The NFL schedule reaches its third week and teams are still looking for rhythm. The featured matchup for this week is the Buffalo Bills against the surprising 2-0 Washington Commanders.
New Orleans Saints versus Green Bay Packers
Green Bay looks to go to 2-1 after a loss last week, while the Saints are “burning hot” after two straight wins. The Packers are 1.5-point home favorites with odds of 1.830 to 2.000 and an over/under of 42.5. The teams have been trending on opposite sides of the line this season. The score prediction has the Saints by a 24-19 score but the confidence is less than a coin toss. Note that the Saints have a 54 percent chance of winning outright. The gut feeling is to go with the Packers at home, where they are generally difficult to beat, but I will pass on the “over/under” bet.
Buffalo Bills versus Washington Commanders
Buffalo comes into play at 1-1 to face the surprising 2-0 Commanders. The Bills are a 6.5-point road favorite with odds of 1.410 to 2.974 with an over/under of 43.5. Washington has covered the spread 4 out of the last 5 games as an underdog. Washington has a +24 to +16 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator and “burning hot” versus “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. In addition, the score prediction is for Washington to win, 23-21. Buffalo will get on a roll and prove they are one of the favorites in the AFC. Go with the Bills to win and cover, but I will pass on the “over/under” bet.
Carolina Panthers versus Seattle Seahawks
Seattle took down Detroit in overtime to get into the win column, while the Panthers lost their home opener to go 0-2. Seattle is a 5.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.450 to 2.782 with the over/under set at 41.5. The teams have been trending in games “under” the line. Seattle has won 4 of their last 5 games as favorites. Carolina has a +9 to +2 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator but Seattle has a 69 percent shot of coming out of this game with a 2-1 record. I don’t see the Panthers getting out of the hole on the road. Go with the Seahawks to win and cover in a game “over” the line.
Denver Broncos versus Miami Dolphins
These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Miami is 2-0 and “burning hot”, while Denver is 0-2 and “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Miami has a 68 percent chance of winning with odds of 1.370 to 3.165 and 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 48.5 with a score prediction of 37-11 with the confidence of a coin toss. Note that the Broncos have covered in 4 of their last five as an underdog. Miami has a +20 to +7 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. There is little to believe that the Broncos will turn things around in Miami. I like the Dolphins in a game “over” the line.
Los Angeles Chargers versus Minnesota Vikings
Both teams are looking to get into the win column for the first time this season. Los Angeles is “ice cold down” after dropping their first two games by a combined five points. Minnesota fell to Tampa Bay at home and Philadelphia on the road. The Vikings are a 1.5-point home favorite in a game that is basically a toss-up. The “over/under” is 54.5 with the teams involved in games “over” in 3 of the 4 games played this season. The Chargers have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 as an underdog and have a 54 percent chance of winning outright. I like the Chargers to keep the Vikings winless in a game “under” the line.
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