower than where I am at 🙂
  • Tyler Warren,– We have him at 1.06 in SuperFlex rookie drafts. I gushed about Warren on the TE prospect episode of the Dynasty Podcast.

“That’s a Bold Strategy Cotton”

Depending on who you talk to, Luther Burden III is either an elite prospect, a rich man’s Malachi Corley, or somewhere in-between. He is divisive and it seems like that tension is starting to wear out mock drafters. I personally use mock draft consensus information from NFL Mock Draft Database and Grinding the Mocks as “another data point” in our research. It gives us a “wisdom of the crowd” perspective we can file away both before and after the NFL Draft. Burden’s stock has steadily fallen so perhaps if he does fall out of the 1st round of the actual NFL Draft he would in turn be in the mix in the later 1st round of dynasty rookie drafts. 1.04 was a bit surprising with the QB1 and numerous viable RBs on the board. Burden is currently Jason’s WR5 but Andy and Mike both have him at WR2.

Round 2

2.01- Shedeur Sanders, QB
2.02- Travis Hunter, WR
2.03- Colston Loveland, TE
2.04- Jalen Milroe, QB
2.05- Matthew Golden, WR
2.06- Elic Ayonmanor, WR
2.07- Jaylin Noel, WR
2.08- Cam Skattebo, RB
2.09- Devin Neal, RB
2.10- Xavier Restrepo, WR
2.11- Ollie Gordon II, RB
2.12- Jayden Higgins, WR

QB Thoughts

At 2.01, it feels like Shedeur Sanders is an obvious value to anyone playing SuperFlex. But where should he go? We know at least three teams that are heading towards the NFL Draft without a clear plan at QB for 2025:

I wrote up Sanders eval for his Rookie Profile on the site if you want a deep dive about him as a prospect. When you mix in a relatively weak draft class with Sanders’ production and precision passing, there will be an NFL team that envisions him as their heir apparent at QB. On the Dynasty Podcast, we discussed his floor as a passer but raised concerns of his fantasy ceiling due to the lack of rushing. In our first rookie mock draft in the Dynasty Pass, Sanders went at the 2.05 in a 1QB league. In SuperFlex, he likely slides in as a mid-to-late 1st rounder making him an obvious value in this draft. However, depending on your strategy and team needs, Sanders is not a must-target if you are looking for fantasy upside at the QB position and would prefer selecting the next best RB/WR on your board.

After Ward, Sanders, and Dart, it feels like a true guessing game with Jalen Milroe. How does the NFL truly view him? If he lands with a team as a clear backup, I expect his stock to drop from here. His rushing upside is obviously enticing. In my research, I found a plethora of Day 2 QBs who were actually undervalued in SuperFlex. The top guys get pushed up but it feels like we don’t know what to do with the next tier of QBs.

Biggest Discrepancies from Ballers Ranks

Favorite Selections

Matthew Golden– Golden is going to be a 1st round WR in the NFL Draft. At a certain point, the fall is too far so 2.05 feels like stealing even if we have questions about his production profile. Looking back at previous rookie drafts since 2015, the latest we’ve seen 1st round WRs go in dynasty rookie drafts: Phillip Dorsett (2.06 in 2015) and Kadarius Toney (2.08 in 2021). Those are not the dudes you want to be grouped with.

Jaylin Noel– It feels a bit narcissistic to laud your own pick from a Mock Draft but, hey… I love me some Noel. I talked him up on the most recent Dynasty Podcast if you want a full breakdown.

“That’s a Bold Strategy Cotton”

I’m a bit worried about Ollie Gordon II. We’ve heard zero buzz over the last month and while the combine isn’t everything, someone going through process coming off a down year is concerning. He’s slipped to 123rd on consensus big boards while other RBs have skyrocketed up boards.

While it’s hard blocking out his other-worldly sophomore season, is this one of those RBs who we are left asking, “what happened?” His name value keeps his rookie stock buoyed for now. In my research, when you survey the list of the rookie RBs drafted in the 3rd round or later of the NFL draft and where managers took them in dynasty, it might cause you to rethink your life.

  • Of the 40 RBs selected since 2015 in dynasty rookie drafts, only five became RB1s in their 1st year.
  • Yet, 13 of those RBs with that type of NFL draft capital (3rd round or worse) ended up as top-5 rookie picks!

If you want a follow-up on this subject, one of our writers Matt DiSorbo wrote an article: What Matters More for Rookies: Skill or Landing Spot? He wanted to take this idea a step further than just including draft capital. It’s hard to quantify “skill” or “landing spot” but in his methodology, he tries to get as close as possible using fantasy points as a metric. His findings for the two major positions were thus:

  • Skill and landing spot effects are equal and opposite for RBs
  • Skill is much more important for WRs.

