Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 5-29-21

May 30, 2021
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We have been smoking hot all week long, and the only thing that cooled us down yesterday was the rain! We hit 2 parlays yesterday, but both were a bit underwhelming as our get rich or die trying 5-teamer dropped down to a 3-teamer as our play on the New York Mets and the under in the White Sox game were erased by rain postponement. And our daily dog all underdog parlay went from a juicy 3-teamer all the way down to just a single 1-team bet on the San Diego Padres. And while it was certainly disappointing that we weren’t able to cash another jumbo parlay ticket, we did manage to have another very nice day betting on Big League Baseball.

The 3-teamer came in when the Blue Jays (-162) and the Royals (+145) won their games, as well as seeing our under play on the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers game come in. That 3-teamer paid out a juicy $757! Our underdog parlay that was reduced all the way down to just a straight bet got us a $204 payout when the San Diego Padres blew out the Houston Astros. You know you are running great when a day like yesterday, that saw us bank nearly a thousand bucks worth of payouts, was disappointing! We are right back at it today, in search of max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-120)

The Chicago Cubs are very quietly catching fire in the crowded NL Central Division, as Chicago has won 10 of their last 12 games, including a current 5-game winning streak. We have been riding them quite a bit lately, especially at home, where they have one of the best records in the National League, at 17-9. Despite their stellar results in the last couple of weeks, the books are still keeping the price on Chicago reasonable, and I like them a lot today at home against a slumping Cincinnati Reds team. Luis Castillo has been amongst the worst regular starters in the NL this season, with an ERA approaching 8 runs. On the road, he has been particularly awful, as he is 0-3 with a 10.19 ERA in 4 road starts. Castillo is a former All-Star, and his struggles have been hard to understand, but right now, he is a must fade, as the Reds have lost 9 of his 10 starts on the year, including his last 8 straight.

Zach Davies had a rough start to his season for Chicago, as he got hammered to the tune of a 9.47 ERA in the month of April. But here in May, he has really started to figure things out, with a 1.71 ERA in 5 starts. Davies, much like the rest of this Cubs team, has done his best work at home and has a more than respectable 3.86 ERA when pitching in the Windy City. This is a painfully bad number, as Luis Castillo is awful, Zach Davies is great at home, and the Cubs are on fire. This bet would show a ton of value as just a straight fade of Luis Castillo, as betting against him has been free money all year, but when you throw in the fact that the Cubs are scorching hot and have been great at home, this line feels way off. Give me the Cubs today at home, as they are severely undervalued.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-152)

I have bet against the Los Angeles Angels a lot this year. LA always seems to be overhyped, and this year was no different. The public sees names like Pujols, Trout, Rendon, and Ohtani and must think to themselves, this team is loaded! But the reality is that even when Pujols and Trout were still playing, both guys are gone now, this team still wasn’t winning very many baseball games. Now that Trout and Pujols are out of the picture, things are getting ugly in the City of Angels. I backed Oakland yesterday and cashed a ticket when the A’s took the game 3-1, and I will make a play on the Athletics again today as small home favorites.

It is hard to feel too good about siding with A’s starter Frankie Montas, but his ERA is inflated by a couple of particularly bad outings, and overall, he actually hasn’t been too bad. Montas has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 7 out of his 10 starts, and against this weak Angel’s team that looks lost without Mike Trout anchoring their lineup, I expect him to have a lot of success today in Oakland. The Angels have managed just 1 total run so far in this series, and that just isn’t going to get the job done with Alex Cobb getting the nod for the Halos, as Cobb has a road ERA of 8.71 in 3 starts. I see a lot of losing in the near-term future for LA, and they should be far bigger underdogs in this game. Oakland picks up the series win today at home, as they make it 3 in a row over the Angels.

