Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-15-21

June 16, 2021
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I always try to add a little pop culture flair to my parlay of the day betting articles when I can. Whether it is a well-timed 50 Cent lyric or a random Bull Durham quote, I try to spice things up a little bit. But I was at a loss for words yesterday, as we again crushed souls, running up a 9-3 overall record and nailing, not 1, but 2, of our parlay of the day bets for a combined payout of over $2,100! At first, I thought about harkening back to my youth by linking to Joe Esposito’s “You’re The Best Around” Karate Kid montage. But that felt a little forced, so I went back even further and figured that Queen’s magnum opus, “We Are The Champions,” might be more befitting of our monster day. But at the end of the day, I wanted to save Freddie Mercury and company for an even bigger score. So, what quote will I drop that will best define our cash grab yesterday? “Oops…. I did it again” by former teenybopper princess Britney Spears.

Why Britney, you ask? Well, because this isn’t the first big day we have had, and it won’t be the last. And to be honest, I wanted everyone out there reading this to envision Michael Scott from The Office pulling up in his whip, proclaiming “It’s Britney Bitch” because that is how I felt pulling up to books yesterday to cash out our ample winnings. Ok, ok, no more pop culture nostalgia, but before we jump into today’s parlay of the day picks, I wanted to run you through exactly how we picked up all that cheese yesterday.

We nailed our money line parlay 3-teamer for a juicy $408 total payout when we backed the Athletics (-155), Dodgers (-167), and Giants (-182). All 3 of those games were late-night West Coast games, so I had sweat well into the evening, as all of the games were competitive. Our jumbo payout actually came earlier in the day, as we hit paydirt on our “Get Rich Or Die Trying” 4-team parlay. That bet came in with winners on the Nationals (-127) and Mets (-120) as small favorites and the Rockies (+135) and Mariners (+120) as big dogs. That ticket was worth a whopping $1,695 payout, giving us over $2,100 in winning tickets yesterday! Today, we get right back to the grind, delivering max value, on everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (-121)

We didn’t have many losses yesterday, but one game that we did miss on, was our play on the Toronto Blue Jays as road dogs in Boston, against the Red Sox. But that loss didn’t have to be, as we hit the bottom of the 9th tied up at 1 run apiece before seeing Boston walk it off in the bottom of the frame. The Blue Jays will try and shake that loss off as they head home today to host the New York Yankees for game 1 of a 3-game series. Toronto will turn to their ace tonight in the series opener, in Hyun-jin Ryu. Ryu was dealing until recently, as he finished up the month of May with a 5-2 record and 2.62 ERA. He hasn’t been as sharp here in June, but to be fair, the competition has been steep, as his last 2 starts came against the Astros and the White Sox, the highest scoring teams in the American League. Ryu should have a lot more success today against this Yankees team that is currently dead last in the AL in runs scored.

If New York wants a realistic shot of knocking off the Blue Jays on the road today, they are going to need Jordan Montgomery to be much better on the road than he has been this season. At home, Montgomery has been solid, with a 2.75 ERA. But on the road, that number doubles up to a 5.52 ERA. The Blue Jays have been crushing the ball in the last couple of weeks, and they now lead all of baseball in home runs, as they clubbed their 100th dinger of the season yesterday. The Yankees have not played well so far this month, as they have lost 7 of their last 9 games, including getting lit up for 15 runs in a 2-game sweep at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies. This line is off by at least 30-points. With Ryu on the mound, Toronto should be at least (-155) or better, and I will take advantage of the book’s refusal to admit the Yankees stink and back the Blue Jays at home at a reasonable price.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-122)

The Los Angeles Angels got hot earlier this month, as they reeled off a 9-2 record to start out June. The books love to overvalue LA, and it was like everyone decided to ignore the fact that Mike Trout is gone and that the Angels still don’t have a pitching staff, as the Halos were being priced aggressively. But looking back on that little run, I see that the Angels played series against the Mariners, Royals, and DBacks. To me, that Angels winning streak said a lot more about the awful teams that they were playing, than it did about this LA team being any good. I faded LA again yesterday, as they saw a steep rise in competition against the Oakland Athletics. The A’s jumped all over Angel’s starter Dylan Bundy, lighting him up for 7 runs in the first couple of innings, and eventually blew the game out.

