NBA Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks: Luka Doncic puts up numbers in Game 1 at +413 odds

The East Finals are underway after Boston defeated Indiana in Game 1 on Tuesday, now it’s time for the Mavericks and Timberwolves to tip-off their series as well. Game 1 of the Western Conference finals begins tonight at 8.30 pm ET on TNT, I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.

We should also have predictions on the side and total for Game 2 of the Pacers vs Celtics series, simply visit our NBA Picks page to see it.

Let’s head into my SGP bet now!

Luka Doncic to Score 30+ Points (+105)

Naz Reid to Score 10+ Points (-120)

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 Made Threes (-184)

Same Game Parlay odds: +413

Luka Doncic to Score 30+ Points (+105)

For the 13th game this postseason, Luka Doncic is listed as questionable to play as he continues to recover from knee and ankle injuries. This has somewhat limited his productivity to 27.3 points per game, which is very modest by his standards. The extra couple of days in between games should do him well here though, the Mavs ended their series slightly earlier than the Timberwolves did. Luka Dominated this match-up during the regular season averaging 36.5 points per game on almost 51% from the field and 37% from three. Yes, the postseason is very different, but I still expect Luka to show up on the biggest stage. He averaged 32 points per game in his only other Western Conference series when the Mavs played Golden State back in 2022. It’s goes without saying that Dallas is not going to the NBA finals without a monster Doncic series here.

Read our Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Predictions

Naz Reid to Score 10+ Points (-120)

Naz Reid’s popularity in Minnesota has reached mythical heights, and for good reason. He’s provided the team with instant offense off the bench in both series so far, averaging 10.4 points per game, while making key baskets whenever needed. He had 4 really good regular season games vs Dallas, averaging 15.8 points per game on 53% efficiency from the field and a staggering 56% hit rate on his three-point attempts. At 6-foot-9 and 270-ish lbs, he is a match-up nightmare on most nights and I don’t think the Mavs are equipped to handle such a versatile player at the center position. After seeing him clear this line 5 times in the 7 games vs Denver, I think he’s more than capable of doing so in Game 1 of this series as well.

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 Made Threes (-184)

It cannot be overstated how important KAT’s contribution was in that Game 7 victory at Denver on Sunday. Town equaled his 3rd highest scoring tally of the postseason with 32 points on an efficient 8-for-14 shooting, while also collecting 12 rebounds. His efficiency from beyond the arc has been off the charts in these playoffs at 44%, an improvement of almost 3% compared to the postseason. I’m expecting a lot of pick-and-roll action between him and Conley in Game 1, that should allow Towns to get up a few shots from deep. He was a really good shooter in the 4 regular season games vs Dallas, knocking down almost 42% of his attempts while averaging 21 points per game in just 29.3 mins a night. With a trip to the NBA finals on the line, KAT’s minutes should remain around 35-38 on most nights here, he has the potential to be the x-factor if the T’Wolves use him properly here.

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