It was an interesting day of Big League Baseball action yesterday that sets us up for what should be an even better day today. The Tampa Bay Rays have forgotten how to lose, as Tampa won their 11th straight games yesterday, knocking off the Toronto Blue Jays 14-8. And a couple of teams that haven’t been able to win, and were mired in nasty slumps, finally broke through with some success as the Seattle Mariners beat the Oakland Athletics, the Minnesota Twins won at home against the Baltimore Orioles, and the Colorado Rockies won just their 3rd road game of the season, beating the Mets in New York City 3-2.
Rays Win!
#11 came in the 11th. #RaysUp
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) May 24, 2021
Many series that started yesterday will continue today, as well as a couple of series openers on tap for this afternoon as well. The highlights of the day include the Brewers hosting the Padres, the Blue Jays playing in NYC against the Bronx Bombers, the Astros and Dodgers playing in Houston in what could very well be a World Series preview, and the Chicago White Sox will try and hand Jack Flaherty his 1st loss of the season when they welcome the St. Louis Cardinals to town. As always, we will help you navigate the madness and deliver max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Chicago Cubs (-141) at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Chicago Cubs are heating up, with a 13-7 record here in the month of May, and they are slowly climbing up the standings in the NL Central Division. Entering play today, Chicago trails the St. Louis Cardinals by a game and a half for the division lead, and the Cubs must find a way to perform better on the road if they want to truly contend for a division title this season in the loaded Central Division. Road games have been the Achillies Heel for the Cubs all season long, as their 8 road wins are tied for the second fewest of any team in the National League. But today, against a Pirates team in freefall, they need to take advantage of the soft matchup and win this game, and I think that is exactly what they will do.
A little something for your Monday morning.#CubTogether pic.twitter.com/rnUiMe5oyr
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) May 24, 2021
Jake Arietta has had a bit of an up and down season for Chicago, but he has faced these Pirates twice already this season, and he has dominated the Buccos. In his 2 starts against Pittsburgh, Arietta worked a combined 12 innings and allowed just 3 earned runs, and the Cubs won both games. Pittsburgh will try and answer Chicago today with Cody Ponce, who will be making his 1st appearance of the season today. Ponce has just 17 innings of Big League experience, all coming last season for the Pirates, and his lifetime ERA is a respectable 3.18. The Pirates have seen their production fall off of a cliff this month, and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games, and I think they are going to lose again today. The Cubs stink on the road, but this game is low hanging fruit, and even Chicago won’t be able to mess it up.
Cleveland Indians (-143) at Detroit Tigers
The Cleveland Indians haven’t suffered the same issues as the Cubs, as the Indians are actually decent on the road. Cleveland’s 14 road wins are better than any other team in the AL besides the Rays and the Red Sox, and their starter, Aaron Civale, has been great on the road as well. Civale is 3-0 with a 3.90 ERA in 4 road starts, and the Indians are 3-1 in those games, with a run differential of +15. Civale has pitched against Detroit twice this season, and he has been really good, throwing a combined 14.2 innings, allowing just 4 runs, on only 5 hits. As inconsistent as Cleveland has been this season, they are pretty consistent when Civale pitches, with a 7-2 record in his 9 starts.
Don’t know about you, but we never had a doubt.#OurCLE pic.twitter.com/Up89eORxE0
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) May 25, 2021
Tarik Skubal finally got off of the schneid in his last outing, picking up his 1st winning decision of the season after having an 0-6 record to start the year. The win was the 1st for Detroit with Skubal on the mound, as they were previously 0-8 in his 8 starts. These trends are too strong in both directions to not like the Indians. Detroit was playing well in May, but they laid an egg in Kansas City, dropping the series to a bad Royals team, and after losing last night in game 1 against Cleveland, they have now lost 3 straight games. Look for that slump to extend to 4 straight for Detroit, as Cleveland takes back-to-back games in Motown.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) at Houston Astros
The Los Angeles Dodgers were hot, then they were cold, and now they are hot again, with wins in 11 of their last 12 games. LA has always had the most talented roster in the Major Leagues, and we always knew they were going to get things turned around at some point, so I am not remotely surprised that they are on fire again, and they are still absolutely the team to beat this season in the National League. The Dodgers will take their show on the road today, heading to Houston, to play an Astros team that is happy to be back home after a rough road trip.
