Seahawks vs. Packers Week 10 Picks: Take Green Bay to Cover With Rodgers Likely Returning

The Seahawks and Packers will likely both be welcoming back their starting quarterbacks in Week 10, and not a moment too soon. Seattle has fallen into a rut without Russell Wilson, while the Packers looked atrocious with Jordan Love at the helm in Week 9. With both offenses at near full strength, what will happen in this highly anticipated NFC duel?

Wilson hasn’t played since Week 5, and Pete Carroll has been forced to turn to Geno Smith, who’s quarterbacked Seattle to a 1-2 record with losses to the Steelers and Saints, and just a win over the lowly Jaguars. Seattle is a couple of weeks removed from that triumph and coming off its bye.

Meanwhile, the Packers lost just their second game of the season in Week 9, and it came at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs. They did cover the spread while losing by six, an outcome that could have been worse with Jordan Love under center. Their only other loss came to the Saints in Week 1.

Here are my picks and predictions for the NFL’s Week 10 matchup between the Seahawks and the Packers (odds via DraftKings, and pick confidence is based on a one-to-five star scale).

Seahawks vs. Packers Game Info

Date/Time: Sunday, November 14 at 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wis.
Weather: Snow, 39 degrees

Seahawks vs. Packers Odds Analysis

The Packers opened this game as five-point favorites before news that Wilson would be cleared to play. The line has gone to Packers -3.5, and even Packers -3 at some books.

The total was first offered at 51 points. but it's now down to 49 points. You can get it at 50 points over at FanDuel and 49.5 at PointsBet.

Seahawks vs. Packers Betting Picks

Packers -3 (-110) ★★★
Under 49 (-110) ★★★

SEE ALSO: Panthers vs. Cardinals Picks

Seahawks vs. Packers Predictions

Packers -3 (-110)

It’s hard to really gauge where the Seahawks are right now, but the Packers are a far better team. They rank 13th in weighted DVOA defensively and have looked spectacular on that end this year. Their offense didn’t look quite the same in Week 9 without Aaron Rodgers, but the unit should get back on track because he's likely to return.

The Seahawks rank 24th in DVOA against the pass and will likely struggle against Rodgers and a Packers offense that was really clicking before their signal-caller was placed on the COVID-19 list.

Seattle has been strong offensively, but they could be sluggish as Wilson gets involved again. Additionally, Seahawks running back Chris Carson could return too, which would muddy the game plan with Wilson back in the huddle. Regardless, the Packers' defense has been so good they should be able to hold off the Seahawks and give their offense a chance.

Under 49 (-110)

It seems like this game should be a high-scoring affair between two teams getting their starting quarterbacks back, but I’m not totally sold the Seahawks will look great. The Packers can really defend, and Pete Carroll may be inclined to just run the ball and ease Wilson back into the offense.

The Seahawks have been great against the run, so that should help them stop Green Bay, a team that's received a ton from Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Both defenses are good enough to keep this game under a very high total. The rustiness of Wilson and Rodgers should also give us some cushion.

SEE ALSO: Falcons vs. Cowboys Picks

Picks made 11/11/2021 at 5:14 p.m. ET

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