Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-24-21

April 25, 2021
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Well, I guess we can’t win every day. Yesterday was a bit of a humbling day as we couldn’t get much going and suffered a couple of nasty beats. It wasn’t a complete disaster of a day by any means, we did pick up solid winners on the Braves, Astros, Athletics, and Giants, but we just couldn’t hold onto leads all day long, and we ran particularly bad late in games. The Cleveland Indians blew a 3-0 1st inning lead for the 2nd consecutive day, the Phillies led 4-2 late in the game before allowing runs in each of the last 3 innings and getting walked off on in the bottom of the 9th, and rallies by the Mariners and Reds both came up just a run short.

The most painful beat of the evening came to us from LA, where we took the under in the Dodgers and Padres game. As expected, the game was a pitcher’s duel between Yu Darvish and Clayton Kershaw, and heading into the 9th inning, the under was looking like a lock with the Padres leading 3-1, well under the 7-run game total. But the Padres managed to touch up the Dodger’s bullpen with 3 garbage time runs to push the score to 6-1 San Diego, pushing our bet on what should have been a winner. What can you do, baseball is a game chalked full of variance, and in a long 162-game season, days like yesterday are going to happen. Sometimes you can do everything right and still lose your bets. We will shake off that run bad today as we get right back on the grind with everybody’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Milwaukee Brewers (-108) at Chicago Cubs

I’m starting to look like a genius with how the Cubs are scoring runs recently. Last week, I proclaimed that the Cubs, who at the time were the worst hitting team in all of baseball, were poised for a breakout at the plate. I felt that there was just far too much established talent in the lineup for Chicago for them to struggle much longer. Since then, the Cubs have exploded at the dish, scoring double-digit runs in 3 of their last 6 games, including posting 15 runs on the Milwaukee Brewers last night. In their last 6 games, the Cubs are averaging an absurd 9 runs per game. I saw this surge coming and nailed that prediction, and now I am going to switch gears and tell you that the Chicago run production is about to come to a screeching halt. Why would I expect these suddenly red-hot bats for the North Siders to slow down today? One reason, Freddy Peralta.

Peralta has been downright filthy on the mound this year for the Brewers, as he is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA. He has been especially great against these Cubs, as he has made 2 starts against Chicago and has worked 11 innings, allowing just a single earned run, on only 3 hits, while striking out 18. It is always scary to fade a team that is swinging the bats like the Cubs are right now, but Peralta has been too good against them this year not to want to back him at even money. The Cubs were never as bad as they looked early in the season, and they aren’t as good as they look right now either. The Brewers had won 8 of 11 before getting shellacked last night, and I see the shell-shocked Brew Crew getting back on track today behind another stellar outing from Freddy Peralta.

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-148)

If you are someone that likes to find strong trends and follow them, which is indeed a great way to approach MLB handicapping, there are very few trends as consistent as the one that has emerged with the San Francisco Giants. The G-Men are 7-1 at home this season, and I have been riding their home field dominance all year long. I have bet the Giants in each of the first 2 games of this series with the Marlins, and they have not disappointed, as they won both games. I will go with an if it ain’t broke don’t fix it approach and back San Francisco again today in game 3.

Kevin Gausman has been around for a long time, and while I don’t think that he is going to suddenly turn into Clayton Kershaw after nearly a decade pitching in the Big Leagues, he has pitched really well for San Francisco since joining the team last year. In 16 career appearances for the Giants, Gausman has a 3.27 ERA and a K/9 ratio of 10.8. This year, he is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 4 starts, pitching at least 6 innings in each outing, and allowing 1 run or fewer in 3 of his 4 starts.

Pablo Lopez sure looked good against the Giants in his last start, tossing 6 innings and allowing only 1 earned run. But he lost that game, and if you like trends, that is another strong trend. Pablo Gonzalez pitches well, and the Marlins still lose. Lopez has pitched 17.2 innings in his 3 losses this year and only gave up a total of 2 earned runs. I am sticking with the Giants at home as Gausman should be good, and even if Pablo Lopez matches him pitch for pitch, it likely won’t matter, as the Marlins just can’t win when he starts.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (-148)

Don’t look now, but the Los Angeles Dodgers have lost 4 out of their last 5 games. After jumping out to a 13-2 record, the Boys in Blue have come back to earth, mostly thanks to these San Diego Padres, as the Padres have beaten LA in their last 3 meetings. San Diego has looked vastly improved since Fernando Tatis Jr rejoined the team, and in this series, the young superstar has picked up 4 hits, 3 runs, 3 RBIs, and 2 dingers already through 2 games. We always knew that the Padres were going to give the Dodgers a run for their money in the NL West Division, and now we are seeing it. That being said, I can’t imagine not loving a play on LA at this price, with reigning Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer on the mound.

