2024 NFL Draft: Wide Receiver Landing Spots (Fantasy Football)

Rome Odunze poses with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected ninth overall by the Chicago Bears during the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza on April 25, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan.

The 2024 NFL Draft boasts an exceptional pool of highly talented wide receiver prospects. In fact, this year’s class is widely regarded as the deepest and most skilled in the past decade. From top to bottom, the group of pass catchers features individuals with tremendous potential, many of whom are poised to make an immediate impact in the upcoming season.

After a few days to reflect on the draft capital and landing spots of these coveted prospects, it is officially time to assess how well they fit into their new teams. Buckle up as we drive full speed into the landing spots of every wide receiver drafted in 2024, offering dynasty managers insights to either spark excitement for their prospects or urge caution in rookie drafts.

Editor’s NoteFor a complete look at each WR’s production profile and our rookie rankings for Dynasty, check out the Dynasty Pass part of the Ultimate Draft Kit+.

Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals

Round 1, Pick 4

The term “generational prospect” is often used too loosely, but Marvin Harrison Jr. truly embodies what it should represent. As the son of a Hall of Famer, Harrison Jr. has been groomed from a young age with the skills and mindset of a professional. This is evident in his polished route running and his demeanor both on and off the field. Harrison Jr. boasts the ideal combination of size, athleticism, and speed to excel as a dominant X wide receiver from day one in the NFL.

Fantasy Outlook

Harrison Jr. is the kind of prospect that you would dream of selecting in rookie drafts regardless of his landing spot, but it is hard to imagine a more ideal situation for maximizing his potential than in Arizona. The Cardinals have a pressing need for a true primary wide receiver, especially after losing Marquise Brown. Last season, Brown accounted for 19% of the team’s targets. Harrison Jr. will step into this void as Kyler Murray‘s primary target, and Murray is widely regarded as one of the league’s most talented quarterbacks.

While Michael Wilson and Greg Dortch will vie for targets in the receiving corps, Trey McBride is the main competition for Harrison Jr. However, despite a tremendous breakout season in 2023, McBride’s touchdown production has been modest, with fewer than five touchdowns in any collegiate season and only three last year despite 11 red zone targets. This offers Harrison Jr. a prime opportunity to excel in scoring situations, which is crucial for his fantasy football outlook. It is worth noting that he hauled in 14 touchdowns in consecutive seasons at Ohio State to cap off his collegiate career.

Overall, Harrison Jr.’s pathway to both immediate and long-term success appears exceptionally promising, positioning him to establish himself as one of the greatest wide receiver prospects of our generation.

Malik Nabers, New York Giants

Round 1, Pick 6

Malik Nabers is an incredibly exciting prospect, often overlooked as the second most coveted wide receiver in this class, yet he would be the standout talent in many other drafts. While he may not possess all the physical attributes of Harrison Jr. to dominate as an X receiver in the NFL, Nabers brings a rare skill set that sets him apart. He boasts superior speed, explosiveness, and playmaking ability with the ball in his hands. Nabers is versatile, capable of lining up anywhere on the field, and has a knack for turning any catch into an electric, game-changing play. These are precisely the attributes that fantasy managers should be drooling over in a wide receiver prospect.

Fantasy Outlook

While Nabers failed to land in as glamorous of a situation as Harrison Jr., the New York Giants offer a more intriguing opportunity than meets the eye. Despite lacking an elite quarterback, the offense has been in search of an elite primary pass catcher since Odell Beckham Jr.’s departure in 2019. Although Nabers has yet to step foot on an NFL field, he appears poised to immediately fill that role. 

The absence of Sterling Shepard and Parris Campbell in 2024 will free up approximately 11% of the team’s targets. Additionally, Darren Waller‘s retirement announcement opens up an even larger opportunity for the incoming rookie. Currently, within the Giants’ receiving corps consisting of Darius Slayton, Jalin Hyatt, and Wan’Dale Robinson, none are projected to command substantial target volume, positioning Nabers as the primary candidate to lead the team in opportunities as a rookie. Notably, the Giants were the only NFL team last season without a single pass-catcher surpassing 21% targets per route run.

Nabers has the potential to step in immediately as the top target earner and could be the solution and savior the team has been longing for. This scenario offers a promising opportunity for Nabers to make a substantial impact early in his NFL career, despite being part of a projected underperforming offense.

Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears

Round 1, Pick 9

Rome Odunze is another talented wide receiver prospect who has garnered the coveted top-10 draft capital we hoped for. Often considered the third most intriguing wideout in his class, Odunze possesses an ideal blend of size, speed, and polished route running that bodes well for his NFL prospects. While comparisons to Davante Adams may be overstated, Odunze’s performance at the University of Washington was remarkable, tallying 92 receptions for 1,640 yards and 13 touchdowns last season. While it remains to be seen if he can dominate NFL defenders as effortlessly as he did in college, Odunze certainly possesses the tools and resume to succeed at the professional level if all goes as planned.

Fantasy Outlook

Unlike the previous two prospects, Odunze’s immediate NFL outlook is somewhat uncertain. Drafted by the Chicago Bears, Odunze will have the opportunity to play alongside incoming rookie phenom Caleb Williams. While Williams is highly regarded as an elite quarterback prospect, he has yet to take an NFL snap and is expected to face typical rookie challenges in his first professional season. It is uncommon for a rookie quarterback to immediately elevate the fantasy potential of his receiving assets, although CJ Stroud notably did so last season with Tank Dell and Nico Collins. Relying on Williams to achieve similar success in his first professional season carries risk, despite his immense potential.

