2024 NFL Draft Props: Best Bets (Fantasy Football)

Kyle and I have taken on the NFL Draft over the last two years from a wagering perspective and spent several DFS Podcasts last offseason talking about the Draft from a prop betting perspective. Overall, this was a great learning experience and a ton of fun! We’re taking the plunge early this year and will be sure to update this article with each bet we personally make. Of course, we’ll also be talking about the NFL Draft on multiple DFS shows when the podcast returns in April, so make sure you’re subscribed on your favorite podcast platform.

The 2024 NFL Draft kicks off on April 25. As the days and weeks go by, more and more NFL Draft props will become available across a variety of books. We recommend shopping around for the best lines and prices whenever possible. You can also get alerted in our Discord if you’re a JoinTheFoot or UDK+ subscriber whenever we add to our betting card.

General Strategy and Thoughts

• Betting NFL Draft props will not make you rich – This is a relatively soft market and honestly, a bit of a niche market. Books are very willing to take on thousands and thousands of dollars (even millions at times) on NFL lines and totals because they’re extremely efficient lines and Vegas knows they’re going to win in the long term. Most books will set a limit on the amount of money you can place on a prop bet and that includes the NFL Draft.
• This market is fluid and is sure to change – Unlike NFL spreads and totals, where we may only see things shift by a point or two, the odds and values of these props will change drastically over a couple of months. We recommend viewing this process as a market and being willing to adjust as necessary. At times, it might even make sense to bet the same prop but with a different player, if you think the market has moved enough in the wrong direction.
• Build a portfolio – It’s certainly possible to win a few wagers if you’re only betting a handful, but because this market is so fluid, there’s going to be inefficiencies all over the place. For example, there might be value in a bet right now in February that no longer has value in April. Similarly, new information might become available in March that wasn’t available in February, and now the bet you just placed a month ago looks off. Don’t get take lock – adjust!
• Be sure to shop around at multiple books if you’re able – If you live in a state with legalized wagering that offers multiple books, be sure to try to find the best odds, prices, and even types of wagers that are available. Because this is a niche market, it’s difficult for books to wrap their heads around a market that might adjust day to day and week to week by the time mid-April gets here.

**Lines accurate at time of publishing**

1. Position of Titans First Draft Pick? Wide Receiver (+160)

Sportsbook: FanDuel
Date: 3/13/24
Analysis: The Titans are currently slated to pick 7th overall, putting them in a prime position to take one of the top offensive linemen or WRs. We’d make this line closer to 50/50, so we’ll take the value here on (+160) for the Titans to select one of Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze (assuming Marvin Harrison Jr. is already gone). New head coach, Brian Callahan, comes from Cincinnati where he’s been part of an aggressive pass-first offense with Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. When the Bengals were in a similar position a few years back when they were deciding between Chase and Penei Sewell, they ultimately took Chase, which has worked out well for that franchise. At the Combine, Callahan spoke about needing to prioritize the vertical passing game, and both Daniel Jeremiah and Dane Brugler have all of the ‘Big 3’ WRs inside their top-7 on their updated Big Boards. Bill Callahan, Brian’s dad, is joining his son in Tennessee after coaching the offensive line in Cleveland for the past few years. Bill is regarded as one of the best offensive line coaches in the game, and he’s been routinely able to get the most out of his guys. Perhaps they opt for a dynamic downfield weapon given the current state of their depth chart – DeAndre Hopkins is set to turn 32 years old in a contract year while Treylon Burks looks like a swing and a miss. Behind those guys, the talent is non-existent.