Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 5-22-21

May 23, 2021
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Yesterday I mentioned that what has made our recent hot streak so impressive has been our ability to find value on underdogs. It is one thing to make plays on lots of big favorites and grind out a decent winning percentage. It is an entirely different thing to consistently play dogs and still win most of your bets. While we didn’t hit a parlay yesterday, we went 2 out of 3 on 3 different tickets, we did finish with a winning record overall at 8-6 and nailed 4 money line underdog bets.

We picked up dog money winners on the Athletics (+102), Rangers (+108), Tigers (+133), and Red Sox (+135) in what was a great day packed full of upsets. The winner on Boston was especially satisfying, as that was just a bad number, as the Red Sox entered play yesterday tied for the most wins in the American League, and they shouldn’t be heavy dogs against anybody right now, particularly on the road, where they have the best road record in all of baseball. Today, we get back on the grind, looking to stay hot, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-162)

The Minnesota Twins showed signs of life yesterday, as they dropped a 10 spot on the Cleveland Indians and won a rare road game. It was just their 8th road win of the season, the lowest total of any team in the American League, and it cost us a bet, as we were on Cleveland. But I hope that Twins fans don’t get too excited about that offensive explosion, as they are going to do a lot of swinging and missing today with Indian’s ace Shane Bieber on the mound. Bieber is the reigning Cy Young Award winner in the AL and has managed to recreate last year’s results, as he is striking guys out at an absurd pace. Bieber has struggled a little bit giving up the long ball, but his K/9 ratio is an elite 13.9, and he has sat down at least 9 batters in 7 of his 9 outings.

Kenta Maeda was supposed to get the start yesterday, but the Twins bumped him back to match up with Bieber, and in theory, that makes sense, as Maeda has top of the rotation stuff, but in reality, he hasn’t shown a lot of that this season. Maeda has an ERA north of 5 runs, and on the road, he is 1-1 with a 6.38 ERA in 5 starts. He pitched in Cleveland earlier this year and got hammered for 5 total runs in just 5.2 innings pitched and gave up a whopping 3 home runs. Shane Bieber is the best pitcher in the American League right now, and before seeing him struggle a bit in his last start against the Seattle Mariners, the Indians had won 6 of his previous 7 starts. Bieber saw his long streak of consecutive starts with at least 8 Ks come to an end against Seattle, and I think he takes it out on the Twins today. Pencil in Bieber for 7 or 8 innings and double-digit strikeouts as the Indian’s roll.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (-141)

When you look at Sonny Gray’s 0-3 record, it might lead you to believe that he hasn’t pitched very well this season. But that just hasn’t been the case, as Gray has actually pitched relatively well for the Reds this year but has suffered from a lack of run support. That is a bit surprising when you look at the fact that the Reds are 2nd in the NL in runs scored and 2nd in all of baseball in home runs. The Reds score lots of runs, but unfortunately for Sonny Gray, he has been a bit unlucky. I think that run of bad luck ends today for Gray and the Reds, as I like him to shut down the struggling Milwaukee Brewers, as the Reds are going to finally support him by knocking around Brewer’s starter Brett Anderson.

Anderson pitched well early in the year, but in his last 3 outings, he has pitched just 7 total innings and has gotten beaten up for 7 earned runs. The Reds jumped all over yesterday’s starter for Milwaukee Adrian Houser, as they plated 3 1st run innings and eventually touched him up for 6 total runs in 4 innings. I see this game going a lot like that one, and Sonny Gray isn’t going to give the game away if he actually gets a little run support. The Brewers have lost 13 of their last 17 games, and that trend continues today on the road, as these Reds bats are going to be too much for Brett Anderson, and Sonny Gray is finally going to book his 1st winning decision of the season.

Boston Red Sox (-127) at Philadelphia Phillies

When I took Boston yesterday, I noted that they have been the best road team in baseball basically all season long. They managed to win despite having to face Phillies ace Aaron Nola, and if they could beat up on Nola, I can’t imagine what they are going to do today against Spencer Howard, who has yet to start a single game this season and has an ERA of 8.31 working out of the bullpen for the Phillies. Howard has some decent swing and miss stuff, but in 28.2 career innings pitched in the Big Leagues, he has a lifetime ERA of 6.28. That does not bode well for him today against this heavy-hitting Red Sox lineup that leads the Major Leagues in runs scored.