Couldn’t #BeatLA. pic.twitter.com/2HpkytQu5l
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) May 23, 2021
The Astros were 8-2 during a 10-game homestand earlier this month but went just 2-4 on their recent road trip, somehow getting swept by the last place Texas Rangers in 3 games in their last series. Success in Houston has been something the Astros have enjoyed all season long, as they are tied with the Chicago White Sox for the most home wins this season in the AL. The starting pitching matchup in this game is a blockbuster one, featuring perennial All-Stars Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. Unlike the rest of this Houston team, Zack Greinke has actually been pretty bad at home this year, with a 6.41 ERA at Minute Maid Park. Kershaw has been mostly great away from Dodger Stadium and has allowed 1 earned run or less in 3 out of his last 4 road starts. There isn’t a lot separating these teams in this game, but my gut says that when LA is playing this good, that you need to stay out of their way and jump on board and get paid. The Dodgers stay hot today in Houston as they beat the Astros behind a solid outing from Clayton Kershaw.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Chicago Cubs -141
- Cleveland Indians -143
- Los Angeles Dodgers -110
$100 Bet Wins $455
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8 Runs (-110)
What has gotten into the Tampa Bay Rays lately? The Rays are undoubtedly the hottest team in all of baseball, riding an 11-game winning streak, and they are getting the job done by hammering the baseball. Tampa Bay has scored a whopping 95 runs during this 11-game explosion, scoring 9 runs or more in a game 7 times. Kansas City will try and slow down these Tampa Bay bats with starting pitcher Brad Keller, and it is liable to get ugly in St. Pete, as Keller has struggled much of the year with a 6.52 ERA. The last time that Keller faced the Rays, he got smashed for 5 earned runs and didn’t make it out of the 2nd inning. Sorry Royals fans, but this is going to be a slaughtering today, and with how the Rays have been playing in the last couple of weeks, they could very well go over this total all by themselves.
Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
A lot was made of the Seattle Mariners calling up blue-chip prospect starting pitcher Logan Gilbert a couple of weeks ago. And while this kid certainly has Big League caliber stuff and a bright future, things haven’t started out as well as Mariner’s fans had hoped. Gilbert has an ERA north of 9 runs in 2 starts for Seattle, with both of those starts coming against teams that aren’t known for their ability to hit the baseball, in the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Indians. It’s hard to expect things to get much better for Gilbert today on the road against this 1st place Athletics team. You can pencil in Logan Gilbert for at least a couple of earned runs, and A’s starter Cole Irvin is likely to give up some runs, too, as Irvin has allowed 4 runs or more in a start 4 times in his 9 outings this year. Both of these guys are capable of being bad enough to push this game well over, and I will jump on the over 8.5 runs in what could end up being a slobber knocker in the Bay Area.
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
I will make one of my favorite plays again today and take the over in the Angels game. No team in the majors has a higher team ERA than the Angels, and I regularly take the over when they play. The losses of Albert Pujols and Mike Trout has slowed the run production for LA, so they might slide down from a blind bet the over team, to a generally bet the over team, as even with their bad pitching, if they can’t score any runs, overs are going to be tough to find. Texas starter Hyeon-jong Yang is a 33-year-old rookie who has managed to avoid giving up too many runs, despite allowing lots of hits and walking way too many guys. If he continues to play with fire like that, he is going to get burned. For LA, Andrew Heaney has a 6.50 ERA at home, and all of this adds up to a high scoring game that should sail to the over.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8 Runs -110
- Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs -110
- Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels Over 8.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox (-105)
It is getting to be very rare that you can bet on the Boston Red Sox as underdogs, and it is too good of a proposition to pass up if you are able to find the Bo Sox getting juice in a game, no matter who they are playing. Boston has the highest winning percentage as underdogs in the majors, at a blistering hot 71%. Yeah, I get it, Garret Richards has been bad at home this season, but he did pitch 6 shutout innings in his last start at Fenway, and he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts.
On cloud nine. 😍 pic.twitter.com/heQ0eTQ56X
— Red Sox (@RedSox) May 24, 2021
Throw in the fact that the Braves just don’t seem to win all that often when Charlie Morton pitches, Atlanta is an underwhelming 3-6 with Morton on the mound, and this line just doesn’t make a lot of sense. Here is one last nugget for you if you aren’t convinced a play on Boston as home dogs isn’t the way to go. No team in the National League has more losses as betting favorites this year than the Atlanta Braves. All of the data tells us that Boston is the side to be on, and I am never one to deny the data. Give me the Red Sox at home today in a battle between potential pennant contenders.
San Diego Padres (+104) at Milwaukee Brewers
How good is Corbin Burnes? The 26-year-old phenom has an absurd K/W ratio of 67/2 and is racking up strikeout stats that we haven’t seen in a very long time. The problem for Brewer’s fans is that no matter how amazing Burnes pitches, it just doesn’t seem to translate to very many wins. I guess we can call it Jacob deGrom syndrome, as the multi-time Cy Young Award winner for the New York Mets doesn’t seem to win very often either. The Brewers are 2-5 in Burnes 7 starts this season, and they have lost each of his last 3 outings. It is hard to comprehend how a guy with a 1.79 ERA that has held opposing teams to 1 earned run or less in 5 starts can possibly have a losing record, yet here we are.
