NFL Picks Week 10: Jacksonville hosts San Francisco in featured game

The NFL season has surpassed the halfway point and teams look to make a push for playoff positioning. With a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl on the horizon for next week, there are still plenty of excellent games for week 10 with the 49ers versus Jaguars headlining the action.

San Francisco 49ers versus Jacksonville Jaguars

These two teams are heading in opposite directions. It won’t be easy for the 49ers to break their three-game skid against the Jaguars, who are “burning hot” after winning their last five. The 49ers are a 3.5-point road favorite with odds of 1.62 to 2.538 with an over/under of 45.5. The Jaguars are a five-star home underdog and teams in that situation are 0-2 over the last 30 days. It’s worth noting that the Jaguars have covered in 80 percent of their last five as an underdog. Jacksonville has a +30 to +22 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. The score prediction likes the Jaguars by a 30-21 score with 64 percent confidence. I like Jacksonville to cover and could win outright in a game “over” the line.

Green Bay Packers versus Pittsburgh Steelers

The Packers broke a four-game skid last week and look to add another win on the road against the Steelers, who are “average” up after going 4-2 over their last six. Pittsburgh is a 3.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.55 to 2.465 with an over/under of 38.5. The score prediction is for the Steelers to win by 33-22 but with only 44 percent confidence. The teams have been involved in games “under” the line in 10 of the last 12 games combined. Note that the Steelers have covered the spread in four of their last five games as a favorite. Neither team has been very consistent with regard to their favorite/underdog status. I don’t see the Packers taking down a confidence Pittsburgh team at their home stadium. Go with the Steelers in a game “under” the line.

Cleveland Browns versus Baltimore Ravens

The “burning hot” Ravens host the Browns in this AFC North clash. Baltimore is a 6.5-point favorite with odds of 1.34 to 3.28 and an over/under of 37.5. The teams have been trending in games “over” the line with a score prediction of 36-17 in favor of Baltimore. The Ravens are a five-star home favorite and have won four of their last five as favorites. Baltimore has a +29 to +18 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. Cleveland and Baltimore are both relatively consistently performing with regard to their favorite/underdog status. I like the Ravens to continue to roll in a game “over” the line.

Detroit Lions versus Los Angeles Chargers

Both teams come in “burning hot” having won nine of their last 12 combined. The Lions are a 2.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.67 to 2.226 with an over/under of 48.5. The teams have been involved in games mostly “under” the line. The score prediction is for the Lions to dominate the Chargers by a score of 34-19 with a high confidence level of 81 percent. The Lions have won and covered in their last five games as a favorite. Both teams are showing moderate stability on the Team Volatility Oscillator. I like the Lions to win and cover in a game “over” the line.

Washington Commanders versus Seattle Seahawks

Washington broke a two-game losing streak last week and Seattle looks to rebound from a 37-3 drubbing against the Ravens. Seattle is a 6.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.34 to 3.28 with an over/under of 44.5. The teams have been nearly identical in recent weeks with regards to games over or under the line. The score prediction with 69 percent has Seattle by more than two touchdowns. Take note that the Commanders have covered four of their last five as an underdog. Low confidence in picking Washington as a three-star underdog. I like the Seahawks to win and cover but pass on the over/under bet.