2025 NFL Draft Betting Guide: Mock 1.0 (Fantasy Football)

The 2025 NFL Draft is just a couple of weeks away! The first round kicks off on Thursday, April 24, and there’s still a lot to unfold in regards to how the first round might look. Because betting on the NFL Draft is an information-based market, it can be extremely valuable to source Big Boards and mock drafts of the top NFL Draft scouts and companies around the industry. While that’s one piece of the equation, the betting market can also be an indicator of the top 32 picks each year.

In this mock draft, I used betting odds from various sportsbooks as well as information from around the league to try to figure out what the first round might look like on Thursday night. If you’re interested in our process and official plays, be sure to check out our 2025 NFL Draft Props article and listen to The Fantasy Footballers DFS and Betting Podcast, which returns this coming Friday. Without further ado, Mock 1.0 is live!

*Odds accurate at time of publishing*

1. Tennessee Titans – QB Cam Ward

Betting Market: Number 1 Overall Pick: Ward (-2000)
Analysis: The Titans have not improved their QB room whatsoever in free agency. At this point, I’d be shocked if Ward is not the pick for Tennessee as the Will Levis “era” comes to a close.

2. Cleveland Browns – EDGE Abdul Carter

Betting Market: Number 2 Overall Pick: Abdul Carter (-270)
Analysis: At this point, I think the betting odds here are a bit overconfident in Carter being the selection. While Shedeur Sanders’ stock seems to be falling over the last couple of weeks, I still wouldn’t be surprised at all if Sanders is the pick here. Cleveland’s lone QB on the roster is Kenny Pickett, and obviously, they’ve got major cap issues with the Deshaun Watson fiasco. That said, Adam Schefter recently said on his podcast, “It’s starting to feel like the Cleveland Browns are inclined to look elsewhere aside from QB.”

3. New York Giants – QB Shedeur Sanders

Betting Market: Number 3 Overall Pick: Shedeur Sanders (+230)
Analysis: Russ and Jameis are there on short-term deals, so in theory, the team can address QB later in the draft or look ahead to next year, but the G-Men have been connected to Sanders for quite some time, according to some of the national insiders. If I were making the pick, I’d go with Travis Hunter here, but for this exercise, the Giants add their potential future signal caller. Worth noting, the Giants are also the betting favorites to draft Sanders at (+185) on FanDuel.

4. New England Patriots – CB/WR Travis Hunter

Betting Market: Number 4 Overall Pick: Travis Hunter (+350)
Analysis: The Patriots have strong perimeter corners, so in this scenario, I’d envision Hunter playing WR and giving Drake Maye a legit young weapon to develop with for years to come. The Heisman Trophy winner and Stefon Diggs would be an unbelievable upgrade over last year’s WR room.

5. Jacksonville Jaguars – DT Mason Graham

Betting Market: Number 5 Overall Pick: Mason Graham (-135)
Analysis: Graham is the favorite to go #5 overall in the betting market, and his current over/under is sitting at 5.5, so this is certainly the range where he could come off the board. This is the chalk pick in most mocks, but it certainly makes sense after GM James Gladstone openly talked about improving the offensive and defensive lines. Worth noting, Gladstone comes over from the Rams’ scouting department, and in recent years, we’ve seen LA spend several picks on DL guys like Jared Verse, Braden Fiske, and Kobie Turner. Obviously, those guys weren’t picked 5th overall, but Graham is a consensus top-10 player in this class when looking at various Big Boards across the industry.

6. Las Vegas Raiders – LB/EDGE Jalon Walker

Betting Market: First LB Drafted: Jalon Walker (-800)
Analysis: Ashton Jeanty is the betting favorite to be drafted by the Raiders, but for this exercise, I’m looking elsewhere. New OC Chip Kelley, who joins LV from Ohio State, could grab their RB in R2 when Quinshon Judkins and/or TreVeyon Henderson are available. New GM John Spytek comes over from Tampa, where he was the VP of player personnel in 2021 and 2022 and the assistant GM in 2023 and 2024. During those four seasons, Tampa had three first-round picks, and they used their pick on a Center, DT, and Outside LB/Edge player. I found it interesting that Daniel Jeremiah moved Walker up to his 5th overall prospect in his latest Top-50 List.

