Dynasty Draft Tips + Rookie Sleepers

Dynasty Week is here! On today’s fantasy football podcast, tips for dynasty startup and rookie drafts! Plus, reactions to Jared Goff‘s contract extension, dynasty trade values, and rookie sleeper picks! Manage your redraft, keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. — Fantasy Football Podcast for May 14th, 2024.

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Summary:

Rookie Wide Receivers Sleeper Picks 04:05

Rookie Wide Receivers with Potential Impact 04:05

  • Jermaine Burton, a wide receiver out of Alabama, is a sleeper pick due to his landing spot with the Cincinnati Bengals in the third round, having potential with Joe Burrow as his quarterback.
  • Despite character concerns, Burton’s athleticism and talent are notable, making him a player to watch for early contributions.
  • Jermaine Burton, despite falling to the third round due to character concerns, lands in a favorable spot with the Bengals, potentially stepping into a significant role with Tyler Boyd‘s pending departure.
  • The departure of Tyler Boyd opens up opportunities for Burton to step in as the wide receiver two option for Burrow, potentially providing fantasy value.
  • “Jermaine Burton has a toad, but that dropped him down to the third round, but that’s still good draft capital.”

“Jermaine Burton has a toad, but that dropped him down to the third round, but that’s still good draft capital. That’s day two, 80th overall pick and the landing spot he goes to.”

Ja’Lynn Polk, Another Sleeper Receiver 04:05

  • Ja’Lynn Polk, drafted by the New England Patriots in the second round, is a sleeper pick with the potential to secure a starting role, given the team’s need for wide receiver talent.
  • Ja’Lynn Polk, selected by the Patriots in the second round, presents promising upside by joining a team with an open depth chart, likely offering immediate contributions as an outside receiver.
  • Polk’s size and versatility could see him utilized effectively in the Patriots’ offensive scheme, deviating from his expected slot receiver role.
  • The Patriots’ investment in Polk and Drake May suggests a long-term vision for these players to be key components of their offensive strategy.
  • Both Burton and Polk have the potential to make waves early on in their rookie seasons, potentially becoming waiver wire darlings.

“So I won’t, I won’t be shocked if, you know, some of these guys are going to make plays early and I think you’re going to see them in waiver wires early because of it.”

Analysis of Potential Rookie Wide Receivers 08:43

Analysis of Rookie Wide Receivers 08:43

  • Jalen Polk presents an intriguing opportunity due to his skill set and potential immediate playing time in the NFL.
  • The Fantasy Footballers express optimism about Polk’s chances to succeed, given his opportunity.
  • The potential of rookies like Jaylen Polk and Roman Wilson is highlighted, emphasizing their opportunities to excel in the NFL due to favorable circumstances and team needs.
  • There is excitement about the fantasy possibilities tied to Jalen Polk if he performs well.
  • Roman Wilson is highlighted as a promising prospect for the Pittsburgh Steelers, with praise for his skills and fit within the team.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers‘ historical success in drafting wide receivers is discussed, underscoring the team’s ability to find talent even in later rounds.
  • Roman Wilson is identified as a pro-ready receiver with exceptional speed and exceptional hands, making him a promising player for the Steelers.
  • The Steelers’ track record of drafting successful wide receivers is lauded, with Wilson seen as a continuation of this trend.

“Roman Wilson is really good. He’s got exceptional speed and I think the best or the second-best hands in the draft class.”

“Like what if it works out with him and Drake May? And this is instant week one opportunity, like should be running the most snaps of the wide receiver core.”

Zay Jones‘s Impact on the Arizona Cardinals 13:44

Impactful Background Story of Roman Wilson 13:09

  • Roman Wilson’s background story, including his daily commute by plane to attend school, showcases his dedication and commitment.
  • Zade Jones’s signing by the Arizona Cardinals is seen as a strategic move to bolster their wide receiver corps, especially considering their lack of depth in previous seasons.
  • The unique journey of Wilson prior to his NFL career indicates his strong work ethic and perseverance.
  • Jones is viewed as a valuable addition due to his ability to contribute immediately and potentially elevate the team’s receiving options.
  • The Fantasy Footballers believe Wilson’s personal story adds to his allure as a player.

