Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-30-21

July 1, 2021
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Our red-hot summer continued yesterday, as we again nailed a parlay bet, this time for a juicy $463 payout. The bet came in when we found winners on the Yankees (-159), White Sox (-136), and Cardinals (-157). The Yankees didn’t make us sweat at all, as they blew their game against the Angels out 11-5, but both the White Sox and the Cardinals were forced to hang on and win by just a single run after taking early multi-run leads. It is never easy, but it all came in, and we got paid!

We also picked up straight bet winners on the Cubs/Brewers under 7.5 runs and the Phillies (-108) on what was a profitable day betting on Big League baseball. We have another full slate of action on tap for today with 15 games on the board on what should be another great day filled with MLB betting action. As always, we will be right here with you in the trenches, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies (-162)

The Colorado Rockies have made things really easy for us this season. Fade them when they are on the road, and back them when they are at home. Colorado has the starkest home/road splits in the game, and to be honest, I don’t ever remember a team that was this good at home and also this bad on the road. Colorado is an MLB worst 6-31 on the road, but at home, at Coors Field, they have more wins than any team in the NL with the exception of the Dodgers and Padres. The Rockies are looking for the sweep today in game 3 of this 3-game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates, having shut them out in back-to-back games. And I, for one, think that they finish off that sweep today at home, as the Pirates have been one of the worst road teams in the game this season.

Jon Gray gets the nod for Colorado today, and like the rest of his Rockies teammates, he is far better at home than on the road this year, as his home field ERA is an impressive 3.25. Pirates starter Chad Kuhl, on the other hand, has an ERA north of 6 runs away from home. Both the Pirates and the Rockies are on my auto-fade list when they are away from home, so I am likely taking the other side of the Pirates no matter where they are playing, but given the opportunity to be able to fade their road futility against a team that is elite at home, at a price like this, shows outrageous value. The Rockies are going to sweep the Pirates out of town tonight in Denver.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-155)

The Atlanta Braves welcome back their ace tonight, as Max Fried rejoins the team after missing his last turn with a blister on his throwing hand. Braves management made it clear that the move was precautionary and that if they needed him to pitch last week, that he could have gutted it out. But this early in the season, it makes sense to take the cautionary approach and sit him down to limit the risk for further injury. His return couldn’t come fast enough for Atlanta, though, as injuries have ravaged their once elite starting rotation. Fried had a slow start to his season but really picked things up in May and June, as he allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts. He has made 1 start against the Mets this season, and he shined, working 6 innings and allowing just a single earned run.

New York is hoping that David Peterson can find a way to be better today than he has been most of this year, when he isn’t pitching in New York. Similar to the Rockies, the Mets are great at home and bad on the road, and Peterson has been particularly bad in other team’s ballparks, as he is 0-3 with a 7.03 ERA. New York is 3-5 in his 8 road starts this season. The Braves have been super inconsistent this year, and they have let me down quite a few times, but this is too high value of a spot to not jump on the Braves. Expect Peterson to get roughed up and for Fried to dominate as the Braves take this one with little sweat.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (-125)

Sometimes the books post a number that just makes absolutely no sense. I have looked at this game from every possible angle, and I just can’t comprehend how this is a tight line. The Chicago White Sox have the best home record in the American League. The Minnesota Twins are 11 games under .500 and are 16-21 on the road. To make things even harder to understand, the Twins are starting a rookie in Baily Ober that has made just 5 career Big League starts, and Chicago is going with Dylan Cease, who has been basically unhittable in the Windy City. Cease is 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA at home this year, and I can’t believe he isn’t a far bigger favorite over an untested rookie like Baily Ober.

Sometimes you won’t fully understand what the books are up to with a line, but that shouldn’t stop you from taking advantage of it when they miss. Handicapping Major League Baseball is tough on the bettors, but it is also tough on the house, and every once in a while, they drop the ball and leave themselves exposed. That is the case with this game, and I will take full advantage of this mispriced number and back the White Sox as small home field favorites.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Colorado Rockies -162
  • Atlanta Braves -155
  • Chicago White Sox -125

$100 Bet Pays $479

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Under 10 Runs (-110)

