Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-20-21

June 21, 2021
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Yesterday was a bit of an up and down day, where a couple of bad beats late cost us our shot at a winning day. It certainly wasn’t the worst day ever, as we did finish our day with wins on the Red Sox (-122), Phillies (-104), Mariners (+120), Dodgers run line (-132), and Blue Jays (-180) and a couple of totals bets. A 6-7 day is never anything to aspire to, but with a couple of dog money plays coming in, and no huge favorites to weigh us down, we weren’t far from the black on what was a less than eventful day.

The Cleveland Indians blew a 2-0 6th inning lead, the Reds were tied at 5 runs apiece heading into the 8th inning and lost the game, Texas lost after leading 2-0 through 3 innings, and the Colorado Rockies cost us a bet when they couldn’t hold a 5-3 lead, eventually blowing the game in the 9th, as their closer situation continues to be a struggle. We only needed 1 of those games to go our way to flip our losing day into a winner, so we were right there, as usual, finding the value side of plays and getting the money. Today, we will get right back to the grind, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Boston Red Sox (-122) at Kansas City Royals

Yesterday’s play on Boston was almost too easy, as the line was laughably off, and Boston didn’t even make us sweat it, as they took an early lead and played add-on late, coasting to a 7-1 blowout victory. Boston will go for the series win today in the rubber match of the 3-game set, with Nathan Eovaldi getting the nod for the Bo Sox. Eovaldi is putting together a nice season for Boston, and on the road, he has been particularly good, as he is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in 4 road starts. The Red Sox have done a lot of winning when Eovaldi pitches, as they have won 4 of his last 5 starts, and on the year, they are 9-5 when he pitches.

Kansas City would love to be able to win today at home and steal this series from Boston, but when you look at how Mike Minor has pitched this season at Kaufman Stadium, I am not sure they are going to get it done. Minor’s ERA in Kansas City is a whopping 3 full runs higher than it is on the road, and his 2-4 record and 5.98 ERA leave something to be desired for Royal’s fans for sure. The Red Sox do a lot of winning when Eovaldi pitches, and the Royals do a lot of losing when Mike Minor pitches, as they have lost 6 of his last 7 home field starts. Boston jumped all over yesterday’s starter for KC, Brad Keller, and I have a feeling that today’s game plays out very similarly. Boston has the best road record in the American League, and again, they feel significantly undervalued against a bad Royals squad.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (-134)

We nailed our underdog play on Philly yesterday, but the game didn’t go at all as planned. I backed the Phillies because I felt that Aaron Nola would pitch well. That wasn’t the case, as Nola got smashed, and this game was a 6-6 contest after 3 innings of play. We actually got a little lucky to win, as the game was turned over to the bullpens early, and with the Giants having one of the best relief staffs in the National League, and the Phillies having a weak bullpen, the fact that it went our way, was some decent run good. I don’t expect that good fortune to continue today for the Phillies, as they have been mostly awful on the road this season, and with Zach Eflin starting, that bullpen that got a lot of work yesterday, is going to get a lot more work today, and that is a bad thing for the Phillies. Eflin has been great at home, but away from Philly, he is 1-4 with a 5.71 ERA.

The Giants have scored 10 runs off of Philly starting pitching in just 6.1 innings in this series, and you can easily argue that Zach Eflin is the least talented guy they are going to start against the Giants. Sammy Long will make his first-ever Big League start today for the G-Men, and Giant’s fans are hoping he can replicate his impressive K rate from the minors in the show. Long hadn’t ever pitched above A-ball prior to this season, but in stops at double-A and triple-A this season, the guy was filthy with a 1.99 ERA and 14.7 K/9 ratio. Striking out guys in the minors isn’t the same as striking out guys in the majors, but right now, Shane Bieber leads all of baseball with a 12.9 K/9 ratio, so if Long can keep it up, he puts himself in some elite company. San Francisco is far too good to not want to back them in this game as small favorites. Sammy Long is a bit of a wild card, but the lack of information on him is what is keeping this line reasonable. Give me the Giants to pick up their MLB best, 46th win today at Oracle Park.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs (-150)

This bet is just a standard home/road split play. The Cubs are great at home, the Marlins stink on the road, and the juice isn’t cost prohibitive enough to not make a play on the Cubs. As meh as Alec Mills has been overall this year, he has been respectable at home, with a 2-0 record and 3.18 ERA, and it is easy to argue he is the better side of this starting pitching matchup with Marlin’s rookie Zack Thompson. Thompson was a 1st round draft pick in 2019 and is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the Marlin’s farm system, but after getting his first taste of triple-A level ball, you have to wonder if the timing is right to call up the 23-year-old.