Bauer has revolutionized baseball in the last couple of seasons in terms of his focus on spin rate, and it has led to some eye-popping stats. Bauer is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 4 starts for the Dodgers and has been nearly impossible to square up on as he has allowed just 10 hits in 26 innings while striking out a whopping 36 batters. In his last start, he gave up 1 run in 6 innings, and I am going to back him at this price, no matter who the Dodgers are playing. Blake Snell has been hot and cold for San Diego, and I think the Dodgers break out of this mini-slump today at home and win this game.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Milwaukee Brewers -108
  • San Francisco Giants -148
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -148

$100 Bet Wins $441

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Over 9.5 Runs (-110)

There might not be a bet that I have gone to more often this season than taking the over in the Angels games. The Halos can hit the baseball hard, and they have a dreadfully bad pitching staff, currently ranked 28th in the game in team ERA. That combination has led to a lot of high-scoring games this year for Los Angeles. We have seen that so far in this series with Houston, as the teams have combined for 19 runs already through 2 games. The Astros have snapped out of their funk at the plate now that they have all of their best hitters back from COVID-19 protocol, and rumor is that Jose Altuve will rejoin the team today as well, giving them a further bump at the plate. Jake Odorizzi and Griffin Canning have both been terrible this season, and I see this game turning into a slugfest. Give me the over.

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox Over 7.5 Runs (-110)

I’m scratching my head a bit at this line, as it just doesn’t make sense. Game totals of 7.5 are generally reserved for ace starting pitching matchups, and that certainly isn’t the case in this game. Dallas Keuchel has played the part of an ace at times in his career, but this year, he hasn’t pitched well, as he has yet to pitch past the 5th inning in any of his 4 starts, and he has allowed 14 total runs in just 19 innings pitched for Chicago. Kyle Gibson has been great at home this year, but on the road, he has given up 7 runs in just 7.1 innings pitched, with just 4 Ks and 5 walks. Gibson has a career ERA of over 4 and a half runs, and after seeing these White Sox smash Ranger’s ace Dane Dunning yesterday, I don’t like Gibson’s chances today. This is flat out a bad number, and I am going over, and maybe WAY over.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Over 9 Runs (-110)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are the Los Angeles Angels of the National League right now. The DBacks are 2nd in the league in runs scored and last in the league in team ERA. Arizona has seen their last 4 game totals finish at 9 runs or more, and on the season, Arizona has had double-digit game totals 10 times already. Madison Bumgarner has been an unmitigated disaster since leaving San Francisco to join Arizona, and I won’t let his last outing, where he actually pitched fairly well, distract me from the fact that he got blasted for 17 runs in his first 3 starts. The Braves are finally coming awake after a slow start to the year, and the bats are heating up for Atlanta. This is one of those games that could hit the over in the first 3 innings as both starters are weak, and both teams are swinging heavy bats.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Over 9.5 Runs -110
  • Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox Over 7.5 Runs -110
  • Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Cincinnati Reds (+104) at St. Louis Cardinals

I’m not going to lie, I am a little salty after last night’s losing bet on the Reds. Sonny Gray was awful for Cincy, but after falling down 5-0 early in the game, the Reds had all of the momentum in the 9th inning to steal the victory and cash our ticket. The Reds picked up 4 walks in the final frame and had their best hitter, Nick Castellanos, at the plate with the bases loaded and 1 out, with a chance to take the lead. Castellanos struck out, and despite scoring a run on a wild pitch in the next at-bat to tighten the game up to a 1-run deficit, Cincinnati left the bases loaded when Eugenio Suarez struck out to end the game. It’s not like I expected a win after the Reds went down 5-0, but the Cardinals couldn’t throw a strike, and the Reds had the heart of their lineup at the plate with a chance to win the game and came up short.

I am going to give Cincinnati a 2nd chance at redemption today and back them as underdogs. Wade Miley has been great this season, as he is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA. Miley wasn’t sharp last season for the Reds, but in 7 seasons in the National League, he has a winning record overall and a more than respectable 3.66 ERA. If he can pitch like that the rest of the season, this mighty Reds lineup that leads the NL in runs scored and home runs, should do plenty to support him. John Gant has been solid for St. Louis, but he has picked up losses in his last 2 starts, and I see the Reds making it 3 in a row today on the road. Gant hasn’t been getting deep into games, and we saw last night that the Cardinals bullpen can’t be trusted.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians (+100)

Earlier this season, I said that I would take Shane Bieber as an underdog against any pitcher in baseball history. While I was being a bit overdramatic in that assessment, it is impossible not to love being able to back Shane Bieber as an underdog, no matter who is on the other side of the mound. Bieber has already racked up 48 Ks in 29.1 innings, and after posting historic strikeout numbers last year enroot to winning the Cy Young Award, he has been even better this year with a K/9 ratio of 14.7. The Indians have won each of Bieber’s last 3 starts, and while I don’t love to fade Gerrit Cole, as he is nasty as well, I don’t really mind fading the New York Yankees right now, as they are in last place in the AL East. The Indians have taken 3-0 leads in the 1st inning in both of the first 2 games of this series and blew both leads, but with Shane Bieber on the mound, if they score early, they are winning the game.

