Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks for NBA Cup Quarterfinals: Doncic carries Mavs at +436 odds

Tuesday brings us the first batch of Emirates NBA Cup elimination games and our attention is on the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder match-up. Tip-off is at 7.30 pm ET on TNT, I’ve spiced things up a bit with a +436 odds Same Game Parlay.

For Emirates NBA Cup spread and total picks, simply head over to our NBA Picks page. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!

DAL Mavericks +4.5 (-114)

Luka Doncic to Score 25+ Points (-200)

Klay Thompson 3+ Made Threes (-135)

Isaiah Hartenstein to Record 10+ Rebounds (-250)

Same Game Parlay odds: +436

DAL Mavericks +4.5 (-114)

Timing is everything in the NBA and this game could not come at a better time for the Dallas Mavericks. The big 3 of Luka Doncic, Klay Thompson and Kyrie Irving is healthy and putting up big numbers, the Mavs just won their 7th game in a row over the Raptors. They’re also playing the team they eliminated in last year’s Western Conference semi-finals, the mental edge gained in that series shouldn’t be underestimated here. Dallas also won the first meeting of the season 121-119 some three weeks ago, despite not having Doncic in that game. It was their 5th win in 6 meetings, they’ve also covered the spread in 4 of 6 visits to OKC. Meanwhile, the Thunder have put together a 3-game win streak of their own and are playing really well right now. Getting Alex Caruso back from injury is huge for them, but until they get Chet Holmgren back this is just a bad match-up for them. Let’s go with the Mavs and the extra points for additional security here.

Luka Doncic to Score 25+ Points (-200)

The decision to take 10 days off towards the end of November and heal an injured fist has done wonders for Doncic. He looks visibly slimmer and is moving a lot better compared to the first month of the season. In the 4 games played so far in the month of December he’s averaging 31 points per game, he’s scored at least 25 points in 11 of his last 14 games. OKC is one of his most favorite opponents to play, he eliminated them from last year’s postseason with back-to-back 29 and 31 point triple doubles. Doncic just thrives in elimination games, so far in his career he has played in 8 of them and is averaging 33.4 points per game. His lowest point total in those games was 28 against the Celtics in the Finals.

Klay Thompson 3+ Made Threes (-135)

Experience should come in play here and nobody has more of it on this Mavericks roster than former Warriors Klay Thompson. He has slowly adjusted to life in his new surroundings and as the season has progressed he has only looked better. Over his last 6 games he’s shooting the three-ball at 40% efficiency, he just had one of his better games of the season against Toronto where he finished with 20 points scored and 3 threes made. It was his 3rd game in 4 outings where he’s knocked down 3 threes, so momentum is on his side going into tonight’s game. In his last 10 games against OKC he’s making 4.2 threes per game on 43.3% efficiency, so he should be able to get at least 3 threes here.

Isaiah Hartenstein to Record 10+ Rebounds (-250)

Getting Hartenstein back from injury has been a massive relief for the OKC Thunder, who are still awaiting on the return of center Chet Holmgren. The former Knicks Hartenstein has adapted to his new team instantly, averaging a solid double-double through the first 8 games with OKC. Only once in those 8 games he has failed to register 10 boards, that was against the Utah Jazz where he played just 22 minutes in a blowout win for the Thunder. The Mavericks aren’t exactly known to be an elite rebounding team, they rank just 20th in opponent rebounds per game, allowing 52.7 a night. With the point total for tonight’s game being set at 231.5 points, it’s quite obvious that the oddsmakers are expecting a fast pace here, if that is the case then everyone’s rebounding numbers will be inflated. Hartenstein should be able to get 10 of them with ease in this one.

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