San Diego Padres (-148) at Houston Astros

Yesterday I was shocked that I was able to back the San Diego Padres as underdogs. The Padres currently have the best record in all of baseball, and while the red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers are right on their tails, it wouldn’t be far off to say that this is the best team in the Big Leagues. They send their ace, Yu Darvish, to the bump today, and I see him mowing through the Astros, and Darvish is certainly the far superior side of this starting pitching matchup when compared to Houston starter Jake Odorizzi. Darvish has made 4 road starts, with 1 of them coming in LA against the Dodgers and another one coming in the thin air of the Rocky Mountains against Colorado, and despite the tough spots, he has been lights out with a 1.00 ERA. Darvish has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 8 out of his last 9 starts, and he hasn’t given up more than 2 earned runs in a start since his 1st start of the season.

Jake Odorizzi has had about the worst start to his season imaginable, as he made 3 starts, got absolutely smashed to the tune of 9 earned runs in just 8 innings pitched, and then got shut down with an arm injury. He returns today after a full month on the IL, and it’s hard to think he won’t get beaten up by this Padres team that is 2nd in the NL in runs scored. The Padres are 15-3 in their last 18 games, and I am consistently blown away at how reasonably they are being priced. They should easily be -200 or more in this matchup, and a play on the Pads shows outrageous value. I will lock in my action on Slam Diego on the money line, but for those of you out there with a little higher appetite for risk, the run line on the Padres shows nice value as well at (+105) in what could be another blowout victory for San Diego.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Chicago Cubs -120
  • Oakland Athletics -152
  • San Diego Padres -148

$100 Bet Pays $510

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Game 1 Over 6.5 Runs (-110)

Our totals section is going to be littered with plays on the doubleheader between the Orioles and the White Sox today. The early game is a repeat of a bet we missed out on yesterday, and I will make the identical play that I liked, and got cheated out of, by Mother Nature yesterday, today. Unless Matt Harvey woke up looking like the Matt Harvey from a decade ago, the White Sox are going to punish him, and it wouldn’t at all surprise me to see Chicago push this game to the over all on their own. Dallas Keuchel hasn’t been overly sharp either, so he is likely to give up at least a run or two as well, and even in a shortened 7-inning game, I don’t think we are going to have to sweat this one much at all.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Game 2 Under 5.5 Runs (-110)

The early game is a clear over play, but I will change gears and jump on the under in the late game with John Means and Lance Lynn squaring off on the mound in a battle between 2 of the leading candidates for the AL Cy Young Award. John Means is enjoying a breakout season for the O’s, and on top of throwing his first-ever career no-hitter last month, he sports a 4-0 record and stellar 1.79 ERA. On the road, Means is 3-0 with a 0.94 ERA, and even against this high scoring White Sox team, he is going to pitch well, and I see him going the distance for Baltimore.

Lance Lynn is doing exactly what the White Sox had hoped he would do when they made the move to bring him in during the offseason, and at 5-1 with a 1.51 ERA, he is having one of his best seasons ever, which is saying a lot for the multi-time All-Star. I don’t think I have ever taken under a total so low, but with this being a 7-inning game, and both of these starters very likely to pitch the entire game, or at least pitch until they can hand it off to their respective closers, it still feels like the under is the play. I’m not sure I ever thought I would be saying this, but give me the under 5.5 runs today in Chicago on a gloomy day where runs are going to be hard to come by with a couple of aces on the mound in Lance Lynn and John Means.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Over 7 Runs (-110)

We already broke down this game above, and you know how I feel about Red’s starter, Luis Castillo. The guy has just been too consistently bad to not expect another disastrous outing from him today on the North Side of Chicago. Castillo has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 8 of his 10 starts and at least 4 earned runs in 6 different outings. If he is that bad again, we could be done sweating this total by the 3rd inning. And even though Zach Davies has been pitching much better as of late, he isn’t a guy that is going to go out and completely shut down a team either, so this total makes absolutely no sense. I will take the over and feel like I am stealing as this number is at least a full run too low.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Game 1 Over 6.5 Runs -110
  • Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Game 2 Under 5.5 Runs -110
  • Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Over 7 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates Game 2 (+105)

