Eagles (-9.5) are the Biggest Favorite on the NFL Week 6 Board

The Philadelphia Eagles couldn’t have asked for a better matchup coming out of the bye.

The entire fan base is down on its luck after the Phillies were eliminated, it’s probably too early to care about the Flyers, and they’re playing on the west coast for the next week anyway, so the one thing that can bring us joy is an Eagles win.

Well, do I have good news for you, no NFL team has looked as dead as the Cleveland Browns through five weeks. Not in a long time.

Sure, I know what you’re about to say. “The Eagles will somehow find a way to screw this up because I’m not allowed to have any joy in life.”

I’ll counter that with “Have you seen Deshaun Watson attempt to play quarterback in 2024?”

Okay, good, there’s a reason why the Birds are a 9.5-point home favorite.

The Browns have not scored more than 18 points in a single game this season, and some of their offensive stats look better than they should be because garbage-time accumulation.

Cleveland’s defense just allowed 434 total yards to the Washington Commanders and allowed least 20 points in four of five games. The Browns are 1-4 against the spread and have not covered in any of their four losses, but the 9.5-point spread is by far the largest they’ve had against them in 2024. For what it’s worth, the Birds are 2-2 ATS and covered in their two wins.

Play above average football and win!

While that may not appease some in the fan base, that’s legitimately what it’ll take to beat the Browns. And don’t expect a perfect game with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith both back on the field for the first time in weeks.

However, what you can expect is Saquon Barkley at all-systems-go and running behind a healthy offensive line that could be a dangerous sight for the Browns.

Cleveland allowed more than 100 rushing yards in each of its five games and Washington just ran for 215 last week.

Barkley’s rushing yard prop is astronomically high at over/under 85.5, but he’s averaging six yards per attempt and had over 80 yards in every game so far this season. DraftKings has props for rush attempts (18.5) and longest rush (19.5 yards) for Barkley as well. Barkley’s had a long rush of 34+ yards in three of four games, so that might be an over to target instead of the rushing yards.

On PA sports betting apps, I would also look into some Eagles defensive props because Watson’s been sacked on 26 occasions this season. DraftKings and bet365 have individual sack props listed (Bryce Huff at +120 anyone? ANYONE?). FanDuel typically has team sack props listed in its Game Specials tab on Sunday as well.

As for Brown and Smith, they’re listed at over/under 68.5 and 61.5 receiving yards. Cleveland’s passing defense hasn’t been terrible, but it hasn’t made up for the porous rushing defense. I’d be cautious with Brown and Smith this week because they may be eased back into the offense.

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