7. New York Jets – OT Armand Membou

Betting Market: Jets First Position Drafted: OL (-125)
Analysis: We gave out this bet at +200 just a few days ago, and the market has moved to offensive lineman being the most likely selection. TE Tyler Warren is also in play, but the Jets could really use an upgrade at tackle, and new head coach Aaron Glenn is likely to focus on the run game after Justin Fields was signed to be the starter. For what it’s worth, I’ve heard the Jets are very interested in OT Kelvin Banks, but this is really high for where he’s routinely mocked. When the odds come out for Banks’ O/U or the 7th overall pick market, Banks is an interesting dart throw, assuming the odds are favorable.

8. Carolina Panthers – EDGE Mykel Williams

Betting Market: Panthers First Position Drafted: DL/Edge (-125)
Analysis: Teams like the Panthers are really difficult to mock because they’ve got so many needs. I could see them adding a Tyler Warren or a Tetairoa McMillan to give Bryce Young more weapons, but Dave Canales openly talked about improving the defensive side of the ball. Considering they were in the bottom three in just about every major category over the last two years, it obviously makes complete sense. They’ve been connected to Walker, but with Walker off the board, they turn their attention to his teammate, Mykel Williams. Worth noting, Williams’ current O/U on Caesars is 15.5, so this would certainly be a bit high based on consensus.

9. New Orleans Saints – OT Will Campbell

Betting Market: Will Campbell Draft Position O/U: 9.5
Analysis: Arm length be damned, Campbell is still one of the best offensive linemen in the draft, and New Orleans could sure use some help up front. New HC Kellen Moore knows firsthand what a great offensive line can do, coming over from Philly’s dominant OL and having plenty of experience in Dallas when their line was considered a top-five unit. New Orleans was dead last in PFF’s pass block grade and 29th in pass block win rate a year ago. Worth noting, the books really seem to have no clue on what New Orleans will do with their pick as the shortest odds on FanDuel for the position of their first pick is Cornerback at (+410).

10. Chicago Bears – RB Ashton Jeanty

Betting Market: Team to Draft Ashton Jeanty: Bears (+200)
Analysis: This has been one of the more chalky Jeanty mock spots, but I do think it makes a ton of sense. The roster is ready to win now, assuming Ben Johnson can get the best of Caleb Williams. Even though D’Andre Swift was signed to a 3-year deal last off-season, Swift is not talented enough to prevent the team from selecting a player that’s largely considered a top-10 player in this class, regardless of position. And let’s not forget, Johnson was the OC in Detroit when Swift was in town, and the team decided to move on and upgrade their RB room when they selected Jahmyr Gibbs 12th overall and signed David Montgomery in free agency the same off-season. Jeanty’s O/U on Caesars is 9.5, so this is certainly prime Jeanty range. I’d be surprised if he fell past pick 12.

11. San Francisco 49ers – CB Jahdae Barron

Betting Market: 49ers First Position Drafted: Cornerback (+280)
Analysis: SF feels like a bit of a wild card in this draft as they could go with a DT, OL, or even corner, and to be honest, I have no idea if they prefer Texas’ Barron or Michigan’s Will Campbell if they do indeed go corner. Charvarius Ward was lost via free agency, leaving a need at corner. The Athletic’s Bruce Feldman noted, “The feeling here is that GM John Lynch will opt for Barron over Michigan’s Will Johnson.” I’ll follow suit here.

12. Dallas Cowboys – WR Tetairoa McMillan

Betting Market: Cowboys First Position Drafted: Wide Receiver (+210)
Analysis: It’s very “in” right now to mock Matthew Golden as WR1 over TMac, and while I really do think that’s possible given how much the NFL overvalues the 40-yard dash, McMillan is still a heavy favorite to be the first WR drafted. We snagged Golden at +300 to be the first wideout off the board as a value play about a month ago, but it’s still very possible, and potentially likely, that McMillan goes first. The Cowboys have a major, major need at WR across from CeeDee Lamb. While Jeanty is a sexy pick here (he’s obviously already off the board in this exercise), I don’t see Dallas taking him based on this Brian Schottenheimer quote, for what it’s worth:

Given all the holes on #Cowboys roster, think going RB at 12 would be a mistake.

