Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-7-21

April 8, 2021
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Yesterday was a bit of a frustrating day as we finished 7-8 on our daily picks, with several of those games looking like wins until late game devastation. We took the Tampa Bay Rays and the under 9 runs which was looking fantastic with the Rays leading 3-1 heading into the bottom of the 8th inning. But the game went to extras, and we lost both sides of what was a sharp bet that deserved to win. We lost the Tigers and Twins bet when the Tigers won that one in extra innings as well, and the DBacks beat the Rockies in 13, to hand us several brutal late-inning losses all on the same day.

Despite a winning record on the year, we are now 0-6 in extra inning games in this first week of MLB action. You can’t control the variance on extra inning games, and eventually, those are going to even out for us in the long run. We will look to shake off that run bad today as we set out in search of value with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (-110) at Oakland Athletics

I haven’t seen a team play as bad as the Oakland Athletics are playing right now in quite some time. Not only are the Athletics losing all of their games, they are getting completely embarrassed every time out. The A’s are 0-6 with a -37-run differential! Believe it or not, last night’s 5-1 loss was actually tied for the closest game the A’s have played this year, as they have been regularly getting smashed. Sometimes when you are playing poorly, the schedule will bail you out and give you a couple of soft games to regroup and get things turned around. That isn’t the case this time, though, as the A’s play baseball’s best team, the Los Angeles Dodgers, with the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner, Trevor Bauer, on the mound. Ouch.

The Dodgers are on the opposite end of the spectrum as the Athletics are right now, as they are playing great. LA is 5-1, and their +16-run differential is 3rd best in the majors. Bauer felt right at home in his first start for the Dodgers as he allowed just 3 hits and struck out 10 in the win over the Colorado Rockies. I expect Bauer to cruise through this weak-hitting A’s lineup and for the Dodgers to hand Oakland another blowout loss. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it. The Dodgers blow out the A’s tonight. Again.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-155)

We are 2-0 betting on this series so far, as we took the Phillies in the opener and the Mets last night, and both games came in. We will look to make it a clean sweep of winners in this NL East Division series by backing the Phillies in the rubber match. Philly will turn to their ace, Aaron Nola, to get them the series win against New York. Nola did a great job of holding back the Atlanta Braves on Opening Day, working 6.2 innings and allowing just 2 earned runs, and striking out 6. Nola had more strikeouts last year against the Mets than any other team, and I would expect him to have a lot of success tonight as well.

The Mets will try and match Nola with former first-round draft pick David Peterson. Peterson made his Big League debut last season and was solid in 10 appearances, 9 of them coming as starts, with a 6-2 record and 3.44 ERA. David Peterson is a breakout candidate this season and may end up being very good, but this is a tough spot for the youngster. The Mets saw their first series of the year get canceled due to COVID-19, so they are starting their #3 guy against the Phillies ace, and I see the Phillies staying hot and winning this one behind another dominant performance from Aaron Nola.

Chicago White Sox (-159) at Seattle Mariners

The poor Seattle Mariners. After spending the last couple of seasons rebuilding, many expected Seattle to start their push towards contention this season. This wasn’t going to be a World Series type of year in Seattle, but a winning record and wild card contention seemed to be in the cards for the M’s. Then they saw the face of their franchise, last year’s AL Rookie of the Year Award winner, Kyle Lewis, go down with an injury in spring training. And last night, it was more carnage for the M’s as James Paxton left after just over an inning of work with the dreaded sore elbow, and it sounds like Tommy John surgery may be on the way for the Big Maple.

You don’t ever want to overreact in baseball as it is a very long season, but this hasn’t been the start to the season that Mariners fans were dreaming of. They draw another tough matchup tonight against Dallas Keuchel and the Chicago White Sox. The Mariners know Keuchel well from his time with the Houston Astros, and he always gave the M’s fits, and that is what is going to happen again in this one. Seattle starter Justin Dunn is a fun young prospect that just might end up being really good sometime soon, but he is nowhere near the level of Dallas Keuchel, and I see him picking up a loss tonight at home.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs -110
  • Philadelphia Phillies -155
  • Chicago White Sox -159

$100 Bet Wins $412

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

We already touched on this game above, and you all know how hard I am fading the A’s so far this year, as I have bet against them in every single game they have played this season. Oakland has the weakest lineup in the majors right now with a .169 batting average, and just 13 total runs in 6 games. Trevor Bauer must be licking his chops for this matchup, and it wouldn’t shock me at all if they don’t even get a single run off of him. I’ll take the under in this one and call it at a 6-1 final score with the Dodgers in cruise control against an A’s team in free fall.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Under 8 Runs (-110)

David Peterson isn’t a household name just yet, but he will be. And we already know what Aaron Nola is all about, as the kid is a verifiable stud. Both of these teams have strong lineups that just haven’t quite opened up as of yet, and that leads me to believe that this will be yet another lower scoring game. Philly is averaging just 3 runs per game this season, and this game has 3-2 written all over it. I’ll jump on the under and hope that the bullpens are better than they were last night when they allowed a combined 9 runs late in the game.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Over 7.5 Runs (-110)

Fernando Tatis Jr getting hurt, had the entire city of San Diego holding heir breath. There was talk of a potential season-ending injury for the young superstar, but it’s now looking like the Friars may have avoided that, as Tatis could be back in just a couple of weeks. The Padres are going to have to find a way to manufacture runs without their best hitter in the lineup, and I like their chances to do just that tonight against Giants starter Kevin Gausman. Gausman was great in his first start of the year against the Seattle Mariners, but I see the Padres plating some runs on him in this one.

