NBA Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks: Nobody can stop Doncic at +576 odds

The Boston Celtics went 3-0 up in their ECF series vs Indiana last night, the Dallas Mavericks are hoping to do the same on Sunday as they host the Timberwolves in Game 3 of the WCF. Tip-off is at 8 pm ET on TNT, I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.

We should also have predictions on the side and total for Game 4 of the Pacers vs Celtics series, simply visit our NBA Picks page to see it.

Let’s head into my SGP bet now!

Luka Doncic Over 29.5 Points (-115)

Naz Reid Over 1.5 Made Threes (-146)

Mike Conley to Record 2+ Steals (+160)

Same Game Parlay odds: +576

Luka Doncic Over 29.5 Points (-115)

Some people haven’t realized it yet, but we are in midst of the Luka Doncic run right now. The MVP finalist is just two wins away from his first ever NBA Finals berth and he’s taken it upon himself to carry his team to the promise land. It has been all Doncic in the first two games of this series, he’s cleared this line with 33 points in Game 1 and 32 in Game 2, including the game winning three-pointer with seconds left in the 4th quarter. Missing just 1 free throw in two Conference Finals game tells us that Doncic is fully locked in and looking to get this series over with as soon as possible. As good as this Timberwolves defense has been, I just can’t see what adjustment they make to stop Doncic. We saw what happened when Rudy Gobert tried switching onto him towards the end of Game 2, I have Luka scoring at least 30 points for the 4th game in his last 5 outings here.

Naz Reid Over 1.5 Made Threes (-146)

The Mavericks simply have no solution for Naz Reid this year and he has been taking advantage of that in every single meeting. After averaging 15.8 points per game against them during the regular season, he has now upped that to 19 per game in this series with games of 15 and 23 points. Obviously, maintaining that production on the road will be tough, but I still think he will have a major impact on Sunday’s game. Game 3 is basically a do-or-die situation for Minnesota, because no team in NBA history has come back down from a 3-0 deficit in the Playoffs. Only once in 6 meetings vs the Mavs this season Reid has failed to can 2 threes, so I think this bet flies in with ease.

Mike Conley to Record 2+ Steals (+160)

If the General doesn’t panic, the troops don’t panic. The Timberwolves are in dire need of veteran leadership in Game 3 and who else they can turn to than Mike Conley. The 36-year old point guard is among the best in the NBA when it comes to stealing the ball from the opponent. He’s averaging 1.2 thefts per game this postseason, clearing this line twice over his last 3 games, so we are getting quite decent odds on this bet. After allowing opponents 7.3 steals per game during the regular season, over their last 3 outings the Mavs have let that number go up to 8.3, so they haven’t exactly been elite at taking care of the basketball. If Conley focuses on making life difficult for Kyrie Irving on the defensive end, that should also free up Anthony Edwards to do his thing on offense. It is a win-win situation for Minnesota.

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