Here’s what Brian Schottenheimer said on it, via The Athletic. pic.twitter.com/hbe8v4LeGm

— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) April 2, 2025

13. Miami Dolphins – OT Kelvin Banks Jr.

Betting Market: Dolphins First Position Drafted: Offensive Line (+170)
Analysis: Safety is a glaring need as well, but the offensive line in Miami last year was a disaster, Tua’s concussion issues are quite real, and this Mike McDaniel offense needs the run game to be effective in order to put up points. LT Terron Armstead has hinted at retirement this off-season.

14. Indianapolis Colts – TE Tyler Warren

Betting Market: Colts First Position Draft: Tight End (+105)
Analysis: Honestly, I hate that I even have this in this mock. It’s impossible right now not to read a mock that doesn’t have Warren 14th to Indy. I think Warren could go 7th (Jets), 8th (Panthers), 9th (Saints), or even 10th (Bears), so I don’t feel super confident about this. That said, TE is a major need for Indy, and Shane Steichen’s quotes about what he’s looking for at TE sure sounds A LOT like Warren…H/T CoachSpeak Index for this find:

#Colts HC Shane Steichen on what he’s looking for in a tight end, whether it can be a featured position in his offense, and the significance of a Y tight end: pic.twitter.com/tnJ9h6uYAQ

— The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) April 1, 2025

15. Atlanta Falcons – DT Derrick Harmon

Betting Market: Falcons First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (-160)
Analysis: I generally think it’s tough to take these odds as “correct” when teams are picking this far down the board, as things can drastically change based on what happens early in the draft. That said, it’s hard not to mock an EDGE player to Atlanta given their lack of pass rush for the last three or four years. Even though GM Terry Fontenot has been hammering offensive skill players in recent years, the defensive side of the ball needs more attention.

16. Arizona Cardinals – DT Walter Nolen

Betting Market: Falcons First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (+210)
Analysis: In Albert Breer’s most recent mailbag, he was asked about Arizona’s draft plans and said, “I think this is shaping up as a good draft for Jonathan Gannon to really build out his defensive front. And in doing so, I think he will turn over rocks looking for what he was around in Fletcher Cox in Philadelphia and DeForest Buckner in Indianapolis—a dominant, havoc-wreaking defensive linemen.” Breer notes Ole Miss Walter Nolen could be an option here, though that would be quite high based on consensus big boards. We do see surprises every NFL Draft, so I’ll shake things up a bit and slot Nolen higher here than most other mocks. Worth noting, Nolen recently crushed his Pro Day and seems to be on the rise as a result.

17. Cincinnati Bengals – EDGE Donovan Ezeiraku

Betting Market: Bengals First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (-140)
Analysis: I think this could be an all-defense type of draft (with a guard) for Cincy. The defensive side of the ball was a train wreck last year, and the Trey Hendrickson saga seems far from over. I found it notable that ESPN’s Jordan Reid said, “After speaking with multiple scouts this week, Boston College edge rusher Donovan Ezeiruaku is a player teams are hot after in this loaded edge rusher group…Ezeiruaku could now be picked as high as No. 15 to the Falcons or No. 18 to the Seahawks.” It seems as though this 15-20ish range is realistic for the BC Defensive Lineman, and at the same time, Daniel Jeremiah moved Ezeiraku up to 25th overall from 30th overall in his most recent Top-50. In other words, he’s probably also hearing that this player is higher on NFL boards than the public realizes. Most consensus boards have James Pierce and Mike Green higher than Ezeiraku, but Green has some major off-the-field issues that could have him slide.