Again today, we are seeing the Angels overvalued in game 2 with Oakland. Andrew Heaney has pitched well in his last 2 starts, but I just don’t trust him and the rest of this bad Angel’s pitching staff. Frankie Montas has been super inconsistent this year for Oakland, but at the end of the day, I am not sure you could ever convince me that this starting pitching matchup is anything better than a coin flip, and with the A’s being at home, I see this game going a lot like last night’s contest. Expect both Montas and Heaney to give up some runs and for the A’s to be too much for the Angels shorthanded bullpen. This game is going to end up being high scoring, and I like the A’s as small home favorites.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-105)

We correctly backed the Cincinnati Reds as underdogs yesterday, but for today’s pick, we will switch gears and back the Brewers as home dogs. I am always a big fan of home underdogs, and I am not sure a single day goes by where I don’t have at least 1 home dog play on my board. Yesterday’s play was mostly a show of confidence in the Red’s young starter Vladimir Guiterrez. Guiterrez was again strong and led his team to the victory, but today, with Luis Castillo getting the nod for the ‘Nati, I like Milwaukee. Castillo has been a regular fade target of mine this season, and I have been betting against him profitably all season long. Castillo is in the running for the title of the worst starting pitcher in the Major Leagues right now, as he has been dreadfully bad with a 2-9 record and 6.47 ERA. Castillo has been even worse on the road, with an ERA of 7.22 in 6 road starts. In his 13 starts this year, the Reds are just 2-11.

Yeah, Brett Anderson isn’t really any good, but he doesn’t go out and give games away like Luis Castillo does. Anderson is being used as a starter/opener hybrid, as he is usually being asked to go 3-4 innings before turning things over to the serviceable Milwaukee bullpen. I almost can’t believe that I can fade Luis Castillo as a road favorite in this game. I have been betting against Castillo basically every single time that he pitches, and I guess the books haven’t caught on to the fact that he always loses? You aren’t hearing a lot about Milwaukee right now, but they are tied with the Chicago Cubs for 1st place in the NL Central Division, and their 38 wins are tied for 3rd most in the league. This is a good Milwaukee Brewers team, and they absolutely should not be home dogs against Luis Castillo and his Reds.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Milwaukee Brewers -105
  • Oakland Athletics -122
  • Toronto Blue Jays -121

$100 Bet Pays $649

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians Over 9 Runs (-110)

I don’t make a habit of taking the overs in Cleveland Indians games, as they aren’t overly consistent at the dish when it comes to scoring runs. The same thing could be said about the Baltimore Orioles, as interesting enough, these teams enter play today tied for 23rd in the majors in runs scored. So, if we have a couple of weak offenses squaring off, why do I like the over? Ladies and gentlemen, may I introduce you to one Matt Harvey. Harvey is an embarrassment at this point in his career, and he would only be pitching for a team like Baltimore, that doesn’t care about winning baseball games. Harvey has allowed 5 earned runs or more in 5 of his last 6 starts. Harvey has allowed 36 total runs in his last 23.2 innings worked. Harvey should be bad enough tonight to do most of the heavy lifting to push this game over the total, but even if he’s not, you can count on Cal Quantrill to pitch in as well. Quantrill has been mostly great this season, but when he faced these very same Orioles earlier this month, he lasted just 1.1 innings before getting hammered for 5 earned runs in his worst outing of the year. Over, over, over.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

I was super tempted to find a way to back the Texas Rangers in this game, as their starter in this one, Kyle Gibson, has been absurdly good this season. But when I broke it down and realized just how bad the Rangers have been on the road this season, and how the Astros have managed to continue winning games at a high rate despite playing a brutal schedule, I decided that as great as Gibson has been, that he can’t win this game all by himself. The number is off, and the Rangers shouldn’t be as big of a dog as they are, but this bet is a little too high variance for my liking. That being said, I do expect Gibson to pitch very well tonight in Houston, as he has a 2.04 ERA on the year, and in 2 starts against the Astros in the last month, he has worked a total of 13 innings and has allowed just 3 total earned runs. Lance McCullers makes his 1st start in 3 weeks tonight, after hitting the IL, and in his previous 12 starts before getting shut down, he faced these Rangers twice and pitched 11 innings and allowed only 3 earned runs. This feels like a 3-2 Houston win, if you ask me, where we don’t even have to sweat the under.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs (-110)