Round 3

3.01- Harold Fannin Jr., TE
3.02- Dylan Sampson, RB
3.03- R.J. Harvey, RB
3.04- Isaiah Bond, WR
3.05- Trevor Etienne, RB
3.06- Jaylen Royals, WR
3.07- D.J. Giddens, RB
3.08- Jack Bech, WR
3.09- Elijah Arroyo, TE
3.10- Will Howard, QB
3.11- Quinn Ewers, QB
3.12- Woody Marks, RB

QB Thoughts

Who knows? Oh, you were coming here for legit advice about what to do in the third round of your draft? The data is not kind. Dating back to 2014, it’s been Hurts (fringe 3rd rounder) and Prescott. Obviously those are absolute home runs but we’d consider them outliers. At the end of the day, the QBs you’ll be taking in this spot likely won’t have the draft capital nor situation to become anything more than a shot in the dark. If you find yourself into Ewers or Howard, this is the spot but good luck!

Biggest Discrepancies from Ballers Ranks

Favorite Selections

  • Jaylen Royals– Hopefully a team falls in love with Royals. Think of how Rashee Rice wins as a bigger slot receiver. Royals is in that mold.
  • D.J. Giddens– Betz mentioned him on this week’s Prospect Deep Dive. He checks a ton of boxes to be a Day 2 pick after showing out at the combine. In that case, 3.07 is too low.
  • Jack Bech– We are certified #Bechboys at the Dynasty Podcast.

“That’s a Bold Strategy Cotton”

I have no idea how the NFL will view a couple of these RBs from this round. Dylan Sampson was fun to watch in the scouting process but the insane wide lanes from the Tennessee offense will not translate to the NFL. He is very scheme-dependent as a man/gap runner where some place like the Chargers would benefit bringing in him to compliment Najee Harris. USC’s Woody Marks is a fun name. Seriously, that’s about as good as he has going for him so he could easily land up undrafted a month from now. His production profile is lacking with just a 23% dominator rating as a 24.3 year old prospect currently ranked 221st on Big Boards. I could be wrong but if he’s a Day 3 pick, I’ll look elsewhere at the end of the 3rd round.

Round 4

4.01- Donovan Edwards, RB
4.02- Damien Martinez, RB
4.03- Mason Taylor, TE
4.04- Dillon Gabriel, QB
4.05- Tez Johnson, WR
4.06- Bhayshul Tuten, RB
4.07- Savion Williams, WR
4.08- Tai Felton, WR
4.09- Terrance Ferguson, TE
4.10- Jaydon Blue, RB
4.11- Jordan James, RB
4.12- Tyler Shough, QB

QB Thoughts

We’ll do the same thing we did for the third round just to finish the drill. Yep, not inspiring.

For those looking for undrafted QBs, the list is too long with names that you question if they actually ever were in the NFL. The lone bright spots: Gardner Minshew II and Brock Purdy. It’s a crapshoot but you probably already knew that.

Biggest Discrepancies from Ballers Ranks

Favorite Selections

  • Damien Martinez– With an early breakout age (18.6) and some solid explosiveness combine numbers (81st), you could see the big-bodied back (6’0″, 217) find a good landing spot and be effective. If a heavy outside zone team (ATL, SF, HOU, MIA) comes calling, I’ll definitely take a look in the third round of rookie drafts.
  • Bhayshul Tuten– I’m shocked he lasted this long considering how he showed out at the combine. I’m routinely seeing him at the back of the 2nd round. 40-times aren’t everything but it confirmed what his film showed: a speed freak who had the 3rd highest broken tackle rate in the class.
  • Terrance Ferguson– Hey, why not? Turd Ferguson… it’s a funny hat. His skillset is a narrow needle to thread as a hybrid TE who hates blocking. But his YAC ability and athleticism is what we search for late in rookie drafts at TE. Throw him on a taxi squad, make some Turd Ferguson jokes, and wait for it to come to fruition.
  • Tyler Shough– There are some Shough truthers out there despite the fact he was in the same exact high school recruiting class as Trevor Lawrence way back in 2019. He’s old but the recent buzz surrounding him (and his unique arm angles) make him a worthy dart throw at the end of the 4th.

“That’s a Bold Strategy Cotton”

It’s the 4th round so it’s hard to nitpick any selection on the board knowing how low the hit rate is historically. It is worth pointing out that FOUR Oregon Ducks players went off the board: Gabriel, Tez Johnson, Ferguson, and James. I grew up loving the Ducks of the late 1990s (Akili Smith!) and early 2000s (Joey Harrington!) right when they started getting serious about their Nike gear. The translation to the NFL has not gone so smooth for skill position players outside of Justin Herbert and Bo Nix.

https://www.thefantasyfootballers.com/dynasty/2025-nfl-draft-superflex-rookie-mock-draft-fantasy-football/

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