Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: KC -10.5
Total: 48.0
Team Totals: Chiefs (29.5), Broncos (17.5)
Game Outlook
Week 6 kicks off with a Thursday night matchup between two AFC West foes – the 4-1 Chiefs host the 1-4 Broncos with the defending Super Bowl champs favored by more than 10 points at home. In two meetings last season between these clubs, the Broncos were able to keep the game close, losing both matchups by six and three points. If the Broncos can hang around, contrarian Denver heavy builds may be rewarded, though that may be a tall task for a team that’s yet to cover the spread. However, as a 10.5-point home favorite, logic would suggest leaning into the KC side of things in this one given their 29.5 team implied total, which is the second-highest of any team in Week 6. It is worth mentioning that the Broncos “defense” (if we can even call it that) has allowed every opponent except the Raiders in Week 1 to exceed their team implied total this year.
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