Best Sports Picks Parlay Of The Day

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-15-21

April 16, 2021
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We have a nice slate of day baseball in store for you today, with 12 total games on the schedule, including a doubleheader between the Mariners and the Orioles. 6 of those games come with early start times, so we will enjoy a full day’s worth of Major League Baseball action from dusk till dawn. With plenty of games to bet on, we will bring you ample value today, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Seattle Mariners (+117) at Baltimore Orioles Game 2

This series between the Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles has been delayed multiple times, and the teams will attempt to get in their 2nd doubleheader of the week today to close out this series. The teams split a double dip on Tuesday, and with both teams off to surprisingly decent starts, if 1 of these teams can sweep these games today, they are going to be right in the mix at the top of their respective divisions. Seattle will start up and coming young pitcher Justin Dunn, hoping that he can find a way to find the strike zone today. Dunn walked an absolutely absurd 8 batters in his last start, and walks have plagued him so far in his short MLB career.

Baltimore will answer with Bruce Zimmerman, who is getting his first shot as a regular starter this year for the Orioles. Zimmerman has been somewhat respectable, as he has pitched 6 innings in both of his starts this season, allowing 3 runs in both games. Zimmerman doesn’t have the upside that Justin Dunn has, but he should be an inning eater at the end of the rotation for Baltimore this year, and if he pitches well, he just might be a part of the Orioles long term plans.

I see this game being high scoring. It is only scheduled for 7 innings, but you can bet that we are going to see plenty of runs hit the board. To me, this is a true coin flip game. Dunn has better stuff than Zimmerman, but he is wildly inconsistent. If he brings his A-game, he will mow through this weak Orioles lineup. If he doesn’t, expect a slugfest. If I am flipping a coin, I always want to be on the side getting the juice, not laying it, and that is the play I will make in this one, as I will back the Seattle Mariners getting some juicy dog money.

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics (-175)

Don’t look now, but the Oakland Athletics are picking up some steam! The A’s have won 5 out of their last 6 games, including wins over the Astros and Dodgers and a sweep in their last series against the Arizona Diamondbacks. I’m not sure I am sold on Oakland being a true playoff contender this year just yet, but you had to know they would get going at some point after an awful 0-6 start to the season. The Athletics will start veteran Sean Manaea today, hoping to run their current win streak to 5 games. Manaea was bad in his 1st start of the year but was much improved in his last outing, throwing 6 innings of 1 run ball against the hard-hitting Houston Astros. He will have to find a way to avoid the longball in this matchup, as the Tigers currently lead the American League in home runs.

For Detroit, the Tigers will start Tarik Skubal. Skubal made his Big League debut last year for Detroit and got roughed up quite a bit, posting a 6.53 ERA in 8 appearances, with 7 of them coming as starts. This year, he has been getting hammered, as he has a 7.71 ERA. The Tigers have lost his 2 starts by a combined score of 20-6. To make matters worse, both of those starts came against the Cleveland Indians, who are dead last in the AL in runs scored and batting average.

While the Oakland Athletics haven’t been much better at the plate this year than the Indians, their low season run total was a lot more about their slow start, than how they are playing right now, as they have scored 29 runs in their last 4 games, for a healthy average of over 7 runs per game. I see Oakland staying hot in this one and winning this game going away. Manaea has been hot and cold over the course of the last several seasons, but he is a significantly more accomplished starter when compared with rookie Tarik Skubal. This is the final stop of a long 10 game road trip for Detroit, and it wouldn’t shock me if they run out of gas as they are forced to play all 10 of these games without a day off. The A’s got the day off yesterday and should be ready to go tonight at home in what could end up being a barnburner.

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (-118)

When I bet on the LA Dodgers last night on the run line at home, I warned everyone that taking home teams on the run line is a very risky bet, that always seems better on the surface, than they ever end up turning out. But this Dodgers team is different. They aren’t just beating teams, they are mauling them. I broke my own rules and laid the run line yesterday on the Boys in Blue, and while they made us sweat it out some, the bet came in, as LA won the game 4-2. The Dodgers won at a historic pace last year, and they are playing even better so far this year, as they have won 10 of their last 11, and their +35-run differential is by far the best in all of baseball. Of their 10 wins, 9 of them have come by multiple runs, making them a strong candidate for a run line bet, no matter where they are playing the game.

Los Angeles will start World Series hero Julio Urias today, and he is showing people that last year’s playoff exploits were no fluke, as he is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in 2 starts this season. Against the Rockies earlier this season, Urias completely shut them down, throwing 7 innings of 1 run ball, allowing just 3 hits, and striking out 6. And that start came at homer happy Coors Field in Colorado. With this series now in LA, it’s hard not to expect Urias to have even more success against this Rockies team that is in free fall.

