Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-29-21

June 30, 2021
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Hello, baseball fans! Today looks to be a fantastic day of Major League Baseball betting action, as we have a full slate of games on tap, with 15 games to be played this afternoon and evening. Highlights on the day from the National League include the New York Mets playing in Atlanta against the Braves in a matchup between NL East Division foes. The upstart Cincinnati Reds host the San Diego Padres, hoping to stay hot, and the Cubs and Brewers play in the NL Central Division. In late night action, the Dodgers and Giants play in LA, with the Boys in Blue looking to close the gap on the first place G-Men.

Over in the American League, the games aren’t as competitively matched today, as we have big favorites like the Yankees against the Angels, the Blue Jays hosting the Mariners, and the Tigers playing in Cleveland, against the Indians. The lone interleague game for the day comes to us from the Nation’s Capital, as the Washington Nationals play the Tampa Bay Rays. As always, we are going to be right there with you today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-159)

Neither of these teams are living up to their expectations this season, but even as they both underachieve, it’s easy to notice that these squads are headed in opposite directions. Only 2 games separate them in the standings, but it is clear that LA will be, at the absolute minimum, standing pat at the trade deadline, and will likely be selling, whereas the Yankees are sure to be looking to add pieces, assuming they don’t completely fall apart in the next couple of weeks that is. The Angels played well early in the month, making it look like they might hang around in the American League playoff conversation, but since then, the Halos got swept by the Giants and Athletics and lost 2 of 3 to the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series. Los Angeles gutted out a win last night in this series opener in the Bronx, but something tells me that they are going to struggle tonight with Andrew Heaney on the mound.

LA just doesn’t win very often when Heaney gets the start, as they have lost 7 of his last 10 outings. And as bad as Jameson Taillon has been on the road, and he has been awful, he has actually pitched well at home and seems to be the far better side of this starting pitching matchup today. Taillon has a 3.04 ERA in 9 starts at Yankee Stadium, and opposing batters are hitting just .204 against him at home. This is just a really tough spot for the Angels as New York is clearly still trying to compete and make a push for the postseason, and with the Angels stuck in the middle between contending and pretending, they can’t be trusted to give a full effort each time out. Shohei Ohtani has single handedly kept the Angels in the mix, but even he won’t be enough to lead his team to victory today in hostile territory.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (-136)

I hate when pitchers get taken out of their normal routine. Pitchers are creatures of habit, and when a guy misses a start or gets a start pushed back, it seems to always mess with their production. The Twins didn’t have much of a choice with Kenta Maeda, as his scheduled start was rained out, but instead of firing him up the next day to make it up, they decided to skip his start in the rotation. He will pitch tonight on 9 days rest, and if you include his stint on the IL, Maeda has only pitched twice in over a month. If all of that wasn’t enough to not like Maeda tonight, he has to pitch against this Chicago White Sox team that hits the baseball well and is nearly impossible to beat at home. The last time that Maeda pitched on the South Side, he gave up 3 runs in just 5 innings of work, and the Twins got blown out.

Chicago will turn to Lucas Giolito today in game 1, hoping that he can recreate his last start against these Twins, where he pitched 8 innings, allowed just a single earned run and struck out 12. No team in the American League has more home wins than the White Sox do, and despite dropping 2 of 3 to the Seattle Mariners to open up this homestand, I still really like them in this series with the struggling Twins. Maeda’s road ERA is a full 2 runs higher than when at home, and I don’t think he is going to be able to slow down the White Sox today. For whatever reason, the books still price the Twins like they aren’t 10 games under .500 and completely out of the playoff picture in the AL. As long as Minnesota continues to be overvalued, I will continue to look to fade them profitably.

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals (-157)

The Arizona Diamondbacks finally broke their nasty stretch of 24 straight road losses last week when they beat the San Diego Padres. How did Arizona celebrate snapping their all-time record losing streak? By losing back-to-back games on the road. That one win did absolutely nothing to convince me that Arizona is going to be any better on the road than they have been for the last 2 months, and I almost can’t believe that this line is so tight.