Nathan Eovaldi hasn’t been great pitching at Fenway Park, and it’s hard to blame him too much as Fenway is tough on just about everybody, but on the road, he has been great. In 2 road starts this season, Eovaldi is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA, and I can’t resist being able to back the Red Sox at such a reasonable price. The Phillies are tough to beat at home, but with Spencer Howard almost certainly getting hammered today, I have no choice but to again fade the Phillies and back the Bo Sox.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Cleveland Indians -162
  • Cincinnati Reds -141
  • Boston Red Sox -127

$100 Bet Wins $395

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Over 9.5 Runs (-110)

I have taken the over in each of the 1st 2 games of this series between the Braves and Pirates and have cashed both bets, as we have seen lots of runs hit the board. The Braves exploded for a whopping 20 runs yesterday, and these Brave’s bats have officially woken up after a slow start to the season. Atlanta has hit 9 more home runs than any other team in the majors, and while this is a high total, I still like the over.

Both of these starters are struggling this year as Pirates starter Mitch Keller is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA, and Braves starter Bryse Wilson is only in the starting rotation because of all of the injuries for Atlanta. The Braves have been playing without starter Mike Soroka all season long, as he has been out with an injury, and young stud Huascar Ynoa decided to punch something and break his hand last week and is now out for months as well. That means Wilson is going to have to step into a prominent role for the Braves, and that’s not a great thing for Atlanta, as he is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA. Runs, runs, lots of runs today in the ATL!

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Over 8 Runs (-110)

The poor Seattle Mariners are getting destroyed with injuries. It was bad enough that they lost Marco Gonzalez and James Paxton to long-term injuries, decimating their starting rotation, but now they have had a COVID-19 outbreak in their bullpen and had to send a big chunk of their relief staff to the IL. Things weren’t pretty for Seattle yesterday with so many missing guys, and they got embarrassed by the Padres, giving up 16 runs. Justus Sheffield is a serviceable young arm, but unless he pitches the entire game, and he won’t, the M’s bullpen is going to come into this game and get blasted again, as it’s full of triple-A guys that shouldn’t be pitching in the show right now. You can never predict a score like 16-1, but don’t be shocked if this game turns out a lot like yesterday’s game with a similar final score. Sorry Mariner’s fans, close your eyes and hang on tight, it’s going to be a bumpy ride tonight in San Diego!

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Under 8 Runs (-110)

When Shane Bieber pitches, the game totals are almost always in the 6.5 to 7.5 run range. That’s because Bieber is an animal that doesn’t give up many runs, and when one side of the starting pitching matchup is that good, the game totals end up being very low. I am quite surprised that this total is sitting at 8 runs right now, as Bieber is a beast, and Kenta Maeda, while not pitching great at the moment, is capable of being very good at times as well. I’ll take advantage of this bad number and jump on the under 8 runs, as this game feels like a 4-1 final.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Over 9.5 Runs -110
  • Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Over 8 Runs -110
  • Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Under 8 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Detroit Tigers (+125) at Kansas City Royals

We took the Detroit Tigers as underdogs yesterday as I strongly felt that the Kansas City Royals should never be big favorites in a game, no matter who they are playing. The Royals proved me right, as they promptly went out and lost the game, and we picked up a juicy underdog winner. I guess the books haven’t learned their lesson, though, as they have once again made the Royals favorites in game 2 against Detroit. This is an absolutely terrible line, as Detroit should be the favorites in this game with Matthew Boyd on the mound. Boyd has turned his life around this year, as he has focused on pitching to contact rather than trying to strike everyone out, and that has led to a very successful season for the veteran lefty. Boyd has a career-best 2.45 ERA, and he is clearly the better side of this starting pitching matchup with the Royal’s Brady Singer.

Singer was pitching decently early on, but the wheels have fallen off for him recently. In 2 of his last 4 starts, he has gotten yanked from the game early, and the Royals have lost each of his last 4 starts. On the year, KC is just 2-6 in his 8 starts. I said yesterday that I am not a believer in this Tiger’s team, as they are at least another year or two away from competing for a playoff spot. But that doesn’t mean they aren’t playing some great baseball right now, with wins in 9 of their last 11 games. The Royals, on the other hand, are 5-14 in the month of May and are quickly looking like the last place team we all thought they would be coming into the season. I get to back a red-hot team, with a starter having a career year, against a team in free fall, starting a guy that hasn’t won in over a month? And I get to pick up dog money while I do it? It seems almost too good to be true!

Tampa Bay Rays (-104) at Toronto Blue Jays

Yesterday I talked about how this Tampa Bay Rays team has all of the sudden come alive at the plate, averaging 9 runs per game during their current 7-game winning streak. So, what did Tampa Bay do yesterday? Oh, they just went out and scored 9 more runs and won again, to extend their winning streak to 8 games. I expect the Rays bats to stay hot today against Blue Jay’s starter Robbie Ray. Ray has been plagued by command issues that had derailed his career before finding the strike zone again this year for Toronto. The lack of free passes has helped Ray produce significantly improved results, but with all of those strikes getting thrown, guys are able to sit back and wait for their pitch in the zone, and that has led to a ton of home runs. Ray has gotten blasted for 10 home runs in his last 5 starts, and against this Ray’s team that can’t stop hammering the baseball, he is going to have a long day today.