Oh, how I love taking the over in Angels games. They have this beautiful combination of solid hitting and awful pitching that leads to a lot of slobber knocker games. We saw that last night in the series opener, as the teams combined for 13 total runs, and I expect more fireworks tonight with Frankie Montas and Andrew Heaney both capable of being bad enough to send this one to the over all on their own. This month, the Angels lead all of baseball in runs scored, and the A’s are not far behind, tied for 3rd. Break out the rye bread and brown mustard grandma, it is grand salami time in the Bay Area tonight, as we are going to see lots of balls leave the ballpark in a slugfest that goes well over.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians Over 9 Runs -110
  • Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Under 8.5 Runs -110
  • Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Detroit Tigers (+123) at Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals just can’t make up their mind this season. Are they good? Are they bad? Does anyone outside of Kansas City really care? As is usually the case, the answer lies somewhere in the middle. The Royals have had a couple of long streaks this season, both in terms of winning and losing. It just so happens that, right now, they are mired in a particularly nasty losing streak after climbing back to the right side of .500 late last month. The Royal’s have lost 9 of 10, as their bats have gone cold, and their pitching staff is getting hammered. The Tigers don’t have the same identity crisis as the Royal’s do, as they are content with being firmly in the bad column, as they are still mired in a multi-year rebuild in Motown.

Young starter Casey Mize is the face of that rebuild in Detroit, and the kid is living up to the hype of being the number 1 overall draft pick back in 2018. Mize is looking like an All-Star this season for the Tigers, and in his last 2 starts against Kansas City, he pitched really well, holding the Royals to just 3 total runs in 11.1 innings pitched, on only 6 hits. Mike Minor has started to slowly turn things around this season after a rough start, but his splits at home can’ be ignored, as he has a 5.93 ERA when pitching at Kaufman Stadium. Until the Royals can stop the bleeding, I am going to look for ways to fade them profitably. KC had an 11-game losing streak last month, so long runs of ineptitude aren’t anything new to Royal’s fans. They are going to make us sweat this one out, but after punishing the Royals for 10 runs yesterday, I will stick with the hot hand and take Detroit to go back-to-back in Kansas City as road underdogs.

Miami Marlins (+100) at St. Louis Cardinals

This is an interesting game, as it features my favorite secret weapon pitcher from last season, the Cardinals Kwang-Hyun Kim, against my secret weapon this year, the Marlin’s Trevor Rogers. I love identifying pitchers that the public fails to recognize are really good, and riding these guys in the last couple of years has made me a lot of money! I do still like Kim, but he hasn’t looked like himself in his last several starts, as he seems to be nursing an injury, and he has been using sparingly, having yet to pitch 6 innings in any start this season. After winning his first 5 starts of 2021, the Red Birds have now lost his last 4 outings, and he has worked just 17 innings and has allowed 14 total runs.

Trevor Rogers has yet to hit any type of rookie wall, and at age-23, he looks like a future Cy Young Award candidate. Rogers has a 7-3 record and 2.02 ERA, and on a Miami team where wins are hard to come by, the Fish love to win when Rogers pitches, as they are 8-5 in his 13 starts, including wins in 5 of his last 7. The Cards had lost 9 of their previous 10 games before gutting out a comeback win yesterday in the series opener, and I see the Marlins sending them back to Loserville tonight, to tie the series up at a game apiece.

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners (+114)

We picked up a nice home dog win yesterday on the Seattle Mariners, mostly as a straight fade of the perpetually overpriced Twins, but also a backing of a Mariner’s team that leads all of Major League Baseball in both total underdog victories and home underdog victories so far in 2021. To be fair, the M’s have had a lot of opportunities to win games as betting underdogs, so their win totals are going to be a bit inflated, but the Mariner’s home dog winning percentage of .619, 4th best in MLB, tells me that it isn’t just volume for Seattle, but that they can actually win a lot of games getting juice at T-Mobile Park. For all of the same reasons why I liked Seattle yesterday, I like them again today, as you got it, home underdogs.