Adding to the challenge, Odunze enters an offense already featuring DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, and Cole Kmet. All three are established playmakers who command significant targets. It is difficult to envision Odunze surpassing Allen or Moore in target share next season, barring injury. While Darnell Mooney‘s departure leaves behind 13% of available targets, Allen’s arrival diminishes the opportunity for available volume.

Despite facing immediate obstacles in the 2024 season, Odunze’s long-term prospects could be extremely promising if he succeeds in the NFL. Sharing the same draft class as his future quarterback, the two have the potential to form a formidable duo for years to come. With Allen’s distinguished career likely nearing its end soon, Odunze could be poised to step into the spotlight and thrive.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars

Round 1, Pick 23

Looking for a 6’3” wide receiver prospect with a blazing 4.33 40-time? Brian Thomas Jr. certainly fits the bill. While he is not flawless, Thomas Jr. possesses all the intangibles to become an elite vertical threat at the next level. Despite playing sidekick to Malik Nabers at LSU, Thomas Jr. led the nation in receiving touchdowns with 17 in 2023. He showcases outstanding ball-tracking ability and, though his route tree may be somewhat limited, his agility and athleticism suggest that he can refine his routes to expand his game. Selected in the first round, Thomas Jr. aims to be an immediate contributor, poised to unleash splash plays at any moment.

Fantasy Outlook

With such rare intangibles to excel as a vertical threat in the NFL, it is crucial for Thomas Jr. to have a quarterback with a strong arm capable of delivering deep passes with accuracy and force. Fortunately, he will benefit from playing alongside Trevor Lawrence to begin his career. While Lawrence has not fully met the lofty expectations set for him entering the league, he still possesses special arm strength and talent. Thomas Jr. seems poised to capitalize on his passing abilities and hopefully emerge as Lawrence’s go-to target in the offense.

However, Thomas Jr. will face tough competition for opportunities in his debut season. The Jaguars boast a talented group of pass catchers headlined by Christian Kirk and Evan Engram. Last season, Engram led all tight ends in receptions and targets with 114 and 143, coming just two catches shy of breaking Zach Ertz‘s single-season reception record set in 2018. With the addition of Gabe Davis, it is evident that targets will be spread across multiple players in this offense. Davis also appears to play a similar role to Thomas Jr., adding another potential layer of complexity to the situation. While the departure of Calvin Ridley creates 22% vacated targets, there are still more target earners than ideal for an incoming rookie. Fortunately, the team’s surprising decision to release Zay Jones will create additional opportunities, given that Jones has seen 70 or more targets in consecutive seasons.

Overall, Thomas Jr. is an exciting prospect with the potential to become a star in the league. However, his rookie year may be defined as boom-or-bust due to his ability to capitalize on deep ball plays and the potential for limited targets in certain game scripts.

Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs

Round 1, Pick 28

Do you have a need for speed? Well, Xavier Worthy brings a record-setting 4.21 40-yard dash time to the table. Beyond being a blazing presence on the field, Worthy boasts a polished route tree and exceptional agility. These attributes make him a challenging cover for defenders both before and after the catch. Despite his slight frame being a bit of a red flag, if defenders cannot come close to catching him once he has the ball, does his weight really matter?

Fantasy Outlook

Not many incoming rookie wide receivers have the luxury of catching passes from potentially the greatest quarterback in NFL history. Patrick Mahomes is undeniably the league’s best quarterback and is currently in his prime. Any player who joins Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs during their historical run should consider themselves extremely fortunate. However, the Chiefs’ offense has undergone significant changes in recent seasons.

After proving they could remain a powerhouse following Tyreek Hill‘s departure, the looming question is how the team will fare after Travis Kelce‘s eventual retirement. With that said, Kelce recently signed a contract extension, delaying retirement rumors for now. The notable departures from the offense include Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mecole Hardman Jr., and Richie James, who accounted for a combined 13% of the team’s targets last season. The Chiefs also acquired Marquise Brown in free agency, possessing a somewhat similar skill set to Worthy. It will be intriguing to see whom Mahomes targets more between these two new weapons in the upcoming season.

In addition to Brown, Worthy will compete for targets with Kelce and last season’s promising rookie, Rashee Rice. Rice emerged as the primary target late last season, earning the full trust of his quarterback and coach. Unfortunately, he was also involved in an off-field incident that will likely result in a multi-game suspension next season. Worthy will need to start strong if Rice is sidelined, potentially establishing himself as the more promising option between the two moving forward.

While Mahomes is known for his magical plays, some players have not fulfilled their potential despite playing with a quarterback of his caliber, such as Skyy Moore, Mecole Hardman, and Kadarius Toney. However, Worthy is a far superior prospect, reducing concerns about his ability to transition to the pros. With his rare elite speed and first-round talent, Worthy has the potential to become the closest thing Patrick Mahomes has had to Tyreek Hill in this offense, provided he fulfills his full potential.

Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers

Round 1, Pick 31

Ricky Pearsall is an intriguing prospect, especially now that he has received unexpected first-round draft capital. Despite concerns about his underwhelming production profile, late breakout age, and approaching 24th birthday in September, Pearsall offers promise with his exceptional route-running, reliable hands, and sneaky speed and athleticism. His smooth footwork and impressive body control suggest he could excel as a highly productive slot receiver at the next level.