I mean, I get it, Carlos Martinez stinks, and I have even gone on record to say that he might be the single worst regular starter in the game right now, but the DBacks don’t even try to win on the road most nights. Caleb Smith has pitched well for Arizona, but it’s not like it really matters much, as they still lose every time that he pitches. The DBacks are just 2-13 in his last 15 appearances. I am blind bet fading Arizona at this price against anybody right now, and the fact that I get to back a respectable St. Louis Cardinals team makes me like this play that much more.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • New York Yankees -159
  • Chicago White Sox -136
  • St. Louis Cardinals -157

$100 Bet Pays $463

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs (-110)

This is a better than most people likely think pitching matchup today in Milwaukee. I think we all know just how great Brandon Woodruff can be when he is on his game, with his 1.89 ERA and elite strikeout numbers. But the guy that most people don’t realize is actually great, too, is Cubs starter, Zach Davies. Davies has had a couple of really bad outings that has inflated his ERA, but the guy has also shown the ability to completely shut down some of the best teams the National League has to offer. 7.5 run totals are reserved for the best of the best starting pitchers, and Brandon Woodruff certainly is one of those, and with as well as Davies has been pitching on the road recently, and the fact that the Brewers are dead last in the NL in team batting average, I think that, at least for today, you can call Davies part of that club as well. This one will be low scoring and tightly contested and stays well under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Over 9.5 Runs (-110)

The Cleveland Indians aren’t known for their ability to run up the score on teams, but that hasn’t stopped them from dropping some crooked numbers up on the scoreboard in the last week or so. Cleveland hammered the Tigers yesterday for 13 runs, which was the 3rd time in the Indian’s last 10 games that they hit double digits runs scored. I like them to stay hot today against the Tigers Jose Urena, who has an ERA of 6 runs on the year. And it’s not like Clevland starter CJ Mejia is any good either, as he was recently converted from a reliever to a starter, and in his last 4 starts, he has gotten pounded for 13 total runs in just 15.2 innings. We saw 18 runs scored yesterday in the series opener, and this game feels like more of the same in what should turn into a slugfest.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 Runs (-110)

Just because you don’t know the name Chris Flexen, doesn’t mean that this kid isn’t pitching his brains out right now for the Seattle Mariners. Similar to Zach Davies, a couple of isolated bad outings has caused Flexen’s stats to look a bit worse than they actually are, and for the most part, he has been great for Seattle. The Mariners are last in the majors in team batting average, and with Blue Jays starter Robbie Ray turning his life around this season, this feels like an unconventional pitcher’s duel. Taking the under in Blue Jays “home” games is a tough proposition, as this ballpark is easy to hit in, but 9.5 runs feels far too high with how well both of these guys have been pitching this year.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs -110
  • Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Over 9.5 Runs -110
  • Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Seattle Mariners (+188) at Toronto Blue Jays

We just talked about how this game is going to be lower scoring, and in a game where runs are going to be hard to come by, I am shocked to see the Blue Jays as such huge favorites. The Mariners are playing their best baseball of the year right now, as they have won 10 of their last 13 games, including series wins over the Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago White Sox. Only the Houston Astros have a better record in the last month in the AL than Seattle does, and they win a lot of games when Chris Flexen pitches.

The Mariners are 10-3 in Flexen’s 13 starts this season, and in his last couple of starts, he has been particularly sharp, working a combined 14.2 innings and allowing just 1 earned run. The Blue Jays are hot right now, too, as they have won 7 of their last 8, but those wins came against the Orioles and Marlins. Earlier this month, when the Blue Jays were forced to play tougher competition, they didn’t play very well, as they lost or split series with the Red Sox, Yankees, Astros, and White Sox. I am not ready to say that Seattle deserves to be mentioned with that tier of teams, but I also think they are quite a bit better than the O’s and Fish. Seattle is too hot not to love them at this price, and when you see that no team in the game has more road wins as underdogs than Seattle, you know we are on the value side of this matchup.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds (+128)

How can I say this politely? Blake Snell has been bad on the road this season. You know what, with as bad as Snell has been away from home, he doesn’t even deserve politeness, so I will just be blunt and honest here. Blake Snell has been an unmitigated disaster on the road this season, and he is an embarrassment to his friends and family. Too harsh? Maybe, maybe not. Snell has an ERA of 10.36 on the road this year, and in his 8 starts, the Padres are 0-8. So, how can it be even remotely possible that Snell is a big favorite on the road in this game? I guess we can just chalk this one up to the public’s collective ignorance. A wise man once said, a person is smart, but people are stupid. And that is the only way to explain this number, as it makes absolutely no sense.

And it’s not like the Padres are playing the DBacks or the Pirates or something, the Reds are actually a solid team, with a winning record this year. Cincinnati starter Tony Santillan is off to a great start in this, his rookie season in the show, as he has made 3 starts and has pitched well each time out. At home this year, he has made 2 starts and has been great, working 10.2 innings and allowing just 2 earned runs. Santillan was last seen shutting down the hard-hitting Atlanta Braves, and while beating San Diego is always a tall order, they are actually rather mediocre on the road this season, with a losing record at 17-18 away from sunny San Deigo. I would be fading Snell even if I didn’t like the Reds in this game, but with Tony Santillan looking at home in the Big Leagues and the Padres being so meh on the road, this is a laughably bad number.