When will the sportsbooks ever learn? I was super frustrated yesterday to see so many games get canceled due to bad weather, as I felt I had some really nice plays that I didn’t get the opportunity to make. But luckily, the books have decided to give me another shot today to fade the Colorado Rockies as road favorites. I put it simply in my article yesterday. The Colorado Rockies should never, ever, ever be road favorites. Period. Colorado is 3-20 on the road, and if the Rockies can’t find a way to turn things around, they could end up as the worst road team in MLB history. I don’t care who they are playing or who is pitching for either team, if you let me fade the Rockies on the road, and get juice while doing it, I am going to bet it blind each and every time.

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (+112)

The Detroit Tigers aren’t a very good baseball team, but that didn’t stop them from winning yesterday as home dogs, and it isn’t going to stop them from winning today, again as home dogs, versus the New York Yankees. Spencer Turnbull is one of seemingly dozens of different pictures that have thrown a no-hitter this season, the real number is 6, but man, does it feel like we are seeing no-no’s on a daily basis this year, and I see him having a nice outing today at home. Turnbull is emerging as an All-Star level talent for Detroit after seeing his ERA drop in each of his 4 seasons in the show. As much as I do like Spencer Turnbull, this play is more of a fade of Yankees starter Deivi Garcia, than a show of confidence in Turnbull.

Deivi Garcia is undeniable a special talent, but at age-22, he shouldn’t be starting in the majors right now and is only being called upon because Corey Kluber threw his arm off again and was just shut down indefinitely. Garcia was struggling at triple-A, as he hasn’t been able to command his pitches, leading to far too many walks. The decision to call him up stinks of desperation for New York, and I see a trade coming in the near future for the Bronx Bombers, as they aren’t going to be able to hang in the loaded AL East Division with a guy like Deivi Garcia forced to carry a heavy load. Home dogs are my favorite play in all of baseball, and I like Detroit to remind Yankees fans why Deivi Garcia should still be pitching in Scranton.

Miami Marlins (+133) at Boston Red Sox

If you have been reading my parlay of the day picks regularly, you will know that I absolutely love Marlin’s starter, Trevor Rogers. Rogers is a budding superstar for Miami, and at age 23, he is going to be a guy that becomes a household name very quickly. If Rogers were playing in Boston, he would already be pulling down headlines, but instead, he is stuck in baseball purgatory in Miami and is forced to do his work in the dark. In true Miami fashion, they are going to probably trade this guy away at some point, so don’t worry Red Sox fans, Trevor Rogers might shut you down today, but in a year or two, he might be your new ace, as Miami loves to give away future All-Stars. Rogers is 6-2 with a 1.75 ERA and has given up just a single earned run in each of his last 4 starts. Even on this Miami team that has a losing record on the year, Rogers has led the Fish to victorious in 7 of his last 9 starts, and the Marlins haven’t lost when he has pitched in over a month.

Nathan Eovaldi has pitched OK this year, but most of his success has come on the road. In his last 5 home starts at Fenway Park, he has gotten roughed up for 20 earned runs in just 26.2 innings worked. I try to never put too much emphasis on the starting pitching matchup in a game, but Trevor Rogers is just too good not to want to back as a big dog, even against this very talented and hard-hitting Boston Red Sox team. With Nathan Eovaldi pitching poorly in Boston, you can make a compelling case that this is a coin flip game at best, despite Boston being the far superior overall team. The public doesn’t know Trevor Rogers’s name yet, but my readers do, and we are going to use that knowledge to guide our bet on Miami as underdogs.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Pittsburgh Pirates Game 2+105
  • Detroit Tigers +112
  • Miami Marlins +133

$100 Bet Pays $1,013

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Kansas City Royals (+145) at Minnesota Twins