Thompson had an ERA of nearly double digits at triple-A Memphis in 7 appearances, and this move feels like desperation for Miami. After coming into this season feeling like they had a real shot at competing in the NL East Division, the Marlins haven’t been able to live up to that hype, and they find themselves sitting in dead last place. We are starting to see a lot of these types of call ups around the game, where teams that are basically giving up on contending for the postseason in 2021 start to try and see what they have in some of their prospects, whether they are ready to play in the show or not. This is the personification of a Hail Mary pass for Miami, and as those types of plays usually do, this one is going to come up short today.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Boston Red Sox -122
  • San Francisco Giants -134
  • Chicago Cubs -150

$100 Bet Pays $530

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres Over 8 Runs (-110)

All 3 games of this series so far between the Padres and the Reds have hit double-digit game totals. Despite the fact we have a solid starting pitching matchup between a couple of guys that have been known for their ability to get hitters out in their careers, this game feels like it is going over too. Luis Castillo has pitched great in the month of June, with a 1.93 ERA, but his last 2 starts both came against the Milwaukee Brewers, who are dead last in the majors in team batting average, so I am not sure if that is Castillo actually turning his life around, or just the Brewers being awful at the plate. I would tend to lean towards the latter, as Castillo was 1-8 with a 7.22 ERA heading into the month. On the road this season, Castillo is 1-4 with a 5.80 ERA, and even without Fernando Tatis Jr on the field for San Diego, he got hurt again yesterday, this game still sails to the over.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Over 8 Runs (-110)

We have seen a ton of runs hit the board early in games in this series between the Giants and Phillies. Both of these teams have quality rotations, but starting pitching has gotten hammered this weekend, as the Phillies starters have allowed 10 runs in 6.1 innings, and the Giants starters haven’t been much better, as they have given up 9 runs in 9 innings. This is almost certainly the weakest starting pitching matchup that we have seen in this series, at least on paper, so it’s hard to think things are going to slow down very much. This is an awfully low total that feels at least a full run too low. I am jumping on the over.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

The Chicago White Sox are getting humbled in this series with the Houston Astros, as their high-powered offense has been held to an average of just 2 runs per game. Lance McCullers Jr is pitching well for Houston, and with how cold the White Sox bats have been, I don’t see the White Sox going off today in the series finale. That being said, Dallas Keuchel has a 1.42 ERA this month too, so runs are going to be hard to come by. Taking the under in games with teams that can score runs quickly like this is a bit of a gamble, but something tells me that this game ends up a lot like game 2 of this series, which was a 2-1 final score.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres Over 8 Runs -110
  • Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Over 8 Runs -110
  • Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros Under 8.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

St. Louis Cardinals (+100) at Atlanta Braves Game 1

Our play on the Cardinals yesterday got rained out, and the teams will make it up today with a scheduled doubleheader. The Braves mixed up their starting pitching a little bit, and instead of seeing Adam Wainwright against Drew Smyly, we see Wainwright facing Bryse Wilson. Wainwright has been bad away from home this season, but he has pitched great this month, and his ability to get deep into games is going to be big for the Cardinals today. Wainwright has worked into the 6th inning or later 8 times this season, and if he can get 6 quality innings in today and hands things over to closer Alex Reyes, who has been basically automatic closing out games with 17 saves and a 0.82 ERA, the Cardinals are going to win this game.