Toronto Blue Jays (+105) at Tampa Bay Rays

Robbie Ray was a familiar punching bag of mine last season, as the guy just couldn’t find the strike zone. His walk rate was the highest in baseball, and his inability to throw strikes led to his worst season ever as a starting pitcher. Ray has had similar command issues this season, as he has already walked 9 guys in just 10 innings, but he has been able to work out of jams and has only allowed 2 total runs, good for a 1.80 ERA. The walks scare me quite a bit, but as long as Ray is able to keep navigating baserunners and not allowing many runs, he is worthy of a play as an underdog. The Rays will go with an opener on a bullpen day for Tampa Bay, and I’ll fade them against a Blue Jays team that is much better than their record might lead you to believe.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Cincinnati Reds +104
  • Cleveland Indians +100
  • Toronto Blue Jays +105

$100 Bet Wins $736

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Pittsburgh Pirates at Minnesota Twins -1.5 Runs (+104)

I don’t take run line bets very often, as they are very risky. And I am always very leery of home team run line bets. That being said, I keep my full playbook open when betting on baseball, and for my next couple of bets, I am going to bite into that forbidden fruit and take some home team run line bets at underdog prices. When I predicted that the Cubs were going to bust out of their slump last week, I didn’t have any data at all that suggested that would be the case, it was just a hunch. A very educated hunch, but a hunch, nonetheless. I have that same hunch right now about the Minnesota Twins, as I think they are going to heat up in the batter’s box very soon.

Trevor Cahill has been outrageously bad on the road this season, getting wrecked for 14 runs in 8 innings in 2 road outings. I think Minnesota busts out of their season-long slump and hammers Cahill at home. And with Michael Pineda pitching as well as we have ever seen him for Minnesota, this game has blowout written all over it. All of the data tells me that this isn’t the play, but I always trust my gut, and my gut says Minnesota is about to break out.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets -1.5 Runs (+108)

My next run line bet isn’t nearly as controversial as my 1st one, as Met’s starter Marcus Stroman has been light’s out this season. In 3 starts, Stroman has allowed a total of just 2 earned runs. In his last start, coming at homer-happy Coors Field, he worked 8 innings, giving up 1 run, on just 3 hits, in a masterclass performance. Stroman gets to face a National’s team that is the lowest-scoring team in all of baseball on a per game basis, and I see him dominating. Washington is 2-5 on the road this season, and the Mets are 5-1 at home, making this an attractive home/away split play. And when you look at Washington starter Joe Ross, he is coming off of the worst performance of his career, as he got lit up for a whopping 10 runs in 4 and a third innings against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Mets win this one going away and cover the run line at home.

Philadelphia Phillies (-182) at Colorado Rockies

The Phillies bullpen gave away last night’s game against the Colorado Rockies. But even with the win, Colorado still has the worst record in the National League. The Philly bullpen won’t get much of an opportunity to blow this game though, as they are starting Aaron Nola, who is coming off of a complete game shutout in his last start. Nola is known for his ability to get deep into games, and I think he dominates tonight on the road. That thin Rocky Mountain air doesn’t bite you nearly as hard if hitters can’t make contact, and Nola’s career K/9 ratio of double digits tells me the Rockies are going to be doing a lot of swinging and missing in this one.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7 Runs (-110)

We took a bad beat yesterday when we pushed the game total in the Padres and Dodgers game, but I won’t let that scare me off of taking the under again today, with a couple of recent Cy Young Award winners on the mound. Trevor Bauer and Blake Snell are as good as it gets when they are on their game, and when these teams matched up a week ago with the same starters on the mound, they combined for 13 innings pitched and just 3 total runs. In my opinion, these are the two best pitching staffs in the National League, and this is going to be another playoff atmosphere type of game where runs are going to be hard to come by.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (-140)

Houston sure has looked better in this series than they did in their previous 10 games, as they are finally hitting the baseball again. Getting Jose Altuve back is going to be a major boost to this Astros lineup, as he was hitting .318 before going down with COVID-19. The Angels haven’t been good on the road this year, with a 3-5 record, and I like Houston to make it 3 in a row over Los Angeles tonight at home as small favorites.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Minnesota Twins -1.5 Runs +104
  • New York Mets -1.5 Runs +108
  • Philadelphia Phillies -182
  • San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7 Runs -110
  • Houston Astros -140

$100 Bet Wins $2,052

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-24-21/

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