18. Seattle Seahawks – G Tyler Booker

Betting Market: Seahawks First Position Drafted: Offensive Line (+125)
Analysis: Can I put this out there in a safe place? I kinda think the Seahawks could take a QB, if let’s say, Shedeur Sanders does actually fall. I have no idea how they feel about Ole Miss’s Jaxson Dart, but Geno is gone, and Sam Darnold‘s deal is really only a one-year contract. If Sanders falls past pick 10 or so, I could see them going up a handful of spots to grab him with the Steelers lurking at 21. Okay, now that that’s out of the way, the interior of the offensive line was a major issue last year and has been a focal point of discussions from the GM and head coach this off-season. Booker tested horribly at the Combine, so I’m sure some teams have him lower on their board, but the match on paper makes a lot of sense.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – LB Jihaad Campbell

Betting Market: Bucs First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (-105)
Analysis: Connecting some dots here, we know the Bucs love to blitz under Todd Bowles. The tape heads out there love Campbell’s ability to get after the QB on pass blitzes and stop the run on run blitzes. A lot of mock drafts have the Bucs taking an EDGE player or Campbell, and I think it makes a ton of sense, as do the betting markets with DL the favorite. Campbell had to have his labrum repaired after the NFL Combine, so some mockers have theorized that he could slip to the late teens or 20s, given the injury.

20. Denver Broncos – RB Omarion Hampton

Betting Market: Omarion Hampton Draft Position O/U: 19.5
Analysis: Similar to Tyler Warren and the Colts, this is the chalkiest draft match over the last two weeks. But to be completely honest, it just makes a ton of sense, and GM George Patton already told us he’s taking at least one RB in this class at some point. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s on Day 2, but the fit here is fantastic.

21. Pittsburgh Steelers – QB Jaxson Dart

Betting Market: Total QBs in Round 1: O2.5 (-325)
Analysis: I don’t think these odds are necessarily reflective of the chances that Dart goes in R1, but a general consensus is forming – Dart is super likely to sneak into the first round of the NFL Draft. I would definitely not lay -325, but if these odds are indicative of what the league thinks, Dart should be in this mock. I’m not doing any trades in this exercise, but I could see Dart being picked in the late 20s if a team trades back up to get him. For this specific mock, Pittsburgh gets a potential starter in Dart if Rodgers decides to retire. If the team does sign Rodgers to be a one-year starter, Dart could sit for a year and take over in 2026.

22. Los Angeles Chargers – TE Colston Loveland

Betting Market: Chargers First Position Drafted: Tight End (+500)
Analysis: Death, taxes, and a Michigan player being mocked to Jim Harbaugh. I didn’t even intend for this to happen, but if the board does fall this way, I think the Chargers will think long and hard about adding Loveland. They have Big Montana and Tyler Conklin, but those guys shouldn’t prevent you from adding a legit playmaker like Loveland. The Chargers definitely need an upgrade in the skill room to complement Ladd McConkey.

23. Green Bay Packers – WR Matthew Golden

Betting Market: Packers First Position Drafted: Wide Receiver (+430) 
Analysis: Josh Jacobs said the Packers need a true WR1 this offseason, and I have to agree with him. Golden has been rising like crazy since the College Football Playoff, and his 4.29 in the forty solidifies him as a Round 1 pick. Historically, Brian Gutekunst has prioritized great athletic testers, and Golden definitely checks that box.

24. Minnesota Vikings – CB Will Johnson

Betting Market: Will Johnson Draft Position O11.5 (-160)
Analysis: The Vikings only have four picks in the entire draft, so I could definitely see them trading down if a team wants to move up. This is much later than the consensus for the Michigan corner. He hasn’t been able to work out this off-season because of injuries, so it’s definitely possible he falls to the late teens as some NFL clubs value the entire ‘draft process’ more than others. Replacing some lost pieces via free agency in the secondary could be a priority for the Vikings, and Johnson would easily be the best player available here.

25. Houston Texans – OL Grey Zabel

Betting Market: Position of Texans First Position Drafted: Offensive Line (-230)
Analysis: Minus 230! The betting markets are pretty much putting OL in pen with Houston, which makes a ton of sense after they completely re-worked their O-line in free agency, trading away LT Laremy Tunsil. Lance Zierlein, who’s very plugged in down in Houston, mocked an offensive lineman in each of his two most recent mock drafts. While the player himself might be tough to peg down, all signs point to improving the line for Houston. I haven’t specifically heard a ton on Zabel to Houston, but he played all over the place at North Dakota State, and Houston could really use some versatility on the O-line as they try to project CJ Stroud in 2025.

