Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-17-21

April 18, 2021
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What a strange day it was betting on Major League Baseball yesterday. The day started out with several games getting canceled, killing off a bunch of our action. Then the early games couldn’t have gone much worse for us, as we started out in a hole for the day. But as the day wore on, things started to turn around, and our late-night action came in steaming hot as we scooped winners on the Mariners, Dodgers run line, Athletics, and Angels.

All in all, it was a breakeven day, with a 6-6 overall record, with the dog money winners on LAD and Seattle helping to make up for the slow start. The schedule is jam-packed today, with a whopping 17 games on the slate, including a couple of doubleheaders, and we will look to ride last night’s momentum to a big day today, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay. Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Toronto Blue Jays (-115) at Kansas City Royals Game 1

This is a repeat of a bet we made yesterday that we never got action on as the game was canceled. For all of the same reasons that I liked Toronto yesterday, I still like them today. The Royals have overachieved so far this season, as they are sitting alone atop the standings of the AL Central Division. The Royals will start Mike Minor today, hoping to stay hot. Minor was awful last season, after being elite in 2019, but looking back on his long career, his current production seems to be quite representative of what we have seen from him over the years. He is a decent middle of the rotation pitcher, and he will serve well as an inning eater for the Royals this season and nothing more.

While KC isn’t expecting a lot out of Mike Minor this season, the Toronto Blue Jays are hoping that Steven Matz can turn into a top of the rotation type of starter for them, as they badly need some starting pitching depth. Matz has been great so far for Toronto, with a 2-0 record and a 1.46 ERA. The Blue Jays have won his starts with a combined score of 21-3, and I expect them to continue their dominance with Matz on the mound. This weak Royal’s roster tells me that KC isn’t going to be able to sustain their recent strong results for too much longer, and I like Toronto to knock them off on the road tonight at close to even money.

Atlanta Braves (-121) at Chicago Cubs

Are the Chicago Cubs ever going to start hitting the baseball? The Cubs are dead last in the majors in batting average, slugging percentage, and on-base percentage, and established stars like Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Javier Baez just aren’t able to get going. Early on in the season, the lack of run production didn’t hurt Chicago, as they won 3 of their first 4 games. But it has certainly hurt them recently, as they are 2-7 since that nice start, and the Cubbies are currently in last place in the NL Central Division. I can’t imagine things are going to get much better for Chicago today, as Atlanta starts their young budding star, Huascar Ynoa.

The Braves have a seemingly endless line of young quality starting pitching, and Huascar Ynoa fits right in at age 22, as he is pitching really well right now. Ynoa has a 0.75 ERA in 3 appearances this season and he has racked up an impressive 15 Ks in just 12 innings pitched, while allowing only 1 earned run. The Cubs have too many quality hitters in their lineup to be this bad forever, but they aren’t going to snap out of this funk today against Huascar Ynoa. I’m backing the Braves.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-122) at San Diego Padres

I keep betting on the Dodgers every day, and every day they cash a ticket for me. Most of those bets on LA have been run line bets, and LA hasn’t disappointed as they aren’t just beating teams, they are blowing them out. Last night’s run line bet was seemingly in peril much of the evening, as every time that the Dodgers took the lead, the Padres would catch back up. That is until the Boys in Blue exploded for 5 runs in the 9th inning to put the game away for good and cashed our ticket once again. No disrespect at all to San Diego, they are a very nice team, but the Dodgers are going to threaten the all-time single season wins record this season. They aren’t just the best team in baseball, they might be one of the best teams of all time.

LA won games at a higher rate than any team in MLB history last year, and they are even better right now. They added Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer to their starting rotation, and fellow former Cy Young Award winner David Price all of the sudden looks like John Smoltz late in his career, as he has been working out of the bullpen late in games and has been great. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Another day, another bet on the Dodgers. The fact that they are starting the best pitcher of his generation In Clayton Kershaw, is just the cherry on top for this one.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Toronto Blue Jays -115
  • Atlanta Braves -121
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -122

$100 Bet Wins $522

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Under 6.5 Runs (-110) Game 1

Poor Jacob deGrom. Yesterday I was going to fade deGrom as a huge favorite, as the Mets just haven’t been able to score him any runs when he starts, and despite his superstar stats, New York is 0-2 in games where he pitches. I will stay away from that play today, though, as this game now shifts to a 7-inning doubleheader, and I would be shocked to see deGrom come out of the game before it’s over. There is no bad bullpen to blow any leads, as it is going to be all deGrom in this one. I have a fairly strict rule of not taking under at Coors Field, but most guys aren’t even going to make contact against deGrom, so that thin air isn’t going to come into play all that much. So, as long as the Mets don’t go crazy at the plate, and history tells us that isn’t going to happen, the under is a great spot here in a short game.

