MLB Wednesday parlay at mega (+996 odds) today 9/28: Orioles soar in Fenway

The MLB season continues with a large slate on Wednesday, and that calls for another mega parlay. This parlay pays out at nearly 10/1 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, so don’t miss it!

But before we dive in, be sure to read our MLB picks for every MLB side and total today.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays over 7.5 (-115)

Toronto has an excellent lineup that might be the deepest in the league, but their starting rotation is their weakness. After Alek Manoah and Kevin Gausman, the talent in their rotation decreases drastically. Mitch White will earn the start for Toronto, and he’s had a tough start to his Blue Jays career. He’s 0-4 with a 7.39 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in 35.1 innings since being acquired from the Dodgers at the trade deadline. In September, White has a 8.03 ERA with a 1.54 WHIP. White is allowing a .295 batting average in the second half of the season, and I don’t see how he can avoid getting shelled from a New York lineup that is only getting stronger.

Gerrit Cole is on the bump for the Yankees, and for an ace, he’s not pitching like it. He’s allowed 12 runs in his last 17 innings, including a whopping 8 home runs. Cole has been burned by the long ball all season since he has a 9.3% barrel rate, and the Blue Jays have been one of the many teams to exploit that weakness. In 11.2 innings against Toronto this season, Cole has allowed 9 hits and 7 runs, 2 have been home runs. Of the 9 hits allowed, 7 have gone for extra bases. This total is far too low, take the over and thank the oddsmakers for a gift.

Baltimore Orioles -1.5 over Boston Red Sox (+155)

I’m not sure what the Orioles did to their young pitchers at the all-star break, but it worked. Both Kyle Bradish, Tuesday’s starter, and Dean Kremer had terrible starts to the year and completely turned their season around in the second half of the season. Kremer was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA in August, and he’s followed that up with a 2-1 record and 2.61 ERA in September. His last start against Boston was excellent, as he went 5.1 innings and allowed 1 run and 5 hits en route to a 5-3 Orioles win. But his most recent start came against Houston, and it was the best outing of his career as he threw a complete game shutout against the Astros.

Rich Hill will oppose Kremer, and the lefty seems to be running on fumes. He’s completed 5 innings in only 2 of his last 5 starts, and the problem with that is the Red Sox bullpen has to provide several innings of relief. The Red Sox bullpen ranks 26th in ERA and FIP in the last 30 days, and with their reliable relievers such as Tanner Houck and Garrett Whitlock out for the rest of the season, it’s an MLB bullpen filled with Triple-A pitchers. All signs point to a big Orioles win.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 over San Diego Padres (+130)

If you bet on the Dodgers’ run line in Julio Urias’ last 17 starts, you would be 14-3. Urias has been incredible all season, but he’s had a Cy Young-caliber second half of the season. In 11 starts since the all-star break, Urias is 9-1 with a 1.34 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. Opponents have a .168 batting average and a .222 OBP against him in those 11 starts. The lefty has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 12 consecutive starts, and 2 of those starts have come against the Padres. In his 3 total outings against San Diego this season, he is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA, and the San Diego lineup is hitting just .148.

Joe Musgrove will oppose Urias, and the righty has not had the same second-half season. Opponents have a .269 batting average and a .322 OBP against Musgrove since the all-star break, and in 4 starts in September, opponents have a .286 batting average. He’s faced the Dodgers twice this season and is 0-2 with a 5.11 ERA in those outings. The Los Angeles run line with Urias on the mound has been one of the most profitable spots in baseball, so back the trend on Wednesday night.

Wednesday’s MLB mega parlay (9/28)

Yankees/Blue Jays over 7.5 (-115)

Orioles -1.5 (+155)

Dodgers -1.5 (+130)

Parlay odds: +996

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