Bryse Wilson wasn’t supposed to be part of this Braves rotation this season. That’s not to say that Wilson isn’t good enough to be a regular starter for Atlanta, it’s just that he is only now getting his shot because of injuries to Huascar Ynoa and Mike Soroka. Wilson has made 4 starts at home so far in 2021, and the Braves have lost 3 of them, and he hasn’t been overly sharp. 2 of those 4 starts came against the Pirates and the DBacks, teams that are fighting over the title of the worst team in baseball, and that makes his home field ERA of 4.58 look even more suspect. The Cardinals aren’t playing very well right now, but Adam Wainwright has made a career of stepping up and winning big games when the Red Birds need him to, over his long tenure in St. Louis. That is what happens today in game 1, as the Cardinals will ride a solid performance from Adam Wainwright to a win.

St. Louis Cardinals (+108) at Atlanta Braves Game 2

We won’t have to travel far for our next pick, as we will stay right here in Atlanta and break down game 2 between the Cardinals and Braves. Yesterday we bet against Atlanta because I felt that Drew Smyly just couldn’t be trusted. The fact that they slid him back a spot in the rotation to pitch the late game today doesn’t make me feel any better about Smyly, so I will stick with yesterday’s play of taking St. Louis as a fade of Smyly. Smyly has an ERA of 7.45 at Truist Park this season, and in his 4 home starts, the Braves are 0-4. Kwang Kim can count himself as one of the more unlucky pitchers in the National League right now, as he has a 1-4 record, which may lead you to believe he has been bad, but in reality, he has actually been pretty good. Kim has allowed 3 earned run or less in all but 1 start this season, and he has allowed 1 earned run or less in 6 different outings. I like the Cards to sweep the Braves today in the scheduled double dip from the ATL.

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies (+115)

The Colorado Rockies as home dogs has been one of the most profitable bets of the year for me. The Rockies have been steaming hot at home all season long, and if they weren’t such an embarrassment on the road, this team would be in playoff contention. The Rockies gave away their game last night, blowing a multi-run lead, and their lack of a reliable closer reared its ugly head again last night when they couldn’t close the Brewers out in the 9th inning with a lead. I like Colorado today at home, as it has been hard to be any worse than Eric Lauer has been for Milwaukee this month. In June, Lauer has made 3 starts, has an ERA of 10.64, and has gotten hammered for 13 runs, on 14 hits, and 10 walks, in just 11 innings pitched. Not shockingly, the Brewers got blown out by at least 3 runs in each of those games, with a run differential of -15.

Milwaukee has lost 5 of Lauer’s last 6 starts, and I am shocked that he is a favorite today against a Rockies team that is actually great at home, with Chi Chi Gonzalez on the mound. Like the rest of this Rockies team, Gonzalez is no good on the road, but at home, he is 2-0 with a 3.62 ERA, which is a full 4 runs better than his road splits. I know it might be hard to believe, but no team in the National League has more home wins than Colorado does right now, and backing them as home dogs shows insane value.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • St. Louis Cardinals +100
  • St. Louis Cardinals +108
  • Colorado Rockies +115

$100 Bet Pays $895

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (+100)

The Minnesota Twins were having a bad month before they came to Arlington and picked up back-to-back come from behind wins over the Rangers. Both of those wins were fairly unlikely, but the Twins are finally starting to get healthy, and they have always had a roster that is far better than their record would lead you to believe, maybe this is a sign of things to come for the Twins in the 2nd half of the year? But the problem for Minnesota in this one, is the same problem they have had all year, pitching. Kenta Maeda is supposed to be the ace of this Twins staff, but he has grown predictable on the mound, as he is throwing his breaking stuff nearly every pitch, allowing hitters to guess pitches and barrel them up. Maeda has a 5.73 ERA in 7 road starts, and those struggles have led the Twins to losses in 6 of those 7 games.

Dane Dunning has been almost unbelievably good at home this year for Texas, with a 1.97 ERA. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 5 of his 6 starts at home, and he hasn’t allowed even a single earned run in his last 2 home starts combined. All the Twins do when Maeda pitches is lose. Minnesota is just 2-8 in his 10 starts, and they haven’t won a game that he has pitched in since May 3rd. Ironically enough, his last win came against these very same Rangers. Even with their active 3-game winning streak on the road, the Twins still have one of the worst road records in the American League, and they shouldn’t be laying wood in anybody else’s ballpark, especially with a guy like Dan Dunning getting the start.