“Zade Jones is a better real-life wide receiver today than Michael Wilson, adding depth and skill to the Cardinals’ roster.”

Dynasty Draft Tips and Rookie Sleepers 15:55

  • Sean Payton expressed uncertainty about the running back situation, implying no clear RB1 at this stage.

Dynasty Draft Analysis 15:55

  • Coaches often designate RB1 early on, but Payton’s approach leaves room for competition.
  • Sean Payton’s uncertainty regarding the starting running back position indicates a potential competition during the offseason.
  • The additions of McLaughlin, P. Ryan, and Guestemay add complexity to evaluating Javante Williams.
  • Despite Williams’ potential, his performance post-injury remains a question mark.
  • Payton’s approach differs from other coaches who often unequivocally endorse players at the start of the offseason.

“You cannot dismiss 50 receptions… technically, because we’ll see a P. Ryan on the team.”

Evaluating Javonte Williams in Dynasty Leagues 19:25

  • Javante Williams’ prospects are uncertain despite his previous performance and potential, given the incoming competition.
  • Trading Williams in a dynasty league may not be advisable given his uncertain value.
  • The analysis implies that Williams’ future role will be decided based on his performance and recovery from injury.
  • Despite potential trade offers, holding onto Williams for upside could be more beneficial.
  • Speculation on Williams’ future performance and worth within a dynasty league continues to fluctuate.

“Sean Payton’s approach of ‘we’ll go by what we see’ hints at potential changes in the running back lineup, creating uncertainty for Javante Williams.”

Valuing Rookies in a Dynasty Startup Draft 29:31

  • Evaluating rookies in a dynasty startup draft involves personal scouting, watching film to form opinions on their potential, assessing historical data, and considering draft capital to project their future production.

Valuing Rookies in a Dynasty Startup Draft 29:31

  • These factors help in making informed decisions on where to rank rookies compared to established players in a startup draft.
  • Evaluating rookies in a dynasty startup draft involves personal scouting, watching film, assessing historical data, and considering draft capital to project their potential production in the league.

“If you’re evaluating rookies, we scout them personally. So we watch a ton of film and we declare our opinions are like, I think this guy’s really, really good or he’s average or he’s below average.”

Valuing Rookies in Dynasty Football 30:30

  • The advice is to have fun and draft players you believe in and want to root for in your team rather than solely focusing on veterans.

Evaluating Rookie Dynasty Value 30:30

  • Consider your gut feeling about a player alongside statistical analysis when drafting rookies over veterans.
  • Valuing rookies in dynasty involves balancing potential with the understanding that not all picks will pan out for immediate impact.
  • Playing the percentages based on historical draft capital spots is crucial when assessing rookie value in dynasty football.
  • Selecting rookies based on personal belief and rooting interest can add an extra layer of enjoyment to your fantasy football experience.

“Get guys who you believe in, get guys you want to root for on your team.”

Jared Goff‘s Dynasty Outlook 32:00

“Don’t get carried away versus players who are not aging out. Have fun and get guys you believe in, guys you want to root for.”

  • Jared Goff signed a lucrative four-year extension worth $212 million, showing the Lions’ commitment to him.

Jared Goff‘s Contract Extension Impact 31:37

  • Despite criticisms, Goff’s consistency in producing solid fantasy numbers against weak defenses makes him a reliable option in certain matchups.
  • Jared Goff‘s lucrative four-year, $212 million extension, including $170 million guaranteed, raises questions about his future performance and value in dynasty leagues.
  • Comparing Goff to Tua Tagovailoa, while Goff may offer better predictability in good starts, Tua still has a higher potential to become an every week quarterback.
  • Despite the substantial financial commitment from the Lions, doubts remain about Goff’s potential to consistently deliver fantasy success.

“I think there’s, Tua still has a higher chance of becoming an every week quarterback. I don’t think Jared Goff is ever going to become that for fantasy.”

