Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine

Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling MachineMove players around and make “trades” to change FiveThirtyEight’s NBA predictions.

More NBA:2020-21 NBA predictionsOur RAPTOR player ratings

By Ryan Best and Jay Boice

How would adding a superstar change your favorite team’s title chances? Could a specific role player be the missing piece for a certain squad? Use this team-building tool to tinker with a roster by “trading” and dropping players — with as many teams as you want, free of salary cap constraints — and watch teams move around in our RAPTOR-based playoff predictions.

How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers?Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted.TRUSTING THE PROCESSPLAYOFF CONTENDERSTITLE CONTENDERSTRUSTING THE PROCESSPLAYOFF CONTENDERSTITLE CONTENDERS<40% to make playoffs≥40% to make playoffs≥10% to win finals<40% to make playoffs≥40% to make playoffs≥10% to win finalsBuild your team, using RAPTORTeam ratings are calculated based on individual RAPTOR plus-minus projections and expected minutes.SIMULATE FULL SEASON:Run our model from the start of the season without adjustments for injuriesADVANCED MODE:Reallocate a player’s minutes by changing his role on his teamINJURIES ():Icons indicate the approximate share of a player’s expected minutes he’ll miss↺ UNDOSTART OVERCHOOSE A TEAMUTAHJAZZ

RECORD PLAYOFFS CHAMPS
54-18 >99% 16%
EXP. MINS PROJ. RAPTOR
PLAYER OFF DEF TRADE
Donovan MitchellPG, SG 34 +3.2 -1.1 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Rudy GobertC 32 -0.2 +5.8 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Mike ConleyPG 29 +2.4 +2.2 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Bojan BogdanovicSF, PF 30 -0.1 -1.7 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Royce O’NealeSG, SF 31 -0.4 +1.8 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Joe InglesSF 23 +1.1 0.0 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Jordan ClarksonPG, SG 23 +3.0 -1.4 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Derrick FavorsPF, C 19 +0.1 +2.1 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Georges NiangPF 14 -0.5 -0.9 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Miye OniSG 3 -0.5 -0.1 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Shaquille Harrison 0 -0.3 +2.0 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Udoka AzubuikeC 2 -2.3 +0.1 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Elijah Hughes 0 -1.8 -0.6 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Trent Forrest 0 -1.6 +0.7 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Juwan Morgan 0 -1.8 -0.4 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Jarrell Brantley 0 -2.6 -0.8 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY

CHOOSE A TRADING PARTNERLOS ANGELESCLIPPERS

RECORD PLAYOFFS CHAMPS
47-25 >99% 14%
EXP. MINS PROJ. RAPTOR
PLAYER OFF DEF TRADE
Kawhi LeonardSF, PF 34 +5.1 +2.5 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Paul GeorgeSG, SF 33 +3.9 +2.9 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Patrick BeverleyPG 24 +0.6 +2.0 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Marcus Morris Sr.PF, C 25 -0.1 -0.5 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Nicolas BatumSG, PF 28 +0.1 +1.4 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Lou WilliamsPG, SG 17 +1.8 -3.1 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Luke KennardSG, SF 15 +0.3 -3.0 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Serge IbakaC 16 -0.9 +1.4 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Ivica ZubacC 15 -1.4 +1.6 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Patrick PattersonPF, C 12 -1.9 -0.8 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Reggie JacksonPG 10 +0.7 -2.5 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Terance MannSG, SF 11 -1.2 -0.3 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Mfiondu Kabengele 0 -1.9 +0.3 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Amir Coffey 0 -0.4 -0.6 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Daniel Oturu 0 -2.2 -0.5 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY
Jay Scrubb 0 -2.8 -1.0 TO
STARGUARANTEED STARTERUBER RESERVEPOSSIBLE STARTERROTATION PLAYERSPOT MINUTESEMERGENCY ONLY

How this works: When a trade is made, our model updates the rosters of the teams involved and reallocates the number of minutes each player is expected to play. We then run our full NBA forecast with the new lineups to produce updated win totals and playoff probabilities. Injury icons are an approximation of the share of minutes that a player will miss through the rest of the season because of injury or illness. A position is shown only when the player has been allocated minutes at that position in the team’s lineup. Read more about how our NBA model works »

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/nba-trades-2021/

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