With auditions wrapped up and with the Top 14 announced, you can find 2024 American Idol betting odds for all contestants. If you are an avid fan of the show, it’s time to put your knowledge to the test.
I’m here to help with my analysis of the favorites and American Idol Season 22 predictions. Let’s begin with an overview of the odds at the top American Idol betting sites.
American Idol Season 22 Odds and Prediction After The Latest Episode
We will be adding our updated American Idol odds, analysis, and predictions after each episode here, so you will continue to have fresh information as the season progresses!
Here are the odds, courtesy of BetOnline, after the Top 5 results:
| CONTESTANT | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Will Moseley | -500 |
| Abi Carter | +500 |
| Emmy Russell | +600 |
| Triston Harper | +800 |
| Jack Blocker | +1000 |
Important: if you don’t see odds when you visit the bookmaker, that’s usually because the show is currently running or there was an episode in the previous 12-24 hours. The oddsmakers usually need a day to process the events and update their American Idol odds after each episode.
The 22nd season of American Idol is down to the Top 5 singers, following a riveting night of competition on Sunday night! According to BetOnline, Will Moseley (-500) remains a heavy favorite to win American Idol Season 22.
After last Monday night’s episode, Moseley shifted to a -300 betting favorite. He did himself even more favors this week, as Moseley’s implied probability to win improved from 75% to 83.3%.
The rest of the field is behind Moseley by a considerable margin. Currently, Abi Carter (+500) has the second-shortest American Idol odds. Carter has an implied probability of winning Season 22 of 16.7%.
Per BetOnline’s oddsmakers, Jack Blocker (+1000) has the least likely chance to win at 9.1%. I can’t say I agree with Blocker having less than a 10% chance to be crowned, but I share more on that in the American Idol prediction section below.
American Idol Seasons 22 Top Contenders
The American Idol Season 22 winner odds reveal three main contenders have emerged out of the Top 20.
Although the odds do not always point to the winner, they are a great barometer for how things will play out.
Let’s dive into the latest prices and my complete analysis of the top contenders:
Will Moseley (-500)
Will Moseley is another country singer in American Idol Season 22. Unsurprisingly, the 23-year-old, who resembles a younger Chris Stapleton, sang one of his songs to perfection.
Will Moseley is another country singer in American Idol Season 22. Unsurprisingly, the 23-year-old, who resembles a younger Chris Stapleton, sang one of his songs to perfection.
The native of Georgia opted for an original song in his audition to the judges. It’s often a big gamble to go with an original song in the audition, but Moseley received top grades.
The former college football player took the momentum from the audition into the Top 20. Moseley flew through this stage and had a big performance in the Top 14 with “Makin’ Me Look Good Again”.
He’s the prototypical country singer who will go deep in the competition. With Harper and Moseley attracting the country voters, they both should have that segment of the population.
Moseley is one of the safest bets in the American Idol Season 22 betting odds to make the Top 3.
Abi Carter (+500)
California native Abi Carter immediately made a lasting impression during her first audition. Performing Billie Eilish’s “What Was I Made For?”, Carter’s rendition blew away the judges and got her an easy golden ticket to Hollywood.
Carter remained in the judge’s good graces after she went to the piano and showcased her versatility. The 21-year-old sang a unique rendition of My Chemical Romance’s “Welcome to the Black Parade”.
Carter’s effort received rave reviews from the judging panel and the voters. She cruised to the Top 14 and appears to be comfortable moving forward. Her deep vocal range and ability to slow it down or speed up will resonate with the audience.
This past week, Carter belted out Yebba’s “My Mind”, once again scoring high marks. Transitioning from “Welcome to the Black Parade” to “My Mind” ensured that Carter’s versatility was on full display.
After a pitchy start, she was able to settle in and hit her spots. I preferred her audition and “Welcome to the Black Parade”, than her effort on Yebba’s song.
Nevertheless, her deep range will likely connect with voters more times than not in subsequent weeks. Those songs tend to stick out with voters in the later rounds. She just needs the right song selection and could be an easy choice for Top 3!
Triston Harper (+800)
Many successful country artists were initially noticed as early as their teenage years. Some go on to have decades-long careers.
Could a 15-year-old from McIntosh, AL, be the next on that list? If Harper has his way, then he’ll win American Idol and move on to rise through the country music charts.
Seemingly mature beyond his years, Harper lists Elvis Presley and Johnny Cash as his musical influences. The youngster has a unique approach to country music that is difficult to emulate.
While he isn’t the second coming of Elvis or Cash, Harper’s style, voice, and stage presence are catching the attention of the judges and American voters. He even received a vote of approval from guest mentor Jelly Roll.
The question is whether Harper’s country sound appeal to a wide voter base? He’s different from the other top contenders, so that should be an advantage.
American Idol Top 5 Results Recap and Betting Pick
Julia Gagnon and McKenna Breinholt did not make it through to the Top 5 on Sunday night. Breinholt had rough odds to win American Idol entering this week. On the other hand, Gagnon had the second-shortest price to win this season!
So, it was a small upset with Gagnon going home before the Top 5. She did not have her best performance, but still deserved a spot ahead of Emmy Russell. The latter has attracted a nice fan base and leaned on them to qualify for the Top 5.
Moseley took control of the American Idol betting markets with his rendition of “Rolling in the Deep” on Adele night. The song was the perfect fit for Moseley’s rich southern voice, so that was a major plus.
However, Carter probably had her best night of the season. She showed a different side with Fall Out Boy’s “My Songs Know What You Did In The Dark”. Carter followed up with Adele’s “Hello” to showcase her versatility from a rock song to a power ballad.
Per the latest American Idol Season 22 odds, Moseley will be tough to beat down the stretch. However, if Carter can hit a few more performances like she did with the Adele song, she could be well on her way to winning the competition.
Moseley has no value at -500 odds, and Carter can beat him on pure emotion to connect with the audience. She easily provides the best value on the board, so I will continue to back her to win at +500.
Where To Bet On American Idol Season 22?
BetOnline is The Sports Geek’s top pick for betting on American Idol Season 22! Not only can you bet on the winner, but there are also a couple of prop bets on the sex and age of the winning contestant.
If you register at BetOnline, you can claim a 50% match bonus of up to $1,000 on your first deposit. Double your offer to 100% with a cryptocurrency deposit!
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