I bet against the Minnesota Twins almost every day. No team in the game has lost more games as a betting favorite this season than Minnesota, and despite their awful record, the books keep making them favorites on a regular basis. I mean, I get it, it’s hard to understand how this roster, that has ample talent on it, can play so bad, but just because we can’t fully comprehend it, doesn’t mean that it isn’t indeed the case. JA Happ was great in April, but he has been an embarrassment in his last 3 starts, getting lit up for a whopping 19 earned runs. Ervin Santana makes his 1st start of the season today for KC after starting his season pitching out of the Royal’s bullpen. Santana was a long-time starter in his stints with the Angels and Twins and hasn’t allowed a run in 5 appearances in the month of May. The Royals stink, but Minnesota shouldn’t be big favorites against anybody right now, particularly with JA Happ getting the start.

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians (+118)

What do you know, I am taking another home underdog! This bet is mostly a fade of Blue Jays starter Ross Stripling. Stripling looks washed up at this point of his career and hasn’t been able to eat up many innings for the Toronto Blue Jays. Just like Deivi Garcia for New York, Stripling is only in this rotation until Toronto can find something better. Stripling has pitched more than 5 innings in a start just once this season, and his road ERA is a dismal 6.00. The Blue Jays have lost 5 of his 7 starts. The overall body of work for Sam Hentges hasn’t been very impressive, but at home, he has actually been great. In Cleveland, Hentges has made 4 starts and has a 2.61 ERA to show for it. Expect Ross Stripling to continue his struggles and for Cleveland to win at home at an attractive price.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (+130)

This was another play that got rained out yesterday, that I still like today, as the New York Mets and their starter, Taijuan Walker, have been too good at home not to love getting them as home dogs. Walker is 2-0 with a 1.48 ERA in 4 home starts, and the Mets have won each of those games. Winning is something that New York does a lot of no matter where this guy pitches, as they are 7-1 in Walker’s 8 starts. You aren’t hearing a lot about the Mets right now, but they are sitting alone atop the standings in the NL East Division, and their home record of 14-5 is one of the best in the league. I hate fading Ian Anderson, as I am a huge fan of the young hurler, but this is plain and simple a bad number, and I have no choice but to take advantage of it and back the Mets at home, where all they do is win.

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners (-117)

Don’t look now, but with yesterday’s win, the Seattle Mariners are on the cusp of booking their 2nd consecutive series win, and the M’s are finally starting to get healthy again with the return of several key position players. And as much as I still think this Seattle team is going to hang around the wild card conversation if they can get fully healthy, this bet is more about betting against the Texas Rangers. No team has more road losses than the Ranger’s 18, and after seeing them drop each of the first 2 games of this series in Seattle, scoring just 2 total runs, I don’t think they are going to do much today against Seattle starter Justin Dunn. Dunn has been great this month, with a 2.79 ERA, and if he can throw strikes, he is really hard to square up. I’ve taken Seattle twice already in this series and cashed tickets both times, and I will use an if it ain’t broke don’t fix it approach today, as Seattle makes it 3 straight wins over Texas as small home favorites.

St. Louis Cardinals (-137) at Arizona Diamondbacks

I have been hammering on the St. Louis Cardinals this season, as they have played great baseball, and they are consistently being undervalued in the betting markets. I let Madison Bumgarner talk me out of backing the Red Birds yesterday, and I immediately regretted it, as they smashed MaddyBums and ran up the score on the DBacks. I won’t make that mistake again today, as this Arizona team just can’t be trusted, and their 4-22 record this month, including their active 12-game losing streak, is an embarrassment. St. Louis is in 1st place, and no team in the majors has more losses than Arizona has, yet this is a tight line? What am I missing here? I don’t fully understand this number, but that doesn’t mean I won’t take advantage of it. Give me the Cards to hand the DBacks their 13th loss in a row tonight in the desert.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Kansas City Royals +145
  • Cleveland Indians +118
  • New York Mets +130
  • Seattle Mariners -117
  • St. Louis Cardinals -137

$100 Bet Pays $3,942

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-5-29-21/

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