26. Los Angeles Rams – CB Azareye’h Thomas

Betting Market: Rams First Position Drafted: Cornerback (+230)
Analysis: We know the Rams were in on Bowers last year, so if Warren or Loveland falls a bit, I could see them going up to get one of those two guys. In this exercise, they snag Thomas, who’s more of a fringe R1/R2 player. I put Thomas here because both Bruce Feldman and Jourdan Rodrique both mocked Thomas to LA in recent mocks. Rodrique is the most plugged-in Rams reporter in the business, and she writes, “Thomas is a long corner with good range who gives the Rams the size they badly need in their secondary, to pair on the outside with veteran Darious Williams.”

27. Baltimore Ravens – DT Kenneth Grant

Betting Market: Ravens First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (+165)
Analysis: The Ravens just seem to always stick and pick the best player available, and Grant is considered one of the better DTs in the class. He could go much earlier than this, but in this exercise, he falls to the back of Round 1.

28. Detroit Lions – EDGE Shermar Stewart

Betting Market: Lions First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (-170)
Analysis: Detroit was crushed with injuries on their front seven last year. Perhaps they add more pass rush talent to insulate themselves from that happening again as they try to make a Super Bowl run in 2025.

29. Washington Commanders – EDGE Mike Green

Betting Market: Commanders First Position Drafted: DL/EDGE (+170)
Analysis: Green’s draft range is literally anywhere from like Pick 11 or 12 to out of Round 1 as the off-the-field concerns are very real. Green led the nation in sacks last year and was a big-time standout at the Senior Bowl. I have no clue where he’ll go in R1, but if the off-the-field stuff is a big concern for teams, I could see him sliding. The Commanders have a ton of great pieces in place on the offensive side of the ball, yet the defense could still use an upgrade. Most NFL analysts agree, they’re going to be adding a pass rusher at some point in the draft; it could very well be in the first round.

30. Buffalo Bills – S Malaki Starks

Betting Market: Bills First Position Drafted: Safety (+410)
Analysis: Buffalo could use a perimeter WR or a perimeter corner, and the defensive line is also a common mock placement for Sean McDermott’s team. That said, Starks would be a really nice value here based on consensus Big Boards. Starks didn’t have the best Combine, but the guy is a great player on tape and one of those “don’t overthink it” type of players. Last year’s starters, Taylor Rapp and Damar Hamlin are both back, but those guys aren’t necessarily the type of talent that prevents you from selecting a guy like Starks.

31. Kansas City Chiefs – EDGE James Pierce Jr.

Betting Market: Chiefs First Position Drafted DL/EDGE (+210)
Analysis: Pearce is another player who reportedly has some character concerns, but the Chiefs have been very willing to look past some of those off-the-field issues. In Nate Taylor’s Chiefs 2025 NFL Draft Preview for The Athletic, he writes, “One of the most underrated parts of the loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX was how disappointing the pass rush was. Don’t be surprised if Veach adds youth and talent around Jones and defensive ends George Karlaftis and Charles Omenihu.”

32. Philadelphia Eagles – S Nick Emmanwori

Betting Market: Eagles First Position Drafted: Safety (+500)
Analysis: This is not a common mock placement, but if there’s one thing that just seems to happen for Philly (much like the Ravens), they seemingly always get great value on their picks in terms of Big Board rankings. Emmanwori flew at the NFL Combine and seems to have cemented himself as a Round 1 player. A versatile player on the defensive side of the ball, Emmanwori can start opposite Reed Blankenship with CJ Gardner-Johnson traded to Houston.

Other players considered:

• WRs Emeka Egbuka and Luther Burden
• CB Maxwell Hairston
• OTs Josh Simmons and Josh Conerly Jr.
• CB Trey Amos
• RB TreVeyon Henderson

Positional Markets Used for Player Selection:

• Over 2.5 QBs (-230)
• Under 2.5 RBs (-310)
• Under 4.5 Cornerbacks (-225)
• Under 6.5 Offensive Linemen (-280)
• Over 1.5 Safeties (-375)