✌️📸 pic.twitter.com/5T3GuPOlrk
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 24, 2021
Joe Musgrove has had a couple of hard-luck losses this season as well, as he has been nearly as good as Burnes in terms of shutting teams down. Musgrove has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 7 of his 9 starts, and he has been especially good in his last 2 starts, working a combined 12 innings and giving up just a single earned run while striking out 16. I can’t fully explain this weird phenomenon we are seeing for Milwaukee when Corbin Burnes pitches, and it feels weird betting against him so often, but doing so has led to some juicy wins. Burnes will likely be great again today, but it hasn’t mattered much how great he has been all season long, and it won’t matter again today, as the Padres are winning this game as road dogs.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Boston Red Sox -105
- San Diego Padres +104
$100 Bet Wins $299
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins (-129)
The Philadelphia Phillies have been awful on the road this season with an 8-15 record when not playing in the City of Brotherly Love. They are going to have their hands full on the road again today, against Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara has a 2.30 ERA at home this season, and in the month of May, he has worked 13 innings at home and has allowed just 2 total earned runs. Vince Velasquez has been bouncing around back and forth between the Phillies bullpen and rotation, and while he has had solid results in both rolls, he has really struggled with his command, with 19 walks in just 30.2 innings pitched. Alcantara just pitched against these Phillies in his last start, and he dazzled, tossing 6 shutout innings, allowing just 2 hits, and striking out 9. And that start came on the road, where Alcantara has mostly struggled this season. Now that he is at home in Miami, I expect more of the same from Alcantara, and I see him leading his team to a win tonight in South Beach.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (-182)
These next couple of picks are what I call low hanging fruit. I don’t make a habit of laying a lot of wood in games, but my job as a handicapper is to take advantage of bad numbers, and sometimes that means laying a bunch of wood in a game for the simple fact that you should probably be laying even more. The Yankees have been stupid hot in the last several weeks with a 16-5 record in May. They host a Blue Jays team that is coming off of a 3-7 homestand and has lost 6 straight games, with 5 of those losses coming by multiple runs.
Throw a no-no, earn Co-POTW honors.
Congrats on a historic performance, @CKluber 👏 pic.twitter.com/w7eIhMp1Lk
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 24, 2021
Corey Kluber gets the nod today for New York, fresh off of his no-hitter in his last outing, and it’s looking like New York’s gamble on the veteran starter is paying off as they have won each of his last 5 starts, and in May, he is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA. Steven Matz came out of the gets pitching well for Toronto, but he has cooled down considerably as of late, as he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. Modern day Kluber looks a lot like vintage Cy Young Award winner Kluber, and vintage Kluber would have been laying -220 in this game. We get to back Corey Kluber and his Yankees team that is smashing fools lately, and even though the price is steep, the Bronx Bombers are being undervalued, and we are going to take advantage of it.
Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals (-186)
This play is a carbon copy of the above play, as Washington will start their veteran multi-time Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer, and the price is far too low. Just like Corey Kluber, Mad Max is pitching as well as he ever has right now, yet the books are still pricing him reasonably. Scherzer is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA in May, and at home this season, he is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA in 4 starts. I am not sure there is a pitcher I have backed more in the last decade than Max Scherzer, and the guy always seems to bring his A-game and gets me paid. These once mighty Red’s bats have gone cold, and Cincy has lost 8 of 11. The Reds aren’t going to bust out of this slump today against Max Scherzer, so I will take an easy winner and back the Nats.
St. Louis Cardinals (+118) at Chicago White Sox
It is hard to be much better than the St. Louis Cardinals have been this season when their ace, Jack Flaherty, takes the mound. Flaherty has made 9 starts for St. Louis in 2021, and the Red Birds are a perfect 9-0. And it’s not just that the Cards are winning when Flaherty pitches, it is how they are winning, that has been so impressive. The Cardinal’s run differential when Flaherty starts is an absolutely absurd +50. Every single one of those wins have come by multiple runs, and I almost couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw St. Louis as underdogs in this game against the Chicago White Sox. Yeah, Lucas Giolito is nasty but in his 4 home starts this season, the White Sox are 0-4. I have been betting on St. Louis basically every time that Jack Flaherty pitches and getting rich, and that is just what I will do again today as I take full advantage of an unforgivably bad line.
San Francisco Giants (-177) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Our final bet of the day comes to us from the desert, as the Arizona Diamondbacks will try and snap their 8-game losing streak tonight at home against the San Franciso Giants. Arizona has been really bad recently, with a 3-17 record in their last 20 games, and they have fallen completely out of contention. The Giants, on the other hand, have shown that they aren’t going to back down in the NL West Division, as they are playing good baseball and winning a lot of games. The G-men got swept by the Dodgers in their last series, but they had won 8 of 10 before that slip up, and I like them to get back on track today against this bad DBacks team. Kevin Gausman has been stupid good on the road this season with a 3-0 record and 0.91 ERA, and he has allowed 1 earned run or fewer, in all but 1 of his 9 starts this season. Let’s file this one under free money and back the Giants in a good spot.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Miami Marlins -129
- New York Yankees -182
- Washington Nationals -186
- St. Louis Cardinals +118
- San Francisco Giants -177
$100 Bet Wins $1,343
Wrap Up
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!
https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-5-25-21/
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