Finding the Thursday Night Football best bets this week can be tricky, but our team is here to help! We will share our analysis and expert predictions throughout the entire NFL season, including recommended TNF player props.
Check this page regularly for the latest picks, tips, and Thursday Night Football predictions. The Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears get us started for Week 17 in what is a must-win situation for the visitors at Soldier Field.
TNF Best Bets This Week: Seahawks vs. Bears
Thursday Night Football Odds and Betting Lines for Week 17
Online betting sites have a variety of Thursday Night Football bets available for the Seattle Seahawks (8-7) vs. Chicago Bears (4-11) Week 17 matchup. The main markets, including the point spread, are on the board at most major sportsbooks.
Let’s delve into the Seahawks vs. Bears lines and best Thursday Night Football bets below! The following TNF odds for Week 17 are courtesy of Bovada:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
Seattle Seahawks | -3.5 (-110) | -195 | Over 43 (-115) |
Chicago Bears | +3.5 (-110) | +165 | Under 43 (-105) |
The Seahawks are favored to oust the Bears as a road favorite at -195 odds on the moneyline. As a -195 favorite, the Seahawks have an implied probability to win of 66.1%. It’s a must-win situation, otherwise a loss will statistically remove the Seahawks from the playoffs.
Covering the spread will require winning by more than a field goal on the road at Soldier Field. It’s forecast to be a low-scoring contest, with the over/under currently set at 43 points. Which wager is most suitable for your best Thursday Night Football bets? Let’s break down the numbers and dig deeper for your NFL betting strategy.
You can also make your Thursday Night Football picks against the spread in The Sports Geek’s inaugural NFL pick’em contest! There are still many prizes up for grabs, including $300 in Amazon gift cards each week.
If you are interested in alternative lines and unique TNF prop bets tonight, Bovada has a wide selection of options. You can find the most up-to-date TNF betting odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL > Seahawks vs. Bears.
Thursday Night Football Betting Trends
There are some key betting trends to keep in mind before placing your best Thursday Night Football bets!
I’ve dug through several trends for this matchup and have isolated the best to consider for the Seahawks vs. Bears at offshore sportsbooks:
- The Chicago Bears are 6-7-2 against the spread (ATS) in 2024.
- The Chicago Bears are 2-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their previous nine games.
- The Chicago Bears are 0-9 outright in their previous nine games overall.
- The Chicago Bears are 3-6-2 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog.
- The Seattle Seahawks are 4-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in their previous six games on the road.
- The Seattle Seahawks are 7-1 outright in their previous eight games on the road.
- The UNDER is 6-3 in the Chicago Bears’ previous nine games overall.
- The UNDER is 6-3 in the Seattle Seahawks’ previous nine games overall.
TNF Football Prediction and Betting Pick: Seahawks vs. Bears
Although the Seahawks’ playoff chances are on life support, they can stay alive with a win in Chicago. Losing statistically removes the Seahawks from the postseason chase this season. Currently, the Rams have the advantage in the NFC West with a record of 9-6 and two weeks remaining in the regular season.
Seattle needs some help and must win down the stretch. Despite a valiant effort this past week against the Minnesota Vikings, the Seahawks came up short in a 27-24 final and their playoff chances took a dive. The dysfunctional Chicago Bears could be the perfect recipe to get back on track, though. The Bears have lost nine straight games and have lost confidence in the locker room.
A locker room with zero confidence isn’t a positive for a young rookie quarterback who has little of it right now. The good news is that QB Caleb Williams isn’t forcing the ball and throwing interceptions. He hasn’t passed the ball to the other team since Oct. 13! That’s nine straight games interception-free for Williams.
However, the lack of continuity and protection from his offensive line has prevented the Bears from establishing a rhythm. The Bears are 31st in the NFL with an average of 294.5 yards per game.
The offensive line woes have impacted the running game, which has hampered Williams’ ability, and caused him to be a sitting duck in the pocket. The Bears’ 10.56% sack percentage per play is the worst in the NFL.
Big third-down sack from @qua_nito to force a Bears punt#DETvsCHI | 📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/I3iDZSpgE7
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) December 22, 2024
Seahawks’ QB Geno Smith started slowly this season, but he has responded well. I don’t believe Smith has to be spectacular to win this game for the Seahawks. My confidence in the Bears’ offense is just about as low as the confidence of the players on that roster at the moment.
The Bears are searching for answers after back-to-back double-digit losses. This is a rudderless ship without any clear leader on the coaching staff or on the field. That can often be the biggest deterrent for a team, and I expect the Seahawks to use it to their advantage.
Seattle by a touchdown is my prediction, so consider the Seahawks -3.5 for your best TNF bets!
Team TNF Prop Bets: Seahawks vs. Bears
Leading online bookmaker Bovada has a variety of Thursday Night Football prop bets for the Seahawks vs. Bears. Let’s delve into my top team props:
Highest Scoring Half: Second (+105)
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- First Half (-125)
- Second Half (+105)
The Seahawks and Bears should be slow starters in this one, so the best betting value is on the second half being higher scoring. Neither offense has been fast to open games this season.