Fantasy Outlook

While Pearsall currently looks like a strong complement to Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel in the 49ers’ offense, his role could soon expand even further. Recent rumors suggest the team may be considering trading one of their star wide receivers. If such a trade were to happen, it would pave the way for Pearsall to assume a more pivotal role within the offense, which many had not anticipated. Assuming one of them departs before the season begins, Pearsall would compete for targets alongside the remaining wide receiver, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey. It is worth noting that these trade rumors have recently tapered off a bit, as the team continues to work towards resolving their situation.

Regardless of future developments, Pearsall seems poised to play a significant role in this lethal offense. Kyle Shanahan has a track record of crafting game plans that maximize his players’ diverse skill sets, which bodes well for Pearsall’s potential success at the next level. It is worth emphasizing that the team’s decision to use their first-round pick on Pearsall comes at a pivotal time, suggesting a strong endorsement of his abilities amidst potentially significant roster changes.

Pairing Pearsall’s route-running precision with quarterback Brock Purdy‘s elite efficiency could create a seamless match on the field. If Shanahan continues his knack for uncovering diamonds in the rough, Pearsall might just emerge as the next unexpected star in the Bay Area.

Xavier Legette, Carolina Panthers

Round 1, Pick 32

It is exceedingly rare, if not completely unprecedented, for a prospect to transition from multiple seasons of limited production to sudden stardom as a fifth-year senior. However, not all prospects are like the legend that is South Carolina’s Xavier Legette. Despite four years of mediocrity, Legette boasts a captivating athletic profile that finally translated into commendable production in his final year with the program. 

Whether Legette found a magical bean or was granted a wish from a genie in a bottle, something truly remarkable happened to him before the 2023 season. Despite having never received 30 or more targets or producing over 200 receiving yards in any of the four seasons prior, Legette emerged as the focal point of South Carolina’s offense, becoming a formidable force. Remarkably, he accumulated more receiving yards in the first four games of the 2023 season than he had in the previous four seasons combined. By season’s end, he amassed 71 receptions for 1,255 yards and seven touchdowns. 

After securing desired first-round draft capital, all eyes will be on the incoming rookie to maintain the momentum from his dominant final season, despite ending up in a potentially unfavorable landing spot.

Fantasy Outlook

Despite possessing several intriguing traits as a prospect, it is difficult to overlook the numerous red flags surrounding Legette. His unique production profile, combined with his exceptional athleticism, prompts consideration of two divergent paths. In one scenario, Legette seamlessly transitions his dominance from his fifth year of college into the NFL. Alternatively, it is conceivable that his enigmatic 2023 season was akin to a Cinderella story, destined to fade away once the clock strikes midnight.

This possibility appears even more daunting after landing with the Carolina Panthers. Bryce Young is coming off of a historically poor rookie season, showing little promise, and he failed to click with last year’s second-round pick, Jonathan Mingo. Similar to Legette, Mingo struggled as a separator in college and relied instead on physical strength to overpower defenders, which often does not translate to the next level. Ultimately, Legette will need to prove himself a far superior prospect to Mingo and continue expanding his game.

Despite DJ Chark‘s departure creating 12% more available targets, the offense made significant acquisitions to support their young quarterback. This included trading for Diontae Johnson, who should immediately step in as the team’s WR1. Carolina also addressed their tight end and running back issues by drafting University of Texas standouts Ja’Tavion Sanders and Jonathon Brooks. These new additions will join Adam Thielen and Mingo as the primary pass catchers in the offense. Unless Young takes a major step forward in the upcoming season, it is difficult to envision all of these assets being reliable fantasy options in 2024.

With his imposing size and elite athletic abilities, Legette’s ceiling could rival that of players like AJ Brown or DK Metcalf. However, even in this most optimistic scenario, it is highly unlikely that Legette will reach the WR1 status of either player in fantasy football. Nevertheless, his boom-or-bust potential is undeniable, with the capability to deliver a home run play and outrun an entire field of defenders at any moment.

Keon Coleman, Buffalo Bills

Round 2, Pick 1 (33)

Keon Coleman is a tantalizing prospect with a tremendous athletic profile, despite disappointing slightly with his 40-yard dash time at the combine. A former standout basketball player, Coleman specializes in contested catches that could be deemed above the rim. While he possesses great size and athletic traits, his lack of elite speed is evident in his route running and ability to separate from defenders. This could potentially limit his effectiveness against zone coverage and physical NFL defenders. While acknowledging his limitations, watching Coleman’s tape will leave you truly mesmerized by the remarkable catches he makes, demonstrating a Superman-like ability.

Fantasy Outlook

Despite the red flags in Coleman’s production profile, it is difficult to imagine a better landing spot for him to maximize his immense potential. Being drafted by the Buffalo Bills at the beginning of the second round is a dream come true. He will be playing alongside Josh Allen, whose tremendous arm talent complements Coleman’s contested catch ability admirably. With the Bills seeking a replacement for the disgruntled superstar Stefon Diggs, traded earlier this offseason, Coleman was clearly drafted to help fill those shoes.

