Picking Monday Night Football best bets week after week is a tough task, but our team is here to help. The Sports Geek will review hundreds of markets available each Monday, delivering expert MNF betting picks for player props, team props, and traditional markets like totals, spreads, and moneylines.
Check this page regularly for the latest picks and tips the team at The Sports Geek has prepared for this week. For Week 16, the New Orleans Saints travel to the historic Lambeau Field for a showdown against the Green Bay Packers. Here are our best bets for the Monday Night Football Week 16 Saints vs. Packers matchup:
MNF Best Bets This Week: Saints vs. Packers
Monday Night Football Odds and Betting Lines for Week 16: Saints vs. Packers
Online betting sites have a variety of Monday Night Football bets available for the New Orleans Saints (5-9) vs. Green Bay Packers (10-4) Week 16 matchup. The main markets, including the point spread, are on the board at most major sportsbooks.
Let’s delve into the Saints vs. Packers lines and best Thursday Night Football bets below! The following MNF odds for Week 16 are courtesy of Bovada:
The following MNF odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | +14 (-105) | +625 | Over 42.5 (-110) |
| Green Bay Packers | -14 (-115) | -1000 | Under 42.5 (-110) |
The Green Bay Packers are overwhelming favorites to defeat the banged-up New Orleans Saints in the Week 16 finale. As a -1000 favorite, the Packers have a 90.9% implied probability of winning this matchup at Lambeau Field.
They are also a massive two-touchdown favorite in the spread against the Saints. Oddsmakers have no confidence, and public sentiment is as low as you can find on interim head coach Darren Rizzi’s squad. The over/under suggests that this is projected to be a low-scoring contest in Green Bay.
If you are interested in alternative lines and other unique MNF prop bets tonight, Bovada has a wide selection of options. You can find the most up-to-date MNF betting odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL > New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers.
Monday Night Football Betting Trends
There are some key betting trends to keep in mind before placing your best Monday Night Football bets!
I’ve dug through several trends for this matchup and have isolated the best to consider for the Saints vs. Packers:
- The Green Bay Packers are 8-6-0 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024 season.
- The Green Bay Packers are 4-1 outright in their previous five games at home.
- The Green Bay Packers are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in their previous nine games versus NFC South teams.
- The New Orleans Saints are 6-8 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024 season.
- The New Orleans Saints are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their previous nine games versus the Green Bay Packers.
- The New Orleans Saints are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their previous five games on the road.
- The UNDER is 4-1 in the New Orleans Saints’ previous five games overall.
- The UNDER is 4-2 in the Green Bay Packers’ previous six games overall.
MNF Football Prediction and Betting Pick: Saints vs. Packers
The Packers are expected to pull away and blow out the Saints without any problems. However, there is a window of opportunity for New Orleans to shock the league. How can that happen? It will likely have to take the Packers overlooking the Saints, which is possible given their opponent next week.
They have a crucial NFC North matchup against the Vikings in Week 17. The Lions are hobbling to the finish line with too many injuries to count, so the division is wide open suddenly. If the Packers take their eyes off the Saints, this could get closer than oddsmakers believe.
The Saints aren’t healthy on the offensive side of the ball — multiple contributors are expected to be absent. Along with QB Taysom Hill, QB Derek Carr, and WR Chris Olave, Pro Bowl RB Alvin Kamara is dealing with a groin injury that could hold him out on Monday night.
Fortunately, the defense has stepped up and playing physical football recently. The Saints have conceded 16.25 points per game over the last four weeks. They’ve been on top of teams, with the defense not allowing more than 23 points since Oct. 27 against the Chargers!
Bryan Bresee Got to Drew Lock QUICK 👍 pic.twitter.com/X5brnxoWi9
— Saints Happy Hour Podcast (@SaintsHappyHour) December 8, 2024
Although I don’t believe the Saints will completely nullify QB Jordan Love and the Packers’ offense, they should have enough pushback to warrant keeping the final score within 14 points. Saints’ QB Spencer Rattler hasn’t been spectacular, but he has avoided turning the ball over in recent starts.
After throwing four interceptions in his first two games, Rattler hasn’t thrown a pick in three games. The Packers have a solid secondary but are only 15th in passing yards allowed. Rattler and the Saints will keep this game plan simple while relying on their defense.
Look for the Packers to go through the motions to allow the Saints to hang around. The spread is a few points too inflated. I don’t advise a big play, but the Saints are worth considering for your best MNF bets against the spread this week!
Team MNF Prop Bets: Saints vs. Packers
Leading online bookmaker Bovada has a variety of Monday Night Football prop bets for the Saints vs. Packers. Let’s delve into my top team props:
Winning Margin: Green Bay Packers by 7-12 Points (+320)
| MARGIN | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Packers by 7-12 Points | +320 |
| Packers by 13-18 Points | +330 |
| Packers by 19-24 Points | +350 |
| Packers by 1-6 Points | +385 |
| Packers by 25-30 Points | +550 |
| Saints by 1-6 Points | +700 |
A couple of notes are worth highlighting for the odds on this prop bet. First, the Packers have a greater likelihood of winning by 25 to 30 points than the Saints do by a point to six points!
