Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 2/29: 3-Leg Parlay at mega +869 odds – Miami Heat win on Leap Day

Just 3 days ago I was able to cash on a +1139 odds NBA Mega Parlay and with an 8-game slate on Leap Day I’m going at it again! TNT will have a double-header featuring the Warriors vs Knicks and Heat vs Nuggets games, I’ve made an effort to include both games into my bet. Continue reading below to see who else is in.

I’d also recommend you to head over to our NBA Picks page for predictions on the side and total on other Thursday games.

Let’s dive into my bet now!

MIL Bucks -12 (-110)

GS Warriors -4 (-110)

MIA Heat ML (+166)

NBA Mega Parlay odds: +869

MIL Bucks -12 vs CHA Hornets (-110)

The match-up between the Bucks and Hornets has been a one-sided affair for a while now with 7 of the last 10 meetings going the Bucks way. These two teams actually just played each other on Tuesday night and Milwaukee dominated 123-85 in front of the home fans. It was their 3rd win in 3 regular season meetings, they won the other two by 31 and 36 points.

Since the All-Star break Giannis and co. are a perfect 3-0 SU, the improvements made on the defensive end are quite noticeable with those 3 opponents averaging just 96.6 points. Khris Middleton is the only absentee with an ankle injury, but the disparity in talent is just too big here and I don’t think that’ll be an issue. Milwaukee has gone 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, I’m taking the Bucks to cover the spread to start off our parlay.

GS Warriors -4 vs NY Knicks (-110)

The Knicks are just struggling right now, not because they’re bad, they simply have just too many players out with injuries. Jalen Brunson was the latest victim to go out on Tuesday and it showed on the court as the Pelicans ran them over 115-92 at MSG. Brunson joined the already injured Julius Randle, OG Anunoby and Isaiah Hartenstein on the sidelines. These players combine for over 70 points per game and it’s just hard to imagine the Knicks reserves being able to produce enough points to make up for it.

Meanwhile, the Warriors don’t have as many injury issues. The only problem is Andrew Wiggins who is dealing with a personal issue, they just got back Chris Paul from a hand injury after he missed 23 games. His comeback will be a big lift for a team that’s struggled a bit with their ball handling. Stephen Curry had a poor showing on Tuesday, but they still beat the Wizards by 11 points. Madison Square Garden is one of his favorite venues to play at, so I expect Curry to bounce back here and the Warriors to extend the Knicks misery.

MIA Heat ML vs DEN Nuggets (+166)

There’s definitely something different about this Miami Heat team since the All-Star break. They’ve won all 3 of their games, extending the win streak to 5 in a row. They’ve covered the spread in 8 straight, including 6 in a row away from home. Tonight they match-up with the team that beat them in the Finals last season and what better motivating factor than that for Jimmy Butler and his teammates. In their last 6 visits to Ball Arena, the Heat are just 1-6 SU, while in the last 11 meetings the Nuggets have beaten them 10 times.

Denver is also on a solid run winning all 3 games after the break, Nikola Jokic is just messing around and getting triple-doubles on a nightly basis. He destroyed the Heat in the finals, so I’m expecting head coach Erik Spoelstra to game plan around stopping the big fella here. If anyone can do it, it’s the Miami Heat. They have the 7th best defensive rating in the NBA and unlike many other teams in the NBA, they’ve flipped their playoff mode switch as soon as the all-star weekend finished. Let’s go for the upset here.

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