Coleman will not only have the luxury of playing with one of the league’s top quarterbacks but also in an offense with ample opportunities up for grabs. Stefon Diggs commanded a massive target share of 29%, while the now departed Gabe Davis, Trent Sherfield, and Deonte Harty combined for 21%. With few additions besides the incoming rookie to the offense, there is a legitimate chance that he could emerge as the WR1 in his debut season. His primary competition for targets includes Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, and free agent acquisition Curtis Samuel. While Shakir and Samuel are talented wide receivers, neither seems poised to take on the true WR1 role. Coleman, with his size, athletic traits, and now draft capital, stands out as a potential candidate for this role.

Regardless of whether you were high on Coleman as a prospect or not, the potential for tremendous success in his new environment is undeniable. He might experience a trajectory akin to Quentin Johnston last year, where despite the seemingly perfect landing spot, he fell short of meeting lofty expectations. Personally, I believe Dalton Kincaid will make a significant leap as Josh Allen‘s primary weapon in 2024 and beyond. However, it would be unwise to overlook the opportunity that awaits Coleman in his rookie season.

Ladd McConkey, Los Angeles Chargers

Round 2, Pick 2 (34)

Despite having a limited production profile, Ladd McConkey stands out as one of the premier route runners in this year’s class, showcasing elite speed and exceptional footwork. His remarkable body control and sharp football IQ enable him to adeptly exploit defenses, whether facing man-to-man or zone coverages. This innate talent makes him a quarterback’s best friend, consistently finding openings on the field.

While not possessing an imposing physical stature, McConkey’s ability to outmaneuver and manipulate defenders compensates for any strength limitations. Moreover, he boasts enough speed to outrun most defenders and has strong hands at the catch point. Beyond his crisp route running, McConkey is a dynamic threat with the ball in his hands, demonstrating remarkable agility, body control, and elusiveness.

Fantasy Outlook

I don’t like this landing spot. I love it, love it, love it. The Los Angeles Chargers are in dire need of receiving help, and few quarterbacks in the league boast the arm talent and potential that Justin Herbert does. After relying heavily on Keenan Allen in past seasons, Herbert must now identify a new most trusted target in his reshaped offense. Allen commanded an impressive 24% of the team’s targets last season, presenting a significant opportunity for a new playmaker to emerge. The team has also lost key players like Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton, and Gerald Everett this offseason, further emphasizing the need for fresh talent to step up.

Attempting to fill the void alongside McConkey, the Chargers are forced to rely heavily on veteran Josh Palmer and last year’s underperforming first-round pick, Quentin Johnston. While Palmer has shown promise when healthy in past seasons and there is still a glimmer of hope for Johnston to bounce back, neither possesses the potential to impact games as McConkey does. The incoming rookie also shares a playing style reminiscent of Keenan Allen, potentially expediting on-field chemistry with Herbert. With a beefed-up offensive line providing more time for Herbert in the pocket, there is strong reason to believe that McConkey will emerge as the primary target in this offense. His uncanny ability to consistently get open could prove to be the charge that Los Angeles desperately needs to ignite their passing game.

Now, it is time to address the giant elephant in the room. The Chargers will have new coaching this season, poised to dramatically alter the offensive game plan. Now with Head Coach John Harbaugh and Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman expected to instill a winning culture in a team desperately in need of it, their history suggests a preference for low-passing-rate offenses that prioritize establishing the run. While this strategy may lead to winning football games, it does not necessarily translate well for fantasy football purposes. However, Justin Herbert is arguably the most talented quarterback either coach has worked with, and it would be a disservice to underutilize his exceptional arm talent. Therefore, I believe that although the team will emphasize the running game heavily in 2024, they will still throw the ball enough to support McConkey in the role I envision for him. This not only sets up a pathway for him to be an immediate fantasy contributor but also establishes a foundation for sustained success in the long term.

Ja’Lynn Polk, New England Patriots

Round 2, Pick 5 (37)

Although Ja’Lynn Polk was selected only a couple of picks after Keon Coleman and Ladd McConkey, he represents a new tier of wide receivers drafted in this class. Despite receiving higher-than-expected draft capital, Polk should be viewed more as a complementary piece in an offense rather than an immediate WR1 candidate. Nevertheless, there are many positive aspects to appreciate about this incoming rookie prospect.

Polk is a smooth runner with reliable hands, excelling at contested catches. His exceptional ball-tracking ability made him a formidable vertical threat while playing alongside Rome Odunze and Jalen McMillan at the University of Washington. Despite being part of a crowded offense in 2023, Polk showcased his chemistry with Michael Penix Jr., amassing 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns during the season. Although he lacks suddenness/burst, and brings little to the table after the catch, Polk projects as a valuable WR2 in the NFL who can stretch the field and serve as a reliable deep target.

Fantasy Outlook

While I mentioned earlier that Polk may not be equipped to be relied upon as an immediate WR1 candidate, he joins a team desperate for one. The New England Patriots have struggled since the end of the Tom Brady era, particularly on offense. They took the first step toward rebuilding by drafting Drake Maye as their quarterback for the present and future, along with adding a few intriguing weapons to support him. In addition to selecting Polk in the second round, the team brought in Javon Baker two rounds later. While Polk received higher draft capital, Baker is an exciting prospect with significant potential to become the primary wide receiver in this offense, as we will discuss further shortly.

In addition to Baker, Polk will primarily compete for targets with Demario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne, JuJu Smith-Schuster, KJ Osborn, and Hunter Henry. The team has several other unproven assets, but until they prove themselves, they are not worth mentioning. It is worth noting that Douglas was targeted on 23.6% of his routes last season as the primary option in the offense. However, this was likely out of necessity rather than a sustainable strategy. The key departure in the receiving room was DeVante Parker, freeing up 10% of the targets in the offense. The team is looking to establish a new identity in their first season without Bill Belichick as their head coach since 2000, and they are hoping that Polk and their other new rookies can play a significant role in that transformation.

