Group A. They were able to secure six points with wins over Guatemala, Trinidad, and Tobago. Mexico was able to put their goalless outing behind with a multi-goal effort against Guatemala. Thursday, tournament favorites Canada and the United States are in action each taking on beatable opponents. We should see strong defense from the Canadian side since they would like to keep the edge over the United States in goal differential.
Haiti vs Canada | Haiti Team Total under 0.5 goals (-115)
Last Saturday, Canada was on the verge of a shock defeat when they allowed a goal in the 10th minute against Martinique. It only took six minutes for Cyle Larin to correct the mistake and bring the match level. They went on to win the contest 4-1. What’s important to note, after that early goal, is that Canada only allowed one more shot on target.
The early Martinique goal served as a wake-up call for Canada. Once they conceded, they were alert on both sides of the ball. The back line of Alistair Johnston, Steven Vitoria, and Kamal Miller banded together and allowed few opportunities for Martinique. Even with the goal, Martinique’s xG was 0.72.
Next the Canadians take on Haiti, who look to put their underwhelming performance against the United States behind them. Haiti is riding a three-game losing streak, it’s likely they will lose to Canada as well. Offensively they were a bit more productive against the United States than Martinique was against Canada. They were able register three shots on goal, yet their xG was 0.93 and they created zero big chances.
It would likely take a moment of brilliance for Haiti to score against Canada. In their last two matches vs the Canadians they were outscored 4-0. I expect Canada to dominate possession and limit the chances created by the Haitians. At the time of posting, odds are priced better on Haiti’s team total under than Canada to win to nil. Both bets are acceptable and the one with better odds should be played.
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