NBA Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat same game parlay picks: Do or die situation for Boston at +642 odds

It was only fitting that my +551 odds Same Game Parlay landed on last night’s Lakers vs Nuggets game. Denver booked a place in the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history, now it’s up to Miami to join them there. Game 4 of Celtics vs Heat tips-off at 8.30 ET on TNT. I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.

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Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!

Over 216.5 Total Points (-110)

Gabe Vincent 2+ Made Threes (-360)

Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists (-148)

Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Made Threes (+112)

Celtics vs Heat Same Game Parlay odds: +642

Over 216.5 Total Points (-110)

It’s been all about the points in this series so far with an average of 228.2 being scored per game and the over landing in all 3 games. It’s been a rough stretch for the Celtics, but they’ve knocked down double digit threes in each so far. Aside from Game 2, Miami has done the same, connecting on 16 and 19 threes in Games 1 and 3. These are the 2nd and 3rd best ranked teams in terms of offensive efficiency in the postseason so far, with only the Nuggets topping them. Boston has gone over in 11 of 14 games, and in 6 of 7 played on the road. For Miami, the over has cashed in 5 of 6 games, plus they’re now 27-22 on the O/U for the season when playing at Kaseya Center. Head-to-head meetings have now produced 5 overs and just 1 under in the last 6 games, so I’ll be sticking with that bet until we get a different outcome.

Check out our Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Predictions

Gabe Vincent 2+ Made Threes (-360)

Gabe Vincent was the main story of Game 3 for the Heat as he led the scoring with 29 points, including 6 threes made on 9 attempts. He has been letting it fly all series long, after 3 games he’s averaging 3.3 threes per game on 55.6% efficiency. The stellar play has now elevated him 3rd in points per game on Miami, not even the biggest Gabe Vincent advocates couldn’t see that coming I’m sure. I see no reason why things should change for Game 4. The Celtics have been obliterated from three-point land in this series, they’re allowing 47.8% made shots from deep, on Sunday Miami shot 54.3% in a blowout win. With a chance to head back to the finals for the first time since 2020, I’m expecting Vincent and co. to step up big time here.

Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists (-148)

Although he was only the 4th leading scorer in the blowout victory on Sunday, Butler’s imprint on the game was massive as he finished with a +24 on the +/- when on the court. He had a team-high 6 assists, matching his postseason average of 5.6 per game. He has now cleared this line in all 3 games of this series and in 5 of his last 6 games if we also count the Knicks series. Closeout games are the most difficult ones and in these type of situations the leaders must step up. Butler has carried Miami all year long, it’s only right that he shares the rock and gets everyone involved here. We all know Butler can put the ball into the basket, but his team thrives the most when he shares the ball. He’s averaging 8 assists per game in his last 10 games, getting to 6 won’t be an issue here.

Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Made Threes (+112)

Not much has gone right for Brown in this series so far, Game 3 was by far his worst performance in the postseason. Through 3 games he’s made 2 threes from 20 attempts, that kind of drop-off is exactly why the Celtics find themselves in this position. It’s not all on Brown though, other players have also disappointed. I think there’s still time to turn it around though. Brown did become eligible for that max extension when he made the all-NBA team, so he’s still trying to prove his worth for the Celtics. He was on fire against Philadelphia in the East semis, averaging 2.3 threes per game on 43.2% efficiency. Prior to this series he had made 3 threes 8 times in 10 games played, it’s hard to believe he forgot how to play basketball over night. If the Celtics are going out tonight, Brown will at least let it fly from distance.

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