San Francsico Giants (+125) at Los Angeles Dodgers

I have said it before, and I will say it again today, the books absolutely refuse to price the San Francisco Giants properly. The Giants aren’t just a plucky overachieving team, they are the best team in the Major Leagues. We are over a third of the way through this season, and the Giants have the best record in all of baseball. You are what your record is, right? Well, the Giants record says they are the best team in the game, and the fact that they are still somehow underdogs on a regular basis is a joke. You hate to be on the other side of Walker Buehler, as the kid is filthy, but interestingly enough, despite his stellar results at home, the Dodgers haven’t won nearly as often as you would think when he gets the start. Buehler has a 2.81 ERA in 9 starts at Dodger Stadium, but the Dodgers are just 5-4 in those games.

I don’t make a habit of betting against the Dodgers in LA, as they are tough to beat at home, but man, oh man, is Kevin Gausman having a season for the ages. If the Met’s Jacob deGrom wasn’t stealing all the headlines, it would be Gausman that is running away with the Cy Young Award in the NL right now, and the guy has been out of his mind all season for San Francisco. Gausman is 5-1 with a 1.02 ERA on the road, and the last time he pitched at Dodger Stadium, all he did was shut out LA in 6 innings of work and picked up a winning decision. Gausman has only allowed more than 2 earned runs in a start once all season, and you can make a case that he is the true MVP of the NL right now, as he is leading these Giants to a very unlikely run at the NL West Division title. Give me the Giants behind another stellar outing from Kevin Gausman.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Seattle Mariners +188
  • Cincinnati Reds +128
  • San Francsico Giants +125

$100 Bet Pays $1,478

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies (-108)

This could be a really short write up. The Phillies are great at home, and the Marlins stink on the road. That’s pretty much it, as this game is a home/away splits play. Marlin’s starter Trevor Rogers has been fantastic this season for Miami, and for my money, he is the NL Rookie of the Year if the season were to end today. But even when Rogers pitches well, which is basically every time that he pitches, the Marlins struggle to win games. Miami has lost 4 of his last 5 starts overall, and on the road, Miami is just 3-5 in his last 8 outings. Vince Velasquez is certainly no world beater, but Philly has one of the best home records in the NL right now, and I like them at even money at home today against a struggling Marlin’s squad that never wins on the road.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-167)

The NL East Division is the most home field dominated division in baseball. Every team in the division has a losing record away from home, and none of them have losing records at home. We just talked about the Phillies and Marlins in the division, and I took the home team, and in this game, I will again follow those strong splits and back the home team Braves. Atlanta starter Charlie Morton wasn’t great in April, but he has things moving in the right direction now, as he has a 2.28 ERA this month, and the Braves have won 6 of his last 7 starts. The Mets will start rookie Trevor Megill, who has an ERA of 18.00 in his career. His last outing was about as rough as can be imagined, as he let the weak-hitting Milwaukee Brewers smash him for 6 earned runs without recording a single out. Look for the Braves to beat up on him again today and coast to a no sweat victory behind a resurgent Charlie Morton.

Chicago Cubs (+200) at Milwaukee Brewers

Well, you can’t hit a home run if you don’t swing for the fences, right? We will take a mighty hack at this one, looking to hit the cheap seats by taking the Chicago Cubs as huge underdogs. Brandon Woodruff is great, but I can’t resist getting the Cubs at this price when I see what Zach Davies has done on the road recently. In his last road start, Davies went into Dodger Stadium and completely shut down the Dodgers. Literally, as he didn’t even allow a single hit in 6 innings of work. The road start before that for Davies? He pitched in San Diego and held the Padres to just 1 hit and no runs in 6 innings. If you ask me, the Padres and the Dodgers are the 2 best teams in the National League, and this guy has absolutely dominated them both on the road in the last couple of weeks. In his last 6 road starts, Davies has held teams to 1 earned run or less 5 times. A guy that it is pitching like that on the road just shouldn’t be getting +200 in a game, ever.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (-200)

Our last play of the day comes to us from Oakland, as the Athletics are licking their wounds after their worst road trip of the season. But lucky for Oakland fans, they get a nice soft matchup today, with a Rangers team that is awful on the road. The Rangers have the worst road winning percentage in the American League this year, and their 10 road wins are the same as the Arizona Diamondbacks, who famously lost 24 straight road games this season. The A’s have the 3rd most wins in the league, and this is just one of those low hanging fruit free money spots. I don’t love laying this much wood, but after a much deserved day off yesterday, I see the A’s taking out their frustration on Texas and blowing them out today at home.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Philadelphia Phillies -108
  • Atlanta Braves -167
  • Chicago Cubs +200
  • Oakland Athletics -200

$100 Bet Pays $1,386

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-6-29-21/

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