I was so close to landing back-to-back NBA Mega Parlay winners last night, but the LA Clippers decided to ruin our bet. I’m hoping to bounce back on Monday as 6 more NBA games are being played. I’ve mixed things up a bit, continue reading below to see which 3 games are in my bet.
Head over to our NBA predictions page for picks on the spread and total for Monday’s action.
Now let’s dive into my bet!
BOS Celtics -3 (-114)
UTA Jazz ML (+350)
Over 226.5 Pts in Suns vs Clippers (-110)
Parlay odds: +1512
BOS Celtics -3 vs IND Pacers (-114)
The Pacers and Celtics just met over the weekend in Indiana and the men in green were by far the superior team coming out on top 118-101. Whenever you have a game between two vastly different teams, siding with the one that plays defense is the better idea most of the time. The Celtics are ranked 2nd in defensive efficiency, while Indiana is down all the way in 26th. Boston has held the Pacers to 104, 122 and 101 points in the 3 meetings so far this season, so I really fancy their chances in tonight’s game.
Tatum and co. are on a run of 8 wins in 9 games, they’ve beaten the Pacers in 4 of the last 5 meetings as well and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road. The duo of Jrue Holiday and Derrick White is one of the toughest backcourts in the NBA defensively, they held Tyrese Haliburton to just 17 points and 7 assists in Saturday’s meeting. If the Cs can keep the Indy point guard in check once again, they should be fine here.
Check out my Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers Predictions
UTA Jazz ML vs MIL Bucks (+350)
Although they are currently 2nd in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks are off to a disappointing start to 2024 with just 1 win in 4 games. That win came against the San Antonio Spurs, who aren’t all that good. Milwaukee also failed to cover the spread in that game, so overall my level of concern is high for this team. Head coach Adrian Griffin has come under a lot of criticism lately, this team used to be one of the best on the defensive end in years past, but right now they find themselves only in 19th in defensive efficiency.
During the regular season that might not matter all that much, but come playoff time when the game slows down teams will exploit your weaknesses on that end. The Jazz have been in a good groove lately, they are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games and are scoring at a very high clip in those games (119.9 points per game). Their injury situation is one of the best in the NBA and with the Bucks missing Damian Lillard and Cameron Payne here, I think the Jazz can score enough to hang with the Bucks. And who knows, maybe the can pull off the upset win as well. At +350 odds, I think this bet is definitely worth exploring.
Over 226.5 Pts in Suns vs Clippers (-110)
And finally, I have the Suns and Clippers going over the total to conclude my Parlay. Last night, I hade both teams to cover the spread and both of them failed me. So this will be a 2nd night of a back-to-back for both sides, both of them are averaging an identical 116 points per game in this scenario.
If we look at head-to-head meetings, backing the over looks like a really solid bet. In total 6 of the last 10 meetings have gone over (including 4 of the 5 more recently), plus an average of 231 points per game have been scored in those 10 games. LA ranks 8th in offensive efficiency (117.8), while the Suns are 11th (116.4). Teams usually don’t defend well in games played without any rest, so I think we’ll see at least 230 points scored here. Back the over.
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