Detroit Tigers (+143) at Los Angeles Angels

For the 1st time in over a week, I won’t take the over in the Angels game. I have made a play on the over in Halos games 8 straight days, and I have cashed a ticket every day. But this game feels a little bit different, and while I don’t have the guts to take the under, as the Angels almost always go over, I will stay away from the total. Why do I see this game being lower scoring? Tiger’s starter Casey Mize. Mize has a sub-3-run ERA on the road this year, and he is really starting to emerge as a legit ace for Detroit. Mize has made 9 consecutive quality starts, and when you see how terrible Dylan Bundy has been, with his 1-7 record and ERA of nearly 7 runs, this line doesn’t make much sense. LA is 4-8 with Bundy on the bump, and those struggles continue today, as the Angels lose at home.

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres (-155)

Fine. I guess the Reds are officially off of their hot streak. I backed Cincy all week long in this series, and they broke my heart in each game. Beating the Padres in San Diego is never an easy feat to accomplish, and I guess the Reds just aren’t up to it. No way that Cincinnati breaks through today with Luis Castillo pitching, as they just don’t win when Castillo pitches. The Reds have a winning record this season at 35-34, which makes the fact that they are only 3-11 when Castillo starts look really bad. I have zero confidence in the Reds today, and they just might get blown out, as the Padres complete the sweep.

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners (+138)

We made plays on the Seattle Mariners in each of the last 2 games, both times as home dogs, and they got us paid both times, and today in game 4 of this 4-game set, the M’s are poised to pick up the unlikely sweep over the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle has won 6 of their last 7 games, and that spurt has seen them get to above .500 on the year at 37-36. The Mariners are starting to get healthy, despite getting some bad news about last year’s Rookie of the Year in the AL Kyle Lewis, and they are playing some of their best baseball of the year right now. One of those guys that Seattle needs to get up to speed and healthy, is Marco Gonzalez, as he is the team’s ace, and after a late start to the season and some early struggles, he seems to slowly be turning things around. It isn’t fun for the bully when the other guy punches back, and the Rays have looked stunned this weekend. I think that Seattle rides that momentum to another win today to finish off the sweep of the defending AL champion Rays.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (-122) at Arizona Diamondbacks

I have been betting against the Arizona Diamondbacks every day for over a month now and getting rich, as the DBacks are fielding a triple-A team right now. I could throw out all of the crazy stats for Arizona, like the longest road losing streak in MLB history (still active), the longest losing streak overall in baseball this season (also still active), their embarrassing run differential of -106, that is by far the worst in the game. But I won’t waste your time with all of that. Bet against Arizona and take the free money, it is as simple as that. I have laid the run line the last 2 games of this series and won both bets, and we will do the same thing today and again get paid.

Chicago White Sox (+125) at Houston Astros

Our final play of the day comes to us from Houston, as the Astros are looking to sweep the White Sox. I’ll be the 1st to admit that I thought the White Sox would win at least a game or 2 in this series and we have lost bets on the South Siders this week. But I guess I haven’t learned my lesson just yet, as I will again tempt fate and back the White Sox today as underdogs. I could tell you all of the reasons why I shouldn’t be betting on Chicago, like the fact that the White Sox don’t have a winning record on the road, or that the Astros have the best record in MLB against teams with a winning record, but instead, I will give you a couple of good reasons why the White Sox are the side to be on today.

First, Chicago has the 2nd best record in the AL, and they are absolutely due a win in this series, as they rate out very similarly to Houston. And 2nd, Dallas Keuchel is a veteran stopper that knows how to win when his team needs him. Winning is something that the White Sox do a lot of when Keuchel pitches, as they haven’t lost when he has pitched in over a month, and this year they are 10-4 in his 14 starts. 4th time is a charm, right? Give me the White Sox as road dogs as they salvage a game in this series with Houston.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Texas Rangers +100
  • Detroit Tigers +143
  • San Diego Padres -155
  • Seattle Mariners +138
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs -122
  • Chicago White Sox +125

$100 Bet Pays $7,792

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-6-20-21/

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