I am always cautious when taking the under in games where the Reds and Padres are playing, as these are a couple of the hardest-hitting and highest-scoring teams in the National League. But today, with Joe Musgrove and Vladimir Gutierrez squaring off on the mound, this seems like an awfully high game total. San Diego has one of the best team ERA’s in majors, and Musgrove has been fantastic. And while the Reds aren’t known for their starting pitching, rookie Vlad Gutierrez has pitched mostly great in his short stint in the show. Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati has a reputation for being a hitter’s park, but yesterday’s game didn’t hit double-digit runs, and this game isn’t going to either. Give me the under on an inflated total today in the ‘Nati.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Over 10.5 Runs (-110)

Sahlen Field isn’t a Major League ballpark. Canada decided that they won’t allow the Blue Jays to play at home due to COVID-19 concerns, and Sahlen Field has served as the Jays home away from home in nearby Buffalo. Buffalo hasn’t been hosting MLB games for very long, but it has quickly become known as a place where runs are easy to come by. Yesterday Toronto pounded out 9 runs on Seattle, and the game sailed to the over with 12 total runs being scored. I see today’s game going a lot like last night’s as there are going to be crooked numbers hitting the scoreboard today. Most people see Coors Field in Colorado as the highest scoring ballpark in the game, but Sahlen Field is hot on Coors heels when it comes to scoring runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies Over 11.5 Runs (-110)

We just talked about how Coors Field is the highest scoring park in the game, and I will jump on the over today in the series finale between the Rockies and Pirates. Pittsburgh hasn’t scored in either of the first 2 games of this series, and I am willing to bet no team has ever been shut out in an entire series at Coors Field before, which tells me that the Pirates are going to plate at least a couple of runs today on the road. Chad Kuhl is almost for sure going to get roughed up, and while this is a very high game total, it still feels like one that we aren’t going to have to sweat very hard. Expect fireworks tonight in the Rocky Mountains.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Under 10 Runs -110
  • Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Over 10.5 Runs -110
  • Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies Over 11.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Chicago Cubs (+140) at Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers are on fire right now, having won 9 of their last 10 games. That run has seen the Brew Crew run out to a 5-game lead in the crowded NL Central Division, and Milwaukee will look to add to that lead this week as they host the Chicago Cubs. But Milwaukee did hit a road bump this week, as Brett Anderson was sent to the IL, leaving them a man short in their 6-man rotation. Milwaukee has decided to call up highly rated pitching prospect Aaron Ashby today to make his MLB debut. Ashby was pitching well at triple-A before being moved to the bullpen, as Milwaukee was expected to use him in relief with the big club and wanted him to prepare. But with the change in plans due to Anderson’s injury, Ashby will end up making a spot start today.

On the other side of the mound for Chicago, we have veteran Jake Arietta. Arietta hasn’t been consistent this season, and a lot of his struggles have come on the road, but I am still shocked to see that he is a big underdog against a guy that has literally never throw a pitch in the majors. The Brewers are dead last in the game in team batting average, and in 2 starts against the Brewers this season, Arietta has pitched well, with a 3.27 ERA. Aaron Ashby is an exciting young prospect for Milwaukee, and he has shown some elite swing and miss stuff in the minors with a 13.3 K/9 ratio, but this is a tough spot for him against this Cubs team that is 3rd in the NL in home runs. I can’t see this game as anything other than a coin flip, as Ashby is a complete unknown and will have to adapt from pitching out of the bullpen to starting today, in a very tough spot, against a hard-hitting Cubs team. Let’s flip a coin today and hope it lands our side up and snatch up a bunch of juice along the way.

Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals (+100)

Drew Rasmussen will open today for the Tampa Bay Rays and is expected to work just the 1st inning and then turn things over to Michael Wacha. Maybe the Rays are going with the opener today because they are hoping to slow down Nats slugger Kyle Schwarber? Schwarber has hit an absurd 16 home runs in his last 18 games, the only other guys to do that are Sammy Sosa and Barry Bonds, guys with multiple 60+ home runs seasons on their resume, so he is in some elite company, to say the least. Not only has Schwarber etched his name into the record books, he has helped lead his team back into contention, as they are now in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing the New York Mets by 3 games. Even if Rasmussen is able to hold the Nats back for his inning of work, I can’t imagine that Michael Wacha is going to be any good today, as he has really struggled on the road recently, and he just isn’t getting very deep into games.