Seattle has recorded an average of 11.1 points per first half for 18th in the NFL. The Bears have been even worse in 30th with 7.3 points in the first half this season. In other words, I don’t see where the value is on backing the first half at -125 odds.
The Seahawks improve slightly to 11.3 points per second half, while the Bears see a notable jump to 11.5 points. The game plan for the Bears largely consists of getting behind in the opening half, then scoring mop-up duty points to skew their results.
At plus odds, the second for the highest-scoring half is well worth a look for your TNF player prop bets!
Race to 20 Points: Seattle Seahawks (-143)
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- Seattle Seahawks (-143)
- Chicago Bears (+210)
- Neither (+1200)
The Bears reaching 20 points has been a difficult chore — never mind winning a race to 20! They have averaged just 18.9 points per game, so have typically fallen below this mark. Chicago has failed to score 20 points in three consecutive weeks, as well as in seven of the last ten matchups.
Seattle doesn’t have the best defense in the league, but they’ve been solid enough. The secondary has yielded 213.9 passing yards per game and is capable of taking advantage of the Bears’ lack of confidence.
The visitors from Washington rank 15th in the NFL, averaging 22.6 points per contest. In a game I expect the Seahawks to win by a score of 24-17, they should win the race to 20 points. Consider this unique wager for your best Thursday Night Football player props.
Best Thursday Night Football Player Props This Week
In addition to team props, consider adding a few TNF player prop bets to your Seahawks vs. Bears card on sports betting apps! There are a few plays that have caught my attention, so let’s analyze these Thursday Night Football picks below:
Total Receiving Yards: Tyler Lockett (SEA) Over 16.5 (+100)
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- Over 16.5 (+100)
- Under 16.5 (-130)
Seahawks’ WR Tyler Lockett is far removed from his prime years. He has regressed every year since recording a career-high of 1,175 yards receiving yards in 2021. Lockett enters this week with 552 yards and two touchdowns.
Tyler Lockett ices the game with a one-handed grab
📺: #DENvsSEA on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/bxcaagjwel— NFL (@NFL) September 8, 2024
While his production hasn’t been keeping up with his past results, the total is low enough to warrant backing the over on Lockett’s receiving yards. He has hauled in 13 receptions for an average of 26.5 yards per game since Nov. 3.
Lockett has eclipsed 16.5 yards in five of the last seven weeks. He may not be his former self, but it’s hard to say no to the over at this generous number. With that in mind, consider Lockett over 16.5 receiving yards for your TNF player prop bets!
Total Receiving Yards: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Over 72.5 (-115)
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- Over 72.5 (-115)
- Under 72.5 (-115)
Although Lockett has taken a step back, WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba has asserted himself as the No. 1 target in the Seahawks’ offense. Smith-Njigba is a dominant force as Smith’s primary target. He has reeled in 93 receptions for 1,089 yards and six touchdowns in 2024.
Elite connection from Geno to JSN 🎯
📺: #MINvsSEA on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/ZGPe2ArI0R— NFL (@NFL) December 22, 2024
The former Ohio State star has logged more than 72 receiving yards in seven straight games! He will continue to be Smith’s first read in the offense against the Bears. Chicago has yielded an average of 225.6 yards passing for 23rd in the NFL!
As Smith-Njigba’s ascent in the NFL continues, expect him to be a thorn in the side of the Bears on the day after Christmas. Smith-Njigba is a sharp pick to add to your Thursday Night Football player props this week.
Total Rushing Yards: D’Andre Swift (CHI) Under 56.5 (-115)
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- Over 56.5 (-115)
- Under 56.5 (-115)
Former Lions’ RB D’Andre Swift will look to get on track against the Seahawks. He’s hit a wall and regressed running behind the miserable Bears’ offensive line. Swift enters with 841 yards and five touchdowns on 3.8 yards per carry. It doesn’t look like the best signing that the Bears have made in recent years!
He has notched fewer than 40 yards rushing in four of his previous five starts. It’s been tough sledding for Swift on the ground this season. I don’t see it improving for the Bears on Thursday. One week isn’t enough to fix the Bears’ issues in the trenches, so Swift is likely to struggle again.
Consider playing Swift under 56.5 rushing yards for your best TNF prop bets!
Thursday Night Football Parlay for Week 17
To finish your best TNF bets this week, consider a parlay bet offering a big payout! From the available wagers at Bovada for Thursday Night Football, the prop bets are worth putting together on one ticket.
In short, Lockett over 16.5 receiving yards, Smith-Njigba over 72.5 receiving yards, and Swift under 56.5 rushing yards is the top play! On a $100 wager, bettors can win $599.05 at +599 odds on this TNF parlay wager if all three legs are successful!
- Lockett: Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
- Smith-Njigba: Over 72.5 Receiving Yards
- Swift: Under 56.5 Rushing Yards
Thursday Night Football Betting Summary: Seahawks vs. Bears
The Sports Geek is excited to open the Week 17 card with our best Thursday Night Football bets for the Seahawks vs. Bears! While we can’t promise that you’ll become as wealthy as the richest NFL owners, there is big cash to be won this season on the gridiron.
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