neil (Neil Paine, senior sportswriter): One of hockeyâs annual big events came and went earlier this week, with Mondayâs trade deadline. Though the deadline brought fewer players on the move than usual, it did offer some moves that ranged from âintriguingâ to âborderline blockbuster.â So letâs quickly unpack what happened and then talk about what weâre looking forward to down the stretch of the regular season (whenever it may end).
First of all, which move on or around the deadline did each of you love?
terrence.doyle (Terrence Doyle, contributor): I am willing to bet that Emily and I both loved the same big trade âŠ
emily (Emily Scherer, designer): đ Bruins got a scorer.Â
terrence.doyle: This goal was so tasty for so many reasons. First off, David PastrĆĂĄkâs ability to handle a bouncing, spinning puck and see a pass to Taylor Hall was just world-class stuff. đ Even then, it looked like the defenseman had the angle, but Hall just blows by him, waits for Semyon Varlamov to commit and fires through the five-hole, all without breaking his stride. I fist-pumped so hard I thought Iâd need rotator cuff surgery. Itâs precisely the reason the Bruins acquired him.
emily: Love the Hall trade for Boston. What a wild, winding way for the 2010 draft to reach its conclusion. The general gist floating around is that Hall wanted Boston, and Boston used that to not give up anything hugely substantial. They kept their young goaltenders and didnât even give up a first-round pick. And for Hall, heâs landed in a place where thereâs no pressure. He doesnât have to be The Guy on a team that has an entire line that functions as Their Guys.
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terrence.doyle: He also looks motivated, suddenly. Going from one of the decadeâs worst franchises to one of its best will do that to a player, though.
neil: Yeah, this seemed like the trade most primed to see a player suddenly change the course of his season. Hall wasnât going to keep shooting 2.3 percent forever.
terrence.doyle: Regression, etc., etc., etc.
emily: Happy players just donât shoot 2.3 percent, they just donât.
terrence.doyle: Living in Boston and (begrudgingly) listening to sports talk radio/my friends, the one thing people have been whining about (for, like, a decade!) is Bostonâs inability or unwillingness to spring for honest-to-goodness secondary scoring. Welp, canât really whine about it anymore.
The Bruins have been just about the best defensive team in the league this season and have gotten some pretty good goaltending. The issue, as I keep yammering on about, has been 5-on-5 scoring. So, yes, this one feels like the most significant trade, and the one that could be most consequential in terms of Stanley Cup hopes.
emily: I like the Mike Reilly move to beef up the blueline going into the playoffs, too. The Boston D still feels so young to me.
terrence.doyle: Same đ
neil: Yeah, thatâs an underappreciated move to add a guy who had a +6.4 percent relative Corsi despite 59.3 percent defensive zone starts for a bad Ottawa team.
OK, because I have to ask â any non-Bruins candidates for trades you loved?
terrence.doyle: I thought the Anthony Mantha deal was good for Washington.
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neil: Interesting! Despite what they gave up?
terrence.doyle: Itâs a good question!
neil: (Because I thought that was a home run for Stevie Y. and the Red Wings)
terrence.doyle: Iâm not too concerned about losing Richard Panik at the Disco (thank you Geoff Foster for that reference), but yeah, Jakub VrĂĄna is a nice player. But their production sort of cancels one anotherâs out.
neil: Certainly Mantha gives them a lot more size; heâs 6-foot-5, compared with the 6-foot VrĂĄna.
terrence.doyle: Mantha is bigger, heavier, kind of fits into that Washington ethos. Itâs a weird one to judge, really. Both are very good shooters, but Mantha creates more goals per game, historically.
neil: I also have to respect anybody who scored 25 goals on what was a truly awful Red Wings team a few years back.
terrence.doyle: Haha yeah, I mean in terms of the current Red Wings, Mantha might as well be Sergei Fedorov.
neil: Hey, maybe all those draft picks will jump-start their rebuild! Thatâs probably why this could be a win-win for both teams.
terrence.doyle: I agree that the Caps lose a very good player in VrĂĄna, but I think they get a player that makes more sense for the way that they play, if that makes sense.
neil: Hockey is a sport that seems to be all about how certain combinations fit, for sure.
terrence.doyle: Another one I liked: Islanders getting Kyle Palmieri and Travis Zajac. The former is pretty much good for 25 goals a season, and the latter isnât going to light the ice aflame, but heâs a nice 45 points per season type. He also creates 0.20 goals per game, which is not something to turn your nose up at.
emily: I also liked the Avalanche picking up Devan Dubnyk and bringing back Carl Söderberg. I have a soft spot for the One-Eyed Yeti.
Meanwhile, the Predators were ⊠buyers? Sort of?
neil: Both Erik Gudbranson and Erik Gustafsson changed teams on deadline day. Very confusing.
terrence.doyle: đ
neil: It makes sense, given how the Preds are right there in that playoff mix. (Fifty-five percent, per Elo odds!) And you love to see that after the start they had to the season.
emily: Short term, I think itâs fine? But why go all in if youâre likely facing Tampa Bay in the first round? Long term, I donât like it. Theyâre still sort of just there in the middle and each year their window gets smaller and smaller.
terrence.doyle: Are the Preds the new Blues?
emily: They are both hockey teams in the South with music iconography on their jerseys with blue and yellow branding âŠ
terrence.doyle: Case closed.
Another trade that might bear fruit is Nick Foligno to Toronto. Heâs a decent goal scorer. Heâs played in 50 playoff games. Again, he creates 0.20 goals per game, historically. Thatâs the kind of player you need to make a run.
neil: Any teams that should have made bigger moves but didnât?
terrence.doyle: I think the Penguins fall into that category. Jeff Carter? Heâs still playing?
neil: Lol. Yeah I think we all forgot about him as L.A.âs fortunes declined over time.Â
emily: That move did get the most explanatory text on CapFriendly though â two conditionals!