Jon Lester is well past his prime at this point of his sure to be Hall of Fame career, and while he is prone to getting blown out on occasion, he has been great at home in his last 3 starts, working a combined 15.1 innings and giving up just 5 total runs. Home dogs are always going to be my favorite play when betting on Big League baseball, and as great as Tampa Bay has been much of the season, they haven’t been playing very well in the last 2 weeks, and I think Washington stays hot tonight at home and sends Tampa Bay to their 3rd consecutive loss.

Los Angeles Angels (+118) at New York Yankees

I hope that my love affair with Shohei Ohtani isn’t blinding me, but I am going to make a rare play on the Angels today on the road. LA has been all over the place this season, but Ohtani is having a season for the ages as he leads MLB in home runs and has been lights out on the mound as well. You can almost expect to see Ohtani do something every single day that we have never seen in modern-day Major League Baseball, and to see him as a dog against Domino German and his 4.67 ERA at Yankee Stadium shows lots of value. The Halos bullpen is awful, but German has fallen apart in his last 3 starts, getting rocked for 15 total runs in just 12.1 innings. I get to fade German and back Ohtani? Fine, I’ll bite. Give me the Angels as road dogs in the Bronx.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Chicago Cubs +140
  • Washington Nationals +100
  • Los Angeles Angels +118

$100 Bet Pays $1,047

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox (-167)

I thought about backing the Royals in this game, as Mike Minor has pitched fairly well as of late, but then I looked at the Royals 1-7 record on this current road trip and their 2-13 road record this month, and realized that as attractive as the number might be, that the Royals just aren’t going to be able to win this game at Fenway Park. Martin Perez has been pretty awful at home this year for Boston, but the Royals are just laying down on the road this month, and they can’t be trusted to give a full effort today in Beantown. And as good as Minor was pitching on the road this season, he is coming off of a shellacking at the hands of the Texas Rangers in his last outing that saw him get hammered for 9 earned runs by the weak-hitting Rangers. I will lay a little wood and fade the Royals who are in free fall and get paid.

San Diego Padres (-186) at Cincinnati Reds

The San Diego Padres own the Cincinnati Reds this season. These teams have played 5 times in the last couple of weeks, and the Padres are a perfect 5-0. As much as I love young gun Vladimir Gutierrez for Cincinnati, he is certainly not on the same level as Joe Musgrove is right now, as Musgrove has a 2.19 ERA on the road this season. After seeing Gutierrez win 3 of his first 4 outings and holding teams to 2 earned runs or fewer in each start, he has allowed 8 earned runs in his last 2 starts, and the Reds have lost both games. Pitching in the Big Leagues is tough, and now that teams have accurate scouting reports on the rookie, it will be interesting to see if he can continue to pitch well or not. The Padres aren’t the team you want to be trying to figure things out against, and I see San Diego winning this game today with relative ease.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (-195)

The Texas Rangers shocked me yesterday when they upset the Oakland Athletics, but I see the A’s getting back on track today and taking this game. All A’s starter Chris Bassitt does is win baseball games, as his 8-2 record is one of the best in the American League. Bassitt is particularly sharp when he pitches in Oakland, with a sub-3-run ERA at home. Interestingly enough, his last start came against these very same Rangers, and he dominated Texas, holding them to just a single earned run in 7 innings. Kolby Allard is a nice young pitcher for Texas, and he has shown flashes of being very good, but Texas just doesn’t win when he pitches as they are 4-11 in his 15 starts this season. Oakland makes up for yesterday’s blunder and coasts to an easy win today at home.

Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-141)

There was no more surprising of an outcome yesterday than the Baltimore Orioles blowing out the Houston Astros 13-3. But to be fair to Houston, they lost their starter early in the game as Jose Urquidy was pulled after just 1 inning of work and losing your starter like that is always a tough spot. The Astros are mired in a bit of a mini-slump, as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games, and I like them to snap out of that funk today and smash the Orioles. The Astros lead MLB in average winning percentage, and they have been great on the run line all year, and against this Baltimore team with the worst run differential in the AL, this game could get ugly. Baltimore starter Matt Harvey has an ERA of almost 10 runs in the past 2 months, and the O’s have lost 8 of his last 10 starts, with all but one of those losses coming by multiple runs. Here we have 1 team that gets blown out a lot, playing another team that wins all of their games by multiple runs, and this scenario is what the run line was invented for. Give me Houston, as they are going to run it up on Baltimore today at Minute Maid Park.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Boston Red Sox -167
  • San Diego Padres -186
  • Oakland Athletics -195
  • Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -141

$100 Bet Pays $636

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-6-30-21/

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