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Over 9 Runs (-110)

I have been hammering on the overs in Los Angeles Angels games this season, as they have this great combination of bad pitching staff and strong hitting, that leads to a lot of fireworks. It took a little bit of time for both of those things to get going in last night’s game between the Twins and the Angels, as the score was just 2-0 through 5 innings. But once the scoring started, it didn’t stop, as the game ended up sailing way over, with a barrage of late-inning runs and a final score of 10-3. It’s wash, rinse, and repeat today as I am going over again. The Twins bats haven’t been great lately, but with Jose Quintana and his 16.20 ERA on the mound for the Halos, today is as good as any for the Twins to break out.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Over 8 Runs (-110) Game 2

I took the under in the first game of this double dip today between the Mets and the Rockies, and I will switch gears and jump on the over in game 2. Only the St. Louis Cardinals have a higher team ERA in the National League right now than the Rockies, and even though the Mets bats can’t be trusted to score runs, they are actually doing a nice job of picking up hits. New York is hitting .252 as a team, good for 8th in the majors. The problem for New York has been their lack of power, as they are dead last in home runs. Expect the bats to wake up today in game 2, as lazy fly balls love to find their way into the seats at Coors Field.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Under 6.5 Runs -110
  • Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Over 9 Runs -110
  • New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Over 8 Runs Game 2 -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

St. Louis Cardinals (-103) at Philadelphia Phillies

We were on Philly yesterday and picked up a nice win as Carlos Martinez continues to be an auto-fade play right now for the Cardinals. Martinez got rocked for 6 runs, all earned, in just 5 innings of work, and the Phillies blew the game out, 9-2. But in this game, I actually like St. Louis, as the Phillies sluggers are going to have a much tougher time hitting off of Kwang Hyun Kim today than they did hitting off of Carlos Martinez yesterday. Kim will make his first start of the year today after recovering from an injury, and his return couldn’t come at a better time for St. Louis, as they are last in the game in team ERA. Kim was a 31-year-old rookie last year, after playing in the KBO for over a decade, and he was fantastic, finishing his season with a 3-0 record and 1.62 ERA. He struggles some with his command, with an inflated W/9 ratio, but he was nearly impossible to square up, allowing just 3 home runs in 39 innings pitched.

For Philly, the Phillies will start Matt Moore. Moore has been around a long time but didn’t pitch at all in 2020, and in 2019, he made just 2 appearances. In his last full season of work, coming in 2018, he was 3-8 with a 6.79 ERA. In 2017, he was 6-15 with a 5.52 ERA. This will mark the 3rd start of the year for Moore, and Philly fans are hoping he can be better than he was in the first 2, as he has gotten knocked around quite a bit. Moore has a 7.56 ERA in 8.1 innings pitched so far in 2021, and this starting pitching matchup between him and Kwang Hyun Kim is lopsided. Expect Kim to look good, Moore to get roughed up, and the Cardinals to tie up this series at 1 game apiece.

Detroit Tigers (+115) at Oakland Athletics

The Oakland Athletics are officially on fire, as they have now won 6 straight games and 7 of their last 8. We backed the A’s yesterday and got paid as they took game 2 of this series with the Tigers 3-0. They will look for the series win today in game 3, but they are going to have their hands full with Detroit starter Casey Mize. Mize was the number 1 overall draft pick back in 2018, and after getting his lumps last year, he has really stepped up his game this year for the Tigers. Mize is 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA in 2 starts this season, and in his last start, he completely shut down the hard-hitting Houston Astros to the tune of 7 innings pitched, allowing no runs on only 4 hits. At only 23 years old, there aren’t many brighter young stars in baseball than Casey Mize, and he looks to be on track for a long and successful career.

The A’s will try to match Mize today at home with Cole Irvin getting the starting nod. Irvin had only made 3 career starts before this season, and Oakland is hoping that he can fill up a spot at the end of their rotation. Irvin hasn’t been very good so far for the A’s, though, as he 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA. We already talked about how great Casey Mize looked against the Astros, and Irvin has faced Houston in both outings this year and has gotten touched up for 8 earned runs. Casey Mize just might be the ace the Tigers have been looking for since they traded away Justin Verlander, and while he has been pitching like an ace so far this season, the books aren’t pricing him like one. I will get on the Casey Mize hype train and back him as a dog and hope that he can slow down these streaking Oakland Athletics.

San Francisco Giants (+120) at Miami Marlins

Sandy Alcantara is a great young arm for Miami. He has pitched well in each of his starts this season, but that hasn’t led to many wins for the Marlins, as they are 1-2 in his 3 starts. Miami started out their season playing poorly, as they lost 6 of their first 7. But they are turning things around now, having won 5 of 6. Miami has shown very little power, as no team in the majors has fewer home runs than the Marlins do, that have played as many games as Miami. Alcantara has taken the brunt at that inability to score runs, as he has only gotten a total of 5 runs of support combined in his 3 starts.