Jared Goff just signed a four-year deal worth $212 million, with $170 million guaranteed. That’s a lot of money.”

Historical Performance of Third Round Quarterbacks in NFL 33:51

Historical Performance of Third Round Quarterbacks 35:22

  • Discussing the track record of third-round quarterbacks in the NFL, where few have achieved long-term success, primarily serving as competition or backup quarterbacks.
  • Reflecting on past third-round quarterback selections reveals a mix of varying outcomes, with few quarterbacks establishing themselves as long-term starters.
  • Examining notable third-round quarterback picks in recent years like Desmond Ritter and analyzing their potential in the league.
  • The discussion highlights the uncertainty surrounding drafting quarterbacks in the third round and the lack of a guaranteed path to becoming a starter.

“You were drafted in the third round of the NFL draft and you may never start a game. That sucks.”

Dynasty Running Back Evaluation 37:33

  • Kenneth Walker is viewed as a potential sell-high candidate due to uncertainties regarding Seattle’s new offensive system and his role.

Dynasty Draft Strategies and Player Comparison 37:33

  • Contrastingly, Joe Mixon‘s situation in Houston seems more stable with a recent contract extension, suggesting a safer bet for dynasty value.
  • Kenneth Walker is being discussed as a potential sell-high candidate due to uncertainties about the new offensive system in Seattle.
  • Age, contract length, and the player’s team situation are crucial factors to consider when assessing running backs in dynasty leagues.
  • Evaluating running backs should consider factors like age, contract length, and surrounding team situations.

Kenneth Walker is a decent sell-high candidate, especially considering uncertainties around the new offensive system in Seattle.”

Future Draft Class Valuation in Dynasty Football 43:03

  • Joe Mixon, though not as explosive as Walker, benefits from a stable situation with promising contract terms in Cincinnati.

Joe Mixon is not as explosive as Kenneth Walker but benefits from a favorable team situation.

  • In dynasty football, current draft classes are generally considered more valuable than future ones due to the immediate impact and potential player value.

Assessing Running Backs in Dynasty Leagues 39:26

  • Attempting to predict the quality of future draft classes is challenging and often unreliable, making current picks more desirable in the present.
  • Kenneth Walker‘s value is debated against players like Jonathan Brooks, James Cook, Trey Benson, and Rashad White.
  • Astute dynasty managers prioritize taking advantage of the tangible value offered by picks in the current draft class over speculative assessments of future drafts.
  • Walker’s potential as a sell-high candidate is explored in light of uncertainties around his role in Seattle’s new offensive system.

“A first round pick this year is worth more than a first round pick next year by a lot, always take a bird in hand approach in dynasty.”

To me, going through that, I think Kenneth Walker is a decent sell-high candidate, especially considering we don’t know what this new offensive system will look like in Seattle.

Assessing Running Back Performance and Predictions 42:00

Value of Current Draft Class vs. Future Draft Classes in Dynasty Leagues 43:03

  • The unpredictable nature of future draft classes makes current picks more valuable in dynasty leagues.
  • The discussion delves into assessing running back Joe Mixon‘s potential performance, including his past longest runs and the importance of receiving targets.
  • A first-round pick in the current year holds more weight than a pick in subsequent years due to the immediate production it offers.
  • Emphasis is placed on Mixon’s need to receive significant targets to avoid underperforming and fulfill his potential in the upcoming season.

Always take a bird in hand approach in dynasty. A first round pick this year is worth more than a first round pick next year.

  • The quarterback position is considered more predictable this year due to the expectation of several good quarterbacks.
  • Despite predictions, unexpected breakouts like Joe Burrow and Jayden Daniels challenge the perceived lack of elite quarterbacks in future drafts.

Rookie Draft Strategy Considerations During Dynasty Drafts

  • It’s crucial to consider the value of rookie picks in relation to current roster strength before acquiring them for future drafts.

Yeah, like when Joe Burrow breaks out and no one expected that.