Colorado has lost 5 straight games and 9 of their last 11. We all knew this was going to be a rebuilding year in Denver when Nolan Arenado left the team, but I am not sure anybody thought it would be this ugly. Colorado has the worst record in the Majors right now at 3-9, and they are going to get blown out again in this game. Austin Gomber lasted just 3 innings against LA in his start against them at home, walking 7 batters, and getting charged with the loss. He was much better in his last start, but that came against the San Francisco Giants, not the Los Angeles Dodgers. We are certainly playing with fire with a home team run line bet, but until we get burned, I am going to keep riding LA.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals (-177)

We just talked about the fact that the Colorado Rockies are the worst team in the National League right now, and while I do think that the Rockies are the worst of the worst, these 2 teams have some claim to that title as well, as they are both playing poorly so far this year. Things are looking slightly up for the Nationals, though, as they won their 1st series of the year earlier this week when they took 2 of 3 from the St. Louis Cardinals. Washington will send one of their elite starters to the mound in this one in flamethrower Patrick Corbin. Corbin is known for his ability to punch guys out, and while he did strike out 5 Dodgers in just 4.1 innings in his only start of the season, he also got torched for 6 earned runs and was charged with the loss. The Nats need him to be better tonight at home if they are going to build on this momentum and get their slow start to the season turned around.

Arizona has actually been decent at the plate, as they are 9th in the game in runs scored, the problem is, they are awful on the mound. Only the St. Louis Cardinals have a worse team ERA in the National League than Arizona, and all of those runs allowed have led to a bunch of losses for the DBacks. Merrill Kelly gets the start today for Arizona, hoping he can figure things out, as he has been awful this season in 2 starts. Kelly has allowed 10 runs on 14 hits and 3 walks in 10 innings of work this season, and the DBacks have been blown out in both games. Kelly has always struggled on the road in his career, and I see more of those struggles coming in this game, as Washington is going to touch him up. This line might be slightly overpriced, as Washington hasn’t been great this year, but they are going to win this game, so I’ll lay a little more wood than I would like and take what should be an easy winner.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Seattle Mariners +117
  • Oakland Athletics -175
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs -118
  • Washington Nationals -177

$100 Bet Wins $886

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Game Over 7.5 Runs (-110)

These 7 inning doubleheader games are so new that we don’t have a lot of data on them in terms of being able to know what to expect for run totals. We saw them last year in the abbreviated 60-game season, but that was just a small taste of what is to come, as we are going to see these 7 inning doubleheaders all season long this year. That 7.5 run total seems mighty low considering Baltimore is 29th in the Major Leagues in team ERA, and Seattle isn’t much better, at 25th. Throw in the fact that both of these teams are in the top half of the game in runs scored, and the over is too enticing to pass up. 7 innings scares me just a bit, but I am taking the over in what could turn into a slugfest.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals Over 8 Runs (-110)

Late last year, had you told me that a game between Merrill Kelly and Patrick Corbin was surefire over play, I would have laughed at you. But here we are, as both guys just aren’t pitching well right now. Both of these guys have sky-high ERA’s north of 8 runs, and neither one of them can be trusted. Arizona has been sneaky decent at the plate, and while Washington has mostly struggled to score runs, they have scored 5 runs or more 5 times in their 9 games, including 2 of their last 3. Their Major League high 3 shutouts are driving down their run total. Their bats are inconsistent, but not all that bad. The Nats are starting to turn things around, and I see them getting to Merrill Kelly tonight. And even though Patrick Corbin has been very good at times in his career, he is sure to give up at least a couple of runs as well. This game sails over the total.

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8.5 Runs (-110)

An over in the Tampa Bay Rays game? Huh? Why? If you have been reading my daily parlay of the day picks this year, you will know that the Rays lineup is a regular punching bag of mine. Tampa Bay just never seems to score many runs, and when you add in their elite pitching staff, that usually leads to lots of lower-scoring games. So, why am I taking the over in this game? Rich Hill.

Hill is a shell of his former self at age 41, and he is finally running out of gas after a long and successful career. The Rays were hoping they could get 1 more year out of him, as they brought him in during the offseason to fill the void left by the departures of Charlie Morton and Blake Snell, but he just doesn’t seem to have it anymore. Hill has already allowed 8 earned runs in just 10 innings pitched, and I think Texas is going to score on him easily today. Texas has scored 13 runs against Tampa Bay in the last 2 games, and I think they are going to have even more success at the dish today. It’s the 1st time I have said this all season long, and who knows, it may end up being the last, but give me the over 8.5 runs in the Rays game tonight.

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs (-110)

We already talked about how Tarik Skubal is likely to get roughed up by this suddenly hot Oakland lineup, and with Sean Manaea being a wild card with his inconsistent results, I am taking the over. The Tigers don’t have the big-name hitters that some of the other teams in the American League have, but at least right now, the one thing that Detroit does have, is the most homers in the league. 22-year-old Akil Baddoo is making the most of his first shot in the show, as he is tearing the cover off of the baseball for Detroit, to the tune of a .370 batting average, 7 extra base hits, and 11 RBI in just 9 games. While you may not know many of the names on the field for either of these teams, trust me when I tell you that they can hit the baseball.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Game Over 7.5 Runs -110
  • Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals Over 8 Runs -110
  • Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8.5 Runs -110
  • Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Over 8.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $1,000

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/major-league-baseball-parlay-of-the-day-4-15-21/

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