It’s the final four weeks of the NFL regular season, and many playoff positions are still up for grabs, with each game taking on increasing importance. There is a full slate of games scheduled. I will look at four of them, with the Detroit Lions hosting the Buffalo Bills in the featured game.
Buffalo Bills versus Detroit Lions
In a potential Super Bowl preview, the Lions come in as 2.5-point home favorites with odds of 1.714 to 2.2 with an over/under of 54.5. Detroit is “burning hot” versus “burning hot down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +31 to +30 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the line with a score prediction of 33-17 in favor of Buffalo with 90 percent confidence. The projection for the under is nearly 96 percent. Both teams are consistently performing regarding their favorite/underdog status. Both teams have a high-powered offense, but the Lions are stronger on defense and playing at home. The Bills could pull off an upset, but it’s hard to bet against the Lions now. I go with Detroit by a field goal in a game “under” the line.
Pittsburgh Steelers versus Philadelphia Eagles
In the Pennsylvania bowl, both teams enter “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator and Philadelphia is +22 to +13 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The Eagles are a 5.5-home favorite with odds of 1.385 to 3.1 with an over/under of 43.5. The teams are trending in games “over” in six of the last 12 and the score prediction is 30-14 in favor of Philadelphia with 60 percent confidence. The Steelers have covered in their last five as underdogs. The Eagles are the more consistent team regarding their favorite and underdog status. I like that trend to continue with the Eagles winning by a field goal in a game “under” the line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Los Angeles Chargers
The Buccaneers enter the game on a three-game winning streak while the Chargers have lost two of their last three. The Chargers are 2.5-point home favorites with odds of 1.667 to 2.25 with an over/under of 45.5. The teams are trending in games “under” the line with a score prediction of 29-25 in favor of Tampa Bay with nearly 95 percent confidence. The projection for the over is almost 85 percent. The Chargers have covered their last five games as the favorite. Tampa Bay is slightly more stable on the Team Volatility Oscillator and has an edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. Going against the trend on this one, picking Tampa Bay to cover the spread in a game “over” the line.
Washington Commanders versus New Orleans Saints
Both teams come in 3-3 over the last six games and “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. New Orleans is +12 to +3 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The Commanders are 7.5-point road favorites with odds of 1.263 to 4 with an over/under of 43.5. The ZCode Consensus is 75 percent for “over” the line, while the teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the line. Washington is +4 to +1 on the Team Volatility Oscillator, indicating a more stable team. The projection for over is nearly 97 percent. I like the Commanders to win in a game “over’ the line.
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