Shane McClanahan isn’t a guy that evokes a ton of confidence, but he has been decent, and he gives his team a chance to win games every time that he pitches. And the Rays have done just that, as they have won each of McClanahan’s last 3 outings. If Robbie Ray gives up multiple home runs, something he has done in every one of his starts this month, the Rays are going to feast on him. Tampa Bay is scorching hot at the plate, and they haven’t lost in over a week. I love being able to back the Rays as underdogs in a “road” game being played just outside their hometown.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Detroit Tigers +125
  • Tampa Bay Rays -104

$100 Bet Wins $342

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Arizona Diamondbacks (-114) at Colorado Rockies

We picked up a nice dog money win yesterday by backing the Colorado Rockies, but today, I will switch gears and fade Colorado and back the Diamondbacks with Madison Bumgarner pitching. Bumgarner was awful in his first handful of starts with the Arizona Diamondbacks, going back to last season, but he has finally found his groove as of late, as he has allowed just 5 earned runs in his last 6 starts combined. One of those starts came against these very same Rockies, and he shut them down to the tune of just 1 run in 5 solid innings of work. Colorado is decent at home, and Arizona stinks on the road, so this is a bit of a risky play, but the Rockies have lost 7 times in Antonio Senzatela’s 8 starts, and this is a very nice price to fade a guy that all he does is lose.

Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-117) at Texas Rangers

This is another game where I took a home dog yesterday and got paid where I will jump on the other side today, as I like the Astros to blow out the Rangers today, behind starter Lance McCullers Jr. McCullers is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA on the road this year, and the Astros haven’t lost with him on the mound in over a month. Houston has won all of those games by multiple runs, and they have a run differential of +18 during that span. The Rangers will hope that Jordan Lyles can match McCullers, but don’t hold your breath Ranger’s fans, as this guy has been terrible at home, with an 8.47 ERA in Arlington. I don’t make a lot of run line bets, but this is the type of game that the run line was invented for. Give me the Astros, as it could get ugly in Arlington today.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins (-150)

I love a good starting pitching matchup, and that is what we have on our hands today, with Marcus Stroman and Pablo Lopez squaring off in Miami. As good as both of these guys have been, there are some compelling splits that lead me to believe that Miami is going to win this game. Lopez has been nearly unhittable in Miami this year, with a blink, and you will miss it, 0.79 ERA. Stroman has been a little shaky in the last month, as he has allowed 4 runs or more in 3 of his last 6 starts. If he gives up 4 runs today, the Mets are losing this game. The Met’s solid record on the year is propped up by an 11-4 record at home, and on the road, they are a losing team. Pablo Lopez is too good at home, and the Mets are too bad on the road, not to side with Miami in this one.

Chicago Cubs (-113) at St. Louis Cardinals

Miles Mikolas was a big part of the St. Louis Cardinal’s starting rotation in 2018 and 2019, but injuries cost him all of the 2020 season, and he makes his season debut for the Cardinals today at home. It is really hard to expect a guy to be sharp after he hasn’t pitched in a year and a half, and I would expect only a couple of innings out of Mikolas tonight. Shoulder injuries are always scary for a starting pitcher, and until Mikolas can show me that he is fully stretched out and in mid-season form, which could take weeks, I am going to fade him. With Mikolas surely on a low pitch count today, we are going to get a heavy dose of the Cardinal’s bullpen, and if today’s game is anything like yesterday’s, where the Cubs brutalized the Cardinal’s ‘pen for 10 runs, Chicago is going to win this game. I’ll take the Cubs at close to even money as the Cards bullpen isn’t ready for what is coming for them today.

Oakland Athletics (-136) at Los Angeles Angels

I love to bet against the Los Angeles Angels, and despite the fact that they are a dumpster can fire this year, somehow, they are regularly favored in games. That was the case yesterday, and we cashed our ticket on the A’s, as they came from behind late and eventually took the game going away, with an 8-4 victory. Oakland is currently 2nd in the AL in wins, and the Angels are in last place in the AL West. I guess the books haven’t checked the standings in a while, as the Angels are way overvalued in this game. LA has a 7-14 record in their last 21 games, and until the books start pricing them like the last place team that they are, I will continue to bet against them on a daily basis.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Arizona Diamondbacks -114
  • Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -117
  • Miami Marlins -150
  • Chicago Cubs -113
  • Oakland Athletics -136

$100 Bet Wins $1,799

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-5-22-21/

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