Eagles are +125 on the Money Line for Week 8 Road Trip to Cincinnati

The Philadelphia Eagles and Cincinnati Bengals face off on Sunday in a battle of “Which of These Teams is Actually Good?”

Let’s call a spade a spade here.

The Eagles and Bengals are both on two-game winning streaks thanks to the ineptitude of the Cleveland Browns and New York Giants.

Both teams held the Giants to single-digit point totals and the Browns scored a combined 30 points on the two defenses.

It’s easy to prop up both teams, especially the Eagles with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith back on the field, and claim that the play over the last two weeks is exactly what we should expect for the rest of the 2024 NFL season.

The oddsmakers list the Bengals as the slightly better team as a three-point favorite. I’d guess the Eagles would be a one-or-two-point favorite if they were at home.

The Birds come into Week 8 with a 3-3 record against the spread. They are 1-0 with an outright win as an underdog. Cincinnati is 4-3 ATS and has only covered as a favorite of less than a touchdown. The Bengals did not cover in their two games as a 7.5-point favorite.

The Eagles have played in more lower-scoring games and are 2-4 to the over, but you could argue that statistic doesn’t mean much because of the Brown & Smith absences and some of the weak opponents on the schedule. The Bengals are 4-3 to the over, but hit the under in their last two games, because well, they played the Giants and Browns.

At least on paper, the Eagles could be a decent money line bet at +125 because they have more top-end talent than the Bengals. Saquon Barkley is the true difference in that team-to-team comparison over the Chase Brown/Zack Moss duo.

The Bengals have a middle-of-the-road rushing defense, but they have allowed seven rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. The Eagles, believe it or not, only conceded one rushing score to an opposing running back all season. That’s tied for the best number in the NFL alongside the Los Angeles Chargers. The Birds also haven’t allowed a single receiving TD to a running back.

The Eagles have let up seven receiving TDs to opposing wide outs, but Cincinnati comes into Sunday with 118 more yards allowed to wide outs.

The stats against opposing tight ends might be irrelevant this weekend, but it is worth noting the Bengals have allowed four TDs and the sixth-most receiving yards to TEs. You can flash that stat to your buddies to justify your Grant Calcaterra anytime TD bet (+330 on DK, +550 on FD).

The usual suspects will earn the bulk of the offensive touches, though. Saquon Barkley is listed at over/under 80.5 rushing yards. He’s gone over that total five times in six games. Barkley has the lowest TD odds in the game and is the only player with odds below plus money to score.

A.J. Brown and JaMarr Chase are both listed at over/under 5.5 receptions and over/under 75.5 receiving yards. I don’t think anyone would bat an eye if both players hit the 100-yard mark and score. It’s a very even matchup in the passing game.

At least to me, Barkley is the X-factor on Sunday. If he can get going and the complementary passing game is there, there’s no reason the Eagles shouldn’t leave Cincinnati with a 4-3 record.

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