Adonai Mitchell, Indianapolis Colts

Round 2, Pick 20 (52)

Adonai Mitchell entered the draft as a controversial prospect, with critics and supporters divided on his potential at the next level. While I have been pessimistic about his fantasy outlook in the NFL all offseason, it was still surprising to see his draft stock slip as low as it did. Mitchell possesses strong hands and elite speed for his size and displayed smooth running ability with flashes of brilliance throughout his collegiate career. However, concerns arise from his inconsistency in both production and effort at times, which has raised significant red flags in his profile.

For instance, while his performance against man coverage was not stellar by any means, Mitchell’s metrics took a notable dip against zone coverage in 2023. Despite running 270 routes against zone coverage, placing him near the top of the class, he saw targets on only 15.2% of these routes. Furthermore, his yards per route run against zone coverage averaged a meager 1.75, ranking him at the very bottom of the class. This discrepancy strongly suggests potential challenges for him at the next level.

Fantasy Outlook

Now that my negative evaluation of Mitchell as a prospect is behind us, it is time to discuss his landing spot. While slipping to the middle of the second round is not ideal, his potential opportunity with the Indianapolis Colts is actually quite promising. Mitchell, who excels on the outside with deep ball opportunities, may have found the perfect quarterback to maximize his potential in this area. Anthony Richardson boasts a cannon for an arm and is not afraid to take reckless shots downfield. Additionally, Richardson’s dual-threat ability keeps defenses honest, as they must be prepared for him to scramble for a big gain on any given play. This combination of circumstances could prove lucrative for Mitchell, enabling him to thrive as a vertical threat.

Moreover, Mitchell will benefit from playing alongside Michael Pittman Jr. during his rookie season. The team recently locked up their star wide receiver for the foreseeable future, and he commands significant defensive attention. This could create more opportunities for Mitchell as defenses focus on covering Pittman and the running game. Although the Colts have minimal vacated targets heading into 2024, their wide receiver depth beyond Pittman is lacking. Josh Downs and Alec Pierce are the other notable receivers on the depth chart, but neither commands a large share of targets. Furthermore, Indianapolis lacks a heavily featured tight end in their offense, which means more available targets for the wide receivers.

Ultimately, the opportunity is ripe for Mitchell to make an impact, despite being drafted after ten other wide receivers. It will be up to him to live up to his potential and become a reliable asset for the Colts. Mitchell might be best predicted to become a boom-or-bust option in fantasy lineups in 2024, primarily dependent on connecting for deep touchdowns. This prediction is supported by the fact that he only averaged 3.93 receptions per game in 2023 while maintaining an average of just over 60 yards per game. His reliance on splash plays with limited volume could still warrant flex appeal in the right matchups. Acknowledging this, the challenge lies in establishing himself as a true outlier, as most players heavily reliant on deep-ball receptions find it difficult to sustain consistent relevance as fantasy contributors.

Malachi Corley, New York Jets

Round 3, Pick 1 (65)

When evaluating a prospect from a smaller program with less challenging competition, caution is imperative in establishing realistic expectations for their performance at the next level. This rings especially true when a player is hailed as “the next Deebo Samuel owing to their supernatural knack for YAC. However, there are instances where players possess such extraordinary physical abilities that it becomes justifiable to anticipate continued dominance at the highest level of competition. Despite uncertainties surrounding the quality of his typical opposition, Malachi Corley from Western Kentucky University exhibited remarkable dominance, exceptional versatility, and glimpses of brilliance throughout his three full seasons with the program.

Fantasy Outlook

Being selected with the first pick of the third round by the New York Jets is a significant win for Corley. Despite having few key departures and vacated targets this offseason, the team currently possesses a relatively underwhelming receiver room. Aside from Garrett Wilson, who consistently commands over 27% of the team’s targets, the primary competition for opportunities consists of Mike Williams, Allen Lazard, and Tyler Conklin. This opens up a prime opportunity for Corley to step in as the team’s starting slot receiver to begin his rookie season. The fact that the team traded up to select Corley with this pick indicates that they envision him as a key part of their game plan for 2024.

Corley is a YAC specialist who thrives on physical contact after the catch. For him to succeed in fantasy football, he will require manufactured touches and screen passes to fully leverage his unique skill set. Playing alongside a creative future Hall of Fame quarterback like Aaron Rodgers should greatly benefit the incoming rookie. If given ample targets in this offense, I am confident that Corley could evolve into a valuable fantasy asset, particularly in PPR formats. Alternatively, he could be the next prospect compared to Deebo Samuel who fails to meet lofty expectations. Few players carry my hope for success as much as Corley does, and it is now up to him to prove that “the YAC King” can rise to dominate in the NFL.

Jermaine Burton, Cincinnati Bengals

Round 3, Pick 16 (80)

Jermaine Burton is an intriguing prospect whose limited production profile does not fully reflect his potential when evaluating his tape and metrics. He boasts remarkable athletic traits and possesses the route-running ability and size to challenge defenders at all three levels of the field. Burton particularly excels as a vertical threat, evidenced by his impressive average depth of target (aDOT) of 20.2 in 2023. While Burton specializes in making big plays, it remains to be seen whether he can thrive in a featured role within an NFL offense or be a reliable asset for fantasy football.