At least yesterday, the Twins had their ace on the mound in Kenta Maeda, so maybe the line made a little bit of sense. But today, with JA Happ getting the start for Minnesota, this is an egregiously bad line. Happ had an impressive start to the season, but the wheels have completely fallen off recently, as he has gotten rocked for an absurd 30 runs in his last 6 starts, a stretch spanning just 28 innings. And I know most of you out there don’t follow the KBO very closely, but we are seeing a lot of guys come over from Korea that are ready to play Big League ball and having success, and Mariner’s starter Chris Flexen has shown us that you can start your career in the show, go to Korea to sharpen your skills, and find a path back to the Big Leagues. Flexen has been a pleasant surprise for Seattle this season, and they are 8-3 in his 11 starts. At home, Flexen has been elite, with a 2.67 ERA in 6 starts. JA Happ and the last place Twins absolutely should not be favored in this game, and this number rivals some of the worst lines we have seen all season.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Detroit Tigers +123
  • Miami Marlins +100
  • Seattle Mariners +114

$100 Bet Pays $955

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets (-143)

I am going to keep this one short and sweet. We backed the Mets yesterday as I noted that these are 2 of the best home teams in the National League, and I am going to take the home team where all other things are equal, when these teams match up. The Mets won the game, and we got paid. In this game, there is nothing equal, as the Cubs are starting Alec Mills, who is suffering through his worst season in the majors and has been working almost exclusively out of the bullpen, against the Met’s Taijuan Walker, who is having a career year, and has been basically unhittable at home. Walker is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA at Citi Field in the Big Apple, and in his 5 home starts this year for the Metropolitans, New York is 5-0 with a run differential of +27. Give me the Mets at home, where they are a Major League best, 18-6 in 2021.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves (-114)

I have enjoyed betting against Eduardo Rodriguez a lot this season. He is always priced aggressively and rarely ever lives up to the hype. E-Rod was 4-0 in April, but since then, his ERA has swelled to over 7 runs in May and June, and if it weren’t for some epic run support, the Red Sox would have lost all of his starts, not just 5 of his last 8. I don’t see Boston scoring enough to support him today against Brave’s youngster Tucker Davidson. Davidson was called up to make a couple of spot starts for the Braves, and he has been fantastic, with a 1.53 ERA. He hasn’t allowed even a single earned run in either of his last 2 starts, and he should be plenty good enough today at home to pick up the win against a struggling Eduardo Rodriguez.

Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox (-113)

I saw the opportunity to back the best home team in the majors yesterday, the Chicago White Sox, as home dogs and jumped all over it. Unfortunately for us, Lance Lynn decided to have his worst outing of the season, and we lost the bet. But given the opportunity to again back Chicago at home, this time as small favorites, I will jump all over it again. Dallas Keuchel hasn’t been all that great for Chicago, but he rarely gives games away, and he gives his team a chance to win each and every time that he pitches. And that is just what the White Sox have done, as they are 9-4 in his starts, and they have won 5 of his last 6. They just might have caught Shane McClanahan at the perfect time too, as McClanahan has an ERA of nearly double-digits here in June, and the Rays have lost both of his starts, despite the fact that they came against the Yankees and Nationals, two of the weakest hitting teams in baseball. The White Sox have the most home wins in the game, and I can’t resist being able to get them at basically even money tonight in the Windy City.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (+112)

I have had a borderline insane run on home teams on the run line in the last couple of weeks. Home run line bets aren’t plays I make very often, but I have been digging deep into my playbook as we approach the dog days of summer and have been cashing a bunch of tickets laying that run and a half. This game sets up well for a home run line play, as the Dodgers own the top run differential in the National League, and they make blowing teams out by multiple runs a regular occurrence. The Phillies are awful on the road at 11-20, the Dodgers are great at home at 22-11, and the starting pitching match is strongly in our favor. No pitcher has more wins than the Dodgers Julio Urias, and of the 10 games that LA has won with Urias on the mound, 9 of them came by multiple runs. Zach Eflin has been great in Philly, but away from home, he has a 5.75 ERA, and the Phillies are 1-6 in his 6 road starts. All this adds up to a Dodgers blowout victory, and I will scoop up some nice dog money by taking the Boys in Blue on the run line at Dodger Stadium.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • New York Mets -143
  • Atlanta Braves -114
  • Chicago White Sox -113
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs +112

$100 Bet Pays $1,275

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-6-15-21/

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