WNBA Picks Today — Expert WNBA Bets for Free

The Seattle Storm (8-4) hit the road for a Thursday night matchup against the Dallas Wings (3-7). The Storm are in their best form of the season, with wins in seven of their previous eight games.

They are coming off an impressive 95-78 win over the Los Angeles Sparks on Tuesday. With the win, the Storm are second in the Western Conference behind the Minnesota Lynx by a game. The defense continues to show strong gains as the season progresses!

You like blocks? Ezi’s leading the league 🔥 pic.twitter.com/2UgnvPauDd

— Seattle Storm (@seattlestorm) June 12, 2024

Currently, the Storm are second in the league, with a team defensive rating of 92.3. Conversely, Dallas has the third-worst defensive rating at 102.9. This is likely where the difference is in this game. The Storm are tied with the Aces for the fastest pace in the WNBA.

The Storm hold a team Net rating of 6.5, while the Wings are seventh at -3.9. Dallas is just 1-3 at home, so they haven’t had much of a homecourt advantage this season. On a five-game losing skid, expect the Storm to add to their frustrations tonight.

Look for the Storm to pull away for a ten-point win to cover the point spread! Lay the points on the Storm for your WNBA best bets today.

The Las Vegas Aces (5-5) find themselves in unfamiliar territory. The defending WNBA champs, who went 34-6 a season ago, are only a loss away from matching their six defeats from 2023.

The defense was shredded for 100 points in a 100-86 loss at home to the Lynx on Tuesday evening. At the break, Las Vegas was on pace to concede roughly 120 points! They can be better, but seventh with a 102.1 defensive rating is lacking.

Fortunately, the offense is running smoothly and putting points on the board. If not, this season would quickly turn into a disaster. The Aces are third in the WNBA, with an offensive rating of 104.3. They are third in the league, with a 33.7% three-point percentage.

A’ja Wilson tonight 🔥

• 28 points
• 8 rebounds

• 15 straight game with 20+ points 🤯

pic.twitter.com/LXEPI657Fw

— Women’s Hoops Network (@WomensHoops_USA) June 12, 2024

Expect the Aces to go up-tempo to frustrate a Mercury defense ranked ninth in the WNBA. Despite their recent struggles, A’ja Wilson is on fire offensively. The Mercury offense is fifth in pace, though, so they won’t mind running and gunning themselves, at least.

Consider playing the Over 169.5 points in a high-scoring affair between the Aces and Mercury in the desert!

The Caitlin Clark show continues in the WNBA tonight. After it was announced she would be left off the women’s Olympic basketball team, she scored 10 points against the Connecticut Sun. That’s one of the toughest teams to get into a rhythm against, so it wasn’t a favorable matchup.

This was on the heels of a 30-point performance against the Washington Mystics. Clark tied a career-high in the contest on Friday, June 7. That game came after scoring just eight points versus the Aces.

Generally, when Clark has an off game, she responds with a positive showing. Note that Clark was coming off a three-point game against the Liberty before going off for 30 points against the Mystics on Friday.

What a night for Caitlin Clark!👏

She sets a new franchise record and ties the league record for three-pointers made by a rookie with 7. pic.twitter.com/vedo2l0CYS

— TSN (@TSN_Sports) June 8, 2024

Overall, Clark is averaging 16.3 points per game, 4.9 rebounds, and six assists per game. It has been a strong rookie campaign for Clark, but off the pace of her season prop bets. The Dream have some defensive holes, as they’re a mediocre sixth with a defensive rating of 99.1.

Look for Clark to bounce back to score roughly 20 points at home against the Dream tonight. This is a solid pick for your WNBA betting picks today!

1. Be Patient And Pick Your Spots

Most of the WNBA season is played after the NBA Championship. The only major sport underway during the summer is baseball, so there is a tendency to look to WNBA for betting action.

With hundreds of WNBA bets available on a daily basis, some bettors get into the habit of playing too many plays. For our WNBA picks, we are patient and wait for the best spots. This can translate to only two or three bets per day, sometimes fewer!

The WNBA schedule will take us to mid-September, which is when the NFL is getting into full swing. Don’t treat the WNBA as a sport to keep yourself busy by blindly betting before then. Patience is key.

2. Compare Offensive Efficiency And Pace

Head coaches have different offensive philosophies for who they operate their offense. Some run-and-gun, while others prefer to slow it down and work from the inside out.

There will be teams who struggle against teams that push the pace. If two teams match up that like to run, it’s likely that the game will be high scoring. Conversely, the opposite will be true for half court offenses.

Additionally, this can be telling for determining the winner of the game and covering point spreads. Does your team of choice struggle against the fast break, or teams with size?

It’s vital to understand the dynamics of the opponent before confirming your wager!

3. Check The NET Ratings

The WNBA has a slew of advanced stats for bettors to dive into before deciding on the best bets. For a quick snapshot that compiles multiple metrics into one number, consider examining the Net Rating.

The Net Rating takes into consideration a team’s offensive and defensive efficiency. The offensive efficiency is subtracted from the defensive to calculate the Net Rating. This provides the point differential per 100 possessions.

Early in the season, using the Net Rating without an ample sample size can be ineffective. However, as the season progresses, it’s a helpful tool for your WNBA betting arsenal.

4. Look At Player Matchups

Critically important for wagering on the WNBA, prop bets in particular, is evaluating matchups on the floor. Let’s assume you are interested in betting on Caitlin Clark props.

Wouldn’t you like to know who her primary defender will be? If she has an easier matchup, there will be a higher probability of her having a stronger performance!  The same applies to teams that are poor at defending the three-pointer.

Clark’s stats show that she likes to spray shots from deep, so she should be more successful against teams that don’t have solid perimeter defenders. The same applies to players in the front court against teams that struggle on the interior.

5. Line Shopping

Line shopping for the best WNBA price for your bet is an important step for your strategy. It can be the difference between booking a profit and losing in any particular season!

For our daily WNBA best bets, we are using Bovada, BetUS, Everygame, BetWhale, and more to line shop. We highly recommend having a minimum of three top betting sites to compare the odds before locking in your wagers.