terrence.doyle: Fair!Â
Plus, I guess he could provide a little extra scoring touch? Not that the Pens really needed extra scoring.
neil: Yeah, heâs still putting up OK numbers â 16 adjusted goals and 38 adjusted points this year.
terrence.doyle: And you know, heâs also been there, done that, having won two Cups. Bringing more Cup experience to a team with tons of Cup experience isnât a bad thing.
neil: Brian Burke seems like the kind of exec who would put a lot of value on that playoff experience.Â
emily: You know, teams have their forwards, defensemen, goalies and locker room guys.
neil: The latter being the most important, obviously.
terrence.doyle: I like to think Iâd be a locker room guy. Just a talisman who brings the vibes.
emily: Would you take the form of a weird hat, giant belt, dorky necklace, shared jacket or fur coat?
Watch: https://abcnews.go.com/fivethirtyeight/video/chaotic-fictional-football-coach-fivethirtyeight-74531599
terrence.doyle: Shared jacket, always hugging my friends.
neil: Awwwwwww
OK, enough about the deadline. Letâs pivot to looking at the remaining month or so of the regular season. What do you think the NHL will do around the Vancouver Canucks? They were originally going to resume play tonight after a 23-day pause that saw practically the entire team test positive for COVID-19 â but that was delayed again after players said they felt unprepared and unsafe for the return. The league had already pushed back the end of the North Division schedule to May 16, four days after the other divisions conclude the regular season.Â
Are we really going to see playoff games from those other divisions while the Canucks play out the string? Why not just cancel some of those games and use points percentage to determine the seedings?
terrence.doyle: I think your idea is the most logical one, which means the NHL absolutely wonât do it.
neil: Heh
emily: Shut it down and pull the plug. Weâve seen teams in other leagues do it: The Orlando Pride withdrew from last yearâs NWSL Challenge Cup, the Connecticut Whale pulled out of the NWHL Lake Placid tournament that was then subsequently postponed. Itâs not worth it.
terrence.doyle: Seconded.
First, these players havenât played in almost a month at this point, and havenât practiced much (or at all) either, so returning to play against teams that are in midseason shape is dangerous. Second, the NHL doesnât always operate with the playersâ best interest in mind, so thereâs no way that any decision they make â short of shutting it down â will be safe or good for players.
neil: So just not play any more Canuck games at all?
To play devilâs advocate, is that unfair to the teams that were supposed to play them and are jockeying for seeding? Montreal, for instance, has already played all of its Vancouver games, but other teams in the mix havenât yet.
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terrence.doyle: I think thereâs a case for that, Neil, for sure. But your aforementioned idea of using points percentage, or some version of it, will have to do, imo, because thereâs too much at stake to play these games.
neil: I guess thereâs also the question of Vancouver itself. They still have a shot at the playoffs, albeit small (8.5 percent in our model, which does actually assume points percentage would be used for teams that played fewer than 56 games). So I donât know what you do with that.
emily: Weâre still in a pandemic! Reading about the lasting effects of COVID-19 on athletes is heartbreaking. The safety of the players and staff is more important.
terrence.doyle: My official answer is: đŹ.
neil: I do kind of think the league will make Vancouver play again but maybe will relent on the 56-game rigidity. That part seems completely unnecessary and also infeasible at this point.Â
(But there will be other North teams who complain, because of course there will be.)
terrence.doyle: Yeah. Knowing the NHL, theyâll make âem play six games in eight days.
neil: Thatâs ⊠not too far from what they were actually looking at before this latest decision.
terrence.doyle: Yup.Â
neil: Nineteen games in 31 days.
terrence.doyle: SMH
[Clears throat, which is sore from so much throat clearing] THE BAD SEASON IS BAD.
emily: THE BAD SEASON* IS BAD.
neil: All right, letâs finish up with some on-ice concerns. Whatâs the biggest question youâre each thinking about that needs to be answered before the playoffs? Mine is about the defending champs â the Lightning have looked pretty listless for the past three weeks, and they are no longer favorites to repeat, having been supplanted in our Cup odds by the Avalanche.

So Iâm wondering whether this is just the Lightning conserving themselves for the postseason or a sign that they peaked at the wrong time. What is on your minds as we look toward the playoffs?
terrence.doyle: Thatâs a good question. I think theyâll be fine, and I still feel like theyâre the most dangerous and best team in the league. But we all saw what happened to the Bolts two years ago, and that was after they went into the playoffs on a relative hot streak.
emily: Yeah, I think looking at where the teams are at post-deadline, the Lightning and Avs didnât make huge moves to further increase their chances but made solid moves that secured their standing up top.
terrence.doyle: I guess Iâll circle back to the Hall trade for what Iâm watching. The Bruins have sorely needed secondary scoring, and they went out and got a guy whoâs been considered a primary scorer for his entire career. Like Emily said, he doesnât have to be the guy anymore, just the other guy. If the Bruins start figuring out how to score 5-on-5 goals, theyâre gonna make for a hell of a difficult playoff matchup. They probably go as far as the chemistry between David KrejÄĂ, Craig Smith and Hall goes.
emily: The Hall move was big (but not so big it cost a first rounder!). As Terrence said, it changes some of the questions re: the Bruins, but there still are questions there.
neil: Well, at least we have already answered the most important question of all: Terrenceâs preferred locker-room talisman. Next chat, weâll start rotating that jacket!
emily: Neil, I think we should go for the pigeon.

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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/did-the-bruins-win-the-trade-deadline-and-will-the-canucks-ever-play-again/
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