Fantasy Outlook

Burton is a prospect with an uncertain ceiling and floor at the next level, making draft capital and landing spot crucial factors for his future. With that said, it is extremely encouraging to see him receive day two draft capital and join the Cincinnati Bengals. With Joe Burrow‘s exceptional quarterback skills and arm talent, there is ample potential for Burton to thrive if he is thrust into a prominent role. 

Burrow, along with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, have formed a prolific trio that has been instrumental in the team’s offensive success. However, the future of this partnership may be in question due to trade rumors involving the disgruntled Higgins, with ongoing challenges in reaching a contract extension agreement. Despite the team using the franchise tag on Higgins, it appears unlikely that he will remain a part of the Bengals’ future plans. Additionally, the departure of Tyler Boyd frees up 17% of the team’s targets.

Given these circumstances, Burton has a prime opportunity to step in as the WR2 if the team finds a trade partner for Higgins. The other potential candidates for this role are relatively unproven talents like Andrei Iosivas and Charlie Jones. Although there are many uncertainties surrounding Burton’s future, he has the potential to become a valuable fantasy asset as early as the upcoming season if things align favorably for him.

Roman Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers

Round 3, Pick 20 (84)

Roman Wilson is an explosive athlete with dangerous speed and exceptional separation skills. He additionally showcases impressive body control and strong hands, which can translate into being a legitimate vertical threat in the NFL. With that said, he profiles more as a slot receiver in the pros due to his smaller stature, which may limit his effectiveness against more physical defenders. 

While Wilson’s production profile may not be as prolific as some other prospects in his class, he managed to score an impressive 12 touchdowns in 2023, a noteworthy achievement given his size. Additionally, he exhibits natural route-running ability with quick feet, showing potential to develop a more sophisticated route tree. Despite being an integral part of Michigan’s championship-winning team last season, Wilson represents a player who likely possesses untapped potential beyond what was required of him in college.

Fantasy Outlook

If there are three things I love in life, it is long walks on the beach, the smell of cookies straight out of the oven, and wide receiver prospects who are drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh has a history of uncovering legendary wide receiver talent in later rounds of the draft, with names like John Stallworth, Hines Ward, Antonio Brown, and Mike Wallace, to name a few. The team not only has a keen eye for spotting talent but also excels at developing potential into production. Roman Wilson could be the next success story for the franchise.

Wilson arrives at a promising time for the Steelers, especially after seasons of quarterback uncertainty following Ben Roethlisberger‘s retirement. With Russell Wilson and Justin Fields now leading the quarterback room in 2024, the team has a much stronger foundation. While Russell Wilson is expected to start, both quarterbacks have demonstrated their ability to support fantasy production from top weapons. Besides sharing a last name, Roman Wilson fits the mold of the type of wide receiver Russell Wilson prefers, resembling shades of Tyler Lockett in certain aspects.

The Steelers parted ways with Diontae Johnson this offseason, who commanded an 18% target market share in 2023. Wilson aims to fill a similar role that Johnson thrived in within this offense. Although he will compete for targets with George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth in 2024, serious competition for opportunities beyond them is scarce. While Calvin Austin shares similarities with Wilson, he does not possess the same caliber of talent. This should pave the way for Wilson to see significant snaps early and often in his career.

In summary, a great prospect with raw potential has joined a team known for developing wide receiver talent. While Wilson might face challenges reminiscent of college, including playing in a low-passing-volume offense or dealing with limitations due to his slight build, the future appears promising for this incoming rookie.

Jalen McMillan, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Round 3, Pick 29 (92)

The next few names rounding out this group of incoming rookies could be considered more as dart throws heading into 2024, although some show intriguing potential. Jalen McMillan falls into this category as a talented slot receiver with good size and strong hands. Despite often being overshadowed by his teammates Rome Odunze and Ja’Lynn Polk at the University of Washington, McMillan managed to surpass 1,000 receiving yards and score nine touchdowns in 2022. While McMillan’s production profile is somewhat limited compared to other prospects, he is a fluid route runner who has the potential to reach new heights with the right opportunities and system to complement and develop his game.

Fantasy Outlook

While McMillan’s immediate impact as a significant fantasy contributor may be doubtful, there are several positive aspects to his landing spot. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers currently boast a talented receiving corps led by Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, yet they lack a clear third wide receiver option to complement them. Following Trey Palmer‘s underwhelming performance in this role last year, McMillan should have an advantage as they compete for snaps. Despite Palmer’s lack of productivity, his 68 targets as a rookie suggest a potentially decent role for McMillan in his debut season.

Although expecting another 4,000-yard passing season from Baker Mayfield may be ambitious, he aims to sustain his career resurgence in Tampa Bay. While Evans continues to age with minimal signs of decline, Godwin is coming off of a disappointing season and carries a significant $27.5 million cap hit in the final year of his contract extension. If the team decides to part ways with Godwin after the upcoming season, McMillan could be positioned to be his eventual replacement in the offense.

McMillan’s potential to become a significant fantasy asset at the next level depends on various factors aligning, but the opportunity for early career success appears promising.

Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders

Round 3, Pick 37 (100)

Imagine reaching the NFL, only to remain in the shadow of your older brother Christian. While it might seem comical now, Christian McCaffrey likely encountered similar challenges being compared to his father, Ed, during his upbringing. Unlike his renowned older brother and father, Luke McCaffrey currently lacks a superstar pedigree but profiles as an intriguing slot receiver at the next level who plays with remarkable toughness and grit. 