The Giants are looking to Aaron Sanchez to tie up this series after dropping game 1 last night. Sanchez has pitched great for San Francisco this season, with a 2.70 ERA. Those results are particularly impressive when you see that Sanchez has pitched against Cincinnati and San Diego, 2 of the best hitting teams in the National League right now. Sanchez is a former All-Star, and while he hasn’t been great in the AL in the last couple of years, many times we see pitchers move to the NL and look like completely new guys. I like the Giants as an upset special, as I think Aaron Sanchez is going to continue his solid production, and the Marlins are going to continue their trend of failing to score runs for Sandy Alcantara.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • St. Louis Cardinals -103
  • Detroit Tigers +115
  • San Francisco Giants +120

$100 Bet Wins $833

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox (-115)

This was another play that I made yesterday that got canceled that I still like today. The Red Sox weren’t expected to be this good, but they are playing great baseball. Boston has the best record and highest run differential in the American League, and while some might say this is a fluky start, that shouldn’t be trusted, their lineup has a lot of established studs in it with guys like Rafael Devers, JD Martinez, and Xander Bogarts, so this team has plenty of talent. This is mostly a heat check play on the Red Sox, as they are 9-1 in their last 10, and a bit of a fade of the struggling White Sox, who have a losing record on the year.

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds (-150)

Speaking of a team that is playing well, that most people aren’t believing in, I will back the Cincinnati Reds today at home. The Reds have scored the 2nd most runs in all of baseball, trailing only the Los Angeles Dodgers, and this team is smashing the baseball right now, with a Major League leading 22 dingers. Indian’s starter Triston McKenzie is going to be a stud at some point in his career, but he isn’t there yet, and if he can’t find the strike zone, he is going to have a long day today. McKenzie has walked 6 guys in 7.2 innings, and if he starts handing out free passes to this Reds team that can crush baseballs, he is going to regret it.

As just a straight fade of Triston McKenzie against this powerful Reds lineup, this bet shows a bunch of value. When you throw in the fact that Cincinnati is going to start their ace, Sonny Gray, the Reds are clearly the side to be on. Gray will make his season debut and looks to pick up where he left off last year when he was one of the top pitchers in the NL for much of the season. Gray has to love this matchup against a Cleveland team that is last in the AL in runs scored and batting average. Cincy walloped the Tribe last night, putting 10 runs up on the board, and I expect them to follow that game up with another strong effort tonight.

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers (-143)

Dane Dunning is the face of this Texas Rangers rebuild. Dunning was a first-rounder back in 2016, and Texas is hoping that he can develop into their ace of the future. Dunning made his MLB debut last year for the Chicago White Sox and more than held his own with a sub-4-run ERA and a K/9 ratio of nearly double digits. This year, Dunning has progressed even further, as he is 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA and has 11 Ks in just 9 innings pitched. Texas is taking it very slowly with Dunning, but similar to Casey Mize, Dunning is ahead of schedule and looking like an ace already, and the books haven’t caught on as of yet. I am jumping all abord the Dane Dunning bandwagon and backing him today against the Orioles.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (-150)

Huh. When I look at this Pittsburgh Pirates roster, there isn’t much to like. They lack depth basically everywhere, and I can’t imagine this is a playoff-caliber squad. But in the last week, they are playing like one, as they are 5-2 in their last 7 games. That includes a win over Milwaukee last night in game 1 of this 3-game set. And while I might be a believer in the hot starts from Boston and Cincinnati, I am selling all of my Pirate’s stock, as I just don’t think the Pirates are going to be in contention this season. Baseball is a fluky game with a lot of variance, but at some point, we are going to see the Pirate’s team that was 1-6 a week ago, show back up. The Brewers had won 6 of 8 before last night’s road bump, and I see the Brew Crew getting back on track tonight at home against a pretender Pirate’s team.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (+114)

The Seattle Mariners refuse to lose! It seems like every night that the M’s find themselves down early in games, only to make a miraculous comeback and steal the game late. The was the case last night in game 1 against the Astros, as Seattle found themselves down 3-0 in the 6th inning. But Seattle continued to plug away, scoring runs in the 6th, 7th, and 8th innings, before eventually walking the game off in the bottom of the 9th on a Ty France RBI double. Mitch Hanger and Kyle Seager have returned to their former All-Star level form, and these young kids are all coming into their primes at the same time. Until the Mariners cool down or the books stop making them underdogs in every game, I am going to keep making plays on Seattle.

Zack Greinke is tough as nails on the mound for Houston, but the Astros will be without the heart of their order as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Yordan Alverez are all out with COVID-19. Seattle has managed to catch Houston at the perfect time for an upset, as the Astros are very short-handed in this series. That led to a money line underdog winner on Seattle yesterday, and we will look to make it back-to-back dog money wins on the Mariners tonight in game 2!

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Boston Red Sox -115
  • Cincinnati Reds -150
  • Texas Rangers -143
  • Milwaukee Brewers -150
  • Seattle Mariners +114

$100 Bet Wins $1,789

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-17-21/

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