More importantly, though, according to this bet, the Packers are favored to win by 7 to 12 points at +320. Per the point spread, Green Bay is a two-touchdown favorite, so there is a bit of a disconnect with the prop.
The Packers should edge ahead for a win by running the ball and keeping their cards close without revealing anything to the Vikings. They have a +6.6 win margin this season. The Saints are -0.2, which suggests closer games than their record of 5-9 indicates.
At +320, the Packers to win by 7 to 12 points is a worthy selection for your MNF prop bets!
Both Teams to Score 13 Points or More? Yes (-160)
-
- Yes (-160)
- No (+130)
The Packers are highly unlikely to score fewer than 13 points on Monday Night Football. Although New Orleans’ defense should stand tall in spots, Green Bay should be able to keep things basic and still score at least two touchdowns.
Conversely, if the Saints want to win, Rattler will have to put the ball in the air. This can’t be a conservative game plan, or the Packers will simply wear down the Saints. The Saints might as well not show up if they’re not going to give Rattler a chance to pass.
Rattler to Moreau for the TD!#Saints | 📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/d5jgsyONVl
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) December 15, 2024
Rattler won’t torch the Packers’ secondary but leading his team to 13 points is well within reason. It might take a late backdoor score with the Packers playing off the ball; however, the Saints should get to 13 points to cash this MNF prop bet!
Best Monday Night Football Player Props This Week
Now, let’s delve into the best MNF player prop bets to consider locking in at sports betting apps and sites for the Saints vs. Packers.
There is a trio of appealing anytime touchdown bets, so let’s analyze these best Monday Night Football player props this week on Bovada below:
Total Rushing Yards: Josh Jacobs (GB) Over 88.5 (-120)
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- Over 88.5 (-120)
- Under 88.5 (-110)
RB Josh Jacobs is expected to see a heavy workload in this matchup against the Saints. Not only is the Saints’ weakness against the run, but Love will be handing the ball off frequently to Jacobs. New Orleans is 27th in the NFL, with 134.4 rushing yards allowed per game.
The former Raider has been a bellcow for the Packers in the backfield. He has collected 1,147 yards and 12 touchdowns on 4.3 yards per carry. Jacobs galloped for 94 yards and a touchdown on 26 attempts in his latest effort.
Josh Jacobs got the ball on 9 of 10 plays on the @Packers opening drive. He ended it with a TD 💪
📺: #GBvsSEA on NBC/Peacock
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/BIe0i3GeGg— NFL (@NFL) December 16, 2024
In a game where he should see another large dose of carries, Jacobs over 88.5 rushing yards is one of the best TNF player props this week!
Anytime Touchdown: (NO) Kendre Miller (+162)
It appears highly unlikely that Kamara will see the field at Lambeau Field. That puts the Saints in a bind, but it opens the door for second-year RB Kendre Miller to lead the offense.
Kendre Miller ain’t going down. TD for 25
📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/4ILIHREgYE
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) December 8, 2024
Rattler will rely heavily on the backfield, so Miller might be the star attraction for the Saints. Near the goal line, OC Klint Kubiak won’t mess around with anything too exotic. Miller should get the call when the Saints are in the red zone.
At plus odds to score a touchdown, Miller is worth considering for your MNF player prop bets tonight!
Total Receiving Yards: Jayden Reed (GB) Under 41.5 (-120)
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- Over 41.5 (-110)
- Under 41.5 (-120)
Packers’ WR Jayden Reed has come up with some big catches this season. However, the second-year product of Michigan State hasn’t been putting up monster numbers. He is the third option behind WR Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs.
When they were injured, Reed was naturally seeing more targets. He has recorded a high of only 34 yards over his last four games. He grabbed 107 yards total during that stretch. With the Packers focusing on the running game, Reed is unlikely to see the most chances downfield.
The under on Reed’s receiving prop of 41.5 yards is the play for your best MNF player props!
Monday Night Football Parlay for Week 16
For my final Monday Night Football betting pick, I am wrapping up my card with a parlay bet that includes all three of the abovementioned props. In short, the best MNF parlay for my card is Jacobs over 88.5 rushing yards, Miller anytime TD, and Reed under 41.5 receiving yards at Lambeau Field.
On a $100 wager, bettors can bank $780.59 at +781 odds with a winning ticket! Considering this monster payout, it’s certainly a wager that should be on your radar this week.
For more NFL Week 16 picks, check out our exclusive A.I. football bets this week. Also, we recommend entering The Sports Geek’s FREE NFL pick’em contest for a chance at great prizes in Week 16 and the rest of the season.
- Jacobs: Over 88.5 Rec. Yds
- Miller: Anytime Touchdown
- Reed: Under 41.5 Rec. Yds
Monday Night Football Summary: Saints vs. Packers
The Sports Geek is excited to conclude the Week 16 NFL betting card with our best Monday Night Football bets for the Saints vs. Packers! While we can’t promise that you’ll become as wealthy as the richest NFL owners, there is big cash to be won on the gridiron this season.
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