Transitioning from quarterback to receiver throughout his collegiate career, McCaffrey brings tremendous football intelligence to the table. While he may not excel as an elite separator and could refine his route running, he boasts exceptional hands and embraces physicality. Despite various areas for growth, McCaffrey possesses the skills necessary to succeed as a slot receiver in the NFL and has the potential and bloodline to surprise with his development.

Fantasy Outlook

Although McCaffrey is unlikely to have a fantasy-relevant rookie season, his draft landing spot presents an intriguing opportunity. The Washington Commanders are undergoing a complete transformation from top to bottom, with new ownership, coaching staff, and a new franchise quarterback heading into the 2024 season. They drafted dual-threat quarterback Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick, hoping he will lead the team in creating a winning culture.

Heading into the new season, the team has experienced key departures, including Curtis Samuel, Logan Thomas, and Antonio Gibson, who accounted for over 35% of the team’s targets in 2023. This opens up significant opportunities for the remaining players on the roster and the new additions. McCaffrey aims to fill the slot role previously held by Samuel, complementing Jahan Dotson and Terry McLaurin. Dotson is coming off a disappointing sophomore campaign, while McLaurin is entering the final year of his contract. Additionally, the team bolstered their tight end room by signing veteran Zach Ertz and drafting Ben Sinnott in the second round. Both players are expected to take on prominent roles for the offense in 2024.

While McCaffrey may see a decent amount of playing time as a rookie, it will be challenging for him to earn enough of a target share to establish weekly fantasy reliability.

Troy Franklin, Denver Broncos

Round 4, Pick 2 (102)

Sometimes the NFL does not value a prospect as much as the fantasy football industry does. Despite slipping all the way to the fourth round of the draft, Troy Franklin boasts an impressive production profile highlighted by sharp route running and elite speed. His weight is a major concern, as he weighs just over 175 lbs at 6’2″, but his productivity at the University of Oregon is undeniable. In 2023, Franklin set single-season school records in both receiving yards and touchdowns, amassing an outstanding 1,383 yards and 14 touchdowns.

Despite his slight frame, Franklin possesses the skill set to succeed at all three levels of the field. While he may not project as a WR1 in the NFL due to his limitations, he has the potential to be a highly productive pro despite his disappointing draft capital.

Fantasy Outlook

It is not often that a player believed to be an early second-round talent slips all the way to the fourth round and you are still pleased with the landing spot. Yet, this is precisely the case for Franklin with the Denver Broncos. Besides the team’s lack of significant offensive weapons, they also drafted Bo Nix with the 12th overall pick, the same quarterback who had three highly productive seasons at the University of Oregon with Franklin. With established chemistry already in place, there is reason to believe that Franklin has a legitimate shot at becoming Nix’s primary target in Denver.

The major departure in Denver’s offense is Jerry Jeudy, leaving behind an 18% target share. Among the receivers Franklin will compete with for targets are Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims, Josh Reynolds, and Greg Dulcich. Sutton enjoyed a highly productive season last year, but his future with the team is currently in question. While many anticipate a breakout season for Mims, it is reasonable to argue that Franklin has just as good of a chance to be more productive, given his familiarity with the team’s new franchise quarterback.

Overall, the disappointing draft capital aside, if Franklin can resemble the player he was at Oregon, the landing spot presents a compelling opportunity for him to prove his doubters wrong and have a productive career.

Javon Baker, WR, New England Patriots

Round 4, Pick 10 (110)

Javon Baker is a highlight waiting to happen. Despite two unproductive years at the University of Alabama to start his college career, Baker underwent a remarkable transformation after transferring to UCF. In 2023, he led his team with 52 receptions for 1,139 yards and seven touchdowns, boasting an impressive average of 21.7 yards per catch that underscores his big-play ability.

Baker’s imposing size and exceptional athleticism are complemented by his excellent tempo and natural route-running instincts. While he possesses the ability to make spectacular catches that few athletes can match, he occasionally tends to make them more challenging than necessary. Additionally, refining his release speed and streamlining his approach at the line will be areas of focus for him to enhance his overall performance. With continued refinement and discipline, Baker has the potential to significantly surpass his current expectations and emerge as a standout player in the NFL.

Fantasy Outlook

As stated in the previous section on Ja’Lynn Polk, the New England Patriots‘ offense has faced significant challenges since the end of the Tom Brady era. Their first step towards rebuilding was drafting Drake Maye as their next franchise quarterback, while also adding a few intriguing weapons to support him. Baker and Polk are expected to play pivotal roles as rookies, providing crucial support to their new quarterback. While Polk was drafted with higher draft capital, Baker stands out as an exciting prospect with considerable potential to emerge as the primary wide receiver in this offense.

In addition to the incoming rookies, Baker will compete for targets primarily with Demario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne, JuJu Smith-Schuster, KJ Osborn, and Hunter Henry. Notably, Douglas commanded a substantial target share of 23.6% last season, serving as the primary option in the offense. However, this was likely due to necessity rather than a sustainable strategy. Additionally, the departure of DeVante Parker from the receiving corps frees up an additional 10% of the offensive targets.