And when you look at this Giants team, they can hit the baseball too. Last year the Giants finished as the 5th best scoring team in the National League, and while they haven’t seen too many runs hit the board in limited action so far this season, they are hitting the ball fairly hard, as they are 5th in the NL in slugging. Blake Snell is a tough guy to get hits off of, but he wasn’t overly sharp in his first game with San Diego, and switching leagues can always be tough on pitchers. I’m not sure this one goes way over, but 7.5 runs is too low of a total for these two teams that can both score runs.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Over 9 Runs (-110)

It would sure help push this game to the over if the Baltimore Orioles found a way to score a couple of runs. The Yankees have done more than enough to help drive the score up so far in this series, scoring 7 runs in each of the first two games of the set, while Baltimore got shut out in game one and then scored just two runs in game two last night. They should be able to do just that against New York starter Jameson Taillon. Taillon hasn’t pitched a full season in the majors since 2018, as he missed nearly all of the last two full seasons of action to various injuries. He is bound to be at least a little rusty, and while John Means did look impressive on Opening Day for Baltimore, that came against a God-awful Boston Red Sox team, not the New York Yankees. I am taking the over.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics Under 8.5 Runs -110
  • New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Under 8 Runs -110
  • San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Over 7.5 Runs -110
  • Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $1,000

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins (-104)

Jack Flaherty is a great young pitcher, but he hasn’t been himself for quite some time now. It was easy to point to all of the COVID-19 nonsense that went on last year to explain those struggles, but he was really bad again on Opening Day, getting blasted for 6 earned runs in just 4.1 innings against the Cincinnati Reds. When will this guy start to look like the guy that he was in 2018-19 when he nearly took home the Cy Young Award in the NL?

Standing across from Flaherty is another young starter that has huge upside, in Pablo Gonzalez. Gonzalez has emerged as a trusted starter for Miami, and he is a major part of this Marlins rebuilding process and is young enough to see the other side of it. Pablo was sharp in his first start of the season, shutting down the AL champion Tampa Bay Rays, to the tune of 5 innings pitched, allowing no runs on just two hits on only 77 pitches. Normally I wouldn’t ever want to fade Jack Flaherty, but until he shows me that he has things figured back out, I have no choice. And being able to back Pablo Gonzalez as a home dog is a juicy spot as well. I am calling upset in this one and backing Miami.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees -1.5 Runs at (-105)

Shockingly, you could argue that the Baltimore Orioles actually have the better side of this starting pitching matchup as John Means is a nice arm, and Jameson Taillon hasn’t pitched in years. But I can’t imagine that is going to matter much with how the Yankees are playing right now. New York has won the first two games of this series with a combined score of 14-2, and Giancarlo Stanton reminded the world that he can hit a baseball harder than anyone else on earth, crushing a moonshot into the stands in game one. It is exceedingly rare that New York has all of their best bats in the lineup at the same time, and with Judge, Stanton, Torres, LeMahieu, and Urshela all healthy, I am taking lots of overs when the Bronx Bombers take the field.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Over 11.5 Runs (-110)

Shocker, I am taking another over at Coors Field! The Rockies haven’t played very well this season, as they are just 1-4, but they have done a decent job of scoring runs. They scored 8 runs last night in game one against Arizona, and they have scored 5 runs or more in all but one of their games this season, even though they had to match up with that nasty Dodgers pitching staff for most of those games. All of those runs haven’t translated into wins for the Rockies, but they don’t need to win this game to go over the total.

Madison Bumgarner has been absolutely awful since leaving the San Francisco Giants as he is 1-4 with a 7.02 ERA with Arizona. MaddyBum’s got smashed in his first start this year, giving up 6 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks to the San Diego Padres. The Rockies are certainly not the Padres, but this is Coors Field where lazy fly balls go into the stands. Expect another slobber knocker tonight between bad teams with little to play for.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (-109)

I already said just about everything that I need to say about why I want to be fading Madison Bumgarner right now. The guy looks completely washed up and old, and he is going to get lit up tonight at Coors Field. Antonio Senzatela may not be a whole lot better, as he is bound to give up some runs as well, but I do feel like the home team is the side to be on in a coin-flip type of game. I’ll back the Rockies to win this one in an 8-7 slugfest.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Miami Marlins -104
  • Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees -1.5 Runs -105
  • Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Over 11.5 Runs -110
  • Colorado Rockies -109

$100 Bet Wins $1,302

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-7-21/

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