Managing Rookie Picks 45:34

  • Having too many rookie picks may lead to roster management challenges, as each new pick requires cutting an existing player from the roster, potentially providing opportunities for other managers to scoop up released talent.
  • Owning too many rookie picks can lead to roster management challenges as picks need roster spots.
  • Evaluating the value of each rookie pick against the players on the current roster is crucial to make informed decisions on whether to keep the pick or trade it for future picks.
  • Prioritize rookie picks if they bring more value than existing roster players, otherwise consider trading for future picks to maintain roster strength.

So here’s the problem with too many rookie picks and sometimes you don’t think about it.

  • It’s essential to assess if a rookie pick adds more value than the current roster player that would need to be dropped to make room for the new pick.

Trading Hollywood Brown 46:51

“Here’s the problem with too many rookie picks…sometimes you don’t think about it. You do have to cut your roster for all the picks you’ve got.”

  • Timing the trade of Marquise Brown, especially post-suspension news, can maximize his trade value.

Timing Roster Moves for Enhanced Player Value

  • Consider trading before the season to account for potential performance fluctuations and contract situations.
  • The market evaluation after a crucial event like a suspension can significantly impact a player’s trade value.
  • Trading a player like Hollywood Brown after any suspension announcement concerning another player might maximize his trade value due to the anticipation surrounding the suspension-shortened games.

I would trade Hollywood Brown the day after Rashi Rice’s suspension gets handed down.

Acquiring Derek Henry for a Championship Push 49:17

  • Evaluating potential trades for Derek Henry should consider the significance of a championship push.
  • Giving up a first-round pick for Derek Henry could be reasonable for a team aiming for a championship title.

“I would trade Hollywood Brown the day after Rashi Rice’s suspension gets handed down. It’s coming and it’s gonna be four or six or eight… it’s going to be some amount of games that gives people a pretty good amount of excitement over a Hollywood start of the year.”

Assessing Player Value in Dynasty Trades

  • The trade value for a player like Derek Henry can be high due to his impact on a championship-contending team.

I think Derek Henry is worth a first and a first is worth Derek Henry.

  • In dynasty leagues, consider trading star players like Derek Henry for future first-round picks if your team is not a championship contender.

Dynasty Trade Strategies 52:17

  • To succeed in dynasty leagues, look for opportunities to trade players strategically to enhance your team’s value.
  • Identifying teams that are in need of specific players can help you make valuable trades and improve your roster for the long term.
  • In dynasty leagues, if your team isn’t in a position to win a championship, consider trading top-tier players like Derek Henry for future first-round picks to build for the future.

“Derek Henry in every dynasty league right now should be either on a championship winning team or traded for a first because someone will do it.”

  • Identifying teams that are in contention and in need of your players can help you extract maximum value in dynasty league trades.

Strategic Trading Approaches 52:39

“Derek Henry in every dynasty league right now should be either on a championship winning team or traded for a first because someone will do it.”

Advanced Trading Tactics 52:30

  • Elevate your trade offers in dynasty leagues by targeting teams that are actively striving to win and are in need of the players you possess.
  • To excel in dynasty league trades, focus on targeting teams that are aiming for a title run and require the players you possess.
  • Take advantage of the Thursday show’s trade insights, focusing on valuable trade targets and players to consider trading away in dynasty leagues.
  • Crafting well-thought-out trade offers that align with the needs of other teams can lead to successful deals in dynasty leagues.

“You have to be a little bit more just next level on your trade offers.”

  • Being proactive in seeking out beneficial trade opportunities can significantly impact your team’s success and future prospects.

Evaluating Trade Offers 53:18

  • Discerning between advantageous and unfavorable trade proposals is crucial in dynasty leagues.

“You have to be a little bit more just next level on your trade offers.”

Evaluating Trade Offers 53:01

“It was an attempt to trade me. I think it was Amari Cooper coming my way. And I give up Lockett and a 1-2-3.”

https://www.thefantasyfootballers.com/episodes/dynasty-draft-tips-rookie-sleepers/

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