While it is uncommon for rookie quarterbacks to fully support their receiving assets for fantasy purposes, a strong start from Maye could greatly benefit Baker’s performance in 2024. At this stage, all we can do is hope for Baker’s continued evolution towards reaching his full potential. If he continues to develop, there is a chance that he could emerge as a notable fantasy asset within the first couple of years of his NFL career, despite his poor draft capital.

Devontez Walker, Baltimore Ravens

Round 4, Pick 13 (113)

While there are areas where Devontez Walker can improve to strengthen his overall game, he possesses size and speed that you simply cannot teach. Despite some concerning red flags in his profile and a limited route tree, Walker showcases remarkable ball-tracking skills and an ability to win contested catches. While he may be seen as somewhat of a one-trick pony, standing just under 6’2” with a 4.36 40-yard dash time, Walker possesses the intangibles needed to be a legitimate vertical threat in the NFL. This is evidenced by his impressive career average of 30.7 yards per touchdown reception during his college tenure at UNC.

Fantasy Outlook

Although Walker may not project to be a high-volume receiver at the next level, he still holds promise for fantasy relevance in certain game scripts, thanks to his big-play potential and landing spot in a high-powered offense. Despite Baltimore’s crowded receiving corps on paper, Walker has a genuine opportunity to secure a significant role with the team. Notably, Odell Beckham Jr.’s departure frees up 13% of available targets. Although he will have to compete with Rashod Bateman and Nelson Agholor for playing time, neither is necessarily guaranteed to start over him.

The offense will continue to emphasize the run game with Derrick Henry‘s addition and Lamar Jackson‘s dual-threat abilities, with the passing game revolving around Mark Andrews and last year’s first-round pick, Zay Flowers. While establishing a significant fantasy role immediately might be challenging for Walker, if he earns playing time, he could emerge as a boom-or-bust option in favorable matchups.

Jacob Cowing, San Francisco 49ers

Round 4, Pick 35 (135)

Despite standing at only 5’8” and weighing just under 170 lbs, Jacob Cowing is a route running technician who is exceptionally dynamic with the ball in his hands. His impressive 4.38-second 40-yard dash time at the combine makes him one of the most dangerous prospects in this class after the catch, despite his size constraints. While he faces the challenge of proving himself as an outlier to succeed in the NFL at his stature, Cowing’s physical attributes, athletic profile, and skill set closely resemble those of last season’s rookie sensation, Tank Dell.

Cowing boasts a highly productive college career at both UTEP and the University of Arizona, including two seasons with over 1,000 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns in 2023. Despite his small stature, he plays with a larger-than-life mentality, often breaking tackles and displaying a knack for eluding defenders. If he can carve out a significant role in an NFL offense, there is compelling reason to believe that Cowing could emerge as a productive professional and defy conventional size limitations as the next standout outlier.

Fantasy Outlook

While Cowing currently faces an uphill battle for playing time in the San Francisco 49ers‘ offense, similar to first-round selection Ricky Pearsall, his role could soon expand. Recent rumors suggest the team may be considering trading one of their star wide receivers. If such a trade were to happen, it could pave the way for both incoming rookies to assume more pivotal roles within the offense. Besides Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, the two incoming rookies are set to compete for targets with each other, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey.

Regardless of future developments, Cowing is an extremely talented player with a rare skill set that could be a weapon in this lethal offense. Additionally, Kyle Shanahan has a track record of crafting game plans that maximize his players’ diverse skill sets, which bodes well for Cowing’s potential success at the next level. Much would have to go right for Cowing to be a fantasy-relevant asset in the upcoming season, but at least there is a pathway that could be envisioned. There is an equal chance that Cowing is utilized mostly as a gadget player and special teams weapon, which would be valuable for the team but might not carry much worth for fantasy football.

The Rest (Rounds 5-7)

Round Pick Team Player College
5 7 (142) IND Anthony Gould Oregon State
5 17 (152) PHI Ainias Smith Texas A&M
5 21 (156) CLE Jamari Thrash Louisville
5 35 (170) NO Bub Means Pittsburgh
6 6 (182) TEN Jha’Quan Jackson Tulane
6 8 (184) MIA Malik Washington Virginia
6 9 (185) PHI Johnny Wilson Florida State
6 11 (187) ATL Casey Washington Illinois
6 15 (191) ARI Tejhaun Palmer UAB
6 37 (213) LAR Jordan Whittington Texas
6 40 (216) DAL Ryan Flournoy Southeast Missouri State
7 5 (225) LAC Brenden Rice USC
7 15 (235) DEN Devaughn Vele Utah
7 21 (241) MIA Tahj Washington USC
7 33 (253) LAC Cornelius Johnson Michigan

While these names may not currently hold significant value, it is essential to reflect on the previous season. Despite some players listed in this draft range already fading into obscurity, others have maintained considerable fantasy football relevance. Among them are Puka Nacua, Demario Douglas, Dontayvion Wicks, AT Perry, Andrei Iosivas, Trey Palmer, Parker Washington, and Ronnie Bell.

While a player of Puka Nacua’s caliber might not be realistic in this year’s class within the same draft range, pay close attention to training camp buzz and consider taking a chance on a few players to stash on your dynasty benches. For example, Malik Washington from the University of Virginia boasts a remarkable production profile, despite slipping to the sixth round. You never know when you might uncover a hidden gem at a bargain price.

https://www.thefantasyfootballers.com/analysis/2024-nfl-draft-wide-receiver-landing-spots-fantasy-football/

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